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	<title type="text">David A. Hopkins | Vox</title>
	<subtitle type="text">Our world has too much noise and too little context. Vox helps you understand what matters.</subtitle>

	<updated>2019-03-06T19:09:51+00:00</updated>

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		<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>David A. Hopkins</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Republican elites cheered the right-wing insurgency. Now it’s coming for them.]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2017/10/26/16552816/republican-elites-insurgency-mcconnell-bannon-media-flake" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2017/10/26/16552816/republican-elites-insurgency-mcconnell-bannon-media-flake</id>
			<updated>2017-10-26T11:30:07-04:00</updated>
			<published>2017-10-26T11:30:02-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Business &amp; Finance" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Media" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Money" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="The Big Idea" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) didn&#8217;t waste any time claiming that he was leaving to spend more time with his family, and he didn&#8217;t say it was time to pass the torch of leadership to a younger generation of Americans &#8212; the usual explanations of electorally vulnerable politicians. He didn&#8217;t pretend that his sudden retirement announcement [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ), the latest scalp claimed by the Bannon wing. | J. Scott Applewhite/AP" data-portal-copyright="J. Scott Applewhite/AP" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/9000793/AP_17214674942279.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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	Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ), the latest scalp claimed by the Bannon wing. | J. Scott Applewhite/AP	</figcaption>
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<p>Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) didn&rsquo;t waste any time claiming that he was leaving to spend more time with his family, and he didn&rsquo;t say it was time to pass the torch of leadership to a younger generation of Americans &mdash; the usual explanations of electorally vulnerable politicians. He didn&rsquo;t pretend that his sudden retirement announcement this week was inspired by anything other than a pessimistic assessment of his chances in next year&rsquo;s Arizona Republican primary.</p>

<p>Flake saw himself facing an unavoidable choice between his conscience and his career. (<a href="http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/350458-dem-leaning-poll-shows-flake-down-huge-in-primary-and-general">Two</a> recent <a href="http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Arizona-Senate-Executive-Summary.pdf">polls</a> showed him losing the primary by more than 20 percentage points.) The senator <a href="http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2017/10/24/sen-jeff-flake-senate-speech-full-text/794958001/">said he was</a> &ldquo;freeing myself from the political considerations that consume far too much bandwidth and would cause me to compromise far too many principles.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Before the announcement, Flake&rsquo;s Senate seat had been seen as the one Democrats would be most likely to pick up in 2018. It&rsquo;s too soon to say how his retirement changes that calculus. But his departure does confirm that the civil war between Republican politicians and non-officeholding actors &mdash; notably in the conservative media &mdash; is still raging, and maybe intensifying, a decade after its emergence.</p>

<p>The increasingly bitter divide between the elected and unelected wings of the Republican Party pits traditional leaders like Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell against media personalities like Breitbart chair (and ex-Trump adviser) Steve Bannon &mdash; two men who are now <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2017/10/10/politics/steve-bannon-war-against-mitch-mcconnell/index.html">openly</a> attacking <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/gops-insurgents-step-up-campaign-against-mcconnell/2017/10/25/ec3a5af4-b9a0-11e7-9e58-e6288544af98_story.html?utm_term=.6d420c585c85">each other</a> as they fight for control of the GOP.</p>

<p>Media attention has focused on Flake&rsquo;s scathing criticism of Trump on the Senate floor and in <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/enough--it-is-time-to-stand-up-to-trump/2017/10/24/12488ee4-b908-11e7-a908-a3470754bbb9_story.html?utm_term=.3d59caf93d91">a subsequent newspaper opinion piece</a>, in which he implied that Trump&rsquo;s actions in office represent a threat to American democracy. And perhaps such forceful condemnations of an incumbent president, expressed by a senator of the same party, may reduce Trump&rsquo;s chances of reelection.</p>

<p>That seems to be the story that much of the media is telling. But the implications of Flake&rsquo;s actions for intra-Republican battles may be more important. He is only the latest prominent casualty of a longer clash that previously claimed the political careers of prominent Republican officeholders, including veteran Sens. Bob Bennett and Dick Lugar and House leaders John Boehner and Eric Cantor. That conflict both predated and helped fuel Trump&rsquo;s rise to the top of the party.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">It’s not really about an angry Republican “base”</h2>
<p>The turmoil in Republican ranks is often described as pitting the party&rsquo;s leadership class against an unruly popular &ldquo;base.&rdquo; But as <a href="http://www.cambridge.org/us/academic/subjects/politics-international-relations/comparative-politics/nature-and-origins-mass-opinion?format=PB&amp;isbn=9780521407861#lpjddqx33lyg0wRC.97">scholars of public opinion</a> often point out, few citizens develop strong political opinions or are mobilized to political action without influence from trusted authorities. What&rsquo;s changed is whom voters are listening to: Unelected elite actors, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/09/09/how-the-conservative-media-is-taking-over-the-republican-party/?utm_term=.b9e433c5faf6">especially conservative media figures</a>, are gaining influence over the behavior of Republican voters while officeholders and candidates are losing it. (Despite occasional <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/both-political-parties-may-be-doomed/2017/10/20/4c6cf8b2-b5ca-11e7-be94-fabb0f1e9ffb_story.html?utm_term=.86dab6fdf5cb">suggestions otherwise</a>, no equivalent purge campaign exists in today&rsquo;s Democratic Party.)</p>

<p>A number of self-styled &ldquo;constitutional&rdquo; conservative elites like Flake were <a href="http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/07/31/my-party-is-in-denial-about-donald-trump-215442">dismayed and baffled</a> by Trump&rsquo;s ascendance to the Republican presidential nomination in 2016, but Trump&rsquo;s anti-immigration rhetoric and combative manner found fertile ground among a Republican primary electorate primed by years of aggressive conservative media messages. Conservative media outlets have incessantly painted conventional party leaders as overly accommodating to liberalism, ineffective in achieving major rightward policy shifts, and inattentive to the costs and threats of contemporary social change. In such a context, the Trump campaign&rsquo;s <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-endorsement-primary/">lack of public support</a> among Republican politicians during the 2016 presidential primaries turned out to be far from fatal to his popularity with party voters.</p>

<p>Flake <a href="http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2017/10/24/sen-jeff-flake-senate-speech-full-text/794958001/">presents himself</a> as far more faithful to conservative ideological principles than the current leader of his party. Indeed, his record in office is staunchly right of center in nearly every substantive respect. According to <a href="https://voteview.com/congress/senate/text">one political science measure</a> derived from analysis of roll-call votes, he is one of the three or four most conservative members of the Senate &mdash; and he is a well-known <a href="http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/356952-the-original-tea-partier-exits-stage-right">crusader against legislative earmarks</a>.</p>

<p>Yet Flake&rsquo;s sharp personal criticisms of Trump, his sponsorship of bipartisan immigration reform measures, and his relatively mild-mannered rhetoric and demeanor  &mdash; which contrast dramatically with the <a href="http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/01/angry-politics-americans-addicted-101735">perpetual expressions of outrage</a> characteristic of ideologically aligned media &mdash; put him out of step with the current Republican zeitgeist. &ldquo;It&rsquo;s not enough to be conservative anymore,&rdquo; Flake <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2017/10/24/politics/trump-latest/index.html">told CNN</a>. &ldquo;You have to be angry about it &hellip; and I just can&rsquo;t go there.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Flake&rsquo;s departure represents a particularly alarming development for other Republican members of Congress, confirming that even ideologically loyal incumbents are vulnerable to electoral purge. Every day it becomes clearer that the insurgency led by activists and media figures on the right against Republican officeholders was not merely a byproduct of conservative frustration during the Obama years, destined to fade once the party regained power.</p>

<p>Indeed, the insurgency has gained a key strategic asset, electing a president who is himself an unreliable ally of his own party&rsquo;s congressional wing and whose former chief strategist, Bannon, and favorite cable news host, Sean Hannity, have both proclaimed their support for toppling the current Senate majority leader and driving multiple additional Republican incumbents from office. (While allies of McConnell have formed a Super PAC to strike back against Bannon, highlighting his support for white nationalism, the group will not attack Trump, according to the <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/gops-insurgents-step-up-campaign-against-mcconnell/2017/10/25/ec3a5af4-b9a0-11e7-9e58-e6288544af98_story.html?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_gopfallout-340pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&amp;utm_term=.d5135f7c7f8e">Washington Post</a>.)</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Support for an insurgent conservative media — followed by blowback</h2>
<p>Many Republicans cheered the emergence of the modern conservative media universe during the 1990s and early 2000s as a necessary counterweight to the perceived ideological bias of mainstream journalism. They may regret that support today. Over the past decade, it&rsquo;s become clear the conservative media can be weaponized against Republican politicians even more easily than against Democrats, since most of its audience is far more likely to participate in a Republican primary than to consider voting Democratic in a general election.</p>

<p>While the conservative insurgency has few sympathizers in Washington, it is difficult to deny the argument that incumbent Republican politicians have <a href="https://www.vox.com/2014/9/15/6131919/democrats-and-republicans-really-are-different">often failed to deliver on their promises</a> &mdash; for instance, to achieve a revolutionary reduction in the size of government and a revival of traditionalist cultural norms. Tellingly, Flake&rsquo;s retirement speech on the Senate floor devoted much more attention to the veneration of conservative principles than to conservative accomplishments during his years in office.</p>

<p>Flake&rsquo;s withdrawal from the 2018 race, and his blistering attack on Trump&rsquo;s fitness for the presidency and adherence to democratic values, raise the key question of whether his opposition to the current administration will move from rhetoric to legislative action during his remaining 15 months in office. Some critics, <a href="https://crooked.com/article/jeff-flake-john-mccain-bob-corker/">especially</a> on the <a href="https://twitter.com/jonfavs/status/922907691038543872">left</a>, are already calling for Flake, along with other Trump skeptics like Bob Corker and John McCain, to use their procedural leverage in a closely divided Senate to limit Trump&rsquo;s executive power and deny him legislative victories.</p>

<p>But such obstruction, whatever its merits, would provide further ammunition to the charge that a Trumpian conservative victory is being undermined by a treacherous and corrupt Republican establishment. Flake portrays himself as guarding the flame of true conservatism against a president whom he describes as an impostor to the cause. But the conservative authorities who wield the greatest influence over the Republican electorate &mdash; Rush Limbaugh, Hannity, Laura Ingraham &mdash; see the dispute between Trump and his Senate critics in precisely the opposite terms: They interpret any congressional challenge to the president as an illegitimate rejection of genuine conservative populism by an out-of-touch class of party elites.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Flake could challenge Trump more aggressively, but that would only prove the insurgents’ point</h2>
<p>Should Flake take a hard stand against Trump, he will thus further fuel an intramural Republican conflict that seems likely at this stage to outlast Trump&rsquo;s own presidency. To be sure, this factional warfare does not threaten the Republican Party&rsquo;s ability to survive, or even to gain and hold power. For example, the Democrats of the 1930s and &rsquo;40s were very successful at winning elections even as they were perennially riven.</p>

<p>But the political lessons that conservative activists and voters ultimately take from the Trump presidency will depend on whether they hold Trump responsible for his failures in office, or whether they see him instead as a victim of disloyal Republican politicians. Which view wins out will determine the direction the party takes even after Trump himself is no longer at its head.</p>

<p>For the moment, the voices that speak the loudest inside the GOP are solidly behind Trump, and any politician who publicly dares to disagree runs the risk of becoming the next Jeff Flake.</p>

<p><em>David A. Hopkins is an associate professor of political science at Boston College. His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/red-fighting-blue/5BED65A27BC1399564B4A5863A1E899C">Red Fighting Blue: How Geography and Electoral Rules Polarize American Politics</a><em> (Cambridge University Press, 2017). He blogs about American politics at </em><a href="http://honestgraft.com"><em>HonestGraft.com</em></a><em>.</em></p>
<hr class="wp-block-separator" />
<p><a href="http://vox.com/the-big-idea">The Big Idea</a> is Vox&rsquo;s home for smart discussion of the most important issues and ideas in politics, science, and culture &mdash; typically by outside contributors. If you have an idea for a piece, pitch us at <a href="mailto:thebigidea@vox.com">thebigidea@vox.com</a>.</p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Matt Grossmann</name>
			</author>
			
			<author>
				<name>David A. Hopkins</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Why Democrats have no &#8220;Freedom Caucus&#8221;]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/15/12927988/no-democratic-freedom-caucus-why" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/15/12927988/no-democratic-freedom-caucus-why</id>
			<updated>2019-03-06T13:46:04-05:00</updated>
			<published>2016-09-15T11:20:02-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Polyarchy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[The Democratic Party once maintained a reputation for persistent fractiousness and rebellious challenges to veteran party leaders, while the Republicans were traditionally held to be politically homogeneous and respectful of authority. Humorist Will Rogers quipped in the 1930s that &#8220;I don&#8217;t belong to an organized political party &#8212; I&#8217;m a Democrat,&#8221; while then-House Majority Leader [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/15900415/461089484.0.0.0.1473952163.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p>The Democratic Party once maintained a reputation for persistent fractiousness and rebellious challenges to veteran party leaders, while the Republicans were traditionally held to be politically homogeneous and respectful of authority. Humorist Will Rogers quipped in the 1930s that &#8220;I don&#8217;t belong to an organized political party &mdash; I&#8217;m a Democrat,&#8221; while then-House Majority Leader Tip O&#8217;Neill observed a generation later that &#8220;we Democrats are all under one tent. In any other country, we&#8217;d be five splinter parties.&#8221;</p>

<p>More recently, recurrent internal battles over legislation, strategy, and leadership posts have become a familiar characteristic of the congressional Republican Party, while the Democratic opposition appears placid and orderly by comparison.</p>

<p>In our new book, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1461155443&amp;sr=1-2&amp;keywords=%22asymmetric%20politics%22"><em>Asymmetric Politics</em></a><em>: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em>, we explain why the congressional parties have come to behave so differently. Because the Republican Party is defined by its adherence to the symbolic cause of conservatism, Republican officeholders pledge fidelity to a set of abstract values.</p>

<p>In eras when conservatives largely agree about how their ideological commitments are best advanced in practice, the party appears relatively unified and harmonious. When significant internal disputes arise &mdash; a regular occurrence during the Obama presidency &mdash; they tend to take the form of accusations from one faction of Republicans that their fellow partisans have betrayed conservative principles.</p>

<p>The Democratic Party, in contrast, has consistently maintained the character of a coalition of social groups more preoccupied with pragmatically seeking concrete benefits from government than with advancing a larger ideological cause. Disagreements among Democrats tend to divide the interests of one group or set of groups from another.</p>

<p>In previous decades, when the coalition included white Southerners and conservative Catholics as well as racial minorities and left-leaning intellectuals, forging compromise was a particularly difficult task for the Democratic leadership. Today, the constituent elements of the coalition are more mutually compatible in their policy preferences, although party leaders must still work to satisfy the policy priorities of each group without the ability to appeal to a common ideological commitment.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why Republicans leaders fail to govern despite electoral success</h2>
<p>The speakership of John Boehner was wildly successful in electoral terms &mdash; House Republicans gained 63 seats under Boehner&#8217;s leadership in the 2010 midterm elections and held more seats in the chamber at the time of Boehner&#8217;s departure last October than at any point since the 1920s &mdash; but ultimately fell prey to a bloc of disaffected purists within his party.</p>

<p>Most members of this hard-line faction have become associated with an organization known as the House Freedom Caucus, a name that reflects their claims of unswerving devotion to conservative principles. Boehner found it impossible to satisfy these critics while simultaneously pursuing the compromises required to move necessary legislation, such as spending bills and hikes in the federal debt ceiling, through Congress.</p>

<p>The pro- and anti-Boehner factions within the House Republican Party both identified as ideologically conservative and took similar positions on most public policy matters. But the divisions between them proved impossible for the former speaker to bridge.</p>

<p>An ideologically oriented party is inherently vulnerable to the accusation that its governing record has failed to honor its philosophical commitments, especially in a separation-of-powers system, which often requires occasional cooperation with the partisan opposition. Dealmaking is not a promising approach to the resolution of political disputes when one side is primarily occupied with preserving its record of ideological purity, especially when this uncompromising approach is encouraged by many activists and powerful media personalities within the party.</p>

<p>Some critics of Congress have suggested that the institution restore the practice of earmarks in order to grease the wheels of the legislative apparatus, but such a measure is unlikely to change the behavior of members who have dedicated themselves to the conspicuous pursuit of ideological principles over transactional politics.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why the left fails to challenge congressional Democrats</h2>
<p>In an era when congressional polarization is widely assumed to be the product of comparable trends on both sides of the partisan aisle, it is worth considering why no left-wing equivalent to the House Freedom Caucus &mdash; or counterparts in the Senate, like Ted Cruz of Texas &mdash; has emerged to demand regular displays of ideological purity and to launch internal challenges to the Democratic leadership.</p>

<p>Our analysis suggests that this asymmetry reflects the Democrats&#8217; foundational nature as a coalitional rather than an ideological party. The most influential constituencies within the Democratic electoral and activist base &mdash; such as labor unions, racial minorities, environmentalists, and the economically disadvantaged &mdash; maintain an extensive wish list of specific policy priorities, encouraging Democratic officeholders to work pragmatically to enact an ambitious legislative agenda rather than engaging in symbolic acts of philosophical devotion.</p>

<p>The coalitional nature of the Democrats does not always work to the party&#8217;s advantage. As Boehner&#8217;s Democratic predecessor Nancy Pelosi discovered, the concessions and compromises required to successfully steer major legislation through Congress can result in significant flaws &mdash;such as the well-documented <a href="http://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/13/12896016/public-policy-democratic-goals-republican-strategy">imperfections</a> of the Affordable Care Act (ACA).</p>

<p>But the relative lack of strict ideological litmus tests enforced by party members and activists both inside and outside Congress allows Democratic leaders greater freedom of movement to satisfy, even if incompletely, the demands of their party&#8217;s most attentive supporters, preventing Democrats from succumbing to the same series of internal revolts and governing crises that have repeatedly befallen the GOP.</p>

<p>Some liberals were disappointed that the ACA did not contain a public option or establish a single-payer health care system, but even the most left-wing Democrats in Congress chose to support a bill that they viewed as a partial solution rather than declare it unacceptably inconsistent with their principles.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Expect little change in the behavior of the congressional parties</h2>
<p>Conservative purists such as the members of the House Freedom Caucus are often derided by veteran Washingtonians of both parties as either cynical grandstanders or extremist &#8220;wacko birds,&#8221; in the memorable phrase of critic John McCain. Yet their criticisms of Republican leaders for failing to uphold their own conservative commitments contain, at heart, an unavoidable grain of truth.</p>

<p>Even &#8220;establishment&#8221; Republicans like John Boehner have been fond of engaging in campaign rhetoric that advocates a dramatic, and even revolutionary, reduction of the size and scope of the federal government, as well as a return to traditional cultural norms and mores.</p>

<p>The repeated failure of Republicans to deliver on these ambitious promises when in power &mdash; in large part because popular enthusiasm for a smaller government largely dissipates once the debate shifts to the specific programs and benefits that would need to be cut in order to realize it &mdash; only further justifies the frustrations of conservative activists.</p>

<p>Though Boehner has surrendered the speaker&#8217;s gavel, his departure does not resolve the tensions roiling a congressional party that often finds itself caught between its ideological commitments and its electoral fortunes. Unless Paul Ryan can devise a solution to this dilemma, he may become its next victim.</p>

<p><em>Matt Grossmann is the director of the Institute for Public Policy and Social Research at Michigan State University. David A. Hopkins is an assistant professor of political science at Boston College. They are the authors of </em><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/"><em>Asymmetric Politics: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em></a><em>.</em></p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Matt Grossmann</name>
			</author>
			
			<author>
				<name>David A. Hopkins</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Why primary elections scare Republican politicians more than Democrats]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/14/12905660/primary-elections-scare-republicans" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/14/12905660/primary-elections-scare-republicans</id>
			<updated>2019-03-06T14:09:51-05:00</updated>
			<published>2016-09-14T11:50:03-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="2016 Presidential Election" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Polyarchy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[John Boehner thought he had a clever plan. After failing to reach a compromise with the Obama administration to reduce the budget deficit and extend the George W. Bush tax cuts in December 2012, then-Speaker Boehner proceeded to what the House Republican leadership called &#8220;plan B.&#8221; The House would vote to make the Bush tax [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) (R) speaks during a press conference as House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) (L) looks on at the US Capitol December 21, 2012, in Washington, DC. | Win McNamee/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Win McNamee/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/15904577/GettyImages-158618189.0.1473867307.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) (R) speaks during a press conference as House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) (L) looks on at the US Capitol December 21, 2012, in Washington, DC. | Win McNamee/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>John Boehner thought he had a clever plan. After failing to reach a compromise with the Obama administration to reduce the budget deficit and extend the George W. Bush tax cuts in December 2012, then-Speaker Boehner proceeded to what the House Republican leadership called &#8220;plan B.&#8221; The House would vote to make the Bush tax cuts permanent for all but the highest-earning 0.2 percent of the population, putting Boehner in a strong bargaining position against his Democratic opponents as the clock wound down toward January 1, 2013.</p>

<p>If Congress and the president failed to act by that date, a simultaneous combination of tax increases and spending cuts would kick in automatically under existing law, jeopardizing the health of the national economy by sending federal policy over what official Washington dubbed a &#8220;fiscal cliff.&#8221;</p>

<p>Unfortunately, this strategy ultimately resulted in a very public embarrassment for the speaker. Boehner was forced to pull the &#8220;plan B&#8221; legislation from the floor of the House after finding that it lacked the votes to pass due to significant opposition among his fellow Republicans, who, as <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/how-boehners-plan-b-for-the-fiscal-cliff-began-and-fell-apart/2012/12/20/7e9ecddc-4aeb-11e2-a6a6-aabac85e8036_story.html">the Washington Post reported</a>, were unwilling to back the measure &#8220;because they worried it would lead to a primary challenge&#8221; from a hard-line conservative opponent.</p>

<p>Rep. Mike Coffman of Colorado agreed with this appraisal, <a href="http://thehill.com/homenews/house/274407-fearing-primaries-gop-members-opted-to-shun-boehners-plan-b">telling the Hill </a>that &#8220;there were members that are so gun shy about primaries that they weren&#8217;t willing to take a risk&#8221; by backing legislation crafted by the leadership of their own party &mdash; even though the next congressional elections were nearly two years away.</p>

<p>It is difficult to imagine a circumstance in the contemporary Congress that would lead a significant share of Democratic members to publicly torpedo a strategy pursued by Nancy Pelosi because they were afraid of being denied renomination by angry left-wing primary voters. This telling difference reflects the fundamentally distinct character of each major party.</p>

<p>As we document in our new book, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1461155443&amp;sr=1-2&amp;keywords=%22asymmetric%20politics%22"><em>Asymmetric Politics</em></a><em>: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em>, the Republicans are oriented around a common ideology, while the Democrats are organized as a social group coalition. Internal disagreements within the Republican Party tend to take the form of accusations of disloyalty to the conservative cause, while intraparty battles on the Democratic side, when they occur, more commonly involve tensions among two or more groups under the party&#8217;s big tent.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Republican challengers emphasize ideology; Democratic challengers represent group conflict</h2>
<p>Since the 1970s, primary opponents challenging Republican members of Congress have been much more likely than Democratic challengers to attack the incumbent on the basis of ideology, as the figure below makes clear. Democratic challengers, in contrast, are more likely than Republicans to differ from the incumbent on the basis of social identity.</p>

<p>For example, the most competitive challenge to an incumbent Republican in the 2014 Senate primaries occurred in Mississippi, where six-term senator Thad Cochran narrowly prevailed in a runoff election over Chris McDaniel, a state legislator identified with the Tea Party movement <a href="http://www.commercialappeal.com/news/cochran-challenger-chris-mcdaniel-brings-conservative-message-to-olive-branch-ep-307338917-326362511.html">who accused Cochran</a> of failing to share &#8220;our solid, conservative values.&#8221; The most competitive challenge to a sitting Democratic senator in 2014 came from then-Rep. Colleen Hanabusa of Hawaii, who nearly defeated incumbent Brian Schatz in a Democratic primary in which voters <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/racial-voting-lines-in-hawaii-senate-primary-leave-pollsters-mostly-clueless/">divided sharply along racial lines</a>.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7094837/primary.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="primary challenges" title="primary challenges" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>As the figure illustrates, the proportion of primary opponents who challenge Republican incumbents on the basis of insufficient ideological fidelity rose dramatically beginning in 2010, now constituting more than 40 percent of all contested races. Challengers to sitting Republican officeholders from the ideological right have not only become more frequent over time but have also come to represent a serious risk to their chances of renomination. Of the 31 Republican senators who sought reelection between 2010 and 2014, 10 &mdash; or 32 percent &mdash; were held to 60 percent of the vote or less in their home-state Republican primaries or renominating conventions, with three losing outright to more conservative challengers.</p>

<p>Today, a well-funded and influential network of conservative interest groups have joined with members of the Tea Party movement to form a powerful weapon of ideological enforcement aimed directly at the congressional Republican Party. Organizations such as the Club for Growth, FreedomWorks, and Heritage Action regularly intervene in Republican primaries on behalf of favored candidates. Support from conservative activists and groups allowed outsider candidates such as Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, Richard Mourdock, Sharron Angle, and Christine O&#8217;Donnell to win Republican primaries in recent years over &#8220;establishment&#8221;-identified opponents.</p>

<p>This trend has attracted the notice of Republican members of Congress&mdash;and frequently affected their behavior in office. When asked by a reporter why Boehner&#8217;s &#8220;plan B&#8221; legislation failed to win support from the House Republican Conference, Boehner ally Mike Conaway of Texas <a href="http://thehill.com/homenews/house/274407-fearing-primaries-gop-members-opted-to-shun-boehners-plan-b">replied</a>, &#8220;You&#8217;ve got to ask Club for Growth [and] Heritage Action.&#8221;</p>

<p>The introduction of legislative scorecards by conservative interest groups has also <a href="http://public.cq.com/docs/weeklyreport/weeklyreport-000004207216.html">influenced the voting habits</a> of congressional Republicans who wish to maintain quantitative evidence of their ideological loyalty in order to forestall electoral challenge.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Republican TV ads focus on the size of government; Democratic ads focus on groups and issues</h2>
<p>The unique character of each party also extends to its communication with the public. As the figure below shows, we find that Republican congressional candidates are more likely than Democrats to mention ideological concerns about the general size and scope of government in their television advertising, though this rhetoric does not often extend to supporting the elimination of specific benefit programs that are popular with the public. Democratic candidates prefer to cite specific issues and groups rather than invoke broader ideological themes.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7094839/candidateads.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Candidate Ads" title="Candidate Ads" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" /><h2 class="wp-block-heading">Sorry, Bernie: Democrats in the public don&#039;t want a more ideologically extreme party</h2>
<p>The lack of preoccupation with ideological purity within the Democratic Party has allowed party leaders to avoid the threat of Tea Party&ndash;style primary challenges from their left flank. Democratic-aligned interest groups prioritizing concrete legislative action on behalf of their various group constituencies lack the motivation and capacity to enforce a strict ideological litmus test on the party&#8217;s national leaders, and Democratic primary voters are less likely to be convinced that their elected representatives have forsaken their liberal principles.</p>

<p>As the figure below demonstrates, most Democrats in the mass public actually believe that their party should move further to the ideological center rather than the left.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7094843/moderate.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Public Moderation" title="Public Moderation" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>In the wake of Bernie Sanders&#8217;s unexpectedly strong second-place finish in the 2016 presidential primaries, some commentators suggested that Sanders and his allies would work to build an organization intended to further the cause of purist liberalism within the Democratic Party. But it is unlikely that a counterpart to the Tea Party would find comparable success on the American left, because the Democrats and Republicans are fundamentally different types of parties.</p>

<p>Any movement that threatens to sacrifice electoral pragmatism and discourage acts of political compromise in favor of strict adherence to a set of abstract values must contend with the fact that the social groups that constitute the Democratic coalition prize symbolic acts of ideological devotion less than the delivery of concrete policy change.</p>

<p><em>Matt Grossmann is the director of the Institute for Public Policy and Social Research at Michigan State University. David A. Hopkins is an assistant professor of political science at Boston College. They are the authors of </em><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/"><em>Asymmetric Politics: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em></a><em>.</em></p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Matt Grossmann</name>
			</author>
			
			<author>
				<name>David A. Hopkins</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[The mess of health reform: trying to achieve Democratic goals through Republican means]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/13/12896016/public-policy-democratic-goals-republican-strategy" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/13/12896016/public-policy-democratic-goals-republican-strategy</id>
			<updated>2019-03-06T13:36:45-05:00</updated>
			<published>2016-09-13T09:20:02-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Polyarchy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[During the congressional debate over the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Republicans successfully undermined overall popular support for the law by characterizing it as a &#8220;government takeover&#8221; of the American health care system &#8212; even though most of its specific provisions remained quite popular with the public. As many frustrated Democrats pointed out, the ACA was [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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											<![CDATA[

						
<figure>

<img alt="" data-caption="Venita Mendez works with Gisselle Rubio, an insurance agent with Sunshine Life and Health Advisers, as she looks to purchase an insurance policy under the Affordable Care Act at the store setup in the Westland Mall on November 14, 2013, in Hialeah, Florida. | Joe Raedle/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Joe Raedle/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/15898775/GettyImages-187991336.0.1473772266.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	Venita Mendez works with Gisselle Rubio, an insurance agent with Sunshine Life and Health Advisers, as she looks to purchase an insurance policy under the Affordable Care Act at the store setup in the Westland Mall on November 14, 2013, in Hialeah, Florida. | Joe Raedle/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>During the congressional debate over the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Republicans successfully undermined overall popular support for the law by characterizing it as a &#8220;government takeover&#8221; of the American health care system &mdash; even though most of its specific provisions remained quite popular with the public.</p>

<p>As many frustrated Democrats pointed out, the ACA was far from the exercise in single-payer socialized medicine implied by Republican critics. In fact, the law&#8217;s structure is striking for the many ways in which it attempts to avoid conservative accusations of &#8220;big government&#8221; liberalism.</p>

<p>Republicans favor federalism over nationalization. The ACA creates state-based insurance exchanges and uses state Medicaid partnerships to deliver services.</p>

<p>Republicans favor private sector implementation over increasing government bureaucracy. The ACA delivers benefits mainly through private insurance companies.</p>

<p>Republicans favor free market incentives. The ACA uses internet-based shopping marketplaces, which allows consumers to compare prices and requires insurers to compete for their business.</p>

<p>But the purpose of the ACA reflects a longtime objective of the Democratic Party: using government policy to provide better health care coverage to a greater number of people.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Like most American policy, the ACA uses Republican forms of governance to address Democratic constituency concerns</h2>
<p>In our new book, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/"><em>Asymmetric Politics</em></a><em>: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em>, we argue that this pattern is typical of American public policy: Political leaders typically pursue the goals of Democratic constituencies using tools and approaches that respond to conservative critiques of big government.</p>

<p>Because the Democratic Party is a coalition of social groups seeking concrete political objectives, Democratic politicians are willing to compromise over the methods of policy implementation in the service of delivering practical benefits to group members. As an ideological movement, the Republican Party characterizes each set of new initiatives as expanding the role of government in violation of constitutional values.</p>
<p><q aria-hidden="true" class="center"> <span>To achieve their substantive objectives, Democrats compromise over the form of policy implementation in an (often futile) effort to appease Republicans and prevent internal dissension</span></q></p>
<p>The result is a policy infrastructure built mainly by pragmatic Democrats (and a near-extinct faction of moderate Republicans) that is liberal in its ends but conservative in its means. To achieve their substantive objectives, Democrats compromise over the form of policy implementation in an (often futile) effort to appease Republicans and prevent internal dissension.</p>

<p>During the consideration of the ACA, Democrats offered modifications to the law not only to appeal to a few Republicans but also to address specific concerns voiced by business groups, Congressional Black Caucus members, pro-life Democrats, and unions.</p>

<p>Democratic leaders and activists have plenty of policy goals, but they fail to agree on an ideological vision for a larger government role in society; many Democrats have even internalized conservative criticisms of federal agencies and programs.</p>

<p>As a result, public policy responds to conservative critiques. One example is federalism. The figure below compares the size of the federal workforce to state and local public sector employment since 1946. It shows that the American political system has decentralized the work of government, increasingly shifting it below the national level.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7089215/pubemployees.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Public Employees" title="Public Employees" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>Yet these state and local employees are often supported by federal largesse or mandated by federal requirements &mdash; and they are not alone. Public policy increasingly relies on private sector government contractors and recipients of competitive grants (usually nonprofits) to deliver services. Although it is difficult to measure the size of this &#8220;shadow government&#8221; with precision, it now eclipses that of the direct federal workforce.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7089223/contractors.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Contractors and Grantees" title="Contractors and Grantees" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>American public policy also relies on the delivery of benefits through subsidized private sector expenditures, such as the individual insurance markets created by the ACA. Data collected by Jacob Hacker and summarized in the figure below confirms that American social welfare spending nearly matches that of large European nations &mdash; but a large fraction of our welfare spending passes indirectly through private companies, usually employers.</p>

<p>These decentralized and private sector&ndash;dependent forms of American policy are <a href="http://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/kludgeocracy-in-america">often permanent</a>, once they are included in the initial designs of policy.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7089229/hacker.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="comparative policy" title="comparative policy" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>The ACA is also emblematic of the American state&#8217;s tendency to rely on tax credits and exclusions, with benefits delivered through a highly complex tax code rather than through direct transfer payments or new government bureaucracies that would attract opposition from conservatives. The graph below compares discretionary federal spending with tax expenditures, or foregone revenue attributable to legislated tax benefits. It shows that these benefits now collectively match those provided by non-entitlement spending.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7089231/taxexpend.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="tax expenditures" title="tax expenditures" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" /><h2 class="wp-block-heading">American public policy is the product of compromises between asymmetric parties</h2>
<p>Given the polarized character of contemporary American politics, observers often assume that the two parties rigidly adhere to diametrically opposed policy preferences and principles (and are thus unable to find any common ground).</p>

<p>But the content of American public policy shows that the parties have reached a grand compromise of sorts over the past 50 years: Republicans have prevented large new government bureaucracies but not slowed the growth of new policy goals. Democrats have collectively expanded the scope of government authority but have been forced to implement their initiatives in cooperation with the private sector, by relying upon market competition and tax incentives, and by decentralizing services to states, localities, contractors, and grantees.</p>

<p>Critics habitually complain that out-of-touch politicians ignore the will of the citizens they serve. But the American public, which <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/09/07/republicans-and-democrats-cant-even-agree-about-how-they-disagree/?tid=a_inl">collectively</a> distrusts government in general even as it favors maintaining and even expanding government&#8217;s specific responsibilities, has mostly gotten its (self-contradictory) way.</p>

<p>There is a cost, however, to this incoherent responsiveness, visible in the ever-more-complicated and imperfectly realized manner in which public policy is created and implemented in the United States. As long as voters continue to prefer a smaller government that tries to solve a growing number of specific social problems, the two major parties will try their best to reconcile these inconsistent demands.</p>

<p><em>Matt Grossmann is the director of the Institute for Public Policy and Social Research at Michigan State University. David A. Hopkins is an assistant professor of political science at Boston College. They are the authors of </em><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/"><em>Asymmetric Politics: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em></a><em>.</em></p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Matt Grossmann</name>
			</author>
			
			<author>
				<name>David A. Hopkins</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[The liberal failure of political reform]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/12/12882214/political-reform-liberal-failure" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/polyarchy/2016/9/12/12882214/political-reform-liberal-failure</id>
			<updated>2019-03-06T13:37:08-05:00</updated>
			<published>2016-09-12T10:50:08-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Polyarchy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Bernie Sanders spent the 2016 primary campaign vowing to lead a political revolution that would fundamentally reform American politics. Like Sanders, many liberals believe that an unfair and corrupt political system controlled by privileged interests represents the chief obstacle to the realization of an otherwise popular left-wing agenda. Enacting reforms to the electoral and legislative [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<figure>

<img alt="" data-caption="Members of Congress including US Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) (C) listen to US President Barack Obama deliver the State of the Union speech in the House chamber of the US Capitol January 12, 2016, in Washington, DC. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/15898833/GettyImages-504722322.0.1473691601.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	Members of Congress including US Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) (C) listen to US President Barack Obama deliver the State of the Union speech in the House chamber of the US Capitol January 12, 2016, in Washington, DC. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Bernie Sanders spent the 2016 primary campaign vowing to lead a political revolution that would fundamentally reform American politics. Like Sanders, many liberals believe that an unfair and corrupt political system controlled by privileged interests represents the chief obstacle to the realization of an otherwise popular left-wing agenda. Enacting reforms to the electoral and legislative process, they argue, would effectively remove this barrier, quickly producing a decisive leftward shift in the trajectory of national policy.</p>

<p>Yet history does not support this view. Liberals in the 1970s also believed that institutions were holding back the advancement of their favored policies. They sought and achieved reforms in campaign finance, party nominations, government transparency, and congressional organization that were designed to depose moderate and conservative Democratic leaders while bolstering the influence of liberal activists at the expense of &#8220;establishment&#8221; interest groups. Rather than usher in a period of ambitious liberal achievements, these reforms in fact coincided with the close of an era of left-of-center policy change.</p>

<p>We explore the reasons for this failure in our new book, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/"><em>Asymmetric Politics: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em></a>. Our analysis finds that the Democratic Party is a coalition of social groups, each with pragmatic policy concerns. This party structure was well adapted to a policymaking process that required brokering compromises among a large set of discrete interests to pass legislation, especially within a system of multiple congressional committees aligned with associated interest organizations and constituencies.</p>

<p>Scholars often treat the institutional reforms of the mid-1970s as enabling the transformation of the institutionally decentralized, ideologically incoherent, and interest-governed Democrats into a more unified, nationalized, liberal-dominated party. But our best measures of congressional ideology (displayed in the graph below) show that the Democratic Party has collectively moved only modestly to the left since that era, mostly due to the attrition of its conservative Southern wing.</p>

<p>Congressional Republicans, meanwhile, shifted abruptly to the right and never turned back &mdash; even as they captured a growing share of seats in both the House and Senate. The post-reform political system has allowed the flourishing of the more ideologically oriented party: the Republicans.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7081531/ideology.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Party Ideology in the House of Representatives" title="Party Ideology in the House of Representatives" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>Like Sanders supporters in 2016, the reformers of the 1970s believed the public would reward policymakers who pursued myriad liberal policy objectives favored by voters &mdash; but it did not turn out that way. While the American public takes left-of-center positions on many specific policy issues, it also holds generally <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/09/07/republicans-and-democrats-cant-even-agree-about-how-they-disagree/">conservative views</a> on the size and role of government, giving the Republican Party fertile ground to stoke a popular backlash against &#8220;big-government&#8221; liberalism.</p>

<p>The institutional reforms also did not produce the policy successes that liberals expected. New policies and programs were adopted at a declining rate after the mid-1970s, reflecting a rightward ideological shift in national politics.</p>

<p>The solid line in the graph below represents the number of significant domestic policy changes identified by policy historians in each two-year period. The dashed line represents the number of net liberal policy changes (liberal minus conservative changes). As the figure reveals, the pre-reform era of the 1960s and early &#8217;70s marked the high tide of both net policy liberalism and policymaking productivity.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7081539/policymaking.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Trends in Policymaking Productivity and Ideological Direction" title="Trends in Policymaking Productivity and Ideological Direction" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>We do not claim that institutional reforms caused the decline in liberal policymaking, but there is certainly no evidence that reform led to the expected burst of new successes. A congressional GOP that was both growing in size and steadily moving to the ideological right was regularly able to block significant legislation. The increasingly diverse Democratic Party was never able to mount a return to the level of policy achievements that it reached in the 1960s.</p>

<p>Broader party and campaign reforms also failed to counter the influence of money in politics, but may have furthered the breakdown of previous cozy relationships between committees and Democratic-aligned interest groups and constituencies.</p>

<p>Note that the historical record gives conservatives good reason to be skeptical of legislative productivity: More new laws usually mean a shift to the ideological left.</p>

<p>As a result, Republican officeholders often focus more on blocking Democratic initiatives than on developing their own alternatives, concentrating instead on broader fights over taxation and the federal budget. We find that Congress is more productive under Democratic rule &mdash; not only in policymaking but also in committee hearings and in the number of substantive topics considered. In addition, Democratic presidents send far more new policy proposals to Congress and make more administrative changes within the executive branch.</p>

<p>The best measure of legislative effectiveness controls for these large differences in partisan productivity across time to focus on comparing legislators serving contemporaneously, but it still reveals important party differences. The graph below reports the relative success of each party&#8217;s members in passing significant, as well as less important, legislation. Democratic committee chairs tend to be particularly effective at passing major bills, perhaps suggesting the benefits of the prior committee-based system for the Democratic Party. Republican backbenchers are surprisingly good at passing less important bills.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/7081541/sponsored.0.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Legislative Effectiveness of Democratic and Republican Lawmakers" title="Legislative Effectiveness of Democratic and Republican Lawmakers" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Courtesy of Oxford University Press" />
<p>Each party&#8217;s unique approach to governing has important implications for reform of political institutions. The Democratic Party, as a coalition of social groups with multiple policy demands, seeks to regularly pass more legislation. The Republican Party, as the agent of an ideological movement opposed to government intervention and social change, is less active in policymaking overall.</p>

<p>As ambitious liberals consider proposals for future reform, they should assess whether each potential change is likely to benefit the Democratic coalition or the more ideological Republicans. History suggests reforms, once instituted, may not always have the effect that their advocates intend.</p>

<p><em>Matt Grossmann is the director of the Institute for Public Policy and Social Research at Michigan State University. David A. Hopkins is an assistant professor of political science at Boston College. They are the authors of </em><a href="https://www.amazon.com/Asymmetric-Politics-Ideological-Republicans-Democrats/dp/0190626607/"><em>Asymmetric Politics: Ideological Republicans and Group Interest Democrats</em></a><em>.</em></p>
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