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	<title type="text">Eric Tanenblatt | Vox</title>
	<subtitle type="text">Our world has too much noise and too little context. Vox helps you understand what matters.</subtitle>

	<updated>2016-09-12T12:37:14+00:00</updated>

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			<author>
				<name>Eric Tanenblatt</name>
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			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Robots and red tape: Regulatory uncertainty in Uber’s self-driving bet]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2016/9/12/12864420/uber-regulation-self-driving-autonomous-cars-vehicles" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2016/9/12/12864420/uber-regulation-self-driving-autonomous-cars-vehicles</id>
			<updated>2016-09-12T08:37:14-04:00</updated>
			<published>2016-09-12T08:00:08-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Innovation" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Self-driving Cars" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Technology" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Transportation" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[When Uber sets loose the&#160;world&#8217;s largest commercial fleet of autonomous vehicles&#160;on the streets of Pittsburgh, Penn., this month, the pioneering experiment in self-driving will likely fix the ride-sharing giant on course for a dramatic collision with obstinate lawmakers and antique regulations. Driverless cars represent the true Wild West of public policy. Acutely regulated verticals, like [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<p>When Uber sets loose the&nbsp;<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/19/technology/uber-self-driving-cars-otto-trucks.html?_r=0">world&#8217;s largest commercial fleet of autonomous vehicles</a>&nbsp;on the streets of Pittsburgh, Penn., this month, the pioneering experiment in self-driving will likely fix the ride-sharing giant on course for a dramatic collision with obstinate lawmakers and antique regulations.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-pullquote alignleft"><blockquote><p>Driverless cars represent the true Wild West of public policy.</p></blockquote></figure>
<p>Acutely regulated verticals, like those in health care and finance, are most vulnerable to economic disruption: When regulation stifles competition or makes difficult the entrance of new actors, the value proposition for incumbent innovation is nil. And that&#8217;s what makes Uber&#8217;s futuristic robotic ride-sharing so remarkable. Whereas before&nbsp; Uber leapt headlong into a highly controlled space, they&#8217;re entering now into a regulatory dead zone.</p>

<p>Driverless cars represent the true Wild West of public policy, a regulatory bedlam where the hand of the law is neither felt nor seen and only those exceedingly brave or possibly a little foolish venture out.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Not since the early proliferation of motor vehicles so dramatically&nbsp;<a href="http://voluntaryist.com/articles/092.html#.V77wovkrKUk">outpaced safety regulations</a>&nbsp;in the 19th century has American transportation jumped so far forward so fast. And it&#8217;s not just America speeding into the driverless future. Elsewhere, in Singapore, a software company has begun&nbsp;<a href="http://bigstory.ap.org/article/615568b7668b452bbc8d2e2f3e5148e6/worlds-first-self-driving-taxis-debut-singapore">road-testing the world&#8217;s first autonomous taxi service</a>.</p>

<p>What awaits Uber and other driverless pioneers is a daunting public policy campaign to align existing, outmoded law and regulation with the faster-than-expected reality of robotic rides: Pittsburgh,&nbsp;<a href="http://www.ncsl.org/research/transportation/autonomous-vehicles-legislation.aspx">like 41 other states and the federal government</a>, lacks any regulation governing the operation of driverless vehicles.</p>

<p>In the absence of a cohesive local, state and federal regulatory framework, serious questions remain unanswered on driverless ride-sharing, including passenger safety and insurance liability and interstate travel.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-pullquote alignleft"><blockquote><p>Not since the early proliferation of motor vehicles so dramatically outpaced safety regulations in the 19th century has American transportation jumped so far forward so fast.</p></blockquote></figure>
<p>Of course, it&#8217;s not entirely accurate to call Uber&#8217;s Pittsburgh trial balloon strictly driverless &mdash; at least not yet: Each vehicle will be staffed by a specially trained safety driver or engineer. The eventual goal is to eliminate drivers (and all the accoutrements used in the normal operation of a vehicle) entirely. And it&#8217;s in that truly driverless moonshot where the questions of safety and liability abound.</p>

<p>But where there&#8217;s regulatory uncertainty, there&#8217;s opportunity. And if anyone can thrive in that environment, it&#8217;s Uber, which has proven uncommonly adept at navigating public policy thickets when it began chafing entrenched taxi services across the country.</p>

<p>The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, which plots the federal&nbsp; government&#8217;s motor vehicle regulations, is&nbsp;<a href="http://www.digitaltrends.com/cars/nhtsa-autonomous-vehicle-guidelines/">soon expected to issue guidance</a>&nbsp;on autonomous vehicles. Unlike its first experiment in ride-sharing &mdash; that is, on-demand hailing &mdash; Uber has the potential to shape public policy in utero rather than decades after adoption.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-pullquote alignleft"><blockquote><p>What awaits Uber and other driverless pioneers is a daunting public policy campaign to align existing, outmoded law and regulation with the faster-than-expected reality of robotic rides.</p></blockquote></figure>
<p>Public policy isn&#8217;t made in a vacuum, though. If coming regulation actually enables (rather than stifles) autonomous vehicles, it&#8217;s entirely possible that the nature of urban life will be radically overhauled.</p>

<p>Consider: Every car-sharing vehicle, according to&nbsp;<a href="http://tsrc.berkeley.edu/vehicleholdings">a study by the University of California at Berkeley</a>, removes between nine and 13 vehicles from the road. But imagine now if that same car-sharing vehicle ran in constant operation. Parking decks would vanish as urban green spaces sprouted. City streets would unclog as bike routes swelled.</p>

<p>By the most audacious estimates, American roadways are at least four years from truly driverless cars; more conservative researchers believe this&nbsp;Jetsons-like future lies as many as 18 years out. But even the conservative estimate will miscarry if technologists and regulators don&#8217;t come to the negotiating table in earnest.</p>

<p>The public policy challenge &mdash; how to provide a wide berth for testing and deployment while still ensuring rider, motorist and pedestrian safety &mdash; is not an insignificant one. And yet it&#8217;s not insurmountable. How effectively Uber influences the contouring of driverless regulation will define not only transportation in the 21st century, but also the nature of modern cities.</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/eric-tanenblatt-1820992"><em>Eric&nbsp;Tanenblatt</em></a><em>&nbsp;leads the public policy practice at the global law firm </em><a href="http://www.dentons.com/en.aspx"><em>Dentons</em></a><em>. He previously served in the administrations of President George H.W. Bush and President George W. Bush, as chief of staff to Governor Sonny Perdue, R-GA, and as a senior adviser to late U.S. Senator Paul Coverdell, R-GA. He often writes on the intersection of regulation and innovation. Reach him </em><a href="https://twitter.com/ericjtanenblatt"><em>@ericjtanenblatt</em></a><em>.</em></p>

<p><small><em>This article originally appeared on Recode.net.</em></small></p>
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