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	<title type="text">Rachel Cohen | Vox</title>
	<subtitle type="text">Our world has too much noise and too little context. Vox helps you understand what matters.</subtitle>

	<updated>2026-03-17T21:24:45+00:00</updated>

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		<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[The fight over transgender rights in America has entered a new phase]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/482762/transgender-lgbtq-trans-rights-kansas-health-care-bathroom-bans-sports" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=482762</id>
			<updated>2026-03-17T17:24:45-04:00</updated>
			<published>2026-03-17T06:00:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="LGBTQ" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Life" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Social Policy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[For much of the past eight years, the political fight over transgender rights in America has centered on two questions: whether trans women and girls should play on sports teams matching their gender identity, and whether minors should have access to gender-related medical treatment.&#160; Those debates aren’t over, but the policy and legal fights are [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="Two people, one wearing a long-sleeved blue shirt, one with a short-sleeved periwinkle shirt and a small tattoo, hold hands, with a transgender pride flag visible in the background" data-caption="People march through Manhattan on Trans Day of Visibility on March 31, 2025, in New York City. | Spencer Platt/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Spencer Platt/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2026/03/gettyimages-2207857362.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	People march through Manhattan on Trans Day of Visibility on March 31, 2025, in New York City. | Spencer Platt/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p class="has-text-align-none">For much of the past eight years, the political fight over transgender rights in America has centered on two questions: whether trans women and girls should play on sports teams matching their gender identity, and whether minors should have access to gender-related medical treatment.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Those debates aren’t over, but the policy and legal fights are expanding fast — and the leaders who should be responding to the new fights still haven&#8217;t figured out how to talk about the old ones.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In the past two months alone, Kansas became the first state to <a href="https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article314844596.html">retroactively invalidate the driver’s licenses</a> of transgender residents, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/kansas-revoked-drivers-licenses-1700-transgender-residents-rcna262120">affecting some 1,700 people</a>. Idaho <a href="https://idahocapitalsun.com/2026/02/06/idaho-republican-lawmakers-bring-bills-to-criminalize-using-bathrooms-of-other-genders/">advanced bills</a> expanding the state’s bathroom bans beyond schools to government buildings and private businesses, introducing criminal penalties for the first time and allowing citizens to sue businesses that permit trans people to use restrooms matching their gender identity. Utah began weighing whether to remove trans people <a href="https://utahnewsdispatch.com/2026/01/16/utah-anti-transgender-bill-harmful-lgbtq-advocates-say/">from the state’s anti-discrimination protections</a>, and Oklahoma is considering extending its ban on <a href="https://oklahomavoice.com/briefs/house-advances-bill-to-prevent-public-funds-from-being-used-for-adult-minor-gender-affirming-care/">gender-related medical care to include adults</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight">
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How states are restricting trans rights — even for adults</h2>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Iowa<strong> </strong>removed protections for gender identity from state civil rights law in 2025.</li>



<li>Kansas passed a law in 2026 including, among other provisions, that driver’s licenses and birth certificates for transgender people be reissued to match their biological sex at birth.</li>



<li>West Virginia passed legislation in 2025 defining “male” and “female” under state law, requiring people to use facilities at state-owned buildings that match their biological sex.</li>



<li>Wyoming passed similar restrictions in 2025 governing public buildings, as did Arkansas and Texas.</li>



<li>At least nine states have proposed measures dealing with trans issues on the ballot in this fall’s elections, most dealing with school sports or youth gender medicine.</li>
</ul>
</div>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The Supreme Court has also been moving aggressively. Earlier this month, the Court <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25a810_b97d.pdf">effectively ordered</a> California public schools to inform parents when their children are transitioning at school, even if the students want to keep their gender identity private. (My colleague Ian Milhiser <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/481401/supreme-court-mirabelli-bonta-sauron-wins">called this</a> “one of the most consequential constitutional decisions the Roberts Court has ever handed down.”)&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The justices <a href="https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/06/court-upholds-tennessees-ban-on-certain-medical-treatments-for-transgender-minors/">also upheld Tennessee’s ban</a> on youth gender medicine and are <a href="https://constitutioncenter.org/blog/unpacking-the-transgender-athletes-case-at-the-supreme-court">preparing to rule on bans</a> on trans athletes this summer. Court watchers widely expect the sports restrictions to be upheld. At the federal level, the Trump administration restricted transgender people from updating <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/399502/transgender-passports-lgbtq-trump-marco-rubio-travel-gender">the sex on their passports</a> in early 2025, and the Supreme Court <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25a319_i4dj.pdf">allowed enforcement of that policy</a> late last year.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Meanwhile, the sports fight is headed to the ballot box. Voters in Washington state <a href="https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/wa-voters-to-see-ballot-initiative-aimed-at-trans-girls-in-sports/">will decide in November</a> whether to ban transgender girls from girls’ school sports, while similar measures are moving through the ballot qualification process <a href="https://www.mainepublic.org/politics/2026-02-03/group-submits-signatures-for-ballot-question-to-ban-transgender-athletes-in-girls-sports">in Maine</a>, <a href="https://coloradonewsline.com/briefs/signatures-anti-trans-colorado-ballot-measures/">Colorado</a> and <a href="https://apnews.com/article/joe-lombardo-nevada-jason-woodbury-bradley-schrager-gender-in-sports-676e21d62d96b48435f7d3f5187523f2">Nevada</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The fight over transgender rights in America has entered a new and more dangerous phase. Roughly <a href="https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/wp-content/uploads/Trans-Pop-Update-Aug-2025.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com">1 percent</a> of Americans identify as transgender — and their rights to identify themselves, access medical care, and move through public life are being narrowed and, in some cases, eliminated. The legal tools being used to do this could eventually affect far more people, reshaping how the government draws lines based on sex for everyone. And the leaders who should be responding can’t agree on what to do about it, in part because they don’t agree on how we got here.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Two theories of the case</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Ask Democrats how the fight over trans rights got to this point and you’ll get two very different answers, though they start from the same place. Transgender Americans made significant gains through the 2010s, with growing public visibility, expanding legal protections, and a cultural shift toward acceptance so broad that Joe Biden called transgender rights “the civil rights issue of our time” <a href="https://www.politico.com/blogs/politico44/2012/10/biden-says-transgender-discrimination-civil-rights-issue-of-our-time-147761">as early as 2012</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But a contingent of right-wing social conservatives was <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/16/us/politics/transgender-conservative-campaign.html">searching for a new galvanizing cause</a> after badly losing the fight against same-sex marriage, and trans rights became the target. Organizations like the Alliance Defending Freedom, a conservative Christian legal organization, provided legal counsel to state lawmakers, and conservatives discovered that bans on trans girls in school sports — framed around “parents’ rights” — were a uniquely effective wedge. From there, the playbook expanded to youth medicine and beyond.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The debate now is whether Democrats’ response, or lack of one from roughly 2021 onward, made it easier for those activists to succeed. This isn&#8217;t just a fight among political insiders. How Democrats choose to engage with what’s happening in state legislatures and at the Supreme Court could shape the legal and political landscape for transgender Americans for a generation.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In practice, Democrats have mostly tried to avoid the subject over the last five years. The party has broadly supported anti-discrimination protections for transgender people and opposed the most aggressive Republican legislation, but on the specific questions that dominated the political debate, most Democrats declined to stake out clear positions. The Biden administration proposed a Title IX rule in 2023 that would have rejected blanket bans but allowed schools to restrict trans athletes’ participation in some cases — a genuine middle-ground stance — but <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/385549/trans-sports-transgender-biden-harris-democrats-titleix">the president never spoke about the rule publicly</a>. Kamala Harris’s campaign didn’t raise transgender rights either, even as Republicans made them a centerpiece of their attacks against her.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Today one side — mostly moderate Democrats and those who believe the party needs to meet voters where they are on culturally contested issues — says the Democrats’ refusal over the last half-decade to take a clear stand on trans athletes and youth gender medicine has made it far easier for conservatives to paint the party as extreme and push through the kinds of restrictions aimed at excluding trans people more broadly from public life. These critics blame progressives, party strategists, and advocacy groups for creating an environment hostile to compromise.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In their view, Democrats could have said, for instance, that trans girls shouldn’t compete against other girls in highly competitive sports where physical advantages matter, like high school track. But often fearing backlash, leaders deflected or disputed <a href="https://www.justice.gov/crt/case-document/file/1405541/dl?inline">evidence</a> of <a href="https://bjsm.bmj.com/content/55/11/577">meaningful</a> <a href="https://bjsm.bmj.com/content/55/15/865">athletic advantages</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“The standard political communications wisdom is, ‘Explaining is losing, so just say as little as possible and pivot to a better topic,’” said John Neffinger, a Democratic strategist who’s advising candidates ahead of the 2026 midterms. “In 2024, Republicans recognized Democrats&#8217; strategy — ‘Oh, they won&#8217;t give a straight answer here no matter what’ — so they <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-politics-and-policy/rep-elect-sarah-mcbride-ready-push-back-second-trump-administration-rcna178980">spent $200 million</a> calling those questions over and over so everyone could see us squirm.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Lanae Erickson, senior vice president for social policy at Third Way, a centrist think tank, put it more bluntly. “The silence killed us,” she told me. “It created this political narrative that trans issues were poisonous for Democrats, that we were out of step with public opinion — and that eroded a lot of support among moderate Democrats.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The result, she said, is that Republicans are now so unified on trans issues that <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/12/17/marjorie-taylor-greene-trans-care-ban/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">even a proposal to jail parents for 10 years</a> for allowing their children to receive gender-affirming care barely draws dissent within the party — something she said would have been unthinkable a few years ago.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The other camp, with more progressive Democrats and civil rights organizations, sees the situation very differently. For them, the problem isn’t that Democrats failed to stake out a middle ground on youth gender medicine or trans women swimming at the college level — it’s that there is no middle ground to hold. Every political concession, every media story scrutinizing contested science or public opinion, simply becomes grounds for the next escalation. And treating these as attacks on trans people specifically, rather than as part of a broader assault on individual autonomy that includes reproductive and LGBTQ freedom, is missing the forest for the trees.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Gillian Branstetter, a communications strategist at the American Civil Liberties Union, argues that the issues many Democrats want to treat as separate — sports, youth medicine, bathrooms, identity documents — are legally and politically interconnected, and the idea that you could sacrifice rights in one area to protect them in another reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of discrimination law and what’s at stake.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Organizations like the Alliance Defending Freedom, she added, have been working backward from a broader goal of <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/10/09/alliance-defending-freedoms-legal-crusade?utm_source=chatgpt.com">weakening the legal standard for sex discrimination</a> — making it easier to treat men and women differently — and trans cases should be understood as one form of leverage to get there. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Branstetter, who is transgender, put it in personal terms. “I have watched these attacks on trans people grow more and more extreme year after year,” she said. “The moment you’re adopting your opposition’s framing, you&#8217;re already conceding defeat. Instead of showing me what you’ll give up, tell me what you’ll defend.”</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why the political fight is the legal fight</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">This all might seem like an inside-the-Beltway debate with little to say about the realities of being transgender in America today. But the Democratic messaging dispute is connected to real-world policy changes affecting trans people’s lives.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The legal trajectory of trans rights is not predetermined. Despite the Supreme Court’s recent rulings, legal scholars I spoke with stressed the Court always has choices about how far to interpret past decisions.&nbsp;Jessica Clarke, a law professor at USC who <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/23/23-477/323788/20240830133926768_Skrmetti%20Amicus%20Brief%208-30-24%20Final.pdf">has filed</a> <a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/24/24-43/384866/20251117175749449_24-38%20%2024-43%20Brief%20of%20Constitutional%20Law%20Professors.pdf">amicus briefs</a> in both the youth medicine and athlete ban cases, warned that a seemingly moderate ruling on sports could still do “significant damage” to equal protection law far beyond transgender rights.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But other approaches, she told me, could allow the Court to treat sports as a “one-off” — a narrow ruling without implications for identity documents, employment, healthcare, or public accommodations.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">There is early evidence that containment is possible. Clarke noted that many lower courts have interpreted last year’s <em>United States v. Skrmetti</em> decision, which <a href="https://www.vox.com/scotus/417281/supreme-court-skremett-transgender-tennessee-health">upheld Tennessee’s youth medicine ban</a>, narrowly, applying it only to state-level bans on gender-affirming care for minors and not extending it to other areas of law affecting trans people. The dominoes, in other words, have not fallen.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And whether they fall may depend less on legal doctrine than on politics. The Court does not operate in a vacuum. When state legislatures pass increasingly restrictive laws and face little political backlash, it signals to the judiciary that there is public appetite for going further. If midterm ballot initiatives restricting trans rights pass in blue states, it could lend conservative activists more bipartisan legitimacy. And when one political party refuses to articulate a clear position, the silence can look like agreement.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Public opinion <a href="https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-trans-rights-backlash-is-real">has shifted, too</a>. Over 60 percent of voters now support requiring trans athletes to compete by “biological sex,” 52 percent support bathroom restrictions, and even Democrats are evenly split on sports, a major <a href="https://prri.org/research/americans-differ-on-participation-of-male-female-transgender-students-in-team-sports/#:~:text=Competitive%20Sports%20Viewed%20as%20Equally,and%2082%25%2C%20respectively).">reversal</a> from just a few years ago.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">This is the environment Branstetter is warning about. If these issues can’t be siloed, then concessions in one area won’t hold the line in others. Although legal scholars I spoke with say discrimination law has more flexibility than her framing suggests, Branstetter’s political logic is harder to dismiss.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Erickson, of Third Way, warns about the opposite problem. If Democrats had spent the last eight years articulating a clearer position on sports and youth medicine,&nbsp;the political environment around these court cases could look quite different — and state legislatures might think twice about how far they could push.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">There is precedent for the Court pulling its punches when the political environment seems inhospitable. The justices have <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/2023/4/21/23686788/supreme-court-abortion-pill-ruling-mifepristone-fda-alliance-hippocratic-medicine">had multiple</a> <a href="https://www.vox.com/scotus/355175/supreme-court-mifepristone-abortion-alliiance-hippocratic-medicine-fda">opportunities</a> to restrict mifepristone since <em>Roe</em>’s overturn and have declined each time, in part because the politics of abortion access have shifted sharply in favor of access. No equivalent political cost has materialized on trans rights, and the fight has already moved into territory neither camp has a strategy for.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What comes next</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">There are signs the Democratic Party is beginning to change its tune.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In Virginia’s 2025 gubernatorial race, Abigail Spanberger faced relentless attacks on trans issues — by one estimate, her opponent spent <a href="https://newrepublic.com/article/202818/election-anti-trans-ads-republicans-lost-virginia">57 percent</a> of their advertising budget on anti-transgender ads. Rather than dodge, though, Spanberger’s campaign spent $6 million responding to them, running segments that leaned on her credibility as a mom with daughters in Virginia public schools, acknowledged concerns about safety, and positioned her as someone who stands for all Virginians. It wasn’t a detailed policy rebuttal so much as a refusal to let the attacks define her.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">She won by a large margin, and her more proactive approach is now being held up as a model by campaign consultants and even major LGBTQ rights organizations like the Human Rights Campaign, which <a href="https://hrc-prod-requests.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/files/documents/OneYearOUT-rev6.pdf">released a messaging playbook for 2026 candidates</a> based in part on Spanberger’s example. “The fatal flaw that we made was that many candidates didn’t respond” to attacks, HRC’s president, Kelley Robinson, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/19/you-cannot-let-there-be-vacuum-trans-rights-dems-prepare-2026/">told the Washington Post.</a></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Meanwhile, potential 2028 presidential contenders like&nbsp;Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg are staking out positions on trans athletes they would have steered clear of two years ago, and Democratic strategists say candidates are increasingly being told they need to engage rather than change the subject.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But in many ways, this is all responding to earlier battles, while the legal, political, and even scientific ground continues to shift.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The Trump administration’s day-one executive order directed federal agencies to recognize only two sexes and bar gender self-identification on federal documents, a sweeping federal policy that set the tone for what followed in state legislatures.&nbsp; The American Society of Plastic Surgeons <a href="https://www.plasticsurgery.org/documents/health-policy/positions/2026-gender-surgery-children-adolescents.pdf">advised last month against</a> gender-related surgeries for minors, and the American Medical Association <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/04/health/gender-surgery-minors-ama.html">agreed days later</a> that such procedures should generally be deferred to adulthood — moves that followed a <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/03/health/gender-surgery-malpractice-varian.html">$2 million jury verdict</a> in the first successful malpractice case involving a gender transition. (The ASPS statement has come under fire from an internal task force that had been reviewing adolescent surgery guidelines, saying <a href="https://benryan.substack.com/p/tensions-flare-within-plastic-surgery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">they were iced out</a> of the board&#8217;s decision, and the AMA <a href="https://www.ama-assn.org/health-care-advocacy/advocacy-update/feb-20-2026-national-advocacy-update#" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">has continued to push back</a> on federal proposals that would restrict doctors&#8217; ability to provide gender affirming care to youth and adults.)</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The ballot initiatives this fall may force a larger reckoning that Democratic hesitancy has so far delayed. Erickson compared the referendums to Proposition 8, the 2008 California ballot measure that banned same-sex marriage, which passed the same night Barack Obama won the presidency. The result shocked the political establishment, which had assumed public opinion was more progressive on gay rights than it turned out to be.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Meanwhile, social conservatives are full speed ahead. When I asked whether the goal of the current wave of legislation is to establish in law that transgender identity does not exist, Matt Sharp of the Alliance Defending Freedom declined to answer. He also declined to address questions we posed about the Kansas license revocations and the expansion of restrictions to adult trans people. He responded only with a statement that American laws should “reflect the biological truth that every person is created female or male.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Both camps agree Democrats got it wrong, but they can’t agree on what to say instead. Republicans and the courts, though, aren’t waiting for them to figure it out.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none"><strong><em>Clarification, March 17, 9:30 am ET: </em></strong><em>This story has been updated to include more information about the ASPS and AMA positions on gender transition surgery.</em></p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[What happens when a city takes women’s unpaid work seriously?]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/469634/care-blocks-child-care-women-caregiving-elder-care-families" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=469634</id>
			<updated>2026-01-02T06:14:07-05:00</updated>
			<published>2026-01-02T06:14:00-05:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Social Policy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[This story was originally published in The Highlight, Vox’s member-exclusive magazine. To get early access to member-exclusive stories every month, join the Vox Membership program today. In Bogotá’s historic downtown, a modest government building sits in the shadow of a gilded statue of Simón Bolívar, the 19th-century liberator who freed much of South America from Spanish rule. [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="A woman and her two adult sons sit close to one another on a couch covered with blankets. Two purple hand prints decorate the bright pink wall behind them." data-caption="Blanca Liliana Rodríguez and her sons, Zoran Andrey Vargas and Sergio Paolo Vargas Granada." data-portal-copyright="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita048.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	Blanca Liliana Rodríguez and her sons, Zoran Andrey Vargas and Sergio Paolo Vargas Granada.	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p class="has-text-align-none"><em>This story was originally published in </em><a href="https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/471072/welcome-to-the-december-issue-of-the-highlight"><em>The Highlight</em></a><em>, Vox’s member-exclusive magazine. To get early access to member-exclusive stories every month, </em><a href="https://www.vox.com/support-membership?itm_campaign=article-header-Q42024&amp;itm_medium=site&amp;itm_source=in-article"><em>join the Vox Membership program today</em></a><em>.</em></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In Bogotá’s historic downtown, a modest government building sits in the shadow of a gilded statue of Simón Bolívar, the 19th-century liberator who freed much of South America from Spanish rule. Inside, on the fourth floor, a<em> </em>manzana del cuidado, or care block, pulses with a different kind of revolution.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">On a bright October morning, a circle of small children sat around a turquoise table, wide-eyed as their teacher read a Halloween story. In another room, a group of mothers and grandmothers bent over glass jars and wicks, learning to turn used containers into candles during a recycling workshop led by an official from the city’s environmental division. In the main hall, a half-dozen women in sneakers and leggings followed an instructor’s aerobics routine, laughing as they stretched and lunged.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita005.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="A young woman reads a story to six children of various ages at a small turquoise table in a classroom" title="A young woman reads a story to six children of various ages at a small turquoise table in a classroom" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Elizabeth Arias reads to a table of kids." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">This space is one of 25 neighborhood hubs that have opened across Colombia’s capital since 2020, all part of an ambitious citywide effort to tackle “time poverty” — the lack of time for anything beyond the crushing, invisible burden of unpaid care work that falls overwhelmingly on women.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In Bogotá, a city of 8 million people, nearly 4 million women do some form of unpaid care work, and about <a href="https://www.citieschange.org/resources/caring-cities-bogota/">1.2 million</a> dedicate most of their time to it, meaning 10 hours a day or more. Many commute for hours to reach paid care jobs, only to return home and do more unpaid care.&nbsp;</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight">
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Key takeaways</h2>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Women in Bogotá provide over 35 billion hours of unpaid care work annually — totaling more than one-fifth of Colombia&#8217;s GDP.<br></li>



<li>Partly to address this, Bogotá is pioneering &#8220;care blocks,&#8221; neighborhood hubs where women can access free laundry, legal aid, job training, mental health services, and more while their children or elderly relatives receive care on site. The city has opened 25 care blocks since 2020.<br></li>



<li>The model is spreading globally. A US city is expected to join in 2026.</li>
</ul>
</div>

<p class="has-text-align-none">At a care block, a woman can access a variety of services while the person she cares for is looked after by teachers and staff nearby. She can hand off her laundry to an attendant, finish her schooling, meet with a lawyer, consult a psychologist, or learn job skills. The scope of activities is not limited to errands, either: She can also read a novel, catch up with friends, or just get some rest. And the system extends beyond the physical blocks — mobile buses bring comprehensive services to rural areas, and an at-home program targets caregivers who support those with severe disabilities and therefore cannot leave their houses.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Bogotá is trying to do something tricky: elevate both care work and caregivers, while also saying, “You shouldn’t have to be doing this so much — you deserve a full life beyond caring for kids, for aging relatives, for your partner.”&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita080.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a view of Bogotá, Colombia from an outdoor seating area attached to a large multi-use building" title="a view of Bogotá, Colombia from an outdoor seating area attached to a large multi-use building" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="A multiuse building that includes a care block and laundromat for caregivers." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">Understanding how Bogotá built its care system — and the challenges it faces — offers a template for other cities. And indeed, what started as a local experiment is now gaining traction internationally. Freetown, the capital of Sierra Leone, expects to open its first care block by this year’s end. Guadalajara in Mexico approved funding for several “<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qdwuQNYsxCA">care communities</a>” earlier this summer, and care blocks are already operating in <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-10-15/mexico-city-s-utopias-offer-yoga-and-music-for-all-in-iztapalapa-neighborhood">Mexico City</a> and <a href="https://www.munistgo.cl/casa-igualdad-la-pionera-iniciativa-que-pone-en-el-centro-los-cuidados-y-a-las-personas-cuidadoras/?utm_source=chatgpt.com">Santiago</a>, Chile. Activists and public health officials in England are trying to adapt the model, and a funder is even seeking to pilot care blocks in an American city in 2026.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The novel idea is putting caregivers — not just care recipients — at the center of policy, says Ai-jen Poo, <a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2020/3/7/21163193/international-womens-day-2020">a leading voice</a> in the US care work movement and president of the National Domestic Workers Alliance. Poo traveled to Bogotá in 2023 to learn more and said the program “blew her mind.” Before the pandemic, she added, most people didn’t identify as caregivers per se — even if they saw themselves as moms, parents, children.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“What could be the next big breakthrough is cities putting the idea of a caregiver and intergenerational care at the center of how you design access to services,” Poo said. “That’s the future.”</p>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />

<p class="has-drop-cap has-text-align-none">Behind Bogotá’s care revolution is a women&#8217;s movement with teeth.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In 2010, Colombia became the first country <a href="https://www.funcionpublica.gov.co/eva/gestornormativo/norma.php?i=40764">to legally require</a> that its government quantify how much unpaid work was being done and by whom. The initial time-use survey, conducted in 2012, found that caregivers provided more than 35 billion hours of labor each year, amounting to <a href="https://www.cepal.org/sites/default/files/presentations/colombia-dane-care-economy-satellite-account-colombia.pdf">more than one-fifth</a> of the country’s GDP. Women did <a href="https://www.dane.gov.co/index.php/component/content/article/2648-enut-2012-2013?Itemid=109&amp;highlight=WyJ0b3JubyIsInR1cm5vIiwidHVlcyIsInNlIl0%3D">80 percent</a> of that work.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The political will to do something about those statistics started to build. One movement bolstering women in the city was <a href="https://yjil.yale.edu/posts/2025-01-26-mothers-of-the-disappeared-in-latin-america-and-the-impact-of-maternal-activism-in">the Mothers of False Positives</a>, led by women whose sons had been killed by the military in the mid-2000s; the military then falsely presented these men as guerrilla fighters to inflate its own body counts. The mothers transformed their grief into a public reckoning, marching, testifying, and demanding justice — reframing the work of motherhood itself as a form of political resistance.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Bogotá’s social landscape made space for that kind of organizing. Decades of civil war and displacement had reshaped the city, creating an openness to more fluid household structures. Extended families are common, with grandmothers, aunts, and sisters raising children together, often out of necessity. Single mothers aren’t whispered about as moral failures like they sometimes are in the US.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita001.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a semi-aerial view of Bogotá, Colombia" title="a semi-aerial view of Bogotá, Colombia" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Iglesia San Ignacio (Church of Saint Ignatius) in the historic La Candelaria district of Bogotá, Colombia. " data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">All these factors paved the way for Claudia López’s 2019 mayoral campaign. López had already built a reputation as an anti-corruption crusader who unapologetically centered gender equity. The then-49-year-old ran as an openly gay woman in a Catholic country, aiming to become both Bogotá’s first female and its first LGBTQ mayor — and won with 35 percent of the vote in a tight four-way race.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“The women’s vote was crucial in setting the stage for this,” Ai-jen Poo recalled. “And they were ready with their economic priorities and gave the mayor a mandate, if not the actual solution.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Care blocks, the signature policy of López’s administration, are built around the “<a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/315999890_Recognize_Reduce_and_Redistribute_Unpaid_Care_Work_How_to_Close_the_Gender_Gap">3 Rs</a>”: recognize, redistribute, and reduce. <em>Recognize</em> that care work is real work that sustains society. <em>Redistribute</em> it — not just between women and men, but to care recipients when able, and to the state, employers, and communities. And <em>reduce</em> the overall burden so individual caregivers aren’t consumed by it.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita023.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a young woman is reading a book in a classroom in front of children’s in-progress embroidery projects. A large bookshelf is just behind her." title="a young woman is reading a book in a classroom in front of children’s in-progress embroidery projects. A large bookshelf is just behind her." data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Ana Maryory Franco, a beneficiary at the Santa Fé Care Block’s Reading Hall." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">López launched this District of Care System in 2020 through an executive decree, which gave her the authority to create the programs but also meant any future mayor could undo them just as easily. The initiative was allocated <a href="https://bogota.gov.co/en/node/32660">5.2 trillion pesos</a> (about $1.3 billion) in the city’s 2020–’24 development plan — much of it from reallocating existing service budgets and cost savings from turning single-use public facilities into new multi-purpose hubs. López’s administration later helped <a href="https://www.alcaldiabogota.gov.co/sisjur/normas/Norma1.jsp?i=139558">pass a law</a> through the city council requiring different agencies to fund and run the care system. Unlike a decree, the law couldn’t be undone by a future mayor alone.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Colombia bars mayors from running for consecutive reelection, so as López’s term neared its end, no one knew whether the next leader would continue her signature policy.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Her successor, Carlos Fernando Galán, couldn’t have been more different. The son of Luis Carlos Galán — a presidential candidate assassinated in 1989 for confronting narco-politics and corruption — the younger Galán billed himself as a centrist technocrat focused on fiscal responsibility and data-driven governance. In 2023, he won on a platform of public safety and restoring trust in government, far from López’s more liberal and feminist message.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita076.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a man sits in partial darkness, looking toward an open window" title="a man sits in partial darkness, looking toward an open window" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Carlos Fernando Galán, mayor of Bogotá, Colombia." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">Galán could have pushed to end the care blocks. But the system had momentum, having earned international attention from the United Nations, funding from Bloomberg Philanthropies for its at-home assistance component, and praise from leaders around the world. All this made it easy for Galán to ride the goodwill and claim credit for the accolades his city kept earning for running programs in spaces most people would never expect.</p>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />

<p class="has-drop-cap has-text-align-none">For 14 years, El Castillo was one of Bogotá’s most notorious brothels — a place where businessmen, mobsters, and foreign clients paid for access to its VIP floors. Its ties to drug trafficking networks made it the target of a 2017 raid, after which the building sat abandoned for three years.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In 2020, the city converted the facility into the <a href="https://www.idartes.gov.co/es/lineas-estrategicas/arte-memoria-sin-fronteras/castillo-de-las-artes">Castillo de las Artes</a> — the Castle of the Arts — a cultural hub and care block.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Lebeb Infante, the care block’s director, was matter-of-fact about Castillo’s history and unapologetic about its current clients. “This neighborhood has the highest concentration of sex workers in the locality,” she said. “Many of them are caregivers — they have children, they’re supporting families. We also have a huge migrant population, people fleeing violence in Venezuela and rural Colombia. So the services here have to work differently.”</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita016.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="an instructor leads a line of six children through the lobby of a care block building" title="an instructor leads a line of six children through the lobby of a care block building" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Elizabeth Arias and her class walk through the lobby of the Santa Fé Care Block." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">Offerings must account not only for gender, but for immigration status, which means helping people navigate bureaucracy when they don’t have papers or IDs and need to get certified for work or enroll in school. This particular block has two laundromats instead of one, plus a free clothing closet. “If someone needs pants to go to a job interview, we give them pants,” Infante said.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">El Castillo<strong> </strong>is also home to an<em> </em>Arte de Cuidarte, or Art of Care center — the child care component that exists in every care block across the city.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">On the day I visited, children’s voices rang out from behind an arched doorway. Streamers in purple and green — Halloween decorations — hung from the ceiling. Like any preschool classroom, it was bright and chaotic, with walls covered in artwork and educational posters.</p>

<figure class="wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-2 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex"><img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita007.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a kid-crafted paper bat painted black and purple" title="a kid-crafted paper bat painted black and purple" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Halloween decorations hang from the ceiling at an Art of Care center." data-portal-copyright="" />

<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita009.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Art of Care programs serve kids from 11 months to 11 years old." data-portal-copyright="" /></figure>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Art of Care programs serve a wider age range than traditional day care, welcoming children from 11 months to 11 years old. Bogotá already has a robust public day care system: Free centers have existed since 1968, managed by the national child welfare agency and the city’s social integration office. These care block programs have a more specific purpose: free up time for caregivers so they can prioritize services, both for long-term goals and their immediate needs.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Parents don’t just drop off their children and leave to run errands all across the city. Many of the errands can be completed right there on-site. One of the key challenges for caregivers dealing with “time poverty” is finding space in their day for anything else — their own health concerns or new credentials that could put them on a more secure financial footing. The Art of Care tries to eliminate some of that friction.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita058.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="A woman looking off to the side" title="A woman looking off to the side" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Juliana Martínez Londoño, the deputy secretary of Bogotá’s Women’s Secretariat." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">Juliana Martínez Londoño, the deputy secretary of Bogotá’s Women’s Secretariat, emphasized that the Art of Care was not meant to compete with the city’s existing day care infrastructure.“But the Art of Care is much more flexible,” she said. “It can be mobile, it can adapt to different schedules, it can go where caregivers are.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">An even more ambitious vision for the future of child care comes from Camila Gómez, the director of Bogotá’s citywide care initiative. She imagines 24-hour mobile child care centers for women who work night shifts, like bus drivers or recyclers who sort trash before dawn. The service could be more widely available, coming to a university student on exam day, or an employee whose company would pay for the service and get a tax break in return. “The goal is to not limit the Art of Care to people who are taking services at the care block,” Gómez said. “We want to make it for anybody who needs it.”</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita095.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="A woman with curly red hair smiling" title="A woman with curly red hair smiling" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Camila Gómez, the director of Bogotá’s citywide care initiative." data-portal-copyright="" />
<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />

<p class="has-drop-cap has-text-align-none">My trip overlapped with a citywide graduation ceremony for women who had <a href="https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZjhhZDcyM2EtOGFhMi00Y2EwLTgyNGMtZTg5MDBkZDZlMjllIiwidCI6ImNiYzJjMzgxLTJmMmUtNGQ5My05MWQxLTUwNmM5MzE2YWNlNyIsImMiOjR9">completed month-long trainings</a> in topics such as digital literacy, entrepreneurship, or professional caregiving.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The auditorium was packed with caregivers in purple graduation gowns and caps. Some had brought their children, who squirmed in seats or played quietly in the aisles. Others had wanted to come but couldn’t make it work, still home caring for someone who needed them.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">One hundred and twenty-seven women were graduating that day. Many were over 65. For some, this was the first time they’d ever graduated from anything. The crowd sang along to the city’s anthem — “<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w6LcLlW0f-w">Bogotá! Bogotá! Bogotá!</a>” — and women smiled proudly as they walked across the stage to receive their certificates.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita059.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="A crowd of women attending a graduation ceremony, all wearing purple caps and gowns" title="A crowd of women attending a graduation ceremony, all wearing purple caps and gowns" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Maria Diana Vergel Ramirez, Gladys Cecilia Bastidas Chavarro, Blanca Lilia Aguirre Morales, and Diana Janneth Diaz Rugeles all graduating." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">The mayor and many of his high-ranking staff had come to congratulate the women. “You have to bet on their autonomy,” Laura Tami, the city’s women’s secretariat, said from the stage. Galán also laid out the administration’s strategy: freeing more women from violence, including economic violence, by giving them the tools to become more independent. It was a notably feminist message from a mayor who had run as a centrist technocrat.</p>

<figure class="wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-2 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-2 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex"><img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita069-1.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,5.5555555555556,100,88.888888888889" alt="a woman smiles in a purple graduation cap and gown" title="a woman smiles in a purple graduation cap and gown" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Maria Isabel Gonzalez Zuñiga at the graduation ceremony." data-portal-copyright="" />

<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita056.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a woman with pink hair and pink glasses smiles while wearing a purple graduation cap and gown" title="a woman with pink hair and pink glasses smiles while wearing a purple graduation cap and gown" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Nohora Esperanza Giglioli Bernal." data-portal-copyright="" /></figure>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita066.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a room filled with people in graduation gowns throwing their caps in the air and cheering" title="a room filled with people in graduation gowns throwing their caps in the air and cheering" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Laura Tami, the city’s women’s secretariat, and Carlos Fernando Galán, the mayor of Bogotá, cheer in front of the new graduates." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">The ceremony was moving, but it also raised real questions about scale. Over 3,500 women have completed these 30-day training programs, and the city hopes to increase that number to 9,000. This would be progress, but it’s a small fraction of Bogotá’s 1.2 million full-time caregivers.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Plus, my conversations at different care blocks surfaced the same challenge over and over. Many caregivers just didn’t know that these supports existed. And plenty who did didn’t trust them and didn’t believe Bogotá would actually keep them running, or that the services would actually be free. Some had shown up to care blocks looking for food and had been turned away empty-handed.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita038-1.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a gilded statue of Simón Bolívar in a Bogotá square with commuters walking past. Mountains and foliage surrounds" title="a gilded statue of Simón Bolívar in a Bogotá square with commuters walking past. Mountains and foliage surrounds" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="A gilded statue of Simón Bolívar in a Bogotá square." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">“We really do need to work harder on spreading the word [and] improving trust,” said Jason Díaz, the manager of the laundry services at the <a href="https://sistemadecuidado.gov.co/sancristobal/">San Cristóbal care block</a>. “There is a lot of stigma with government institutions.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And sometimes the services are just not enough. Blanca Liliana Rodríguez told me about the at-home assistance program her family had benefited from last year. Rodríguez cares for her two adult sons — one with physical disabilities, one with mental disabilities — plus her 77-year-old mother and her 82-year-old father-in-law, who lives elsewhere. She’d been cooking three meals a day for her father-in-law and delivering them to his house.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The psychologists who came through as part of the government program worked with her family for three months, teaching Rodríguez and her sons how to communicate better, and even leading couples therapy with one of her sons and his girlfriend. They helped her realize she was taking on far more than she needed to. Her sons started helping with cleaning and picking up medications and she joined a new WhatsApp group with 30 other caregivers in her neighborhood that remains active to this day.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But when the time-limited services ended, Rodríguez was on her own again, still overwhelmed by the sheer scope of what she was managing. “Three months is definitely not enough time for the at-home assistance program,” she told me.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita052.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="Blanca Liliana Rodríguez looking peering out a window" title="Blanca Liliana Rodríguez looking peering out a window" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Blanca Liliana Rodríguez." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">The city officials accompanying me on the visit immediately defended the short timeline. The program, they emphasized, was intentionally brief — designed to “install capacity” in caregivers and make them more resilient. It felt a bit like PR for a funding problem, not to mention condescending — these women were already extraordinarily resilient. They were just dealing with their own health and financial problems, their own exhaustion. Rodríguez said her memory had been getting worse.</p>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />

<p class="has-drop-cap has-text-align-none">At the beginning of this year,<strong> </strong>Bogotá stopped administering the at-home assistance program that had helped Rodríguez and her family. The Bloomberg funding that had supported the services had run out, and Galán’s team hadn’t figured out how to keep paying for it, let alone scale it up.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">An independent evaluation, conducted over the last two years, found that the at-home program had freed up over 18,000 hours for caregivers and reduced their daily unpaid care work by more than an hour. Half of the caregivers reported feeling less burdened, and nearly half of people with disabilities became more independent.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But it was expensive. So the city tested a cheaper model, moving some therapeutic services into the care blocks rather than delivering everything at home. The new hybrid model cut costs per participant by 57 percent while still reducing caregiver depression and anxiety.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">When I asked Galán’s administration whether the city would resume its at-home programming, Tami, the women’s secretary, responded that they planned to restart services next year. The city aims to run both models: full at-home assistance for caregivers who truly can’t leave their houses, and the lower-cost hybrid for others.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Meanwhile, Galán has continued expanding the less expensive parts of the care system. His team opened two new care blocks this year and added programming like nature therapy sessions run by the <a href="https://www.atlasobscura.com/places/bogota-botanical-garden">city’s botanical garden</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">James Anderson, who leads the government innovation program at Bloomberg Philanthropies, told me that he expects the care block idea to expand further around the world, and that the United Nations Development Programme has been working actively behind the scenes to help. At a 2024 Bloomberg event in Mexico City last year, more than 70 mayors toured the city’s own version of care blocks, known <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2024/dec/27/mexico-city-utopias-project-mayor">as Utopías</a>, and showed “incredible interest.”&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2_2025-vox-juanita096.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="A view of downtown Bogotá, Colombia with mountains in the distance" title="A view of downtown Bogotá, Colombia with mountains in the distance" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Bogotá, Colombia." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">Anderson thinks the model could follow the trajectory of climate action planning. Before 2005, he pointed out, mayors didn’t talk specifically about “climate”: They had water projects, sanitation projects, housing projects, all run by different agencies with no coordination. Twenty years later, every major city has a climate action plan that coordinates efforts across city hall. “That’s the trajectory that I imagine this issue will travel,” he said.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">That vision is already underway. CHANGE, the City Hub and Network for Gender Equity, is a global network of city governments led by former mayoral staffers in London and Los Angeles. They’ve been <a href="https://www.citieschange.org/the-care-system-in-bogota/">working to spread the Bogotá model</a>, developing an implementation guide and planning workshops for interested cities. Currently, they’re coordinating with a team in greater Manchester in England, have been helping Freetown in West Africa, and are actively involved in identifying a US city for a pilot next year, though conscious of the growing American backlash to anything associated with diversity, equity, and inclusion.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“If you can’t make the case for why this won’t make your dollar stretch, there’s no point in having the conversation,” said Leslie Crosdale, CHANGE’s co-executive director. “It’s an efficient system and makes your city more resilient.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Yvonne Aki-Sawyerr, the mayor of Freetown, credits both CHANGE and Claudia López with helping kick off the idea in her city. Their care block is expected to launch by mid-2026, and in the meantime, Freetown is opening three temporary spaces before the end of December to meet demand from women in the community. “What excited me was being able to give back an opportunity that many women lost — the opportunity for education, the opportunity to just get health care,” Aki-Sawyerr told me.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Poo, who leads the National Domestic Workers Alliance, pointed to a disconnect in the US, where cultural expectations assume families can manage needs independently, despite millions being nowhere close to affording enough care. “You have this mismatch between the infrastructure and the reality where the individual family is just bearing the brunt in an impossible situation,” she said. “I think there’s a use case in the US for care blocks. It probably won’t look exactly the same, but I do think that there’s a lot there.”</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/2025-vox-juanita086.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="a man wearing jeans and a bright red jacket stands in front of a row of washing machines" title="a man wearing jeans and a bright red jacket stands in front of a row of washing machines" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Jason Díaz manages laundry services at the San Cristóbal care block." data-portal-copyright="" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">Back in Bogotá, Jason Díaz, the 36-year-old manager of laundry services at the San Cristóbal care block, offered a glimpse of what that could look like in practice. He told me his job had made him more sensitive, more humane, teaching him to slow down more, and notice when someone needs help before they ask. “You learn to do it everywhere — at home, on the street,” he said. “It teaches you how to help people without expecting anything in return. The important thing is to be part of the solution.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">At the Castillo de las Artes care block, a sign hung on the wall in bright purple and green: “Cuidar no es ayudar, es corresponsabilidad.” To care is not to help; it is co-responsibility.</p>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />

<p class="has-text-align-none"><em>Spanish-English interpretation</em> <em>for reporting was conducted by Catalina Hernandez. This work was supported by a grant from the Bainum Family Foundation. Vox Media had full discretion over the content of this reporting</em>.&nbsp;<br></p>
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					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Traditional gender roles won’t get men what they want]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/470780/gender-men-masculinity-women-birthrates-relationships-gender-childcare-chores" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=470780</id>
			<updated>2025-12-11T15:55:41-05:00</updated>
			<published>2025-12-08T06:45:00-05:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Culture" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Explainers" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Family" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Life" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Relationships" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[For years now, falling birth rates have been a subject of alarm, with most of that discussion focused on women — the factors preventing them from having kids, whether mothers can balance work and family, if feminism has led women astray.&#160; But what about men and what they think? Demographers focused on fertility trends have [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<figure>

<img alt="A man pushing a baby carriage" data-caption="A man with a baby carriage on July 15, 2025, in Madrid, Spain. Births in Spain have fallen by 38 percent since 2008, making it the third largest drop in the European Union behind Latvia (41 percent) and Greece (40 percent). | Jesus Hellin/Europa Press via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Jesus Hellin/Europa Press via Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/gettyimages-2225209365.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	A man with a baby carriage on July 15, 2025, in Madrid, Spain. Births in Spain have fallen by 38 percent since 2008, making it the third largest drop in the European Union behind Latvia (41 percent) and Greece (40 percent). | Jesus Hellin/Europa Press via Getty Images	</figcaption>
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<p class="has-text-align-none">For years now, falling birth rates have been <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/363543/pronatalism-vance-birth-rates-population-decline-fertility">a subject of alarm,</a> with most of that discussion focused on women — the factors preventing them from having kids, whether mothers can balance work and family, if feminism has led women astray.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But what about men and what they think?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Demographers focused on fertility trends have largely ignored men’s attitudes toward gender, caregiving, and relationships. We have far less data on men’s perspectives than women’s and even less on how those viewpoints shape outcomes.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But, men do have opinions on these topics, even if we haven’t examined them all that closely. American men <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/09/30/growing-share-of-americans-say-fewer-people-having-kids-would-negatively-impact-the-us/">are more likely</a> to see falling birth rates as a problem, for example, and also more likely to want a return to “traditional gender roles.” <a href="https://19thnews.org/2025/09/poll-traditional-family-gender-roles/">Nearly six in 10 men</a> favor such a return, according to recent polling from the 19th News, compared to just four in 10 women. Among Republican men, that figure stood at 87 percent.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">These attitudes aren’t just showing up in polls — they’re shaping policy and discourse. A growing number of conservatives have started to publicly lament that women’s equality may have been a bridge too far, with some calling <a href="https://www.vox.com/today-explained-newsletter/354635/divorce-no-fault-states-marriage-republicans">for an end to no-fault divorce</a> or suggesting it’s time to get rid of <a href="https://x.com/dalepartridge/status/1986083514580943272">women’s right to vote</a>. Even the New York Times, a mainstream and liberal publication, recently ran a segment titled, “<a href="https://www.fastcompany.com/91438475/did-women-ruin-the-workplace-maybe-for-the-boys-club">Did Women Ruin the Workplace</a>?” discussing whether women have made professional culture too emotional and unserious.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">It’s easy to feel like men and masculinity have gotten plenty of attention already, and there has certainly been reticence on the left to centering men’s desires at all. It’s not hard to understand these reservations. Men have been prioritized for most of human history, and still dominate positions of power.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But, understanding men’s attitudes remains essential.&nbsp;Everyone wants identity and purpose. For many men, these basic needs can manifest through a desire to feel masculine, and so their attitudes toward gender and caregiving are shaped by these deeper beliefs about what it means to be a man. If caregiving is seen as overly feminine work that diminishes masculinity, men will resist it.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">For anyone who cares about gender equality, about women being able to find partners they want, or about people who want families being able to build them, ignoring what men think and need guarantees failure on every front.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="it-s-not-just-about-chores">It’s not just about chores</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">When it comes to gender equality and babies, activists and politicians have long argued that more of the first would lead to more of the second. Or, as a former Tory minister in the United Kingdom <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/society/2003/sep/24/childrensservices.comment">once quipped</a>, “Feminism is the new natalism.” The optimistic theory was that, if men stepped up, and egalitarian policies like paid leave became more widespread, birth rates would rise.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">There’s some truth to this, in the sense that research suggests a <em>lack</em> of gender equality makes the birth rate fall even faster.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Today, women with economic independence and less social pressure to marry are more likely to remain single than to settle for partners they don’t trust to be supportive. “It used to be that women felt like they had no other choice — like maybe this guy’s not great but he’s the best that’s going to come along,” said Patrick Brown, a family policy analyst at the conservative Ethics and Public Policy Center. “But now&#8230;women are willing to stay single if they don&#8217;t meet somebody who matches their criteria.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And since most people who have kids these days do so in long-term, committed relationships, men who fail to demonstrate they’d be good partners face lower odds having kids at all.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Telling women to stay home isn’t a guarantee they’ll have more kids, either. Across most countries, women who work “are more likely to have children than those not employed,” said <a href="https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/articlesbyauthor/42">Trude Lappegård</a>, a sociologist at the University of Oslo. This is true even when their partners are also employed.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In South Korea and Japan, where women are expected to do nearly all the domestic labor and must navigate workplaces that heavily penalize motherhood, fertility rates have imploded. South Korea&#8217;s birth rate hit <a href="https://www.korea.net/NewsFocus/Society/view?articleId=267262">0.75 children per woman in 2024</a>, the lowest in the world, while Japan&#8217;s dropped to <a href="https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2025/06/04/Japan-2024-births-drop-population-declines/7851749041014">1.15</a>. A similar trend exists across Southern Europe. In Italy, Spain, and Greece, where traditional gender norms remain strong, fertility has sunk to between 1.1 and 1.3.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">These patterns show up in broader data, as well. A <a href="https://bw.bse.eu/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/1506.pdf">2025 study analyzing over 40 European countries</a> found that women increasingly want men to share child care and housework equally, while men’s beliefs that women should handle the unpaid, domestic work have remained largely unchanged. In countries where this gap was widest, both birth rates and female employment were lower — suggesting that men’s resistance to sharing chores may be holding both back.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“Of course this is not the only explanation — there are many factors that affect fertility — but we’re saying not having men recognizing their share in the household does have an impact on women choosing to have children or not,” study co-author <a href="https://escp.eu/briselli-giulia">Giulia Briselli</a> told me.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The equation isn’t as simple as men doing more at home and birth rates going up. Men have clearly <a href="https://ifstudies.org/blog/american-dads-are-more-involved-than-everespecially-college-educated-or-married-dads">increased their time doing child care</a> and domestic chores compared to generations past while fertility has continued to drop. “Pressuring men to help out more at home won’t help fertility,” Lyman Stone, a conservative demographer at the Institute for Family Studies, <a href="https://ifstudies.org/blog/men-doing-more-housework-wont-raise-fertility">argued</a> this summer. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Still, it’s more nuanced than that. Nordic countries that restructured parental leave, provided free child care, and created more flexible workplace norms that pull men into caregiving have higher fertility. Their rates hover around 1.4 to 1.6 — still well below replacement, but better. In Norway, Iceland, and Sweden, fathers who used their countries’ parental leave policies <a href="https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/40/51"><em>were</em> more likely</a> to have partners who welcomed a second child. Gender equality isn&#8217;t a magic fix, but doubling down on traditional roles seems to make things worse, not better.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Indeed, Briselli’s work found that, in countries where the gap between men’s and women’s attitudes about sharing child care and housework was smallest, both fertility rates and female employment were higher. What seems to matter most may not be hours logged on chores <a href="https://darbysaxbe.substack.com/p/how-housework-affects-birth-rates">but whether women perceive the arrangement as fair</a>. And, even Stone’s own data showed that when women’s sense of unfairness increases, fertility falls. It’s not just what men do at home, but whether they see it as their responsibility or as a favor.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="the-research-gap">The research gap</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">This very question — of how men feel toward their obligations at home — is not well-studied. “This part was definitely not well-documented, not much attention has been paid to it, and I think we should put more light on it, for sure,” Briselli said.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Lappegård, the sociologist in Oslo, agreed and told me there’s been a general lack of interest in studying men among demographers in her field. “I’ve been screaming that we need more research about men for the last 20 years,” she told me. “If we want to really understand what’s going on with women then we not only have to compare them with men, but also men have their own independent voice in this.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">This knowledge gap exists partly because many scholars have seen the study of men and masculinity as inherently conservative — a pretext to rolling back women’s rights or centering men&#8217;s wounded feelings over women’s material concerns.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But, if we want to understand why men’s attitudes toward sharing domestic work have stagnated even as women&#8217;s expectations have shifted, then we’ll need to delve deeper into questions about how men see their place in the world. And if we want to ultimately move towards more equality and connection, then the question of what masculinity can and should be isn’t one we can avoid.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="filling-the-bigger-void">Filling the bigger void</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">As concern <a href="https://www.vox.com/the-gray-area/390781/masculinity-scott-galloway-young-men-struggling">about the mental health of men has grown</a>, so has a debate about whether masculinity can be salvaged or if it’s fundamentally oppressive. Some argue for redefining it in more humane terms, so that engaged fathers and emotionally available partners are considered masculine; others push back hard. The idea that a more <a href="https://www.vox.com/the-gray-area/23813985/christine-emba-masculinity-the-gray-area">positive masculinity</a> could even exist is “an attempt to scrub away the humiliating stain of womanhood from any trait or behavior before letting boys anywhere near it,” <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/opinion/positive-masculinity.html">argued Ruth Whippman</a> in the New York Times.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Doing so, echoed Jessica Winter <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/culture/the-weekend-essay/what-did-men-do-to-deserve-this">in a recent New Yorker piece</a>, would be conceding that “men should still rank above women in the social hierarchy, just not as much as before.” Both women propose a world where we scrap masculinity in exchange for “full humanity” and a “gender-free” world.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">These exhortations, though, strike me as wishful thinking. Dismissing positive visions of masculinity certainly wouldn’t eliminate the demand for masculinity; the hunger for a sense of identity doesn&#8217;t just disappear. Practically speaking, it just creates a void for the Andrew Tates and Jordan Petersons of the world to fill more easily.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And few people are calling to abolish femininity. There are critiques, certainly, of its more toxic elements — like dangerous pressures to be thin, or encouragements to go under the knife — but it’s rare to hear feminists call for women to reject femininity altogether. Instead, the movement has worked to educate women on the more harmful aspects of femininity while widening space in womanhood for those who don’t conform and allowing women who want to embrace traditionally feminine activities to do so.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">We can do for men what feminism did for women: name the harmful pressures, expand what counts as being a “good” man in society, and free people from the norms that make them less healthy and less connected. The valorization of dominance, the stigma around asking for help, and the equation of manhood with control needn’t be the future of masculinity.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Daniel Cox, the director of the Survey Center on Family Life at the American Enterprise Institute, thinks part of the appeal of traditional gender roles is that they offer men clarity — a sense that there’s a defined place for them and that they’re needed. “The primary messaging that all these men are hearing is that no one needs you, women can do it on their own,” he told me. It’s a message that leaves men confused and unmoored.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In response, Cox pointed to “<a href="https://comment.org/what-men-are-for/">relational masculinity</a>” as an idea that could help men and that might also be more compatible with what women are looking for in partners. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“I think a lot of newly married husbands and new dads feel that weight of responsibility to protect and provide for their family and it can give you a lot of meaning,” he said. “Otherwise you might say why am I grinding, right? But when you’re doing it on behalf of someone else and someone needs you, it’s incredibly motivating…I think we’ve just fundamentally lost that idea of being in service to each other, whether it’s to your family, your community, or country.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">While some women will roll their eyes at the idea of men wanting to feel needed, if we’re being honest, that’s a deeply human<em>, </em>universal desire. In <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17439760.2025.2587058">one recent study of</a> over 3,000 Americans, people who believed they were needed — whether by their family, their work, or their community — reported being significantly happier and more satisfied with their lives. It wasn’t about egotism; it was about having a sense of purpose from something outside yourself.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="the-future-can-be-different">The future can be different</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">It’s not a total mystery why the gender revolution has stalled; incorporating caregiving into masculine identity asks men to give up some advantages and embrace work that’s long been seen as feminine and undervalued. But countries like France — where Briselli found that men’s and women’s views on sharing housework are surprisingly aligned — show that it’s possible for men to see engaged fatherhood and domestic labor not as reluctant helping but as something core to being a good man. Even in the US, things are changing. <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/socf.12959">Roughly 20 percent</a> of American parents report being in genuinely egalitarian partnerships.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And women aren’t going back to the 1950s. They’re not giving up their educations, careers, or staying in relationships that don’t feel like partnerships. The data suggests that, even if they did, fertility would only fall faster.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Whether society-wide fertility can ever rise again under conditions of gender equality remains genuinely uncertain; researchers like Lappegård say they have more questions right now than answers. But what’s at stake is far more than birth rates — it’s whether men and women can actually build lives together.</p>
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					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Cities made a bet on millennials — but forgot one key thing]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/469816/cities-made-a-bet-on-millennials-but-forgot-one-key-thing" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=469816</id>
			<updated>2025-11-24T14:59:09-05:00</updated>
			<published>2025-11-24T06:45:00-05:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Housing" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Millennials moved to cities in droves during the 2000s and 2010s, drawn by the restaurants, the nightlife, and the high-paying jobs. Urban planners and local leaders celebrated, embracing what became known as the “creative class” theory — the idea that attracting educated, creative workers would drive cities’ economic growth. Real estate developers built accordingly, constructing [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<figure>

<img alt="Child-like drawings of families, furniture and flowers surround and partially cover an image of urban housing buildings" data-caption="For cities to survive, they need to focus on families. | Lucy Jones for Vox" data-portal-copyright="Lucy Jones for Vox" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/11/LucyJones_Vox.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	For cities to survive, they need to focus on families. | Lucy Jones for Vox	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p class="has-text-align-none">Millennials <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-28/u-s-millennials-really-do-prefer-cities">moved to cities</a> in droves during the 2000s and 2010s, drawn by the restaurants, the nightlife, and the high-paying jobs. Urban planners and local leaders celebrated, embracing what became known as the <a href="https://www.vox.com/new-money/2017/5/9/15545328/richard-florida-interview">“creative class” theory</a> — the idea that attracting educated, creative workers would drive cities’ economic growth.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Real estate developers built accordingly, constructing apartment buildings filled with studios, one-bedrooms, and two-bedrooms designed for singles, roommates, and childless couples. Young professionals could afford the rent, and investors got steady returns. Building larger apartments for families felt risky when the smaller units were working so well. As for single-family homes or townhouses, the types of housing that families with children typically seek out — well, cities <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/389431/housing-affordable-homes-yimby-nimby-shortage-construction">weren’t building those either</a>.</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight">
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Key takeaways:</h2>



<ol class="wp-block-list">
<li>Cities attracted millennials in their 20s but are losing them in their 30s as they start families — and Gen Z, a smaller generation, won’t fill the gap.</li>



<li>Families leave cities during their peak earning years in part because there aren’t enough homes that fit their growing needs, which makes cities even less family friendly and hurts the local economy.&nbsp;</li>



<li>Demographic decline, economic pressures, and even the real estate industry signal to city leaders that ignoring families is no longer sustainable.</li>
</ol>
</div>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The strategy worked — until millennials aged out of it. As they now enter their 30s and 40s and start having children, they’re ditching cities where the housing stock never caught up to their changing needs. Across the nation, large urban counties <a href="https://eig.org/families-exodus/">lost roughly 8 percent</a> of their under-5 population between 2020 and 2024, according to data from the Economic Innovation Group. In New York City, families with children under 6 have left at <a href="https://gothamist.com/news/families-flee-nyc-in-droves-over-child-care-costs-affordability">twice the rate of everyone else</a>, a trend that became central to incoming mayor Zohran Mamdani’s winning affordability campaign.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">When families leave, cities lose far more than tax revenue; they <a href="https://labs.aap.cornell.edu/sites/aap-labs/files/2022-09/Warner%26Baran-Ress_2013_EconomicImportance.pdf">lose their highest earners</a>, biggest spenders, and the next generation of workers. Because Gen Z is a smaller generation, and the rise of remote work means there’s less pressure for them to live in expensive cities to access high-paying jobs, they aren’t going to fill the gap left by millennial families.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The creative class theory wasn’t wholly wrong, but it missed that cities need to retain those people through their peak earning years, which happen to coincide with when they have children. And as baby boomers retire, working parents become even more critical to a city&#8217;s economic strength.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">If cities hope to remain economically healthy, they’ll need to build more housing for families with kids.&nbsp;</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why cities haven’t been building for families</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Several forces have worked against family-friendly development. Homeowners increasingly tend to be older and past their child-rearing years and often oppose changing zoning laws to allow more housing in their neighborhoods. Worried that the increased density could hurt their property values or quality of life, these more affluent, politically engaged residents tend to wield their outsized influence to keep newcomers out.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">As a result, American cities are overwhelmingly zoned for single-family housing, leaving little room for the kinds of duplexes, townhouses, and smaller apartment buildings that offer young families an affordable middle ground between cramped apartments and expensive homes.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">There is also resistance to certain kinds of families moving in. “I’m sorry, but class and race matter in America,” said Mildred Warner, a professor of city and regional planning at Cornell University. Put differently, many cities have used exclusionary zoning over the years to keep out Black and low-income families.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Upending these historic patterns will require policy changes beyond just fixing zoning codes. Ending <a href="https://www.vox.com/videos/2017/7/19/15993936/high-cost-of-free-parking">parking minimums</a> — which force developers to build a certain number of costly parking spaces per unit — would make it cheaper to construct family-sized apartments. Allowing <a href="https://www.vox.com/housing/410115/housing-single-stair-building-code-icc-fire-safety-firefighters-research">single-stair buildings</a> up to four stories — rather than requiring two staircases — would free up space for larger, more flexible floor plans better suited to families. Making it easier to approve smaller buildings (those under 50 units) would let developers experiment with different housing types.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Another option is to pass laws requiring developers to include more family-sized units, like three- or four-bedroom apartments, though real estate experts warn that such a prescriptive approach could backfire.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">An alternative idea, proposed <a href="https://ifstudies.org/report-brief/homes-for-young-families-part-2">by the Institute of Family Studies</a> (IFS) this year, is to change how governments measure the success of their affordable housing programs. Right now, funds that finance apartments at public expense focus on maximizing the number of units built. IFS researchers suggest they should instead prioritize the number of bedrooms and the number of people housed in order to incentivize family-sized apartments.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">A professional culture problem exists, too. Many planners simply don’t consider designing urban communities for families to be part of their job. Michael Huling, a senior county planner in Clark County, Nevada, traces the issue back to dynamics from the 1960s and 1970s, an era when people were flocking en masse to suburbs. Limits on density, rules on how far houses must be from streets, and onerous parking regulations all contributed to a development culture that treated families as a suburban concern, not an urban one.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“A lot of those anachronistic development patterns and development priorities are still lingering today and we&#8217;re still stuck with them,” he told Vox.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Still, there’s a structural problem that goes deeper than zoning and building codes, or even professional norms. Kids don’t pay taxes, but they do absorb plenty of government services, and cities crave population growth without the associated costs of funding it.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The economic reality is harsh and unevenly distributed. Public support for seniors <a href="https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/2023-02/Federal%20Entitlement%20Spending%20on%20Adults%20Is%20More%20Than%20Triple%20Total%20Children%E2%80%99s%20Spending.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com">can be up to three times</a> higher <a href="https://www.pgpf.org/article/how-much-government-spending-goes-to-children">than for children</a>, but the federal government provides the vast majority of senior aid while covering less than a third of child subsidies. Instead, state and local governments <a href="https://www.urban.org/policy-centers/cross-center-initiatives/state-and-local-finance-initiative/state-and-local-backgrounders/public-welfare-expenditures">bear the bulk of K-12 education costs</a>, creating a negative incentive for cities to welcome families with school-age children.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Warner has found that many politicians restrict family housing, because they don&#8217;t want to pay for the schools those children would attend. Because schools are funded largely through local property taxes, cities treat school spending as a direct burden on local budgets while ignoring that businesses benefit enormously from having its future workforce educated nearby. They “ignor[e] the increasing importance of human capital investment as a critical economic development strategy,” <a href="https://labs.aap.cornell.edu/sites/aap-labs/files/2022-09/Warner%26Baran-Ress_2013_EconomicImportance.pdf">she wrote</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Robert Verbruggen, a fellow at the Manhattan Institute, put it bluntly. “Kids don’t pay for themselves while they’re still kids,” he told Vox. “They pay for themselves later when they grow up and get jobs.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">His advice for mayors is pragmatic: If you want a thriving city, you need growth and more people paying taxes. Welcome families now and “you have a built-in fan base of the next generation of kids who grew up there and are already familiar with city life.”</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A belated recognition of the consequences</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In addition to city planners, more <a href="https://www.usmayors.org/2025/06/19/survey-housing-efforts-affordability-concerns">elected leaders are beginning to recognize</a> the crisis of housing in their cities. They’re right to, given the compounding challenges their cities face if the crisis continues pushing families to leave. If people in their early-to-mid-30s leave cities right when they&#8217;re becoming most productive and experienced in their careers, then they take their mentorship skills and institutional knowledge with them. Cities tend to end up with extremes at both ends: lower-income residents and very wealthy residents in luxury housing, but fewer middle and upper-middle class families.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Once families leave, cities are left with fewer vocal advocates pushing for better schools, parks, and transit, making the areas even less attractive to the next generation of parents. And as stressful as more kids in schools might be to finance, in the long run, declining school enrollment (fueled in part by more people leaving cities) and fewer children born mean even fewer taxpayers and less consumer spending.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Indeed, declining birth rates are another problem. Recent research has found clear links between housing costs, housing size, and birth patterns. Not only is a lack of suitable housing steering families out of cities, it’s contributing to some people choosing not to have kids at all.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The Institute for Family Studies <a href="https://ifstudies.org/report-brief/homes-for-young-families-a-pro-family-housing-agenda">found</a> that housing costs limit childbearing goals more than any other factor, including undesired singleness, preference for leisure, schooling, child care costs, and student debt. Housing costs can lead to living with one’s parents for longer, and that has a huge negative effect on fertility. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Another <a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BK6jNy9jqCXS0c7PYakrkSqoFxJY2XCS/view">study published this month</a> by an economist at the University of Toronto estimated that rising housing costs in the US since 1990 have led to 11 percent fewer children being born and building more two- and three-bedroom apartments could more than double the impact on birth rates compared to building more one-bedroom units.&nbsp;</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Ideas to stem the bleeding</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">These and other changes are forcing the real estate industry to shift. Some institutional buyers — the investors who purchase apartment buildings to operate as rentals — are starting to reject studio and one-bedroom heavy buildings, worried that tenants will keep moving out after short stays, driving up their operating expenses. And construction financing challenges driven by <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/463115/tariff-trump-housing-affordability-renters-homes-construction-lumber-steel-furniture">tariffs and high interest rates</a> have created new openness among developers to rethink their more conservative approaches. The “<a href="https://www.credaily.com/briefs/build-to-rent-boom-110k-single-family-rentals-underway/">built-to-rent” boom</a> has also demonstrated to investors that families with kids will, in fact, rent homes.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">One developer is advocating for a range of other solutions. Bobby Fijan is one of the country’s <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/2023/4/23/23686130/housing-apartments-family-yimby-nimby-zoning-suburbs">most vocal critics</a><strong> </strong>of his industry’s inertia. He started the American Housing Corporation to build family-sized row homes, with the first one set to open in Austin in December. Eventually, Fijan wants to expand into apartments.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">He’s pushing other ideas, too. In a <a href="http://ifstudies.org/report-brief/homes-for-young-families-part-2">study published in September</a>, Fijan and IFS senior fellow Lyman Stone surveyed over 6,000 Americans about their housing preferences. When shown apartments of the same square footage but different bedroom configurations, many people preferred layouts with more rooms, even if they don’t currently have children.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">One model emerged as particularly promising: the one bedroom plus a den. Dens, which often have no windows or closet, are commonly used for an office, a TV room, or nursery. Fifty-seven percent of childless-by-choice people preferred this layout over a standard one-bedroom of the same total size, as did 54 percent of people who say they’d one day want kids.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">For the real estate industry, the IFS pitch is straightforward. Since developers are already building apartments at 750 to 1,100 square feet, adding one more wall to divide the space could create units that appeal to a broader market. And because families with kids stay in apartments longer than singles, lower turnover could translate to lower operating costs.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">If cities can keep couples expecting their first child even a half decade or so longer, they might begin to address the problems Warner and others have warned about. More families staying means more of the high earners and high spenders who drive local growth.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But Warner is skeptical of the bedroom-plus-den plan, which puts a ceiling on family size. People “like to stay where they are,” she said, and with that arrangement, you’d probably relocate as your family grows. It could accommodate babies and toddlers, but would be less ideal for teenagers who want real bedrooms with doors and windows (and parents of teenagers who’d want that, too). She’d rather see cities build actual two- and three-bedroom units — a return to how cities used to build before developers shifted to smaller apartments.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Fijan and Stone don’t disagree but see their proposal as a way to work within existing constraints. Their hope is that keeping families in cities through their children&#8217;s early years could create ongoing political pressure for the deeper changes needed to truly fix the problem.</p>

<div class="wp-block-vox-media-highlight vox-media-highlight">
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Will the “abundance” movement embrace families?</h2>



<p class="has-text-align-none">The growing <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/405063/ezra-klein-thompson-abundance-book-criticism">“abundance” movement</a> argues that removing regulatory barriers to housing and energy — for instance, cutting zoning restrictions and speeding up permitting — is key to economic growth. But making cities family friendly often requires direct government spending on schools, child care, parks, and transit. That&#8217;s a harder sell for a movement built around deregulation, not public spending.&nbsp;</p>



<p class="has-text-align-none">At the national abundance conference this past fall, Leah Libresco Sargeant, of the Niskanen Center, tried to find a more palatable way to bring her movement on board with new family investments. She argued that the upfront costs of having children prevent families from forming, similar to how high housing costs prevent cities from growing. <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/410795/pronatalism-babies-birth-rate-fertility-baby-bonus-trump-abortion">Baby bonuses</a> and reducing barriers to family-friendly housing, she pointed out, could address both obstacles.</p>



<p class="has-text-align-none">Bobby Fijan welcomes the support from abundance but remains cautious. “I genuinely think that families need to be the goal and not a byproduct” for policymakers, he told Vox.</p>



<p class="has-text-align-none">Fijan believes the abundance movement, which skews younger, may grow into prioritizing families more as its members age. On the political right, he worries that Republican distrust of Democratic-controlled cities could also complicate support for urban family investments. But he remains optimistic, since millions of people want and need to live in cities.</p>
</div>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In the end, housing alone won’t keep families from leaving cities. Cities still need to address public safety concerns, improve schools, and fix basic infrastructure like broken sidewalks and unreliable buses. That will require substantial investments in education, transit, and child care, not just removing regulatory barriers. It will mean challenging homeowners who benefit from the status quo and making spending choices that might not pay off for years.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The cities that figure out how to keep their families will thrive. For local leaders watching parents flee and school enrollments drop, these are fights worth having.</p>

<hr class="wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity" />

<p class="has-text-align-none"><em>This story was supported by a grant from Arnold Ventures. Vox had full discretion over the content of this reporting.</em></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none"><em><strong>Correction, November 24, 2:30 pm ET: </strong>A previous version of this post misstated the city where American Housing Corporation is building its first family-sized row home.</em></p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[The buzzy word that Democrats have pinned their hopes on]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/politics/465634/democrats-zohran-politics-affordable-affordability-inflation-economy-campaign" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=465634</id>
			<updated>2025-11-05T15:49:53-05:00</updated>
			<published>2025-11-05T10:00:00-05:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Economy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Housing" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Money" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[The buzziest political word of the year is “affordability” — it’s the mantra that carried the insurgent progressive candidate Zohran Mamdani to victory in New York City’s mayoral race, and that Democrats across the country have since raced to claim as their own. “Affordability is the central issue, the central reason to be a Democrat,” [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="Boys holding campaign signs for Zohran Mamdani." data-caption="Boys holding campaign signs for Zohran Mamdani on October 19, 2025, in New York City. | Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/10/gettyimages-2241797253.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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	Boys holding campaign signs for Zohran Mamdani on October 19, 2025, in New York City. | Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images	</figcaption>
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<p class="has-text-align-none">The buzziest political word of the year is “affordability” — it’s the mantra that carried the insurgent progressive candidate <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/419913/democratic-agenda-abundance-zohran-mamdani-project-2029">Zohran Mamdani</a> to victory in New York City’s mayoral race, and that Democrats across the country have since raced to claim as their own.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“<a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2025/08/04/talk-about-affordability-warren-boosts-mamdani-as-model-for-democratic-victory-00493026">Affordability is the central issue</a>, the central reason to be a Democrat,” Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren declared in August. California Gov. Gavin Newsom has similarly placed “affordability” at the center of his state housing reforms and his administration’s <a href="https://www.chhs.ca.gov/blog/2025/10/17/governor-newsom-announces-affordable-calrx-insulin-11-a-pen-will-soon-be-available-for-purchase/">plan to manufacture generic insulin pens</a>. Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison launched his reelection bid this week under the banner of “<a href="https://www.postbulletin.com/news/minnesota/keith-ellison-says-hes-running-for-a-3rd-term-as-attorney-general">Afford your life</a>.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Few candidates or elected officials are willing to acknowledge what many economists say quietly: that prices tend to be “<a href="https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/page-one-economics/2024/03/01/the-inflation-rate-is-falling-but-prices-are-not">sticky</a>,” and that, absent a major economic slowdown, costs are unlikely to fall much from where they are today. Still, Democratic strategists who worried that the party under Joe Biden had for too long ignored cost-of-living issues and the growing frustration around inflation have been happy to see “affordability” take center stage. That the cry has been led by a candidate endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America has even given the term leftist validation — despite the fact that a decade ago “affordability“ stood as the vague, squishy descriptor socialists blamed for watering down the goal of universal health care with the Affordable Care Act.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But when it comes to the <em>explanation</em> for today’s affordability crisis, the party has found itself embroiled in seemingly endless factional debates — with each camp insisting <em>their</em> diagnosis is the primary one. Is the crisis because, as the <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/405403/abundance-ezra-klein-building-costs-housing-energy-democrats-polarization">Abundance theorists argue</a>, we’re not building enough? Or is it, as some populists allege, <a href="https://www.vox.com/money/23641875/food-grocery-inflation-prices-billionaires">due to corporate greed and Wall Street recklessness</a>? Or because we’ve shirked on antitrust enforcement, <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/354668/biden-economy-antitrust-junk-fees-consumer-protection">allowing monopolies to take over</a> and artificially raise prices? Or because, as <a href="https://www.vox.com/2014/4/18/5627630/occupational-licensing-is-replacing-labor-unions-and-exacerbating">progressives argued in the 2010s</a>, unions were decimated and too much was left to the market? Rather than acknowledge that multiple factors might be at play, each faction has largely dug in around its preferred explanation.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">One attempt to unify these debates comes from the Economic Security Project (ESP), a progressive organization focused on direct cash support and the broader social safety net. It <a href="https://economicsecurityproject.org/resource/affordability/">offers a new analysis of affordability</a> in hopes that a comprehensive framework might lead to clearer political solutions, and perhaps more harmonious political consensus. Though Mike Konczal, one of the report’s co-authors, emphasized in an interview that their work represents an “honest assessment“ of structural problems and not a political compromise, it’s clear that the analysis aims to offer a more constructive path forward than the in-fighting so many have grown used to.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Broken markets, broken incomes</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The analysis divides the affordability crisis into two categories: problems with markets and problems with incomes.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Markets, ESP argues, fail in three main ways:</p>

<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>First, “gatekeepers” constrain supply — for example, drug companies <a href="https://www.uclawsf.edu/2020/09/24/patent-drug-database/">stacking up patents to stop competition</a>, <a href="https://www.openmarketsinstitute.org/learn/hospitals-monopoly">hospitals merging</a> to reduce choices, and <a href="https://www.nahb.org/blog/2025/06/confronting-nimby-attitudes">NIMBYs blocking housing</a>.&nbsp;</li>



<li>Second, “fragmented markets” falter when the lack of customers makes services unprofitable, leaving rural areas without hospitals or broadband.&nbsp;</li>



<li>Third, “manipulated signals” obscure true costs through features <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/366838/biden-subscription-membership-junk-fees">like junk fees</a> and <a href="https://www.vox.com/money/370351/realpage-doj-lawsuit-rent-algorithm-pricing">algorithmic pricing</a>, which prevent consumers from comparison shopping and cost them thousands a year.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>

<p class="has-text-align-none">On the income side, ESP argues that three forces make essentials unaffordable even when markets function well.&nbsp;</p>

<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>“Life-cycle mismatches” mean costs peak when earnings are low — <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/415095/fertility-birth-rates-reproductive-rights-biological-clock-parents-motherhood-ivf">child care arrives early in careers</a> when paychecks are smaller, while health care expenses surge in retirement.&nbsp;</li>



<li>Inequality keeps incomes too low for many families: 43 percent of families can’t cover basic necessities, and since 1979, wages have risen only 29 percent while productivity climbed 83 percent.&nbsp;</li>



<li>Lastly, economic shocks like recessions leave lasting scars; for example, workers displaced in downturns can lose up to three years of lifetime earnings.</li>
</ul>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The framework covers most of the leading theories and treats all six causes as equally important, declining to rank any theory against another. It builds on a different framework <a href="https://siepr.stanford.edu/publications/policy-brief/building-affordable-economy-three-legged-stool-strategy">published in September by Jared Bernstein</a>, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under Biden, and Neale Mahoney, a Stanford University economist. The Bernstein-Mahoney report laid out more specific policy recommendations than ESP, though ESP says it plans to issue those types of proposals beginning next year.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Both analyses arrive as Democrats sort through competing ideas for understanding why costs are so high. The most prominent this year has been Abundance, popularized by Vox co-founder Ezra Klein and journalist Derek Thompson, which <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/405063/ezra-klein-thompson-abundance-book-criticism">focuses on supply constraints</a>: zoning laws blocking housing, permitting delays slowing infrastructure, regulatory barriers limiting competition. Their diagnosis is that government-imposed bottlenecks are preventing us from building enough of what we need.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">ESP incorporates those arguments but argues it’s incomplete. In the case of child care, for example, even if you removed every supply constraint (like licensing requirements that limit the number of providers or zoning rules that restrict home-based day cares), families would still struggle to afford care early in their careers. Building more housing, similarly, is not enough to protect families when job losses or inflation erode real incomes.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">As proof that these various approaches aren’t really in tension, ESP points to California. In the past two years, state lawmakers <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/418679/california-ceqa-housing-newsom">passed major YIMBY upzoning laws</a> while also enacting anti-monopoly measures, including a ban on algorithmic rent-setting software like RealPage and <a href="https://buddycarter.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=15782">reforms targeting prescription-drug middlemen</a> who mark up prices. The same Democratic legislators — progressives like state Sen. Scott Wiener and Assemblymember Buffy Wicks — championed both sets of policies. “At the state level, at the personnel level, we often don’t see these conflicts as much as you might suspect,” Konczal said.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The framework tries to show that addressing broken markets in one area doesn’t preclude addressing broken incomes in another. Or, put differently, the conflicts that often dominate online debates may be more about interpersonal feuds and factional positioning than actual policy trade-offs.&nbsp;</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The future of affordability</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Konczal acknowledged that because the framework doesn’t prioritize among causes, “people will obviously have disagreements on which is more important,“ calling that “a very useful disagreement to have.” By not making those judgments itself, the framework lets each camp find validation without forcing trade-offs about which problems deserve the most urgent action.&nbsp;</p>

<figure class="wp-block-pullquote"><blockquote><p> If political battles are ultimately about resource allocation and legislative priorities, what’s gained by a unifying framework that sidesteps the hardest choices?</p></blockquote></figure>

<p class="has-text-align-none">This raises an obvious question: If political battles are ultimately about resource allocation and legislative priorities, what’s gained by a unifying framework that sidesteps the hardest choices?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Some, like Matt Bruenig, founder of the left-wing People’s Policy Project, think the ESP framework gets the logic generally right but badly misweights the causes. “As far as magnitude goes, income distribution dwarfs everything else,” he told Vox. Broken incomes bear most of the blame for lack of affordability, he argues, while theories like monopolistic pricing get more attention than the evidence warrants.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The weighting question connects to a deeper issue. When should markets be fixed and when should they be replaced? This is arguably the key question for affordability and one that the various factions have not yet squarely confronted.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Should health care be made more affordable through competition and transparency, or guaranteed through universal coverage? Should housing costs come down through supply increases, or should housing be partially decommodified through social housing?&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Ironically, “affordability” once meant something very different to progressives. A decade ago, Democrats fought over whether the government should guarantee services or simply make them cheaper. The Bernie Sanders wing pushed for universality — Medicare-for-all, free college, housing as a right — while moderates framed goals around access: less costly insurance, debt-free college, homeownership incentives. “Affordable“ became the compromise word, often dismissed by the left as a disappointing cop-out — a promise of market participation instead of universal provision.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Now you have a progressive organization embracing “affordability” while explicitly invoking Social Security-style guarantees for life-cycle costs.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Does one need to pick? Kamala Harris’s 2024 campaign showed how “affordability” can cover both approaches. She ran on an “opportunity economy“ centered on market-based solutions: small business tax credits, housing supply increases, cutting red tape. But she also proposed banning price gouging on groceries, capping prescription drug costs, and expanding the Child Tax Credit. “Affordability” let her do both without having to explain when markets needed fixing versus when they needed bypassing.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">That’s either sophisticated politicking or strategic ambiguity. The optimistic read is that the left has evolved beyond the false binary of guarantees versus opportunity. You can fix markets <em>and</em> provide universal goods — they’re complementary, not contradictory. Recognizing that markets can work for some things if we fix them, while other things need decommodification, is arguably progress.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The pessimistic read is that “affordability” is doing too much work, covering for a lack of clarity about priorities. Without a theory of when to use which approach, you get a “do everything” framework that risks defaulting to market-based solutions because they’re easier and more politically palatable, even when the right answer might be to fight for universal programs.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">When I asked the report authors whether they had a theory for when something should be guaranteed versus made more affordable, they demurred. “It depends,” Konzcal said, saying that “most economic problems involve both” sides. He pointed to public options as a balanced approach, but offered little clarity for when to deploy them. “Markets can innovate and scale, while public options can anchor supply, set benchmarks, and ensure universal access,” he said.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Their sector-specific reports planned for 2026 will be a clearer test of where this framework ultimately goes. That’s where we’ll see if this can tackle the thorniest questions: What should we stop trying to make people afford at all?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none"><strong><em>Update, November 5, 10 am ET</em></strong><em>: This article was originally published on October 22 and has been updated to reflect the outcome of the New York City mayoral election</em>.</p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Zohran Mamdani’s child care gamble]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/politics/466205/zohran-mamdani-child-care-daycare-voters-politics-nyc-kids-parents" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=466205</id>
			<updated>2025-10-28T09:16:01-04:00</updated>
			<published>2025-10-28T06:30:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Child Care" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Life" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Zohran Mamdani, the 34-year-old progressive with a commanding lead in the New York City mayoral race, has placed universal child care at the center of his campaign, returning to it again and again as one of a few key policies that could redefine what City Hall delivers.&#160; He’s promising to make child care free for [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="Zohran Mamdani speaks at a podium with a sign reading “I want free child care,” to a crowd." data-caption="Zohran Mamdani speaks during a press conference on universal child care on November 19, 2024 in New York City.﻿ | Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images﻿" data-portal-copyright="Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images﻿" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/10/gettyimages-2185605701.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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	Zohran Mamdani speaks during a press conference on universal child care on November 19, 2024 in New York City.﻿ | Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images﻿	</figcaption>
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<p class="has-text-align-none">Zohran Mamdani, the 34-year-old progressive <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/nyc-mayoral-election-polls-2025.html">with a commanding lead</a> in the New York City mayoral race, has placed universal child care at the center of his campaign, returning to it again and again as one of a few key policies that could redefine what City Hall delivers.&nbsp; He’s promising to <a href="https://www.zohranfornyc.com/platform">make child care free</a> for every New Yorker from 6 weeks to 5 years old, while raising child care workers’ wages to match public school teachers.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">It’s easy to see why the city’s child care system needs reform. Families with children under 6 are leaving New York City <a href="https://gothamist.com/news/families-flee-nyc-in-droves-over-child-care-costs-affordability">at twice the rate of everyone else</a>. More than <a href="https://cccnewyork.org/press-and-media/new-report-finds-80-of-new-york-city-families-cannot-afford-child-care-for-children-under-5/">80 percent of families</a> with young children can’t afford care that runs <a href="https://s3.amazonaws.com/media.cccnewyork.org/2023/10/CCC-From-Birth-to-Age-12-Child-Care-Affordability-and-Cost-Burden.pdf">upward of $20,000 a year</a>, and the flight of young families is costing the city an estimated <a href="https://edc.nyc/sites/default/files/2023-03/Childcare-Toolkit.pdf">$23 billion</a> annually in lost economic productivity. “It’s not just parents with young children — child care and caregiving is also something that really affects grandparents and many older adults too,” said Louise Yeung, the policy director for Mandami’s campaign.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Still, it’s an unusual gamble, especially when most New Yorkers don’t have young children. Few would openly dispute that child care matters, but the harder question is whether a politician should stake their campaign on an issue that’s less salient to voters than it may initially seem.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Mamdani’s campaign builds on a fundamental shift in how Democrats have started to talk about child care over the last half-decade. After the pandemic, leaders began to talk about it less as a private concern that each family must figure out and more as essential “human infrastructure” — as important to society and the economy as new roads and bridges.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But what do voters say?</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Ask Americans what they think about child care, and the numbers look formidable. But the sky-high numbers can be misleading.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Americans think about child care</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Nearly 75 percent of Americans say child care is too expensive, according <a href="https://apnorc.org/projects/few-concerned-with-declining-birthrates-but-many-worry-about-the-costs-of-child-care-and-favor-paid-family-leave/">to a July 2025 AP-NORC poll</a>, and majorities across both parties support government action to make it more affordable. A 2023 survey by GQR and the Child Care for Every Family Network <a href="https://childcareforeveryfamily.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Child-Care-Polling-Messaging-Memo-1-31-24.pdf">found that 73 percent of voters</a> consider the child care system “fundamentally broken” and 84 percent see it as “economic infrastructure.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But when pollsters ask voters to <em>rank </em>their priorities, child care plummets. Forthcoming polling from Searchlight Institute, a new liberal think tank, found just 6 percent of registered voters in seven battleground states consider child care their most important issue, and only 22 percent put it in their top three. Even among younger voters, it sits only in the middle of the pack — well below health care, housing, and inflation, <a href="https://data.blueroseresearch.org/hubfs/2024%20Blue%20Rose%20Research%20Retrospective.pdf">according to data</a> from Blue Rose Research, another Democratic polling firm.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“It&#8217;s easy to say you approve of a lot of stuff when you aren&#8217;t being required to choose between options,” said Charlotte Swasey, the director of analytics at Searchlight. “Generally, asking approval is a great way to get positive numbers towards anything respondents are vaguely okay with.”<br></p>
<div class="create-charts-and-maps-with-datawrapper-embed"><a href="https://www.datawrapper.de/_/EEw7t/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">View Link</a></div>
<p class="has-text-align-none">That tension — between broad support and weak urgency — has long defined the politics of child care. As child care analyst Elliot Haspel has written, voter support for the issue is “<a href="https://www.the74million.org/zero2eight/elliots-provocations-voter-support-for-child-care-is-sky-high-yet-butter-soft/">butter soft</a>” — strong enough to make politicians feel safe talking about it, but rarely strong enough to make them act. The pandemic made child care more salient — the glaring absence of it became everyone’s problem — but the urgency faded as offices reopened with blunt return-to-work mandates that assumed child care access had simply sorted itself out.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Blue Rose does find that even though child care is a lower priority for voters, Democrats have a “trust” advantage on it compared to Republicans. “Democrats benefit when they keep their focus on the issues that are most important to voters — the economy and health care,” Blue Rose’s director of research Ali Mortell told me. “Issues like child care, abortion, or climate change can color your language or add to a broader narrative, but it would be a strategic misstep to fixate a campaign narrative solely on any one of those.”</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Beyond the polls</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">So what do we make of this? One lesson is that polling can guide a candidate, but only so much. In some ways Mamdani is doing exactly what campaign strategists would advise: packaging the issue <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/465634/democrats-zohran-politics-affordable-affordability-inflation-economy-campaign">inside a broader affordability crisis</a>. When he talks about child care — and he talks about it often — it&#8217;s almost always in the same breath as rent freezes, free buses, and city-run grocery stores. On the other hand, he’s following his gut and not shying away from making child care truly central to his bid, even though there are other cost-of-living issues that affect more New Yorkers at any given moment.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Making child care an issue that voters rank more highly will probably require a mix of cultural tactics. For some, it might involve linking care shortages to anxiety <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy/363543/pronatalism-vance-birth-rates-population-decline-fertility">over population decline</a>. For others, it could mean investing more in memorable Hollywood characters who can help change narratives. As the 19th News <a href="https://19thnews.org/2025/10/hollywood-caregiving-paid-leave-tv-film/">recently reported</a>, some care advocates are now pushing screenwriters and producers to treat child care the way they once treated drunk driving or LGBTQ+ representation — as an issue that can shift public attitudes through storytelling. Others say leaders may need to figure out how to reframe what child care is even about. As Kathryn Jezer-Morton <a href="https://www.thecut.com/2023/01/affordable-child-care-as-collective-wellness.html">put it at The Cut,</a> “For affordable child care to be an interesting story for people living in individualistic cultures, it has to be about something other than children.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In some ways, this is the same tension that sank <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2022/8/30/23317834/child-tax-credit-ctc-ira">the expanded Child Tax Credit</a>. In 2021, the American Rescue Plan temporarily increased the credit and made monthly payments available to nearly all families with children, cutting child poverty in half almost overnight. But the policy <a href="https://www.filesforprogress.org/decks/2022/2/dfp_fighting_chance_ctc_tracker.pdf">never garnered the moral legitimacy</a> of programs like Social Security or Medicare. It wasn&#8217;t “earned” through work requirements, and it wasn’t narrowly targeted — it sat uneasily between families viewed as “deserving” and “undeserving.” Once the emergency moment passed and the payments expired at the end of 2021, so did the political will to revive them.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Universal child care could fall into that same trap. It’s popular in theory, but voters don&#8217;t always resonate with the challenge, especially if they’re past the stage of needing it or never had kids at all. Mamdani’s bet is that by talking about child care as part of the city’s affordability crisis — not as a moral appeal or a benefit for parents per se — he can pull it out of that gray zone.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Whether that works depends on whether voters come to see the cost of raising kids as something that shapes the city’s future, not just individual family budgets. If Mamdani wins, it probably won’t be because New Yorkers felt sudden new sympathy for struggling parents. It will be because they saw their own survival in the same frame.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none"><em>This work was supported by a grant from the Bainum Family Foundation. Vox Media had full discretion over the content of this reporting</em>.<br></p>
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			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
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			<title type="html"><![CDATA[The end of rent debt?]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/462352/back-rent-debt-strike-tenants-landlord-housing-rent" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=462352</id>
			<updated>2025-10-21T06:04:14-04:00</updated>
			<published>2025-10-21T06:04:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Housing" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="The Highlight" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[This story was originally published in The Highlight, Vox’s member-exclusive magazine. To get early access to member-exclusive stories every month, join the Vox Membership program today. When Tay’Laur and Tai’Leah Paige got the eviction notice taped to their door in August 2023, they thought it was a mistake. The sisters had only missed July’s rent at their [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/09/RentDebt_RachelCohenBooth_Vox.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p class="has-text-align-none"><em>This story was originally published in </em><a href="https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/463044/welcome-to-the-october-issue-of-the-highlight"><em>The Highlight</em></a><em>, Vox’s member-exclusive magazine. To get early access to member-exclusive stories every month, </em><a href="https://www.vox.com/support-membership?itm_campaign=article-header-Q42024&amp;itm_medium=site&amp;itm_source=in-article"><em>join the Vox Membership program today</em></a><em>.</em></p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">When Tay’Laur and Tai’Leah Paige got the eviction notice taped to their door in August 2023, they thought it was a mistake. The sisters had only missed July’s rent at their North Hollywood apartment during the entertainment industry strikes, which had put Tai’Leah out of work, and their property manager had seemed understanding.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">By their first court date in November, they had been approved for Los Angeles Emergency Rental Assistance, a program that would cover about six months of rent. But their landlord — Equity Residential — would not accept the money.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The landlord’s refusal baffled the sisters. They had been good tenants in what was marketed as a luxury building, though they say reality often fell short of that expectation. As court dates stretched on through 2024, their debt snowballed from missing one month’s $3,400 rent payment to nearly $50,000. Late fees started to double mid-lease, and utilities and court costs piled on.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Marty McKenna, a spokesperson for Equity Residential, told Vox they do not discuss individual residential accounts or property-level decisions, but said, “eviction is a last resort and an inefficient way to recover rent.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">After finally vacating their unit in August 2024, the sisters spent months sleeping in their car and hotel-hopping. When they finally got approved for affordable housing — something they’d been on a wait-list for since before moving into their Equity Residential building — they were then quickly denied. The tens of thousands of dollars in rental debt on their credit reports effectively disqualified them from the very program designed to help people in their situation.&nbsp;</p>

<figure class="wp-block-pullquote"><blockquote><p>“These credit reports, these debts, and the eviction records are things that are real barriers to getting people re-housed.”</p><cite>Alex Ferrer, Debt Collective organizer </cite></blockquote></figure>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Now, Tay’Laur and Tai’Leah are part of a small group of former Equity Residential tenants launching a first-of-its-kind back rent debt strike that will go public in early October. The campaign, organized with help from the <a href="https://debtcollective.org/">Debt Collective</a>, the country’s first national debtors union, has <a href="https://www.eqrdtu.org/">developed a tool</a> that helps tenants document problems with their landlords and generate formal dispute letters — part of a broader strategy to challenge what organizers see as systematic abuse of renters.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“These credit reports, these debts, and the eviction records are things that are real barriers to getting people re-housed,” said Alex Ferrer, a Debt Collective organizer who helped develop the debt complaint tool.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau data from January shows that 14 percent of <a href="https://www.consumerfinance.gov/data-research/research-reports/behind-on-rent-examining-rental-housing-delinquencies-in-new-payment-data/">active renters still carry late fees</a> from the past year, down from a peak of 23 percent in early 2023 but still affecting millions of households.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">While existing surveys capture current tenants with back rent, they miss former tenants who’ve been evicted and still owe debt — a data gap that means the Federal Reserve estimate that American renters <a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/2021-report-economic-well-being-us-households-202205.pdf">owed between $9.3 and $10.9 billion in back rent</a> as of late 2021 likely undercounts the true scope. That debt piled up when pandemic relief programs fell short.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The planned strike represents a new front in debt resistance organizing, emerging as federal consumer protections <a href="https://www.npr.org/2025/02/10/nx-s1-5292123/the-trump-administration-has-stopped-work-at-the-cfpb-heres-what-the-agency-does">have weakened significantly</a> over the last year, leaving families with fewer resources to challenge debt collection practices on rental debt that have largely escaped national policy attention.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How the strike debt campaign will work</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The rent debt strike that Tay’Laur and Tai’Leah are joining draws its inspiration from one of the most successful debt resistance campaigns in recent history. In 2015, 15 students who had attended Corinthian Colleges — a now-defunct chain of for-profit schools — announced they would refuse to repay their federal student loans, arguing the education they received was fraudulent.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Their collective action sparked a broader movement over the next decade that ultimately led to billions in loan forgiveness for former students of predatory college. Perhaps more importantly, the campaign helped student debtors relinquish the shame that keeps financial exploitation thriving in isolation, transforming what had been lonely private battles into public, collective resistance.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/09/gettyimages-2141952503.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0.0034411562284902,0,99.993117687543,100" alt="Joe Biden surrounded by signs about canceling student debt" title="Joe Biden surrounded by signs about canceling student debt" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Under the Biden administration, student debt organizers won substantial victories — $188.8 billion in forgiveness for 5.3 million borrowers. | Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images" />
<p class="has-text-align-none">The Debt Collective, which was also behind that campaign, is hoping to leverage similar tactics for rental debt with a small cohort of tenants. Their strike aims to have tenants’ rental debts canceled in their entirety.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">At the center of the rental debt campaign is the new online tool that helps renters and former renters identify potential legal claims against their landlords. The free-to-use platform guides users through survey questions about their tenant experiences — from false advertising about amenities to billing irregularities to habitability problems — to help them understand what kinds of violations they may have experienced. It then generates formal dispute letters based on their responses that can be filed with debt collectors and regulatory agencies.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The idea behind the tool is to flip the economics of debt collection. Right now, collectors can process thousands of cases quickly because most people lack legal counsel and don’t fight back. The dispute letters force collectors to actually investigate each tenant’s claims: Was there really a working pool? Were the utility bills calculated correctly? Did the landlord properly maintain the building? Those investigations cost time and money.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Meanwhile, copies of the letters can go to state attorneys general and government regulators, creating the possibility that continued collection efforts could trigger enforcement actions against both landlords and debt collectors.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Their campaign is focusing specifically on corporate landlords, particularly national real estate investment trusts, like Essex Property Trust, Avalon Bay, and Equity Residential. These publicly traded companies that own thousands of rental units face different incentives than small landlords. They have shareholders to answer to, quarterly earnings calls to navigate, and reputational concerns that can make them more vulnerable to sustained campaign pressure. Equity Residential, one of the largest in the country, owns over 300 buildings nationwide and reported <a href="https://companiesmarketcap.com/equity-residential/revenue/">$2.98 billion in revenue</a> in 2024.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">McKenna, of Equity Residential, told Vox their “longstanding approach is to work with residents to resolve issues whenever possible, while balancing our responsibility to maintain safe and livable communities for all.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">While the rental debt tool could work with any landlord, organizers view the national trusts as more promising targets. Their broader strategy involves connecting isolated debtors to build coordinated campaigns — turning scattered individual cases into organized pressure that makes debt forgiveness more attractive than ongoing public scrutiny.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A national crisis with a weakened federal response</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Ferrer, the Debt Collective organizer, says he hopes their tool will shed greater light on just how much back rental debt exists across the US.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Activists know that such debt <a href="https://www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/frbp/assets/community-development/reports/household-rental-debt-during-covid-19-update-for-2021.pdf">accumulated during Covid-19</a> eviction moratoriums, which prevented landlords from removing tenants but did nothing to stop their rent tabs from growing. But even more people — like Tay’Laur and Tai’Leah Paige — have seen their debts skyrocket in the period after the pandemic.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The rental debt crisis also reflects complex dynamics that go beyond corporate practices. In states with strong tenant protections like California, some tenants can remain in units for months during eviction proceedings while rent continues to accrue, and distinguishing between legitimate grievances and attempts to avoid paying rent that is genuinely owed can be challenging. Landlords also face continuing expenses for mortgages, maintenance, and taxes that don’t pause when rent disputes arise.</p>

<figure class="wp-block-pullquote"><blockquote><p>Despite its scale and detrimental impact on housing stability, rental debt has received considerably less policy attention than other forms of household obligations.</p></blockquote></figure>

<p class="has-text-align-none">While overall debt collection items on credit reports have declined, rental debt collection has increased nationwide, Chi Chi Wu, the director of Consumer Reporting and Data Advocacy at the National Consumer Law Center, told Vox.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">A TransUnion report found the most significant change in debt collection during 2022 was this <a href="https://www.nclc.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/JunkFees-Rpt.pdf">surge in rental debt</a>. Thirty-three percent of the 113 third-party debt collection companies surveyed collected “tenant/landlord or rental debt” that year, compared to just 7 percent in 2021, 5 percent in 2020, and 8 percent in 2019.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Despite its scale and detrimental impact on housing stability, rental debt has received considerably less policy attention than other forms of household obligations. Medical debt, student loan debt, and even school lunch debt have all sparked federal attention and proposed legislative reform. Rental debt, by contrast, has largely remained invisible in national policy discussions, relegated to local housing courts and state-by-state tenant protection laws.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The timing of the rent debt strike comes at a particularly vulnerable moment for consumer protection. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which had been actively investigating debt collection practices and rental housing issues, saw its enforcement powers significantly curtailed when the Trump administration took office. “You had an active agency trying to look out for renters,” Wu said, “and now you don’t have people making sure landlords are not engaged in abusive practices.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And <a href="https://www.vox.com/23140987/evictions-housing-rent-assistance-erap-tenant">emergency rental assistance programs</a> that helped keep millions of families housed during the pandemic have been largely depleted, leaving tenants with fewer options when facing eviction.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">This enforcement vacuum has left tenants navigating an often predatory landscape on their own. Rental debt can trap people in cycles of housing insecurity; when landlords report unpaid rent to credit agencies, it can create new barriers to securing housing that can last for years.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">While most landlords do not regularly report rent payments, they frequently refer unpaid rent to collection agencies, many of whom regularly report debts to credit bureaus. This creates what consumer advocates call <a href="https://www.rocketmoney.com/learn/debt-and-credit/what-is-debt-parking">a “parking” strategy</a>, where debt collectors rely on credit damage rather than active collection efforts to induce payment.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The strategy works because roughly 90 percent of landlords now use <a href="https://www.howhousingmatters.org/articles/oversight-tenant-screening-companies-may-change-heres-what-landlords-and-renters-should">tenant screening reports</a> before approving applications. One rental debt entry can knock someone out of the running for an apartment, even if the debt is disputed or came from circumstances beyond their control.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Housing advocates argue the system punishes people for being poor while enriching landlords and debt collectors. Fees and interest often dwarf the original debt, creating obligations that become impossible to pay while covering basic living expenses.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The system also amplifies existing inequalities. Black and Latino families face higher eviction rates and typically have less savings to fall back on during financial emergencies, making them more likely to end up in rental debt collections.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Testing a new strategy</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The rental debt strike borrows from the successful student debt playbook: small groups generating national media attention, moral framing that shifts blame from individuals to institutions, and strategic targeting of powerful actors’ alleged misconduct. Student debt organizers won substantial victories — $188.8 billion in <a href="https://www.nasfaa.org/news-item/35444/Biden_Administration_Announces_Final_Student_Loan_Debt_Relief_Approvals">forgiveness for 5.3 million borrowers</a> under the Biden administration — through federal program fixes, rule changes, and sustained pressure on government agencies.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Rental debt organizers face a more complex landscape of private corporations, state courts, and credit agencies, while representing low-income tenants who historically receive less public sympathy than college graduates. Their bet is that corporate landlords will respond faster than federal bureaucracies to reputation and shareholder pressure, and focusing attention on rental debt could build public sympathy at a time when housing costs have become most American families’ biggest monthly stress.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">With federal consumer protections weakened and emergency assistance programs exhausted, the rental debt strike will test whether organized resistance can create enough pressure to make debt forgiveness preferable to continued collection efforts.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“We need higher pay so that the people can afford their homes [and] we have to show more empathy to not only the working class, but to the growing community of homeless,” Tay’Laur Paige said. “I hope that this strike will inspire other people to go on strike if they need to, but I also hope that it’ll also just [create] a domino effect with corporate greed.”&nbsp;</p>
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				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
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			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Trump manages to disappoint nearly everyone with his new IVF plan]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/465014/trump-ivf-fertility-birth-rate-pregnancy-women-reproductive-rights" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=465014</id>
			<updated>2025-10-17T14:55:53-04:00</updated>
			<published>2025-10-17T12:20:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Health Care" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[One of President Donald Trump’s boldest campaign pledges was to make in vitro fertilization (IVF) completely free. Yesterday, the Trump administration released its long-awaited proposals — which come nowhere near making IVF free, or even significantly more affordable.  That promise, a late gamble to win back women voters aggrieved by the GOP’s hostile stances on reproductive [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="Trump sits behind his desk, with an array of Republican leadership behind him." data-caption="US President Donald Trump prepares to deliver remarks from the Oval Office on plans to expand vitro fertilization (IVF) access. | Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/10/gettyimages-2241470902.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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<p class="has-text-align-none">One of President Donald Trump’s boldest campaign pledges was to <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/29/politics/trump-ivf-treatment-proposal/index.html">make in vitro fertilization (IVF) completely free</a>. Yesterday, the Trump administration released its <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/10/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-announces-actions-to-lower-costs-and-expand-access-to-in-vitro-fertilization-ivf-and-high-quality-fertility-care/">long-awaited proposals</a> — which come nowhere near making IVF free, or even significantly more affordable. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">That promise, a late gamble to win back women voters aggrieved by the GOP’s hostile stances on reproductive rights, had been immediately controversial within his own party. Even though <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/05/13/americans-overwhelmingly-say-access-to-ivf-is-a-good-thing/">seven in 10 Americans</a> support access to IVF, some religious conservatives believe the procedure — which involves fertilizing eggs outside the body and then transferring embryos to a womb — violates the sacred connection between sex and conception. They also object to embryos being destroyed in the process. In June 2024, the Southern Baptist Convention, the largest Protestant denomination in the US, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/southern-baptist-convention-opposition-ivf-faithful-women-options-rcna156994">approved a resolution</a> against IVF, and social conservatives have been lobbying the administration for <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/21/us/politics/trump-ivf-restorative-reproductive-medicine.html">more medically fringe “natural” solutions</a> to tackling infertility instead.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Trump’s new proposals fall far short both of his campaign pledge and <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/expanding-access-to-in-vitro-fertilization/">a February executive order</a> soliciting recommendations to “aggressively reduc[e] out-of-pocket and health plan costs” for the treatment. (IVF can cost up to $25,000 per cycle and most patients <a href="https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2478204">undergo multiple cycles to achieve a live birth.</a>) On offer is federal guidance (essentially a suggestion) for employers to provide fertility coverage as a stand-alone, optional benefit, similar to dental or vision insurance. The administration also secured an <a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251016665136/en/EMD-Serono-Announces-Unprecedented-Agreement-with-U.S.-Government-to-Expand-Access-to-IVF-Therapies">agreement</a> with drugmaker EMD Serono to sell common IVF medications at steeply reduced prices through the forthcoming <a href="https://www.vox.com/health/463602/what-is-trump-rx-prescription-pharmaceutical-drugs">TrumpRx.gov portal</a>, a new website where patients can buy prescriptions directly instead of using insurance.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Neither move includes new subsidies, mandates, or funding — meaning most patients will see little to no relief.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The voluntary employer guidance proposal is unlikely to work in practice. First, employers already can offer fertility benefits if they want to. The guidance asks employers to shoulder as much as $25,000 per IVF cycle for an employee’s medical care when many businesses already struggle to provide basic health insurance to staff.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And unlike vision or dental plans, where low costs are spread across most employees, a standalone IVF plan would only attract the small fraction of workers who need expensive treatment, meaning premiums would almost certainly go up for them.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The TrumpRx discounts, meanwhile, would not help most patients. Most people purchase fertility drugs through their health insurance, meaning they can&#8217;t use the TrumpRx site even if its prices are lower. And even for those paying in cash, the discounts target a narrow slice of the overall bill. Drug costs <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/article/ivf-treatment-costs-guide.html">make up a relatively small share</a> of IVF expenses; most costs come from lab work, procedures, and embryo storage. The White House estimates their discounts will save patients <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/10/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-announces-actions-to-lower-costs-and-expand-access-to-in-vitro-fertilization-ivf-and-high-quality-fertility-care/">up to $2,200</a>, or less than one-fifth of the cost of one IVF cycle. Despite the lack of real relief for patients, <a href="https://x.com/CaroleNovielli/status/1978920968245358824">many on</a> <a href="https://x.com/lilagracerose/status/1978901163530453222">the right</a> <a href="https://thembeforeus.substack.com/p/breaking-trump-announces-new-ivf">were not thrilled</a>, either.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Despite <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/17/us/politics/ivf-policy-white-house.html">lobbying pressure</a>, the Trump administration did not back down from vocally embracing IVF, either as a means to help patients experiencing infertility or as a tool to boost the country’s birth rate. When asked at his Thursday press conference what message Trump had for religious conservatives opposed to IVF, the president shrugged it off. “This is very pro-life,” <a href="https://x.com/atrupar/status/1978922200624140776">he replied</a>. “You can&#8217;t get more pro-life than this.”</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What the Trump administration could have done to lower costs</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The president declined to take the more ambitious steps available to him to expand access to IVF.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">One option the administration left on the table was expanding the list of “essential health benefits” — the set of services that all individual and small-group insurance plans must cover, which <a href="https://familiesusa.org/resources/10-essential-health-benefits-insurance-plans-must-cover-under-the-affordable-care-act/">already includes maternity and newborn care</a> — under the Affordable Care Act. The Department of Health and Human Services had the power to&nbsp; require marketplace insurers to cover at least part of the procedure and establish a basic national floor for fertility coverage. New York has already done something similar at the state level, <a href="https://help.justworks.com/hc/en-us/articles/360038129451-NYS-IVF-Mandate">mandating</a> that large-group insurers cover up to three IVF cycles.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Adding IVF to the list of “essential health benefits” wouldn’t have made it free, but it could have reduced the out-of-pocket costs by tens of thousands of dollars, expanding coverage for nearly 50 million Americans. Yet, Republicans <a href="https://www.vox.com/2017/3/23/15031322/the-fight-over-essential-health-benefits-explained">have long fought to weaken or roll back the list of&nbsp; essential health benefits</a>, arguing that the ACA’s coverage requirements drive up premiums and limit consumer choice.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The administration also could have expanded IVF coverage within the federal government’s own health plan, which covers roughly 8 million federal workers, retirees, and their families. The Office of Personnel Management has the authority to require participating insurers to offer fertility benefits, and the Biden administration <a href="https://www.federaltimes.com/fedlife/benefits/2023/03/10/white-house-to-require-more-fertility-treatment-options-for-workforce/">used that same power</a> in 2023 to mandate coverage for egg and sperm freezing.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Beyond executive action, the administration could have pushed Congress for more ambitious measures: tax credits for employers offering fertility benefits, direct federal subsidies for treatment costs, or expanded Medicaid coverage. It declined to spend political capital on any of these solutions.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Applause, outrage, and a familiar pattern</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The rollout of Trump’s proposal was predictably fractured. Fertility groups lauded the White House for publicly championing IVF after months of uncertainty. In a statement, Sean Tipton of the American Society for Reproductive Medicine praised the administration for “using [its] platform to draw attention” to the fertility treatment gap in employer-provided health plans and for working with drug companies to tackle costs. RESOLVE: The National Infertility Association struck a similar tone, <a href="https://19thnews.org/2025/10/trump-ivf-fertility-costs-insurance/">telling The 19th</a> that Trump’s announcement marked “an important step forward.” Back in May, both national organizations said they <a href="https://www.rawstory.com/trump-ivf-2672199251/">had not been consulted</a> by White House officials exploring IVF ideas.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Democrats and abortion rights groups, meanwhile, dismissed the proposals as hollow.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Reproductive Freedom for All president Mini Timmaraju <a href="https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-responds-to-trumps-non-announcement-on-ivf/">said</a> the announcement was another attempt “to gaslight the American public into believing he’ll deliver on empty campaign promises.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Other anti-abortion groups condemned the policy outright.&nbsp; “IVF kills more babies than abortion,” Live Action’s <a href="https://x.com/lilagracerose/status/1978901163530453222">Lila Rose wrote on X</a>, while Students for Life president Kristan Hawkins <a href="https://x.com/KristanHawkins/status/1978918684543352886">said</a> she was <em>“</em>thankful there’s no new healthcare mandate<em>”</em> but called the president’s ideas a disappointment. “It’s time to find real solutions that help families grow and flourish without killing Life in the process,” Hawkins stressed. Other anti-IVF groups like Us Before Them <a href="https://thembeforeus.substack.com/p/breaking-trump-announces-new-ivf">blasted</a> the White House for delivering “a full federal endorsement of an industry that treats children as products to be ordered, screened, stored, and discarded.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Some social conservatives initially tried to <a href="https://x.com/TPCarney/status/1978885504138387702">spin Thursday as a victory</a>, since the administration had avoided more aggressive mandates. “It should be counted as a win for the traditional social conservative movement, which tirelessly pointed out the huge financial, ethical, and moral risks associated with a federal guarantee or mandate of IVF coverage,” Patrick Brown, of the conservative Ethics and Public Policy Center, <a href="https://x.com/PTBwrites/status/1978872440668168561">said</a> on X. He later walked that back slightly, <a href="https://x.com/PTBwrites/status/1978945047463682365">telling me</a> it was perhaps “not a ‘win’ but it’s also definitely not a ‘loss.’”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Still, the expectation that Trump would mandate taxpayer-funded IVF was always far-fetched. Fiscal conservatives had loudly opposed the idea, with senators like Rand Paul calling it <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/donald-trump-plan-mandate-free-ivf-republicans-congress-opposition-rcna170327">“ridiculous”</a> and Lindsey Graham <a href="https://nypost.com/2024/09/02/us-news/sen-lindsey-graham-rejects-trumps-free-ivf-plan-theres-no-end-to-that/">warning of unlimited costs</a>. Even former Trump administration economist Vance Ginn — who used IVF for two of his own children — <a href="https://x.com/VanceGinn/status/1829262107873083697">argued against a government mandate</a>, pointing to soaring deficits and constitutional concerns.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In the end, the winner was Trump, who earned <a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-ivf-drug-fertility-2c168dcc0ec7250db16b0a671aea9db8">glowing</a> <a href="https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-rolls-plan-slash-ivf-costs-american-families-new-pharma-partnership">national</a> <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/10/16/trump-ivf-fertility-drugs/">media coverage</a> for his extremely modest proposals. For most Americans, “making IVF more affordable and accessible” sounds like meaningful progress, even if it falls far short of the campaign promise to make it free. It’s the same performative moderation that has worked for him since the overturn of <em>Roe </em>v. <em>Wade </em>— <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/01/trump-abortion-veto-national-ban-00182091">promising to veto a national abortion ban</a> even as his administration quietly reinstates funding restrictions, backs lawsuits targeting abortion medication, and fills agencies and courts with officials eager to narrow access.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The outcome was predictable: Trump gets credit for tackling a popular issue without spending the political capital to actually solve it.</p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Trump’s new tariffs will slam America’s already brutal housing crisis]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/463115/tariff-trump-housing-affordability-renters-homes-construction-lumber-steel-furniture" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=463115</id>
			<updated>2025-09-29T16:06:12-04:00</updated>
			<published>2025-09-29T12:40:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Donald Trump" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Housing" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Housing in America is about to get more expensive, thanks to new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump that will take effect this Wednesday, October 1.&#160; The new tariffs include a 50 percent tax on imported kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities, 30 percent on upholstered furniture, and 25 percent on heavy trucks used in construction. [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="A man carrying strips of wood for a new home under construction" data-caption="New homes under construction in Vacaville, California, on September 3, 2025. | David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/09/gettyimages-2232929122.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	New homes under construction in Vacaville, California, on September 3, 2025. | David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images	</figcaption>
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<p class="has-text-align-none">Housing in America is about to get more expensive, thanks to new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump that will take effect this Wednesday, October 1.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The new tariffs include a 50 percent tax on imported kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities, 30 percent on upholstered furniture, and 25 percent on heavy trucks used in construction. These will join <a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/trump-tariffs-2025-take-effect-impact-housing-market/">existing tariffs on steel, aluminum, and lumber</a>, which have been driving up construction costs this year. Back in April, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) estimated that tariffs were adding <a href="https://www.nahb.org/advocacy/top-priorities/building-materials-trade-policy/how-tariffs-impact-home-building">about $10,900</a> to the cost of building a typical new home — and that was before the <a href="https://www.vox.com/politics/406820/trump-tariffs-liberation-day-live-updates-global-markets">steep August tariffs</a> took effect. No doubt the October ones will only escalate the problem.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Some companies <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/14/business/tariff-ports-china-trade-stockpile">stockpiled materials</a> before the tariffs kicked in, creating a temporary buffer. But those inventories won’t last forever, and the building industry faces a fundamental challenge: Each additional $1,000 in home construction costs prices <a href="https://www.nahb.org/blog/2025/03/eoe-summary-cost-tariff-uncertainty">out more than 115,000 potential home-buying families</a>, according to NAHB.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">This all comes at the worst possible time. Housing experts estimate the country needs <a href="https://www.fastcompany.com/91239578/housing-market-freddie-mac-3-7-million-home-shortage-root-cause-strained-affordability">at least 3.7 million homes</a> to bring down costs and ease the <a href="https://www.vox.com/housing/460756/affordable-housing-supply-crisis-empty-vacant-baltimore-detroit-rent-homelessness">severe housing shortage</a>. More than 770,000 people were officially <a href="https://www.hudexchange.info/news/hud-releases-2024-ahar-report/">counted as homeless last year</a>, mortgage rates hover <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US30YFRM">around 6.4</a> percent, and <a href="https://www.nahb.org/-/media/NAHB/news-and-economics/docs/housing-economics-plus/special-studies/2025/special-study-households-priced-out-of-the-housing-market-march-2025.pdf?rev=557833ecb28e410c983deb86813645a8">nearly 75 percent</a> of American households can’t afford a median-priced new home. The affordability crisis touches everyone — from renters competing for scarce apartments to homeowners delaying renovations to builders struggling with supply chain chaos. Now, tariffs are pouring fuel on these already raging fires.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>How tariffs hit buyers directly</strong></h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">When Trump slaps a 50 percent tariff on kitchen cabinets from abroad, American importers — not the foreign companies manufacturing the cabinets — pay that tax. They then pass those costs along to builders, who pass them to homebuyers. If a developer was planning to install $15,000 worth of imported cabinets in a new home, they’re now looking at an extra $7,500 in costs. Multiply that across appliances, fixtures, lumber, and steel, and the numbers add up fast.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In total, about <a href="https://www.nahb.org/advocacy/top-priorities/building-materials-trade-policy/how-tariffs-impact-home-building">7 percent</a> of all goods used in new residential construction come from foreign countries, according to NAHB. That might sound small, but it represents $14 billion worth of materials in 2024 alone.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The impact varies dramatically by location. A June <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQ3ENjUmzAepW58YaF8JG3OeuYqBci0Tc5k64yMJFbIJgP2PL9Hl9ug_rWN7jfGGQKljyp_Y0_7HzUu/pubhtml?urp=gmail_link#gid=0">study</a> by the real estate firm Evernest found that tariffs could add anywhere from <a href="https://homenewsnow.com/blog/2025/07/24/study-says-tariffs-will-impact-construction-costs-for-new-homes/">$26,180 to the cost of a new home in Oklahoma to over $100,000 in Hawaii</a>. In expensive markets like California and Massachusetts, the additional costs from tariffs are estimated to exceed $60,000 per home.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The Trump administration, for its part, maintains it holds no blame for whatever affordability crisis renters and homeowners might experience as a result of their trade decisions.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“America’s housing affordability was dramatically worsened by Joe Biden’s open border policies that let tens of millions of illegal migrants walk into the country and overburden housing markets that were already grappling with cumbersome regulatory hurdles,” White House spokesperson Kush Desai told Vox. “The Trump administration is taking a multi-pronged approach to address housing affordability concerns: from mass deportations to deregulation to deflationary policies that are paving the way for further interest rate cuts.”&nbsp;</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Beyond sticker shock: Supply chain chaos</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The tariffs aren’t just making materials more expensive — they’re making them scarcer and harder to predict. This uncertainty is in some ways more challenging for developers than the costs themselves. Developers planning projects months or years in advance suddenly confront moving targets for material prices, and this unpredictability is already showing up in construction data. Single-family housing starts fell <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/us-single-family-housing-starts-near-2-12-year-lows-inventory-bloat-weighs-2025-09-17/">to a near 2.5-year low in August</a>, while permits — a leading indicator of future construction — dropped to levels not seen since April 2023.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Developers have been sounding the alarm. Anthony Hrusovsky of Chicago’s Mavrek Development <a href="https://www.chicagotribune.com/2025/09/23/developers-tariffs-uncertainty/">told the Chicago Tribune</a> recently that tariffs “killed” negotiations with a major equity investor for a planned 25-story, 400-unit project. The tariffs introduced “a level of uncertainty around cost, which had previously been riskless in our eyes.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Gusto, a payroll services firm for small businesses, conducted an annual survey in August and September and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/29/business/trump-tariffs-small-businesses.html">found that 50 percent of companies</a> thought tariffs had hurt their business this year, and 56 percent expected them to do so next year.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Perhaps no material illustrates the tariff trap better than lumber. Canada supplies <a href="https://www.nahb.org/blog/2025/04/lumber-reciprocal-tariffs">roughly 85 percent</a> of all US softwood lumber imports and represents <a href="https://www.nahb.org/blog/2025/04/lumber-reciprocal-tariffs">nearly a quarter</a> of America’s total lumber supply. Last month, the Trump administration more than doubled its 14.5 percent tariff on Canadian lumber <a href="https://www.nahb.org/blog/2025/08/canadian-lumber-cvd-rates">to a rate of 35 percent</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The fact is that American sawmills simply don’t produce enough lumber to meet domestic demand, and it takes time to ramp up production. So homebuilders will face higher costs whether they buy Canadian lumber with tariffs or American lumber from a market with limited supply. And those costs will trickle down to everyone else.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Tariffs hit renters, too</strong></h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Tariffs don’t just hit new construction — they’re expected to drive up renovation costs too. The levies on kitchen cabinets and on furniture mean that updating one’s home could get much more expensive. In effect, homeowners may become much less willing to invest in home improvements, potentially affecting property values and slowing the broader house renovation industry.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">For now, the NAHB is staying relatively quiet. In <a href="https://www.nahb.org/blog/2025/09/tariffs-furniture-cabinets">a statement released on Friday</a>, the homebuilder trade group said they are working to get more details from the administration.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">For renters, the pain from the forthcoming tariffs will be more indirect but no less real. When it becomes more expensive to build apartments, developers build fewer of them. That tightens an already competitive rental market and makes things more costly for tenants. Some would-be homebuyers, priced out by higher home costs and mortgage rates, also remain in the rental market longer, further increasing demand for apartments.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Then there are the ripple effects beyond construction. Tariffs can drive up prices economy-wide, keeping interest rates — and mortgage costs — elevated. Trade uncertainty has already rattled the stock market and slowed economic growth in 2025.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Trump’s affordability promise meets reality</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">These tariff-driven cost increases are particularly maddening because they directly contradict the administration’s stated housing goals. Trump has repeatedly pledged to make housing “affordable again” and <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/delivering-emergency-price-relief-for-american-families-and-defeating-the-cost-of-living-crisis/">has signed executive orders</a> directing agencies to reduce regulations that drive up housing costs.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">But while deregulation might save money on development costs, tariffs are adding thousands of dollars per home. Even if the administration could eliminate 25 percent of regulatory costs — an optimistic scenario — that still might not fully offset the price increases from import taxes. Earlier this month, the Budget Lab at Yale estimated that if current tariff levels remain steady, construction <a href="https://budgetlab.yale.edu/research/state-us-tariffs-september-4-2025">output could go down by 3.8 percent</a> in the long run. And tariff levels are not remaining steady — they’re about to increase.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Another irony is that <a href="https://www.npr.org/2025/07/30/nx-s1-5482794/trump-powell-federal-reserve-fed-interest-rates-independence">Trump has publicly pressured the Federal Reserve</a> to lower interest rates, which would make mortgages cheaper, but his tariff policies make rate cuts less likely by fueling the inflation the Fed is trying to control.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">All of these contradictions become even starker when combined with the administration’s immigration enforcement policies. More than one-third of construction workers are foreign-born, according to 2023 Census data, and in some states — like California and Texas — the share is much higher. The Trump administration’s <a href="https://www.enr.com/articles/60947-ice-raids-create-chilling-effect-on-already-stretched-industry-workforce">immigration raids have already started to affect construction sites</a>, and reports reveal that other foreign-born workers <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/this-construction-project-was-time-budget-then-came-ice-2025-07-28/">have stopped showing up</a> to work out of fear. A July analysis from the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute estimated that construction jobs are likely to be hardest hit from the president’s deportation agenda; the think tank estimated that the industry could shrink <a href="https://www.epi.org/publication/trumps-deportation-agenda-will-destroy-millions-of-jobs-both-immigrants-and-u-s-born-workers-would-suffer-job-losses-particularly-in-construction-and-child-care/">by over 18 percent</a>.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">A 2024 study examining the Secure Communities immigration enforcement program (which was implemented between 2008 and 2013 and removed roughly 400,000 people from the US) found that the average county <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4729511">lost about a year&#8217;s worth of residential construction</a> over four years following enforcement. New homes became 18 percent more expensive within three years, and overall home prices increased 10 percent.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The researchers found that native-born workers didn’t replace deported immigrant workers — in fact, US-born construction jobs also declined. “You need the relatively lower-skilled folks to come in and frame the house before you need the relatively higher-skilled workers to come in and finish the house,” Troup Howard, the lead researcher, told Vox. “And so when you have net losses in those low-skilled occupations, it does lead to a slowdown overall.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">For a country desperate to solve its housing crisis, Trump’s trade war is building a bigger problem, one tariff at a time.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none"></p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Rachel Cohen</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Churches want to build affordable housing. Why are cities stopping them?]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/policy/462799/yigby-housing-affordable-churches-synogogues-congress-rent" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/?p=462799</id>
			<updated>2025-09-26T09:34:05-04:00</updated>
			<published>2025-09-26T06:45:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Homelessness" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Housing" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Churches, synagogues, and mosques own millions of acres of land across the US, but are usually barred from building any housing on their property. Over the last few years, that’s started to change, and on Friday, congressional lawmakers are introducing a bill to exempt houses of worship from restrictive local zoning laws so they can [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<p class="has-text-align-none">Churches, synagogues, and mosques own millions of acres of land across the US, but are usually barred from building any housing on their property. Over the last few years, that’s started to change, and on Friday, congressional lawmakers are introducing a bill to exempt houses of worship from restrictive local zoning laws so they can build affordable homes.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The bipartisan Faith in Housing Act would override local housing rules, relying on Congress&#8217;s authority over interstate commerce <a href="https://www.justice.gov/crt/religious-land-use-and-institutionalized-persons-act">and a federal statute</a> that prevents local governments from unfairly limiting how religious groups can use their land. The bill, sponsored by Reps. Scott Peters (D-CA) and Chuck Edwards (R-NC), would require any new housing built to serve low-income families on average, though individual units could be priced for moderate-income households earning up to 140 percent of the local median income. Up to 5 percent of the homes could be reserved for staff and clergy, but all other units must be made available to anyone regardless of their religious beliefs.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“It&#8217;s not going to generate hundreds of thousands of units, but it&#8217;s going to make the right statement,” Peters told me. “I think there’s always a concern about local control — something the left sometimes describes as ‘community input’ and sometimes on the right as ‘states’ rights’— but what we found is there’s a lot of places that are challenged to provide homes in both red and blue areas, and we hope to find common ground around our values.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The Faith in Housing Act is <a href="https://www.vox.com/housing/355548/housing-yigby-affordable-church-apartments">part of a growing national movement</a> known as “Yes in God’s Backyard” or “YIGBY” that seeks to take advantage of two worsening trends: the country’s growing shortage of affordable homes and the surplus of religious institutions grappling with rising costs and declining memberships. Many faith leaders recognize the win-win potential of YIGBY — by helping to house the homeless and other vulnerable populations, they can better serve their religious mandates, while also developing new sources of income to stabilize their finances.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">The YIGBY movement got its start in San Diego, where advocates focused on ending homelessness worked with <a href="https://www.sandiego.gov/planning/programs/housing/newsrelease191217">lawmakers in 2019</a> to make it easier for churches to build housing without first getting approval from local planning boards. In 2023, California’s legislature approved the <a href="https://cayimby.org/legislation/sb-4/">Affordable Housing on Faith Lands Act</a>, taking San Diego’s concept statewide, and streamlining approvals so housing on church property could no longer be blocked by zoning or environmental objections. The Terner Center at UC Berkeley estimated that <a href="https://ternercenter.berkeley.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Faith-Based-Housing-Updated-October-2023.pdf">more than 47,00 acres of land</a> owned by faith-based organizations across California could potentially be developed into affordable housing.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Building on this momentum, last year, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) introduced the <a href="https://www.banking.senate.gov/newsroom/majority/brown-introduces-yes-in-gods-back-yard-act-to-support-churches-and-other-organizations-developing-affordable-housing">Yes in God’s Backyard Act</a> in Congress to provide technical assistance and grants to religious institutions and local governments interested in the idea. Brown lost his reelection bid, but <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/2720">that federal bill was reintroduced</a> earlier this month, with Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) now at its helm.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">And at least half a dozen states introduced their own YIGBY bills this year, though most saw less success than they’d hoped, mostly due to local governments balking at the idea of states preempting their zoning authority. </p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">In Texas, despite strong support from faith-based groups, including the Texas Catholic Conference of Bishops, their YIGBY bill became associated with a separate fight in North Texas <a href="https://www.keranews.org/news/2025-04-02/epic-city-plano-muslim-community-investigations">over a Muslim community’s plan to develop new housing</a>. Conservative Republicans and Texas Gov. Greg Abbott disavowed the project and accused its backers of promoting Sharia law. The backlash brought down the YIGBY bill along with it.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Felicity Maxwell, the executive director of Texans for Housing, was frustrated at the outcome of her state’s YIGBY bill. She’s encouraged by the new federal legislation to preempt local zoning and says that national-level attention could be what they need to get resistant states like hers to take action.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“Federal preemption is a big deal, so maybe the states then say, ‘Oh, we don’t want the feds to get involved and we’ll figure that out ourselves locally,’” she told me. “Just putting pressure on states is important.”</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">States’ rocky YIGBY efforts in 2025</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Advocates went into the 2025 legislative session feeling relatively optimistic. The case for affordable housing has only gotten stronger and more urgent, and the YIGBY advocacy coalitions were bigger and more diverse than they had been in previous cycles.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Florida saw the most success this year, with lawmakers <a href="https://www.flsenate.gov/Session/Bill/2025/1730">passing a bill</a> that gives cities and counties the authority to approve affordable housing on certain land owned by religious institutions. Their win, however, was significantly watered down from their original goal: a statewide mandate to allow religious institutions to build on any property that they own.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Faced with fierce pushback from local governments worried about losing control, the Florida legislature compromised by allowing localities to either approve projects on a case-by-case basis or establish new citywide rules to allow it. Lawmakers also limited the kind of land that housing could be built on, granting authority only to property that has a house of worship on it or next to it, excluding other parcels of land owned by religious institutions.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“That was the biggest limiting factor,” said Kody Glazer, the chief legal and policy officer for the Florida Housing Coalition. Still, if every local government in Florida agreed to allow churches and temples to build housing on eligible land — a big “if” given the politics of zoning reform — advocates say about 30,000 parcels of land could be unlocked for building.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Glazer is optimistic about the law but anticipates it will take time to educate and inform localities about this new option. The Florida Housing Coalition is currently providing free technical assistance to local governments and helping localities develop best practices, particularly to prevent potential religious discrimination. Miami is set to be the first jurisdiction in the state to approve a city-wide YIGBY policy this fall.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Most other states failed to achieve even a watered-down success.</p>

<figure class="wp-block-pullquote"><blockquote><p>“This is a way for the faith community to demonstrate their values.”</p><cite>Rep. Scott Peters (D-CA)</cite></blockquote></figure>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Texas’s effort failed due to opposition to the Muslim housing development, and though Maxwell, of Texans for Housing, thinks YIGBY could be reintroduced next year, she told me she’s doubtful of its prospects as long as it&#8217;s embroiled in such culture war fights. “Until that rhetoric changes, it just makes it very difficult,” she told me.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">A YIGBY effort failed for its second time in New York this year, despite <a href="http://google.com/search?q=The+Faith-Based+Affordable+Housing+Act&amp;udm=14">the legislation</a> being backed by a <a href="https://nyfaithhousing.org/supporters/">large, statewide coalition</a> of faith leaders. Advocates couldn’t overcome the fierce stigma of any state preemption of zoning rules, and the political backlash to New York’s Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/article/nyc-housing-hochul-long-island-westchester.html">trying to override local zoning</a> in 2023 still hung in the air. “People in Long Island are still shouting, ‘We want local control, not Hochul control,” one New York housing activist told me.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Colorado’s YIGBY effort also failed this year due to opposition from local governments, a blow to Colorado’s Democratic Gov. Jared Polis, who had designated <a href="https://www.cpr.org/2025/05/06/colorado-senate-rejects-yigby-church-school-housing-bill/">YIGBY as a top priority</a> for his administration. The state’s YIGBY bill passed the House but failed in the Senate, with a trade group representing town and city governments <a href="https://www.cml.org/home/publications-news/resource-detail/position-paper-update---hb25-1169-housing-developments-on-faith-and-educational-land-%28-yes-in-god-s-backyard-%29#:~:text=%E2%80%A2%20HB25,in%20the%20nation%20and%20lacks">arguing</a> that requiring cities to allow churches to build housing would “creat[e] a special privileged class of property owners” and “infring[e] on constitutional rule authority to regulate zoning, a matter of local concern.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Advocates also in Virginia failed this year for similar reasons, but they feel more confident of their chances in 2026, not only to pass a YIGBY bill, but to pass a statewide mandate that looks more like California’s rather than Florida’s.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“The strongest opposition is pushback about local control, but I am optimistic that we have done the legwork to get a strong version of YIGBY passed in this next session,” Jessica Sarriot, the co-executive director of Virginians Organized for Interfaith Community Engagement, told me. Sarriot said they’ve since trained over 230 volunteers, had over 45 meetings with lawmakers, and have identified state senators who are willing to push for their bill next year. Next month, organizers and lawmakers <a href="https://secure.everyaction.com/js82cwd78EmBPtJTMlq9Bg2">are gathering for a Sunday rally</a> in Northern Virginia to call for YIGBY legislation.</p>

<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How California’s YIGBY law is going, about two years in</h2>

<p class="has-text-align-none">California’s YIGBY law — also known as SB 4 — took effect at the start of 2024, but the state does not yet have good data on how it’s been working in practice.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Supporters point to some bright spots of the legislation’s impact. For more than three years, the Bethel Presbyterian Community Church in San Leandro had been trying unsuccessfully to clear the local permitting process for authority <a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/www.ffchousing.org/projects/currentprojects__;!!CxwJSw!KOP_EYBJ3u6dZvoNKcnBh0ZeWvkZfJPLTwiJjVcT-PwAQUEc-35y75eKHiONmACbY5Nm49TyVnByXZNK8PC2Cu8$">to build five tiny homes</a> on property the church owned. After SB 4 passed, the leaders were able to get their project approved within two months.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Vox reached out to the office of state Sen. Scott Weiner, the lead sponsor of SB 4, to ask how they think the law is working. Erik Mebust, a spokesperson for Weiner, said that while there’s “still a ton of interest” in the YIGBY projects, “there’s definitely been a lot of challenges.”&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">It can be hard for smaller churches to get their finances together, and many of the groups that might have been able to provide philanthropic support for these projects are currently facing pushback from the Trump administration, which is taking a broad aim at grants tied to diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Plus, there are only a limited number of housing developers willing to work on these types of smaller projects.&nbsp;</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Taryn Sandulyak, a California-based housing developer who specializes in these church housing efforts, told me she gets more calls of interest than her company can take, but she doesn’t know many other developers willing to do these kinds of small parcel developments.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“Generally, the standard developers want is 50, 75, or 100 units, and while there is so much church land, not all of that is big swaths of land,” she said. “Foundations also want to support bigger projects, so there’s not enough funding for projects like this.”</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Sandulyak, however, is optimistic about the potential of YIGBY. Her five-year-old firm has already finished 150 units in partnership with various churches in California, and she noted many mainstream developers take a decade or more to build that many units.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“I think small sites really are a thing that we’re not leveraging enough to end homelessness,” she said.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">Peters, the California Congress member sponsoring the new Faith in Housing Act, knows his bill might spark pushback from people concerned about losing local control, but said he believes it’s important to make a clear statement about what people ought to do for those who need homes.</p>

<p class="has-text-align-none">“In my faith tradition, we remember that Jesus fed the hungry and housed the homeless, and consistent with the mission of churches and synagogues and other religious institutions, this is a way for the faith community to demonstrate their values,” he said. “This is what we value, this is what’s important.”</p>

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