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	<title type="text">Roge Karma | Vox</title>
	<subtitle type="text">Our world has too much noise and too little context. Vox helps you understand what matters.</subtitle>

	<updated>2020-11-04T21:54:20+00:00</updated>

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		<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Los Angeles voters just delivered a huge win for the defund the police movement]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2020/11/4/21549019/measure-j-police-abolition-defund-reform-black-lives-matter-protest-2020-election-george-floyd" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2020/11/4/21549019/measure-j-police-abolition-defund-reform-black-lives-matter-protest-2020-election-george-floyd</id>
			<updated>2020-11-04T16:54:20-05:00</updated>
			<published>2020-11-04T16:27:12-05:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="2020 Presidential Election" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Criminal Justice" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Police Violence" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Los Angeles voters have approved Measure J, also known as &#8220;Reimagine LA County,&#8221; which requires that 10 percent of the city&#8217;s unrestricted general funds &#8212; estimated between $360 million and $900 million per year &#8212; be invested in social services and alternatives to incarceration, not prisons and policing.&#160; As of Wednesday afternoon, with a majority [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="Demonstrators in Los Angeles peacefully protest the Kentucky grand jury decision in the case of Breonna Taylor’s death at the hands of Louisville police, September 24, 2020. | Robert Gauthier/ Los Angeles Times via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Robert Gauthier/ Los Angeles Times via Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/22012770/1228710412.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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	Demonstrators in Los Angeles peacefully protest the Kentucky grand jury decision in the case of Breonna Taylor’s death at the hands of Louisville police, September 24, 2020. | Robert Gauthier/ Los Angeles Times via Getty Images	</figcaption>
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<p>Los Angeles voters have approved Measure J, also known as &ldquo;Reimagine LA County,&rdquo; which requires that 10 percent of the city&rsquo;s unrestricted general funds &mdash; <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-10-30/measure-j-police-reforms">estimated</a> between $360 million and $900 million per year &mdash; be invested in social services and alternatives to incarceration, not prisons and policing.&nbsp;</p>

<p><a href="https://www.latimes.com/projects/2020-los-angeles-county-election-live-results/">As of Wednesday afternoon</a>, with a majority of votes counted, 57.1 percent of voters supported the measure, 42.9 percent opposed, according to <a href="https://results.lavote.net/text-results/4193">the Los Angeles County registrar</a>.</p>

<p>The measure&rsquo;s passage comes at a moment when activists across the US &mdash; including in LA &mdash; have called for defunding police departments. While Measure J isn&rsquo;t directly a defund the police initiative, it was designed as an important first step toward the public health and investment-based model of public safety that animates the defund movement.</p>

<p>A critique often made by police reformers <a href="https://www.vox.com/21312191/police-reform-defunding-abolition-black-lives-matter-protests">of all stripes</a> is that American cities rely <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training">far too heavily</a> on law enforcement to address issues like substance abuse, mental health, and homelessness that would be better handled by social service providers and civilian responders.&nbsp;Thus, they generally agree that some level of funding should be redirected from police department budgets to those alternative service providers.&nbsp;</p>

<p>In practice, that is exactly what Measure J is likely to do. The <a href="http://file.lacounty.gov/SDSInter/bos/supdocs/147585.pdf">measure&rsquo;s language</a> does not explicitly require that the funds for social services and incarceration alternatives must be diverted from law enforcement and the prison system. Nevertheless, in an August board meeting, acting county chief executive Fesia Davenport <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-10-30/measure-j-police-reforms">said</a> that the Sheriff&rsquo;s Department &mdash; which accounts for <a href="https://ceo.lacounty.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/2020-21-Adopted-Budget-Charts.pdf">$2 billion</a> of the existing local budget &mdash; would likely be impacted.</p>

<p>The fact that Measure J echoes demands to defund the police isn&rsquo;t an accident. The charge to support the initiative was led by the Re-Imagine L.A. County coalition: a collection of almost 100 local racial and criminal justice organizations, including Black Lives Matter Los Angeles, progressive political groups, and local unions &mdash; many of which had been at the forefront of the <a href="https://theintercept.com/2019/08/22/los-angeles-county-mental-health-facility-abolition/">successful organizing effort</a> to stop LA County&rsquo;s $2.2 billion jail expansion plan in 2019.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Measure J answers county voters&rsquo; call for true structural change by ensuring through a charter amendment that dollars from existing county funds are dedicated to the priority programs and services our Black and Brown communities need for an equitable future,&rdquo; Eunisses Hernandez, co-chair of Re-Imagine L.A. County, <a href="https://patch.com/california/los-angeles/measure-j-election-results-los-angeles-2020">told</a> Patch. &ldquo;Measure J invests in jobs, rather than jails; in people, rather than punishment; and in mental health rather than incarceration.&rdquo;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How Measure J will work, briefly explained</h2>
<p>Measure J will amend LA county&rsquo;s charter, requiring the local Board of Supervisors to allocate a 10th of its <a href="https://ceo.lacounty.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/2020-21-Adopted-Budget-Charts.pdf">roughly $8.8 billion discretionary local budget</a> to programs and services that fall within one of two categories: &ldquo;direct community investment,&rdquo; which includes affordable housing, job training, and investments in minority-owned businesses; and &ldquo;alternatives to incarceration,&rdquo; which includes restorative justice programs, mental health and substance abuse disorder treatment, and prison reentry initiatives.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The measure prohibits the city from using any of those funds on law enforcement or incarceration. And it explicitly dictates that the new funds &ldquo;cannot supplant&rdquo; existing social service or alternatives to incarceration spending &mdash; they must be taken from elsewhere.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Crucially, Measure J is not simply a one-off budgetary concession; it codifies the 10 percent funding mandate into law with no sunset clause. For supporters, this is the measure&rsquo;s most important feature: LA County will be required to continue funding alternatives to policing and incarceration in perpetuity, long after immediate political pressure for police reform dies down.&nbsp;</p>

<p>It&rsquo;s &ldquo;something that&rsquo;s going to outlive me, it&rsquo;s going to outlive you, and it hopefully impacts the communities that come after us,&rdquo; Hernandez <a href="https://newrepublic.com/article/159905/ballot-initiative-change-think-defunding-police">told</a> the New Republic.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-08-04/l-a-county-will-vote-on-whether-to-reimagine-government-spending">approved</a> placing the measure on the ballot by a vote of 4-1 in early August. That decision was largely in response not only to the protest  movement for racial justice that rose to new prominence this summer, but to pressure by groups like the <a href="https://yesonj.reimagine.la/">Re-Imagine L.A. Coalition</a>,</p>

<p>The measure went on to<strong> </strong>garner public support from numerous local and statewide officials like LA Mayor Eric Garcetti, California Rep. Adam Schiff, and California&rsquo;s Secretary of State Alex Padilla, as well as community leaders like Dolores Huerta, organizations like the Los Angeles County Democratic Party, and major publications like <a href="https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-09-28/yes-measure-j">the LA Times</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Meanwhile,<strong> </strong>Measure J drew sharp opposition from local law enforcement leaders who argued it is a thinly veiled attempt to defund the police. Earlier this year, LA Sheriff Alex Villanueva took to <a href="https://www.facebook.com/watch/live/?v=309753690178503&amp;ref=watch_permalink">social media </a><a href="https://twitter.com/LACoSheriff/status/1285718712243412992?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1285718712243412992%7Ctwgr%5Eshare_3&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.latimes.com%2Fcalifornia%2Fstory%2F2020-10-30%2Fmeasure-j-police-reforms">to warn</a> that if the amendment passes, the measure would lead to de facto<em> </em>cuts to law enforcement budgets, resulting in patrol station closures, officer layoffs, and a dystopian future in which the streets of LA would look &ldquo;like a scene from <em>Mad Max</em>.&rdquo;  The Association for Los Angeles Deputy Sheriffs alone has spent <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-11-03/2020-la-election-tracking-measure-j">more than $3.5 million</a> on campaign advertising aimed at convincing the public that Measure J&rsquo;s goal is to defund the police.</p>

<p>The advocates pushing for Measure J, however, have avoided framing the initiative in those terms. The rhetoric of defunding the police is completely absent from the campaign&rsquo;s <a href="https://yesonj.reimagine.la/">website</a> and <a href="https://www.socalgrantmakers.org/sites/default/files/files/news/Reimagine_la_funder_call_-_slide_deck_08.20.20%20%282%29.pdf">outreach materials</a>. Instead, the campaign&rsquo;s messaging has focused almost entirely on the benefits of increased investment in underserved Black and brown communities.</p>

<p>That was a likely strategic decision by the Re-Imagine LA County coalition. <a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-like-the-ideas-behind-defunding-the-police-more-than-the-slogan-itself/">National polls</a> from this summer indicate that voters largely support investing in social services and policing alternatives; however, direct questions about defunding or abolishing the police are often&nbsp;opposed by majorities. For instance, a June <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-minneapolis-police-poll-exclusive/exclusive-most-americans-including-republicans-support-sweeping-democratic-police-reform-proposals-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKBN23I380">Reuters/Ipsos poll</a> found that 76 percent of respondents supported proposals to shift money from policing to social services but only 39 percent supported &ldquo;defunding the police.&rdquo; And <a href="https://www.socalgrantmakers.org/sites/default/files/files/news/Reimagine_la_funder_call_-_slide_deck_08.20.20%20%282%29.pdf">polling</a> done by the Re-Imagine L.A. County coalition and the local polling outfit Evitarus in LA county found similar results.</p>

<p>In a year when most major cities have responded to nationwide protests by <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-city-budget-police-defunding/">increasing their police budgets</a> and others have <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/26/us/politics/minneapolis-defund-police.html">walked back</a> or <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/30/nyregion/nypd-budget.html">circumvented</a> their commitments to slash police spending, the strategic choice to frame Measure J as an investment &mdash; and develop a ballot initiative that does not explicitly cut police funding &mdash; could explain why the initiative has succeeded where so many others have failed.</p>

<p>Supporters also point to the <a href="https://theintercept.com/2019/08/22/los-angeles-county-mental-health-facility-abolition/">successful efforts</a> of local organizers to stop LA County&rsquo;s $2.2 billion jail expansion plan in 2019 and push local government to develop the county&rsquo;s <a href="https://lacalternatives.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/ATI2-pager-11-FINAL.pdf">Alternatives to Incarceration Workgroup report</a> as laying the political and coalitional  foundation for Measure J&rsquo;s eventual victory.</p>

<p>Voters confirmed the efficacy of that strategy this week. The passage of Measure J is perhaps the most significant victory for the police reform movement since this summer&rsquo;s protests.</p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Poll: The majority of Trump voters don’t see Covid-19 as an important election issue]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2020/10/25/21532166/pew-poll-republicans-democrats-coronavirus-issue-election-economy-polarization" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2020/10/25/21532166/pew-poll-republicans-democrats-coronavirus-issue-election-economy-polarization</id>
			<updated>2020-10-25T18:31:19-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-10-25T12:20:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="2020 Presidential Election" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Covid-19" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Health" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[A new Pew Research Center poll has found a stark partisan difference in views on the importance of the coronavirus pandemic in the days before the presidential election. The poll, taken from October 6 to 12, found that only 24 percent of registered voters who support Trump view the pandemic as a &#8220;very important&#8221; voting [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="President Donald Trump speaks to a mostly maskless crowd at his Make America Great Again rally in Erie, Pennsylvania, on October 20. | Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21987723/1229191094.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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	President Donald Trump speaks to a mostly maskless crowd at his Make America Great Again rally in Erie, Pennsylvania, on October 20. | Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images	</figcaption>
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<p><a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/10/21/only-24-of-trump-supporters-view-the-coronavirus-outbreak-as-a-very-important-voting-issue/?utm_source=Pew+Research+Center&amp;utm_campaign=43bfff467e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_10_23_02_31&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_3e953b9b70-43bfff467e-400906701">A new Pew Research Center poll</a> has found a stark partisan difference in views on the importance of the coronavirus pandemic in the days before the presidential election.</p>

<p>The poll, taken from October 6 to 12, found that only 24 percent of registered voters who support Trump view the pandemic as a &ldquo;very important&rdquo; voting issue in the 2020 election, compared to 82 percent of Biden supporters. The highest issue of concern for Trump voters, by far, was the economy &mdash; 84 percent named that as being &ldquo;very important&rdquo; (a reasonably high number of Biden supporters, 66 percent, agreed).</p>

<p>The poll asked registered voters about six issues &mdash; abortion, health care, foreign policy, the economy, the coronavirus pandemic, and Supreme Court appointments &mdash; and found that Biden and Trump supporters viewed most issues with relatively equal importance. Two interrelated issues were clear exceptions: health care, an issue Biden supporters were 38 percentage points more likely to view as &ldquo;very important,&rdquo; and the pandemic, which boasted an even larger 58 percentage point gap.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21986599/Pew_1.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Pew Research Center" />
<p>So far, more than 220,000 Americans have died from Covid-19 and roughly 1,000 continue to die every day. States like <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/7/8/21311347/arizona-coronavirus-pandemic-covid-outbreak">Arizona</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/21523259/wisconsin-covid-coronavirus-cases-tony-evers-trump-democrats-republicans">Wisconsin</a>, and <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/7/17/21324398/florida-coronavirus-covid-cases-deaths-outbreak">Florida</a> &mdash; all of which voted for Trump in 2016 &mdash; have experienced some of the worst outbreaks in the US. As my colleague German Lopez <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/9/17/21443658/trump-coronavirus-covid-19-deaths-blue-states">points out</a>, if Republican-leaning states alone were a country, they&rsquo;d be in the top 10 for Covid-19 deaths among developed nations.</p>

<p>And the worst may be yet to come: On Friday, the US reported a <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/10/24/21531806/coronavirus-cases-us-record-day">single-day record of confirmed coronavirus cases</a>, over 85,000 &mdash; surpassing the previous high from July by over 10,000 cases.<strong> </strong>Saturday, the new confirmed case count nearly matched that record high,<strong> </strong><a href="https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/1320128199230062592?s=20">topping 83,000</a>. With <a href="https://www.vox.com/21523039/covid-coronavirus-third-wave-fall-winter-surge">case loads</a> and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/23/us/covid-hospitalizations.html">hospitalizations</a> already at dangerously high levels, epidemiologists have expressed concern that this <a href="https://www.vox.com/21523039/covid-coronavirus-third-wave-fall-winter-surge">&ldquo;third wave&rdquo;</a> of Covid-19 cases could be the most deadly yet.&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Trump has stressed the economy over pandemic response</h2>
<p>A second <a href="https://www.journalism.org/2020/10/07/before-trump-tested-positive-for-coronavirus-republicans-attention-to-pandemic-had-sharply-declined/">Pew poll</a>, released earlier this month, may give some insight into why many Trump supporters don&rsquo;t see the coronavirus as an important issue in the upcoming election.</p>

<p>The survey found that 68 percent of Republicans think the US has controlled the Covid-19 outbreak &ldquo;as much as it could have&rdquo; versus 11 percent of Democrats; it also found that 66 percent of Republicans think the Covid-19 outbreak has been made out to be a &ldquo;bigger deal than it really is,&rdquo; while just 15 percent of Democrats said the same.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21986600/Pew_2_.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Pew Research Center" />
<p>This poll reflects a narrative advanced by President Donald Trump: that his administration had done everything possible to control the coronavirus outbreak &mdash; and that the coronavirus was never as serious as media, experts, and Democratic politicians made it out to be.</p>

<p>Throughout the pandemic, Trump has praised himself and his administration for having done a <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1315414353105960960?s=20">&ldquo;phenomenal job&rdquo;</a> handling the crisis. In Thursday&rsquo;s presidential debate, Trump cited a model that forecast US deaths if the country took no coronavirus prevention measures, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/23/how-many-coronavirus-deaths-are-truly-attributable-trump/">claiming</a> that &ldquo;2.2 million people, modeled out, were expected to die,&rdquo; misleadingly<strong> </strong>suggesting that his administration&rsquo;s response had saved approximately 2 million lives.</p>

<p>In that same debate, he claimed that &ldquo;700,000 people would be dead right now&rdquo; under a Biden administration &mdash; a death toll that would have required Biden to do less to stop the virus than the Trump administration has (Biden&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.vox.com/coronavirus-covid19/2020/9/28/21451418/joe-biden-covid-19-plan-policy">coronavirus plan</a> calls for doing more). Vice President Mike Pence pursued a <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/vice-presidential-debate-2020-fact-checking-harris-pence-n1242501">similar line of attack</a> at the vice presidential debate<strong> </strong>in early October.</p>

<p>Besides praising his response,<strong> </strong>Trump has also consistently played down the seriousness of the coronavirus. In the last presidential debate, he responded to a question about the virus by <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/10/23/21530339/trump-biden-debate-highlights-coronavirus">saying</a>, &ldquo;We&rsquo;re learning to live with it.&rdquo; On Saturday alone, Trump <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1320016181734993920?s=20">tweeted</a> that the record-setting number of new cases in the US is being overhyped, <a href="https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1320053682759663622">claimed</a> that the virus would magically disappear after the election, and <a href="https://twitter.com/charlesornstein/status/1320203576187211776?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1320203576187211776%7Ctwgr%5Eshare_3%2Ccontainerclick_1&amp;ref_url=about%3Asrcdoc">pushed a baseless conspiracy theory</a> that doctors and hospitals are inflating the Covid-19 death count for profit.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The US has had 300,000 excess deaths this year. So far. Blame what you want. This has been a very deadly year. And that’s at least in part due to COVID. <a href="https://t.co/P5YQUS0Tdq">https://t.co/P5YQUS0Tdq</a> <a href="https://t.co/jsc6AlIrz5">https://t.co/jsc6AlIrz5</a></p>&mdash; Charles Ornstein (@charlesornstein) <a href="https://twitter.com/charlesornstein/status/1320203576187211776?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 25, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure>
<p>Meanwhile, Trump has repeatedly pushed to completely reopen the US economy. Echoing a claim he&rsquo;s been making <a href="https://www.vox.com/coronavirus-covid19/2020/3/27/21193879/coronavirus-covid-19-social-distancing-economy-recession-depression">since March</a>, the president said at Thursday&rsquo;s debate, &ldquo;The cure cannot be worse than the problem itself, and that&rsquo;s what&rsquo;s happening. &#8230; We can&rsquo;t keep this country closed. This is a massive country with a massive economy.&rdquo;</p>

<p>From the outside, it&rsquo;s easy to view Trump&rsquo;s constant downplaying of the pandemic as political suicide &mdash; the sort of behavior that will entrench opposition to the president and potentially cause his supporters to abandon him come November. But the Pew polls released this month appear to tell a different story. Trump&rsquo;s blatant denial of the coronavirus reality &mdash; and his focus on reopening the economy &mdash; isn&rsquo;t turning his base off; to the contrary, it reflects what they already believe about the pandemic.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Political polarization affects views on Covid-19 — but it has its limits</h2>
<p>The <a href="https://guilfordjournals.com/doi/abs/10.1521/soco.1990.8.1.125">academic</a> <a href="https://ps.au.dk/fileadmin/Statskundskab/Billeder/Forskning/Forskningsprojekter/POLIS/Documents/APSR2013.pdf">literature</a> on political polarization points to a simple explanation for the massive divergence in public opinion on the coronavirus, Pew&rsquo;s pollsters detected: Partisans don&rsquo;t evaluate the world objectively; they take cues from the leaders and media sources who they trust. Drawing on the work of political scientist Sara Wallace Goodman, my colleague <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/1/21308809/covid-19-coronavirus-2020-trump-election-polls-polarization">Ezra Klein explained</a> this phenomenon with regard to partisan divergence on mask-wearing earlier this year:</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>Sara Wallace Goodman, a political scientist at the University of California Irvine, has been part of a team repeatedly surveying the same group of Americans to see how their behaviors and attitudes have changed over the course of the virus. Even controlling for factors like the prevalence of the disease in the place respondents live, Wallace Goodman and her colleagues find a significant and growing partisan gap in terms of fear of the disease, perceived safety of different behaviors, and preferred policy solutions.</p>

<p>The key to understanding this, Wallace Goodman says, is that &ldquo;when people are operating in areas of high misinformation and lack of information, they take cues. We can only be rational if our leaders are rational. If you see the president not wearing a mask in meetings, you&rsquo;re going to model what he does.&rdquo;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The same goes for whether you think the importance of the coronavirus pandemic has been overblown, or whether you think the US did everything it could to control the virus. Because few Democrats or Republicans have personally conducted investigations into these issues, the differences in opinion between them hinge on which leaders and institutions they trust. Liberals tend to take their cues from epidemiologists and science journalists &mdash; or from political leaders and media outlets that defer to their expertise. Conservatives often take their cues from Fox News, Trump, and other leaders and news outlets who are often skeptical of &mdash; or downright hostile toward &mdash; those experts.</p>

<p>In fact, when the <a href="https://www.journalism.org/2020/10/07/before-trump-tested-positive-for-coronavirus-republicans-attention-to-pandemic-had-sharply-declined/">same Pew poll </a>that evaluated partisan opinions on Covid-19&rsquo;s seriousness asked respondents about their primary news sources, it unveiled some striking findings. Among Republicans whose primary news sources are Fox News or talk radio, 78 percent thought the seriousness of Covid-19 has been exaggerated, and 90 percent believed the US has done everything it can to control the virus. Republicans who consume a more diverse array of news sources have considerably lower numbers on both counts.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21987462/Pew_4.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Pew Research Center" />
<p>None of this means Trump&rsquo;s dismissive rhetoric and response to Covid-19 will ultimately help him come November. The president has <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/9/2/21409364/trump-approval-rating-2020-election-voters-coronavirus-convention-polls">not enjoyed</a> the same kind of <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/4/30/21231217/trump-cuomo-whitmer-coronavirus-covid-19-approval-rating-polls-world-leaders-governors">pandemic polling bump</a> that peer country leaders and US governors have received. He still lags behind former Vice President Joe Biden by about <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/national/">9 percentage points</a> in national polls just over a week before the election. Trump also appears to be <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/9/2/21409364/trump-approval-rating-2020-election-voters-coronavirus-convention-polls">lacking support</a> among older voters in key swing states like Florida that have been especially hard-hit by the pandemic.</p>

<p>One reason for this appears to be that while Trump&rsquo;s rhetoric on the coronavirus clearly appeals to Republican voters, it seems far less effective at winning over swing voters.</p>

<p>According to <a href="https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/report/kff-health-tracking-poll-september-2020/">a September Kaiser Family Foundation poll</a>, the coronavirus outbreak is the<em> </em>most important 2020 election issue for 15 percent of undecided voters.&nbsp;And recent polling across seven swing states &mdash; Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas &mdash; by the <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-biden-poll-coronavirus-swing-voters-battleground-abandon-president-2020-10">conservative polling firm CT Group</a> found that 56 percent of former Trump voters who no longer planned to vote for the president cited his pandemic response as a major factor in reconsidering their support for him.</p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[The police shooting of Marcellis Stinnette and Tafara Williams, an unarmed Black couple, explained]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2020/10/24/21531740/fbi-doj-investigation-waukegan-illinois-chicago-police-killing-jacob-blake" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2020/10/24/21531740/fbi-doj-investigation-waukegan-illinois-chicago-police-killing-jacob-blake</id>
			<updated>2020-10-25T20:07:51-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-10-24T17:45:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Criminal Justice" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Life" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Police Violence" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Race" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[On the evening of Tuesday, October 20, a police officer opened fire on an unarmed Black couple who were inside their car in Waukegan, Illinois, a city just north of Chicago. The officer killed 19-year old Marcellis Stinnette and badly injured his girlfriend, 20-year-old Tafara Williams, who remains in the hospital.&#160; The officer who shot [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="Trevor Williams, the father of Tafara Williams, marches with demonstrators in Waukegan, Illinois, on October 22, to protest the police shooting of his daughter and her boyfriend. | Scott Olson/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Scott Olson/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21986268/1281709379.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	Trevor Williams, the father of Tafara Williams, marches with demonstrators in Waukegan, Illinois, on October 22, to protest the police shooting of his daughter and her boyfriend. | Scott Olson/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>On the evening of Tuesday, October 20, a police officer opened fire on an unarmed Black couple who were<strong> </strong>inside their car in Waukegan, Illinois, a city just north of Chicago. The officer killed 19-year old Marcellis Stinnette and badly injured his girlfriend, 20-year-old Tafara Williams, who remains in the hospital.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The officer who shot Williams and Stinnette &mdash; a Hispanic, five-year veteran of the Waukegan police department who remains unidentified &mdash; <a href="https://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/lake-county-news-sun/ct-lns-feds-waukegan-investigation-st-1024-20201023-sxahsjyqirdw7nlzcdz64upe5i-story.html">was fired</a> late Friday, according to Waukegan Chief of Police Wayne Walles. The shooting is being investigated by the Illinois State Police, and the Federal Bureau of Investigation is also reviewing it, according to <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/nbcblk/waukegan-police-shooting-killed-black-19-year-old-leads-firing-n1244637">a statement from the local prosecutor</a>, Lake County State&rsquo;s Attorney Michael Nerheim.</p>

<p>The federal investigations were called for by demonstrators led by the Stinnette and Williams families, who have also demanded<strong> </strong>that local authorities release footage of the incident to the public.</p>

<p>&ldquo;The police cannot police the police. They cannot investigate. And they cannot give us fair justice if it&rsquo;s one of their own. And yes, we are seeking justice for Marcellis Stinnette,&rdquo; Satrese Stallworth, a relative of Stinnette, <a href="https://www.wbez.org/stories/family-members-activists-call-for-outside-investigation-into-waukegan-police-shooting/5557cc46-ec2b-41e1-9501-30533cc86166">said</a> at a rally in front of the Waukegan city hall Thursday afternoon.</p>

<p>The shooting of Stinnette and Williams took place just 16 miles south of Kenosha, Wisconsin, where local protests reignited national unrest in late August, after 29-year-old Black man Jacob Blake was left partly paralyzed when a white police officer shot him seven times in the back. Multiple members of Blake&rsquo;s family attended Thursday&rsquo;s rally in Waukegan.</p>

<p>And the Waukegan shooting comes just days after the third-degree murder charges for Derek Chauvin, the police officer whose killing of George Floyd in Minneapolis sparked this summer&rsquo;s national wave of protests, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/10/22/21528919/george-floyd-derek-chauvin-charges">were dismissed</a>.</p>

<p>&ldquo;All of our families are standing together &mdash; we are one family and we are united,&rdquo; Letetra Widman, Blake&rsquo;s sister, said at the rally Thursday. &ldquo;We will not allow you all to just treat them like they&rsquo;re nothing, just because they didn&rsquo;t have a viral video, just because their name isn&rsquo;t in lights. We&rsquo;re going to share this spotlight.&rdquo;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What we know about the shooting </h2>
<p>While the Waukegan Police Department has confirmed that body and squad car camera footage of the shooting does exist, they say it will not be released to the public until after a full investigation takes place &mdash; a process that could take weeks or months to complete. Most of the information available about the shooting comes from the police department, the surviving victim, and a handful of witnesses.</p>

<p>According to the Waukegan police, the encounter began at 11:55 pm CT<strong> </strong>on October 20, when authorities received a report of a suspicious vehicle (according to the victims&rsquo; families, the couple was sitting inside their car outside Williams&rsquo;s mother&rsquo;s home). Williams was behind the wheel, and Stinnette was in the passenger&rsquo;s seat.<strong> </strong>Police say an officer attempted to investigate the car when the vehicle unexpectedly fled the scene.</p>

<p>Shortly afterward, a different police officer spotted the car about half a mile away. The officer exited their patrol vehicle, and began walking toward the car. At that point, the police say the couple&rsquo;s car&nbsp;reversed toward the officer, who,&nbsp;&ldquo;in fear for his safety,&rdquo; opened fire into the car with his semiautomatic pistol.&nbsp;The police did not describe how far the officer was from the car, how fast it was moving, or any other details of the shooting, except the fact that no weapons were found inside the car.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Stinnette and Williams were both shot and rushed to a local hospital, where police say Stinnette died shortly thereafter. Williams, who was shot in the stomach and hand, did not sustain life-threatening injuries and continues to receive treatment for her wounds.</p>

<p>Darrell Mosier, a witness to the shooting, recounted <a href="https://abc7chicago.com/woman-shot-by-waukegan-police-speaks-from-hospital-bed/7238921/">a somewhat different version of events</a>, suggesting that Williams had no intention of harming the officer, and that she was merely panicked.</p>

<p>&ldquo;The police officer got out of the car,&rdquo; <a href="https://abc7chicago.com/waukegan-police-shooting-il-news-marcellis-stinnette-tafara-williams/7284888/">Mosier recalled</a>. &ldquo;When he told them to stop, he told her to stop, she was scared. She put up her hands, she started yelling, &lsquo;Why you got a gun?&rsquo; She started screaming. He just started shooting.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Mosier continued, &ldquo;I heard the girl. Her hands went up. She said, &lsquo;I&rsquo;m sorry. I didn&rsquo;t mean it. I didn&rsquo;t mean it. I didn&rsquo;t try to run you over. We got no guns or nothing.&rsquo;&rdquo;</p>

<p>The families of Stinnette and Williams, and Williams herself, have also challenged the police department&rsquo;s account of the shooting.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Why did you shoot?&rdquo; Williams, asked in <a href="https://abc7chicago.com/woman-shot-by-waukegan-police-speaks-from-hospital-bed/7238921/">a video</a> taken from her hospital bed. &ldquo;I didn&rsquo;t do nothing wrong. I have a license. You didn&rsquo;t tell me I was under arrest. Why did you just flame up my car like that? Why did you shoot?&rdquo;</p>

<p>Civil rights attorneys Ben Crump and Antonio Romanucci &mdash; the same lawyers who are representing the families of George Floyd and <a href="https://www.vox.com/21428830/killing-of-daniel-prude-explained-defund-abolish-police">Daniel Prude</a>,<strong> </strong>a Black man who died after a police encounter in Rochester, New York &mdash; have <a href="https://apnews.com/article/shootings-police-chicago-waukegan-illinois-acfc2972a2d421a86662cbb6c593c9c8">agreed to represent</a> Tafara Williams.</p>

<p>In <a href="https://rblaw.net/civil-rights-attorneys-ben-crump-and-antonio-m-romanucci-issue-statement-on-firing-of-waukegan-police-officer-who-shot-a-young-black-couple-killing-one-and-seriously-injuring-another/">a statement released Saturday</a>, the lawyers said the quick action of the Waukegan Police Department in firing the officer was a result of the nationwide movement for police reform, calling it a &ldquo;first step in police accountability.&rdquo; They also promised their own investigation into the shooting.</p>

<p>Crump <a href="https://twitter.com/AttorneyCrump/status/1319811848401715200">tweeted</a> on Friday that his team would share its findings when the investigation is complete. &ldquo;We have seen over and over that the &lsquo;official&rsquo; report when police kill Black people is often missing or misrepresenting details,&rdquo; he wrote.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Tafara Williams has retained <a href="https://twitter.com/BenCrumpLaw?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@BenCrumpLaw</a> regarding this encounter w/ police. We have seen that the ‘official’ report when police kill Black people is often missing or misrepresenting details. We will share our findings when we have uncovered the truth. <a href="https://t.co/WIQItSHJiH">https://t.co/WIQItSHJiH</a></p>&mdash; Ben Crump (@AttorneyCrump) <a href="https://twitter.com/AttorneyCrump/status/1319811848401715200?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 24, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure><h2 class="wp-block-heading">The shooting of Williams and Stinnette is under investigation</h2>
<p>Waukegan police <a href="https://apnews.com/article/shootings-police-chicago-waukegan-illinois-95d5501552010090d6496f9a6da4c001">said Friday</a> that the unidentified officer who shot Williams and Stinnette has been fired for &ldquo;multiple policy and procedure violations.&rdquo;&nbsp;The police officer who initially approached the vehicle, identified only as a white man with five years at the department, has been placed on administrative leave pending the results of the<strong> </strong>Illinois State Police (ISP) investigation.</p>

<p>Michael Nerheim &mdash; the state attorney for Lake County, where Waukegan is located &mdash; <a href="https://apnews.com/article/shootings-police-chicago-waukegan-illinois-95d5501552010090d6496f9a6da4c001">announced</a> late Friday that the US Department of Justice will assist the state of Illinois in the investigation of the shooting of Williams and Stinnette. The Justice Department oversees the FBI, which Nerheim said will review the shooting.</p>

<p>&ldquo;I am confident in the work being done by the Illinois State Police and welcome the assistance of the FBI,&rdquo; he said. &ldquo;As I have said before, once the investigation is concluded, all the evidence will be reviewed and a final decision will be made with respect to any potential charges.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Immediately following the shooting, Nerheim had called on the ISP to conduct an independent investigation, and said that the investigation&rsquo;s findings would be turned over to him to determine whether the officers broke any laws. Nerheim also said that upon the investigation&rsquo;s completion, he would release the entire case file, including any video of the shooting.</p>

<p>But on Thursday, demonstrators organized by the Lake County chapter of Black Lives Matter and led by the families of Stinnette and Williams, criticized the decision to leave the investigation solely up to the ISP, arguing that federal oversight was necessary.<strong>  </strong>A 2018 investigation by <a href="https://interactive.wbez.org/taking-cover/">Chicago public radio station WBEZ and the Better Government Association</a> into 113 suburban police-involved shootings found that the ISP&rsquo;s investigations took an average of 17 months and almost never found the officer to be at fault.</p>

<p>Stallworth, Stinnette&rsquo;s relative, <a href="https://www.dailyherald.com/news/20201023/waukegan-fires-police-officer-who-shot-killed-black-teenager-in-car">told reporters</a> on Friday the family is hopeful about the Department of Justice&rsquo;s involvement.</p>

<p>&ldquo;They were grateful, because we didn&rsquo;t want the police handling this,&rdquo; she said. At the same time, Stallworth said the family also wants the Illinois attorney general&rsquo;s office to handle the case, not Nerheim&rsquo;s office, to ensure the case proceeds fairly and independently.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.dailyherald.com/news/20201023/waukegan-fires-police-officer-who-shot-killed-black-teenager-in-car">Clyde McLemore</a>, the president of the Lake County Black Lives Matter chapter which organized Thursday&rsquo;s rally in Waukegan, says the organization is planning a second, much larger, demonstration on Saturday, October 24, to demand that a different prosecutor be brought in and that the officer&rsquo;s body camera and squad car footage be released to the public. McLemore said he hopes that this case can provide the sort of accountability so often lacking when police officers kill Black citizens.</p>

<p>At the same time, the victims&rsquo; families have acknowledged that the shooting of Williams and Stinnette &mdash; and the response to it &mdash; is about a lot more than one incident. &ldquo;We would like justice,&rdquo; <a href="https://abc7chicago.com/woman-shot-by-waukegan-police-speaks-from-hospital-bed/7238921/">said</a> Zhanellis Banks, Stinnette&rsquo;s sister. &ldquo;But we also would like police reform.&rdquo;</p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[To achieve racial justice, America’s broken democracy must be fixed]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/21446880/just-democracy-reform-gun-violence-police-brutality-climate-change" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/21446880/just-democracy-reform-gun-violence-police-brutality-climate-change</id>
			<updated>2020-09-22T16:00:08-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-09-21T10:45:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="2020 Presidential Election" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Life" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Race" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Supreme Court" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Voting Rights" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Maurice Mitchell first became an organizer almost 20 years ago. After a Howard University classmate of his was killed by police officers, Mitchell began campaigning against police brutality and for divestment from private prisons. He would go on to help build the Movement for Black Lives, and today he serves as the national director of [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="People gather at the US Capitol during a peaceful protest against police brutality on June 4, 2020, in Washington, DC. | Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21898769/1217563637.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
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	People gather at the US Capitol during a peaceful protest against police brutality on June 4, 2020, in Washington, DC. | Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images	</figcaption>
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<p>Maurice Mitchell first became an organizer almost 20 years ago. After a Howard University classmate of his was killed by police officers, Mitchell began campaigning against police brutality and for divestment from private prisons. He would go on to help build the Movement for Black Lives, and today he serves as the national director of the Working Families Party, which works to elect progressive candidates to offices across the country.&nbsp;</p>

<p>But Mitchell&rsquo;s sense of the problem has changed over the years.<strong> </strong>He used to think if he could just mobilize enough support and change enough minds, that would be enough to make progress on the issues that mattered most to his community. Now he knows that was wrong. If you want to change the outcomes the political system produces, you need to change the political system itself.</p>

<p>&ldquo;As an organizer, your job is to build collective power in order to improve the lives of people like my mom, a Caribbean working-class person,&rdquo; Mitchell tells me. &ldquo;But when you&rsquo;re doing that organizing, you quickly come up against the structural boundaries and limitations of our political system.&rdquo; He points out that, for instance, despite <a href="https://www.arnoldventures.org/stories/new-polling-finds-extraordinary-bipartisan-support-for-policing-reforms">overwhelming support</a> for police reform in the wake of the national protest movement this summer, Congress has failed to pass a single bill on the subject.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;You can choose to either keep banging your head up against that wall, or break that wall down,&rdquo; he says.</p>

<p>On Monday, Mitchell&rsquo;s Working Families Party joined a total of 30 Black- and brown-led racial justice organizations to form <a href="https://justdemocracy.us/">Just Democracy</a>: a multiracial coalition dedicated to advancing bold structural changes to America&rsquo;s core political institutions.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The coalition is knitted together by a particular shared experience. Its members have all spent years &mdash; decades, even &mdash; building support and organization around the issues that drive them, from police brutality and mass incarceration to gun violence, environmental justice, health care, and reproductive rights. In many cases, they succeeded at generating supermajority public support for policy changes like universal gun background checks, greater accountability for abusive police officers, or a public option for health insurance. Then, over and over again, they watched the political system shrug off public opinion.</p>

<p>The premise of Just Democracy is that those failures aren&rsquo;t aberrations but a direct function of how our political institutions were designed. The Senate and Electoral College systematically underweight the votes of people of color &mdash; and the judiciary operates directly downstream of those biases. Washington, DC, home to the largest plurality of Black Americans in the country, is excluded entirely from federal representation. The filibuster has historically been used to block or delay anti-lynching laws and civil rights legislation, and continues to halt progress on the issues closest to home for marginalized communities.</p>

<p>&ldquo;We all have a shared challenge: a broken democracy,&rdquo; says Stasha Rhodes, the campaign director at 51 for 51, which advocates for DC statehood. &ldquo;Most of us are organizers who for a long time believed that if we got enough people to make phone calls and sent enough emails that change would happen. But how do you fix police violence or gun violence or the criminal justice system when the rules are rigged against you? We are done pretending we are playing in a game with fair rules, so it&rsquo;s time to change the rules.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Just Democracy&rsquo;s members advocate for <a href="https://justdemocracy.us/">four pillars of democracy reform</a>: eliminate the filibuster, pass DC statehood, abolish the Electoral College, and reform the federal court system. Together, they believe these changes are essential first steps toward making American political institutions more representative of the people they are supposed to serve, and ensuring that the needs of Black and brown Americans are met.</p>

<p>&ldquo;For Black and brown folks, fixing our democracy is not some abstract thing,&rdquo; says Stephany Spalding, founder of Truth and Conciliation. &ldquo;The Electoral College, the filibuster, the justices on federal courts impact our lives every day. None of the issues that affect whether we eat at night or how safe we feel in our homes and communities will be addressed if we don&rsquo;t deal first with structural change.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>By bringing together Black- and brown-led organizations focused racial justice to demand structural reform to US political institutions, Just Democracy&nbsp;hopes to send a clear message to the Democratic politicians who want their support: It&rsquo;s no longer enough to claim solidarity with their goals; they must be willing to democratize America to make those goals achievable.&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">American political institutions systematically underweight nonwhite interests</h2>
<p>America is, even as we speak, gripped by a crisis that perfectly illustrates Just Democracy&rsquo;s critique: Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg&rsquo;s death has opened a Supreme Court seat that will likely be filled by a president who lost the popular vote and a Senate majority that represents a minority of Americans &mdash; cementing a conservative majority on the bench <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/9/18/20917757/justice-ginsburg-ruth-bader-ginsburg-dies">for decades to come</a>, with untold ramifications for everything from voting rights to gun control to health care.</p>

<p>Since 2000, 40 percent of presidential elections have been won by the loser of the popular vote. A 2019 study<a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/9/17/20868790/republicans-lose-popular-vote-win-electoral-college"> found</a> that Republicans should be expected to win 65 percent of presidential contests in which they narrowly lose the popular vote, and could potentially win while losing&nbsp;the popular vote by as much as 6 percentage points. And this November, FiveThirtyEight&rsquo;s Nate Silver <a href="https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1301190941110341632">calculates</a> that Democratic nominee Joe Biden only has a 6 percent chance of winning the Electoral College if he wins the popular vote by 0 to 1 points, a 22 percent chance if he wins by 1 to 2 points, and less than a 50 percent chance if he wins by 2-3 points.&nbsp;</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Chance of a Biden Electoral college win if he wins the popular vote by X points:<br><br>0-1 points: just 6%!<br>1-2 points: 22%<br>2-3 points: 46%<br>3-4 points: 74%<br>4-5 points: 89%<br>5-6 points: 98%<br>6-7 points: 99%</p>&mdash; Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) <a href="https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1301190941110341632?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 2, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure>
<p>The Senate is even more extreme. In a 2019 Data for Progress <a href="https://filesforprogress.org/memos/the-senate-is-an-irredeemable-institution.pdf">analysis</a>, Colin McAuliffe found that the Senate has a 3 percentage point tilt toward Republicans (double the 1.5 percent skew in the Electoral College). And that is probably an understatement &mdash;  Silver <a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-senates-rural-skew-makes-it-very-hard-for-democrats-to-win-the-supreme-court/">recently calculated</a> that the Senate is&nbsp;&ldquo;effectively 6 to 7 percentage points redder than the country as a whole.&rdquo;  As my colleague Matt Yglesias <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/12/17/21011079/senate-bias-2020-data-for-progress">points out</a>, in 2014, Republican candidates won 52 percent of the popular Senate vote and gained nine Senate seats; in 2016, Democrats won 54 percent of the vote and gained only two seats; and in 2018, Democrats won 54 percent of the vote and&nbsp;<em>lost</em>&nbsp;two seats.</p>

<p>Because the president appoints federal judges and the Senate confirms them, these biases are also reflected in the judiciary, where the Trump administration has already filled federal court benches with an <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/12/9/20962980/trump-supreme-court-federal-judges">unprecedented number</a> of young, highly ideological conservative judges, including two Supreme Court justices.</p>

<p>It&rsquo;s important to underscore the mechanism that generates and sustains this partisan bias: US political institutions systematically underweight the interests of nonwhite Americans.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p>The Electoral College&rsquo;s Republican tilt is driven, in part, by racial bias. Analyzing the results of the 2016 presidential election, statisticians Andrew Gelman and Pierre-Antoine Kremp <a href="https://www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2016/11/22/13713148/electoral-college-democracy-race-white-voters">found</a> that &ldquo;per voter, whites have 16 percent more power than blacks once the Electoral College is taken into consideration, 28 percent more power than Latinos, and 57 percent more power than those who fall into the other category.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Behind the Senate&rsquo;s partisan tilt is that it overrepresents people living in small states who tend to be whiter, on average, than people living in larger states. California, which has large Black and brown populations, and Wyoming, a predominantly white state, have equal representation in the Senate, despite the former having over 60 times more people than the latter.</p>

<p>The result, as the New York Times&rsquo;s David Leonhardt <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/14/opinion/dc-puerto-rico-statehood-senate.html">calculates</a>, is that the Senate gives the average Black American only 75 percent as much representation as the average white American, the average Asian American 72 percent, and the average Latino 55 percent.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21895906/Data_for_Progress._Electoral_college.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Data for Progress" />
<p>McAuliffe <a href="https://filesforprogress.org/memos/the-senate-is-an-irredeemable-institution.pdf">finds</a> that this racial skew distorts policy preferences on issues ranging from gun control to the minimum wage to environmental policy. For instance, 48 percent of Americans believe controlling gun ownership is more important than protecting gun rights; however, when you weigh voter preferences as the Senate does &mdash; giving equal representation to each state &mdash; support for gun control drops a whopping 5 points, to 43 percent.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Why? Because the Senate overweights the preferences of white Americans, who tend to favor gun rights, and underweights the preferences of Black and brown Americans, who tend to favor gun control. By that same mechanism, McAuliffe finds that support for a $15 minimum wage also drops 5 points (from 58 to 53 percent), and a $100 billion yearly investment in green social housing drops 3 points (63 to 60 percent).&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21895919/Data_for_Progress._Senate.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="" />
<p>Across the board, American political institutions are structured in ways that diminish Black and brown voices, make legislative reform supported by marginalized communities more difficult to get through the system, and ensure that even if those reforms somehow make it through the legislative process, they can be gutted by a hyper-conservative federal judiciary.&nbsp;</p>

<p>This is the status quo that Just Democracy&rsquo;s coalition members aim to change &mdash; and they have a few proposals to do so. First, they want to see DC become America&rsquo;s 51st state, which would give the capital&rsquo;s 700,000 predominantly Black and brown residents the right to vote in federal elections and begin to rebalance the Senate&rsquo;s racial and partisan skew (although it wouldn&rsquo;t <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/22/21293168/dc-statehood-vote-filibuster-supreme-court-joe-biden">come close</a> to fully fixing it).&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The Senate does not represent the diversity of our country,&rdquo; says Rhodes. &ldquo;Out of the over 2,500 senators in American history, only 10 have been Black. If Washington, DC, were to become a state, it would have the largest plurality of Black voters in the country. This is about giving the voters who have been most left out greater equity in an institution that has historically excluded us.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>They also call for getting rid of the Electoral College &mdash; a difficult demand, given that the Electoral College is written into the Constitution. However, as my colleague Ian Millhiser <a href="https://www.vox.com/21336225/voting-rights-senate-electoral-college-gerrymandering-supreme-court">points out</a>, it can be done without a constitutional amendment: If a bloc of states that control a majority of electoral votes all agree to allocate those votes to the winner of the national popular vote, they can effectively neutralize the Electoral College and ensure that the popular vote winner wins the election (this is called the <a href="https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/written-explanation">National Popular Vote Compact</a>).&nbsp;</p>

<p>Third, Just Democracy advocates for reforming the federal court system, beginning with an <a href="https://www.vox.com/21446198/democrats-ruth-bader-ginsburg-trump-supreme-court-packing">expansion of the Supreme Court</a>. There are <a href="https://www.vox.com/the-big-idea/2018/9/6/17827786/kavanaugh-vote-supreme-court-packing">multiple ways</a> to do this, but the aim of each is to reverse the impact that an undemocratically elected Senate and president have made on the courts, prevent future administrations from completely reshaping the entire federal judiciary, and ultimately ensure that the fate of issues closest to home for Black and brown communities aren&rsquo;t dictated by a conservative court majorities for decades to come.</p>

<p>&ldquo;I think what Democrats need to realize is that even if we win back both the Senate and the White House come November, we could lose everything if we don&rsquo;t reform the courts,&rdquo; Rhodes tells me. &ldquo;Voting rights, reproductive justice, gun violence prevention &mdash; every progressive policy is at risk. And the people who are going to bear the brunt of those decisions are Black and brown people.&rdquo;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The reform on which everything else hinges</h2>
<p>While DC statehood, Electoral College abolition, and court expansion are all important, the Just Democracy coalition members I spoke to agreed there was one reform more important than all the others: eliminating the filibuster.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;Getting rid of the filibuster is our number one priority because without eliminating it, we can&rsquo;t do anything else,&rdquo; says Rhodes. &ldquo;When people talk about Just Democracy, if they say 30 Black and brown organizations came together to eliminate the filibuster and nothing else, that&rsquo;s enough for me.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>The filibuster has an odd, idiosyncratic history, but the important thing to know about it is that it prevents any legislation from passing through the Senate without a 60-vote supermajority (save a handful of policies that can be passed through the much more limited <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/11/23/13709518/budget-reconciliation-explained">budget reconciliation process</a>).&nbsp;</p>

<p>Democrats may win back the White House come November. They might even secure a slim majority in the Senate (although <a href="https://www.vox.com/21403958/most-competitive-senate-races-2020">it won&rsquo;t be easy</a>). But they aren&rsquo;t going to win 60 seats. That means basically everything Democrats have sworn to do come January 2021 &mdash; <a href="https://www.vox.com/2019/3/8/18253609/hr-1-pelosi-house-democrats-anti-corruption-mcconnell">massively expand voting rights</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/2/27/18224727/house-universal-background-checks-gun-violence-congress">mandate universal background checks for guns</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/25/21303005/police-reform-bill-house-democrats-senate-republicans">implement sweeping police reform</a>, offer statehood to <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/22/21293168/dc-statehood-vote-filibuster-supreme-court-joe-biden">DC</a> and <a href="https://www.demconvention.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/2020-07-31-Democratic-Party-Platform-For-Distribution.pdf">Puerto Rico</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/21252892/climate-change-democrats-joe-biden-renewable-energy-unions-environmental-justice">decarbonize the US economy</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2019/7/16/20694598/joe-biden-health-care-plan-public-option">introduce a public option for health insurance</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/5/13/18618097/drug-prices-obamacare-congress-voxcare">lower prescription drug costs</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/5/26/21257648/joe-biden-climate-economy-tax-plans">raise the minimum wage</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/9/21316912/joe-biden-housing-plan-section-8">make housing more affordable</a> &mdash; and things they haven&rsquo;t (like expanding the Supreme Court) depends on whether they choose to eliminate the filibuster.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The good news is that if Democrats retake the Senate, this really will be a choice &mdash; all it takes to eliminate the filibuster is 51 votes. And in our conversations, Just Democracy coalition members were clear about what this choice represents: a test to see whether Democratic senators care about democracy, and actually intend to fulfill the promises they&rsquo;ve made to the activists in their base.</p>

<p>&ldquo;What I want people to realize is that it&rsquo;s not enough for politicians to say they support working people or support Black people,&rdquo; says Mitchell. &ldquo;If they don&rsquo;t take seriously the need to reform the filibuster, they aren&rsquo;t serious about getting anything done. Period.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>In this sense, Just Democracy is not only advancing a bold democracy reform agenda &mdash; it is trying to redefine what it means to care about racial justice in America. &ldquo;There is an asterisk next to American democracy,&rdquo; says Rhodes. &ldquo;Land of the free, except if you&rsquo;re Black. If we&rsquo;re serious about how we challenge racism, just saying &lsquo;Black Lives Matter&rsquo; doesn&rsquo;t get us there. We need real structural reform.&rdquo;&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p><em>You can learn more about Just Democracy by visiting their </em><a href="https://justdemocracy.us/"><em>website</em></a><em>, or by following them on </em><a href="https://twitter.com/JustDemocracy/"><em>Twitter</em></a><em>. </em></p>
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									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Democrats are running on the most progressive police reform agenda in modern American history]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/21418125/biden-harris-pelosi-defund-the-police-criminal-justice-reform-2020" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/21418125/biden-harris-pelosi-defund-the-police-criminal-justice-reform-2020</id>
			<updated>2020-09-08T10:18:33-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-09-08T10:08:27-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="2020 Presidential Election" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[If you&#8217;re confused about where Democrats stand on policing reform, you have good reason to be. On the one hand, protesters, activists, and professional athletes are demanding that Democrats at both a local and national level do more to address police brutality against Black Americans. On the other, several speakers at the Republican National Convention [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris greet supporters outside the Chase Center in Wilmington, Delaware, at the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention on August 20, 2020. | Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21856458/1228132618.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris greet supporters outside the Chase Center in Wilmington, Delaware, at the conclusion of the Democratic National Convention on August 20, 2020. | Olivier Douliery/AFP via Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>If you&rsquo;re confused about where Democrats stand on policing reform, you have good reason to be.</p>

<p>On the one hand, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/24/21399690/jacob-blake-police-shooting-wisconsin">protesters</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/21312191/police-reform-defunding-abolition-black-lives-matter-protests">activists</a>, and <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/27/21403891/nba-playoff-games-boycott-bucks-lakers-jacob-blake">professional athletes</a> are demanding that Democrats at both a local and national level do more to address police brutality against Black Americans. On the other, several <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/25/21400782/rnc-republicans-democrats-defund-police-joe-biden-black-lives-matter">speakers at the Republican National Convention </a>claimed that Joe Biden and Democrats are radical police abolitionists who, as Trump himself put it, will &ldquo;defund police departments all across America&rdquo; if given power.</p>

<p>So what&rsquo;s the truth? The short answer is that while Democrats&rsquo; policing agenda is not nearly as ambitious as either defund activists or Republican politicians would like them to be, it is by far the most progressive in modern American history. The 2020 Democratic Party&rsquo;s views on policing make the party of 2016 look regressive and the party of 2012 look almost unrecognizably backward.</p>

<p>&ldquo;The first thing my colleagues wanted to do to address police violence was focus on accountability,&rdquo; Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) tells me. &ldquo;But the more of these videos that come out, the more they are realizing that just holding a few bad cops accountable isn&rsquo;t enough &mdash; this is about an entire system. I think that&rsquo;s a huge change.&rdquo;</p>

<p>The most recent indication of where Democrats stand on policing is the criminal justice section of the <a href="https://www.demconvention.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/2020-07-31-Democratic-Party-Platform-For-Distribution.pdf">2020 Democratic Party platform</a>. As my colleague Andrew Prokop <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/18/21322685/democratic-convention-platform-controversy">explains</a>, party platforms are consensus documents: They use inputs from a wide range of coalition actors within the party to provide a broad summary of what the party stands for and the direction it wants to move the country toward. And <a href="https://www.vox.com/2016/7/12/12060358/political-science-of-platforms">research has shown</a> that, in 25 years, both Democratic and Republican lawmakers in Congress voted in accordance with their platforms more than 80 percent of the time.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The first thing that stands out about the Democrats&rsquo; 2020 criminal justice platform is its framing, which is unequivocal about the state of policing in America:</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>Democrats believe we need to overhaul the criminal justice system from top to bottom. Police brutality is a stain on the soul of our nation. It is unacceptable that millions of people in our country have good reason to fear they may lose their lives in a routine traffic stop, or while standing on a street corner, or while playing with a toy in a public park. It is unacceptable that Black parents must have &ldquo;the talk&rdquo; with their children, to try to protect them from the very police officers who are supposed to be sworn to protect and serve them. It is unacceptable that more than 1,000 people, a quarter of them Black, have been killed by police every year since 2015.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In terms of concrete policy proposals, the bulk of the platform&rsquo;s policing agenda focuses on preventing officers from abusing their power and holding them accountable when they do. Drawing on the <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/25/21303005/police-reform-bill-house-democrats-senate-republicans">George Floyd Justice in Policing Act of 2020</a> &mdash; which received unanimous support among House Democrats but has since been stymied in the Senate &mdash; it proposes policies like reining in <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/3/21277104/qualified-immunity-cops-constitution-shaniz-west-supreme-court">qualified immunity</a>, banning chokeholds, developing stricter use-of-force standards, creating a national registry of officer misconduct, and limiting no-knock warrants.</p>

<p>It also outlines specific mechanisms for holding state and local departments accountable to these reforms, namely tying federal law enforcement funding to implementation of these measures and strengthening the Department of Justice&rsquo;s ability to investigate police misconduct in individual departments (which <a href="https://www.vox.com/2015/3/5/8155103/ferguson-federal-lawsuit">can often result</a> in concrete reforms).</p>

<p>&ldquo;The Democratic Party is a big tent, which means that different coalitions tend to differ on most issues,&rdquo; says Ed Chung, vice president for criminal justice reform at the Center for American Progress. &ldquo;But what Democrats of all stripes tend to agree on is police accountability as well as improving and bettering police officers through things like better training.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>But the bigger ideological change in the Democratic Party is the openness to a new approach to public safety: moving away from criminalization and toward a model focused more on investment and public health interventions.&nbsp;The 2020 platform specifically calls for &ldquo;reorienting our public safety approach toward prevention and away from over-policing&rdquo; in order to &ldquo;prevent law enforcement from becoming unnecessarily entangled in the everyday lives of Americans.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Democrats propose two ways of doing this: First, by decriminalizing marijuana use and diverting those struggling with substance abuse away from the criminal justice system and into treatment-based interventions. Second, by investing more resources into underserved communities to prevent the problems typically associated with law enforcement from arising in the first place.</p>

<p>While Biden has consistently rejected the &ldquo;defund the police&rdquo; label, he has been supportive of a more investment-focused approach to public safety. &ldquo;We need to prevent 911 calls in scenarios where police should not be our first responders,&rdquo; he <a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2020/06/10/biden-root-out-systemic-racism-not-just-divisive-trump-talk-column/5327631002/">wrote</a> in June. &ldquo;This requires making serious investments in mental health services, drug treatment and prevention programs, and services for people experiencing homelessness.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Biden has proposed policies like investing an <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/6/21167803/joe-biden-opioid-epidemic-plan-drug-overdoses">ambitious $125 billion over 10 years</a> to address the opioid epidemic, making housing vouchers <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/9/21316912/joe-biden-housing-plan-section-8">a universal entitlement</a> (a proposal that would help an additional 11 million low-income families get housing and would cut poverty by almost a quarter), <a href="https://joebiden.com/justice/">tripling</a> Title I funding for low-income schools, and <a href="https://joebiden.com/justice/">doubling</a> the number of school guidance counselors, social workers, and psychologists so that schools don&rsquo;t have to turn to police to resolve issues.</p>

<p>Some Democrats are beginning to rethink a police-centric model of public safety in other ways as well. Biden <a href="https://joebiden.com/justice/">has proposed</a> additional funding for &ldquo;co-response&rdquo; teams, whereby mental health clinicians and social workers would respond to relevant calls alongside police officers. And some high-level congressional Democrats are even <a href="https://www.finance.senate.gov/ranking-members-news/wyden-cortez-masto-propose-bill-to-reduce-police-violence-during-mental-health-crises">starting </a><a href="https://www.pscp.tv/w/1ynJOqVRybWKR">to support</a> federal funding to create civilian first response units that would send unarmed professionals to deal with certain nonviolent emergencies (more on that later).</p>

<p>&ldquo;The point is, Democrats have moved,&rdquo; says Chiraag Bains, co-chair of the Biden-Sanders unity task force on criminal justice and director of legal strategies at Demos, &ldquo;and if given the chance to govern, they&rsquo;ll be much more open to dialogue and influence than the regressive, reactionary Trump administration. The way things are going, we can break the mold of mass incarceration being a bipartisan enterprise.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Overton Window on policing has shifted, quickly</h2>
<p>The Democratic Party&rsquo;s stances on policing have been <a href="https://www.vox.com/21312191/police-reform-defunding-abolition-black-lives-matter-protests">routinely criticized</a> by activists, experts, and progressive politicians who don&rsquo;t believe they go nearly far enough. At the same time, the party has moved faster on policing than perhaps any other issue in recent years.&nbsp;</p>

<p>For instance, take the opening paragraph of the <a href="https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/2012-democratic-party-platform">2012 Democratic platform&rsquo;s</a> section on &ldquo;Public Safety, Justice, and Crime Prevention&rdquo;:&nbsp;</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>In the last four years, rates of serious crimes, like murder, rape, and robbery, have reached 50-year lows, but there is more work to do. President Obama and Democrats are fighting for new funding that will help keep cops on the street and support our police, firefighters, and emergency medical technicians. Republicans and Mitt Romney have opposed and even ridiculed these proposals, but we believe we should support our first responders. We support efforts to ensure our courageous police officers and first responders are equipped with the best technology, equipment, and innovative strategies to prevent and fight crimes.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>It goes on to assert:</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>We must help state, local, territorial, and tribal law enforcement work together to combat and prevent drug crime and drug and alcohol abuse, which are blights on our communities.&nbsp;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>From today&rsquo;s vantage point, these statements &mdash; which came during the second term of the most liberal president in decades &mdash; read like versions of a slightly more restrained Trump speech (and even Trump has supported <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/opioids/">less punitive</a> ways of dealing with substance abuse). The only policing-related policy recommendations in the whole platform involves putting more officers on the streets; there is no mention of police misconduct of any kind, let alone policies to combat it.</p>

<p>But we don&rsquo;t even have to go back that far to see how much Democrats have shifted. This is how the <a href="https://democrats.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/2016_DNC_Platform.pdf">party&rsquo;s 2016 platform</a> &mdash; which at the time <a href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/criminal-justice-reform-has-made-it-both-party-platforms-thats-big-deal">was lauded</a> as an important departure from the party&rsquo;s &ldquo;tough on crime&rdquo; days &mdash; described the party&rsquo;s views on policing:</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>We will rebuild the bonds of trust between law enforcement and the communities they serve. Across the country, there are police officers inspiring trust and confidence, honorably doing their duty, deploying creative and effective strategies, and demonstrating that it is possible to prevent crime without relying on unnecessary force. They deserve our respect and support, and we should learn from those examples and build on what works.&nbsp;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>That&rsquo;s a still far cry from calling police brutality a &ldquo;stain on the soul of our nation.&rdquo; You have to read in between the lines of the platform just to find recognition that there&rsquo;s a problem with policing at all. But unlike its 2012 counterpart, the 2016 platform does suggest reforms like better officer training, use of force guidelines, national data collection, limiting military weapons, and requiring body cameras (all policies that the 2020 platform also supports).</p>

<p>However, unlike <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/18/21322685/democratic-convention-platform-controversy">the 2020 platform</a>, it contains no mechanisms to hold police departments accountable to those changes besides saying that Democrats will &ldquo;work with police chiefs&rdquo; to do so. It doesn&rsquo;t even mention proposals like reforming qualified immunity, banning chokeholds, limiting no-knock warrants, or decriminalizing marijuana use. And it doesn&rsquo;t call for nearly as bold of investments in issues like homelessness and substance abuse or link those investments to public safety.</p>

<p>In fact, the closest contemporary parallel to the 2016 Democratic platform&rsquo;s policing recommendations is neither the 2020 platform nor the more limited Justice in Policing Act; it is <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/17/21287995/senate-republicans-narrow-new-police-reform-bill-explained">the JUSTICE Act</a>, a bill spearheaded by Republican Sen. Tim Scott in June. On issues like deescalation training guidelines, data collection, and body cameras, the bill&rsquo;s policies read as though they were taken directly from the Democrats&rsquo; 2016 platform. In some areas, like limiting the use of chokeholds, it goes even further than the Democrats did in 2016.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The Democratic 2016 criminal justice plan is eerily similar to the current Republican plan being pushed by Senator Scott,&rdquo; says Arthur Rizer, director of the criminal justice program at the center-right R Street Institute. &ldquo;It reminds me of how Obamacare was a total rip-off of the Republican Bob Dole plan.&rdquo;</p>

<p>That makes what happened next even more surprising. When the JUSTICE Act came to the floor for a vote, every single Senate Republican, including staunch law-and-order advocates like Sens. Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz, voted for it. But the legislation still <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21301746/senate-police-reform-vote">didn&rsquo;t make it through the Senate</a> because all but three Senate Democrats voted against it, arguing the bill lacked concrete accountability mechanisms and failed to address key reforms like ending qualified immunity.</p>

<p>It&rsquo;s important not to underestimate the significance of this sequence of events: In 2020, Republicans put forward a policing bill that looked a lot like Democrats&rsquo; police reform wish list in 2016, and made the 2012 Democratic platform look harsh and regressive by comparison. Yet, Democrats almost unanimously rejected that bill for failing to include provisions that the majority of them did not support in 2016.</p>

<p>&ldquo;The center of gravity in the country has changed a lot,&rdquo; says Chung. &ldquo;Five years ago, I don&rsquo;t think anyone could have imagined a Republican senator would offer something like the JUSTICE Act and get Republican support, or that House Democrats would unanimously support a bill that ended qualified immunity.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Of course, these shifts didn&rsquo;t happen because Democratic and Republican politicians had a sudden awakening about the problems of police brutality &mdash; they are responding to massive <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/10/21283966/protests-george-floyd-police-reform-policy">changes in public opinion</a> around policing that <a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/315962/americans-say-policing-needs-major-changes.aspx">have remained strong</a>, <a href="http://arnoldventures.org/stories/new-polling-finds-extraordinary-bipartisan-support-for-policing-reforms">even months</a> <a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/317135/amid-pandemic-confidence-key-institutions-surges.aspx?_ga=2.156063096.2130250630.1598372217-1646218931.1595113819">after </a>the peak of the nationwide protest movement.&nbsp;</p>

<p>According to Sean McElwee, executive director of the progressive polling outfit Data for Progress, the speed of this shift will only be accelerated by demographic trends. &ldquo;Across every poll we&rsquo;ve conducted, we find that young people are most skeptical of police,&rdquo; he tells me. &ldquo;Police have lost credibility with an entire generation that&rsquo;s increasingly having kids and voting. So the shift we&rsquo;ve seen over the last few months is only going to continue.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21826825/PP_2020.07.09_qualified_immunity_0_12.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Pew Research Center" />
<p>This shift will likely have a profound impact on criminal justice politics in America. In previous decades, Democrats moved sharply to the right on criminal justice issues to win over the majority of voters; in coming decades, it is possible the opposite will happen.</p>

<p>Republicans aged 18-29, for instance, <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2020/07/09/majority-of-public-favors-giving-civilians-the-power-to-sue-police-officers-for-misconduct/">overwhelmingly support</a> reforms like ending qualified immunity, and do so at almost double the rates of older Republicans.</p>

<p>&ldquo;The Democratic Party has taken a really important step over the last few months,&rdquo; says McElwee. &ldquo;They&rsquo;ve ended the Republican ownership of this law-and-order framework. This militarization of cities like Portland is not working. Republicans are being forced to move left on criminal justice issues. That means there is room for Democrats to be more ambitious &mdash; it will be interesting to see what they will do.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The “next frontier” of criminal justice policy for Democrats</h2>
<p>The fact that the ground is shifting so quickly on policing issues raises some important questions: What&rsquo;s next for Democrats? Are there any policies currently absent from the party platform that could potentially become part of policing legislation in a future Biden administration?</p>

<p>When I put these questions to experts close to the party, I got back a fairly uniform answer: federal funding that would support local governments&rsquo; efforts to create unarmed civilian first response units to handle nonviolent emergencies.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;This idea is supported by a wide range of Democrats and the criminal justice movement as a whole,&rdquo; says Chung. &ldquo;Virtually every conversation I hear about policing and the criminal justice system involves a variation of this provision.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>The basic idea behind this proposal is simple. Police officers spend <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training">an overwhelming majority of their time</a> responding to nonviolent emergencies, from mental health crises to traffic accidents to domestic disputes &mdash; situations that could be dealt with much more effectively, and with far less potential for unnecessary violence, by <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing">non-police professionals</a>. If there&rsquo;s anything that the police shooting of Jacob Blake and the police killings of Rayshard Brooks, George Floyd, Breonna Taylor, Eric Garner, Philando Castile, and countless others have in common is that they would never have occurred if someone <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing">other than an armed police officer</a> was the chosen first responder to a clearly nonviolent situation.&nbsp;</p>

<p>According to <a href="https://filesforprogress.org/memos/emergency-first-responders.pdf">Data for Progress polling</a>, 68 percent of likely voters support the creation of non-law enforcement emergency responders programs. And <a href="http://arnoldventures.org/stories/new-polling-finds-extraordinary-bipartisan-support-for-policing-reforms">solid majorities</a> support non-police responses for <a href="https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/6/16/voters-support-the-use-of-nonpolice-first-responders">a variety of situations,</a> including substance abuse, homelessness, and mental health crises. Already, <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-06-12/san-francisco-police-reforms-stop-response-noncriminal-calls">cities</a><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/17/us/los-angeles-officials-replace-lapd-unarmed-trnd/index.html"> across</a><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/06/15/wake-calls-defund-police-albuquerque-creates-an-alternative-department/"> the</a><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/05/us/defund-police-floyd-protests.html"> country</a> are developing their own civilian first responder programs.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21826827/image_asset.png?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Data for Progress" />
<p>However, while likely voters tend to support investing in non-police responders, they are <a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-like-the-ideas-behind-defunding-the-police-more-than-the-slogan-itself/">much more hesitant</a> to dip into local police budgets to do so. Only <a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/315962/americans-say-policing-needs-major-changes.aspx">about</a><a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/17/poll-voters-defund-police-reforms-324774"> half</a> of likely voters support reducing police budgets to invest in social programs, and direct questions about defunding the police are often <a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-like-the-ideas-behind-defunding-the-police-more-than-the-slogan-itself/">opposed by majorities</a>.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s where the federal government could play a significant role. Federal grants could help cities, states, and localities set up civilian first response units to address issues like mental health, homelessness, substance abuse, and low-level disputes without having to first slash police budgets. Cities could take the time to set up these programs with proper resources, present them as a win-win for police and civilians alike, and give them ample opportunity to demonstrate success &mdash; all without having to worry about <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/21290981/police-union-contracts-minneapolis-reform">drawn-out fights with police unions</a> or <a href="https://www.insider.com/police-have-historically-protested-by-making-fewer-arrests-its-become-2020-6">police work slowdowns</a> that could put the effort in jeopardy.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The federal government&rsquo;s role is generally limited on criminal justice issues, but this is one area where federal support could have a real impact,&rdquo; says Emily Galvin-Almanza, founder and executive director of Partners for Justice. &ldquo;Establishing successful models for non-police response can really help this idea spread to places that might initially be skeptical.&rdquo;</p>

<p>In the wake of the nationwide protests against police brutality, this kind of idea is becoming increasingly mainstream for Democrats. The Biden-Sanders unity task force on criminal justice &mdash; which included establishment figures like Biden senior adviser Symone Sanders, former Attorney General Eric Holder, and Rep. Bobby Scott (D-VA), chair of the House Committee on Education and Labor &mdash; decided to include this as one of its policy recommendations:</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>Federal funding to create a civilian corps of unarmed first responders such as social workers, EMTs, and trained mental health professionals, who can handle nonviolent emergencies including order maintenance violations, mental health emergencies, and low-level conflicts outside the criminal justice system, freeing police officers to concentrate on the most serious crimes.&nbsp;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>And earlier this month, Sens. Ron Wyden (D-OR) and Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) <a href="https://www.finance.senate.gov/ranking-members-news/wyden-cortez-masto-propose-bill-to-reduce-police-violence-during-mental-health-crises">proposed</a> the CAHOOTS Act &mdash; named after the <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/7/1/20677523/mental-health-police-cahoots-oregon-oakland-sweden">much-applauded initiative</a> in Eugene, Oregon, that sends unarmed crisis specialists instead of police to address noncriminal 911 calls &mdash; which would provide startup grants and a 95 percent federal funding match through Medicaid to states and localities that decided to pilot non-police crisis response units with a mental health component.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;It&rsquo;s long past time to reimagine policing in ways that reduce violence and structural racism, and health care can play a key role in that effort,&rdquo; Wyden <a href="https://www.finance.senate.gov/ranking-members-news/wyden-cortez-masto-propose-bill-to-reduce-police-violence-during-mental-health-crises">said</a> during the bill&rsquo;s unveiling. &ldquo;Americans struggling with mental illness don&rsquo;t always require law enforcement to be dispatched when they are experiencing a crisis &mdash; CAHOOTS is proof positive there is another way.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Like many members of the Biden-Sanders unity task force, Wyden and Cortez Masto are not police abolitionists or even avowed progressives. Most ideological scorecards tend to place them squarely in the middle of the Democratic Party. Wyden in particular is one of the influential Democrats in the Senate to date &mdash; he is slated to chair the powerful Senate Finance Committee if Democrats retake the chamber in 2021.&nbsp;</p>

<p>And they aren&rsquo;t the only ones who are pushing for legislation in this area. In <a href="https://www.pscp.tv/w/1ynJOqVRybWKR">a recent interview</a>, Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) announced that he and Rep. Karen Bass (D-CA) would soon be introducing a bill that would establish a $100 million-per-year grant program to fund an even wider range of community-based alternatives to police.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;If we&rsquo;re talking about investing in alternative first responders, the party is already there,&rdquo; says Stacey Walker, a Sanders appointee to the Biden-Sanders unity task force on criminal justice. &ldquo;Criminal justice advocates on both sides of the aisle understand the wisdom behind it. This can be the next frontier for criminal justice reform come 2021 if the Biden administration takes it seriously.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>However, federal funding for alternative first responders is one of the only policy recommendations from the Biden-Sanders criminal justice unity task force that is not referenced at all in the 2020 party platform. And while Biden has explicitly called for bigger investments toward issues like homelessness and substance abuse and federal funding for police &ldquo;co-response&rdquo; models, he has not done the same for civilian first response teams. (After publication of this story, the Biden campaign pointed out that the candidate does support the broader idea that police shouldn&rsquo;t be the go-to first responder in every situation.)</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s probably intentional on the campaign&rsquo;s part. Republicans have already tried, with limited success, to pin the unpopular &ldquo;defund the police&rdquo; label on Biden &mdash; namely by using <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/31/us/elections/twitter-flags-a-video-shared-by-steve-scalise-that-manipulated-ady-barkans-interview-with-biden.html">a deceptively-edited clip</a> of Biden approving of the broad idea of redirecting some police funding to priorities like mental health and social services. So while federal funding for civilian first responders wouldn&rsquo;t necessarily reduce police budgets, it <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2T7yjA_1I0">isn&rsquo;t hard to imagine</a> how Republicans could manipulate the idea to convince voters that Biden has a secret defund-the-police agenda.</p>

<p>Still, the experts I spoke with were confident that the Biden-Harris ticket will be open to progressive ideas like this one once it is no longer in the midst of an intense election. &ldquo;I think right now the calculation is: Why create talking points for Trump at this point?&rdquo; says Galvin-Almanza. &ldquo;But I truly believe Biden and Harris are open to hearing from progressives on these issues and will do so once in office.&rdquo;</p>
						]]>
									</content>
			
					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Tropical Storm Laura’s flooding and other impacts on the ground: What we know]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/27/21404054/hurricane-laura-flooding-damages-deaths-wind-record-breaking" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2020/8/27/21404054/hurricane-laura-flooding-damages-deaths-wind-record-breaking</id>
			<updated>2020-08-29T15:11:57-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-08-27T16:04:48-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Climate" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Science" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Tropical Storm Laura, which has been downgraded from a hurricane, made landfall early&#160;Thursday morning in Cameron, Louisiana &#8212; just 35 miles east of the Texas-Louisiana border &#8212; as a Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds. Already, pictures and videos of the storm from Lake Charles, Louisiana, a town about 50 miles north of Cameron, [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
							<content type="html">
											<![CDATA[

						
<figure>

<img alt="" data-caption="James Sonya inspects the remains of his uncle’s barbershop in Lake Charles, Louisiana. | Joe Raedle/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Joe Raedle/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21822523/GettyImages_1269122315.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	James Sonya inspects the remains of his uncle’s barbershop in Lake Charles, Louisiana. | Joe Raedle/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Tropical Storm Laura, which has been downgraded from a hurricane, made landfall early&nbsp;Thursday morning in Cameron, Louisiana &mdash; just 35 miles east of the Texas-Louisiana border &mdash; as a Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds.</p>

<p>Already, <a href="https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski/status/1298886542606446592?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1298886542606446592%7Ctwgr%5E&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.foxnews.com%2Fus%2Fhurricane-laura-louisiana-landfall-lake-charles-damage-storm-threat-tornado">pictures</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/WeatherGoinWILD/status/1298951739584974850?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1298951739584974850%7Ctwgr%5E&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2020%2F08%2F27%2Fus%2Fhurricane-laura-update.html">and</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1298877061252222977">videos</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/brianemfinger/status/1298924367590629376">of</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1298885874713853952">the</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1298938559186034688">storm</a> from Lake Charles, Louisiana, a town about 50 miles north of Cameron, show torn-off roofs, downed power lines, blown-out windows, and dozens of trees ripped from the ground.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Widespread flash flooding along small streams, urban areas, and roadways will continue across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Laura?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Laura</a> <a href="https://t.co/Z66sPA9A44">pic.twitter.com/Z66sPA9A44</a></p>&mdash; National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) <a href="https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1298999328686497794?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 27, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure>
<p>Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/27/us/hurricane-laura-update.html">said</a> he&rsquo;d received a report Thursday morning of the first American fatality from Laura, a 14-year-old girl from Vernon Parish who died when a tree fell on her home. Edwards later said a total of <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/27/us/hurricane-laura-update.html">four people</a> in his state have died &mdash; all as a result of fallen trees. Laura was also responsible for at least 23 deaths in <a href="https://www.vox.com/world/2020/8/27/21403926/hurricane-laura-haiti-dominican-republic-cuba">Haiti and the Dominican Republic</a> earlier this week.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">&#8211;  First light is revealing the incredible damage <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/HurricaneLaura?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#HurricaneLaura</a> did here in <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/LakeCharles?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#LakeCharles</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Louisiana?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Louisiana</a> over night&#8230; <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Laura?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Laura</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/CapitolOneTower?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#CapitolOneTower</a> <a href="https://t.co/WSlP0MIZ0K">pic.twitter.com/WSlP0MIZ0K</a></p>&mdash; Michael Koch (WGW) (@WeatherGoinWILD) <a href="https://twitter.com/WeatherGoinWILD/status/1298951739584974850?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 27, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure>
<p>There has been no official word of other injuries or deaths in the US since the storm made landfall. What we know is that about 20 million people reside in the path of the storm and 500,000 have been ordered to evacuate, a task complicated by the Covid-19 pandemic.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21822439/GettyImages_1228202724.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="A hall with clusters of black chairs about 6 feet apart, is full of people — largely Black people — in their summer wear, masked and sitting with their bags." title="A hall with clusters of black chairs about 6 feet apart, is full of people — largely Black people — in their summer wear, masked and sitting with their bags." data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="People wait for evacuation in Lake Charles, Louisiana. | Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images" />
<p>And so far, more than <a href="https://twitter.com/PowerOutage_us/status/1299034375494008832">740,000 homes and businesses are without power</a> in Texas and Louisiana.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Louisiana and Texas residents were warned the storm surge could be “unsurvivable”</h2>
<p>As a Category 4 hurricane, Laura reportedly became the strongest storm on record to make landfall <a href="https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1299004493573521408">along the western Louisiana and northern Texas coast</a>. Although the storm has weakened since moving inland, prompting its downgrade from hurricane status, it is still sustaining winds of 52 mph.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Wind reports coming out of Louisiana from <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/HurricaneLaura2020?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#HurricaneLaura2020</a>   <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/lawx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#lawx</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/txwx?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#txwx</a> <a href="https://t.co/ryPV59LmDT">pic.twitter.com/ryPV59LmDT</a></p>&mdash; Greg Postel (@GregPostel) <a href="https://twitter.com/GregPostel/status/1298953880911441923?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 27, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure>
<p>Hurricane-force winds can cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) predicted that this phenomenon, referred to as &ldquo;<a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/27/21403161/hurricane-laura-storm-surge-flooding-unsurvivable">storm surge</a>,&rdquo; could result in up to 20 feet of flooding in places within 40 miles of shoreline where Laura made landfall, rendering some areas &ldquo;unsurvivable&rdquo; and resulting in &ldquo;catastrophic damage.&rdquo; However, it appears as if a slight change in wind direction may have spared the worst-hit areas from the feared 20-foot surge.</p>

<p>The <a href="https://twitter.com/NHC_Surge/status/1298996628980809731?s=20">NHC</a> said Thursday the worst of the initial storm surge hit communities directly east of Cameron, which are experiencing surge of around 9 feet.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">‼️<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Laura?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Laura</a> Surge Thraad‼️ Highest <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/StormSurge?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#StormSurge</a> recorded seemed to be around 9 ft. Yes, that’s devastating, but it appears the “reasonable worst case scenario surge” was x2 higher than what occurred in most communities. 1/ <a href="https://t.co/0BdvWTXd93">pic.twitter.com/0BdvWTXd93</a></p>&mdash; Chris Gloninger, CCM, CBM (@ChrisGloninger) <a href="https://twitter.com/ChrisGloninger/status/1298959512297234432?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 27, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/MichaelRLowry/status/1298968079892918272">Some meteorologists</a>, however,&nbsp;warn against jumping to premature conclusions about the extent of storm surge from Hurricane Laura, considering the limited number of data points currently available.</p>

<p>Heavy rain is also predicted to be widespread across the west-central Gulf Coast, with 5 to 10 inches falling over a broad area, and up to 18 inches locally. And this rain is expected to result in flash flooding throughout the region.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21822477/GettyImages_1228223429.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="What looks as if it was once a street is covered in water; a chemical plant and small building look like islands in a sea. In the foreground of the photo, detritus is visible under the water." title="What looks as if it was once a street is covered in water; a chemical plant and small building look like islands in a sea. In the foreground of the photo, detritus is visible under the water." data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Flooding caused by Hurricane Laura in Sabine Pass, Texas. | Eric Thayer/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Eric Thayer/Getty Images" />
<p>After making landfall Thursday morning, Laura tracked north across Louisiana throughout the day, and its center is expected to move into Arkansas overnight. The storm will then move through the Tennessee Valley and the mid-Atlantic from Friday into Saturday. As of now, the NHC predicts the storm will continue to give off heavy rain and sustain winds between 30 and 40 mph.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">One of the most powerful storms in US history</h2>
<p>Meteorologists categorize hurricanes based on the intensity of storms&rsquo; maximum sustained winds:</p>
<ul class="wp-block-list"><li>Category 1: 74-95 mph (a storm with winds below 74 mph is classified as a “tropical storm,” and below 38 mph is a “tropical depression”)</li><li>Category 2: 96-110 mph</li><li>Category 3: 111-129 mph</li><li>Category 4: 130-156 mph</li><li>Category 5: 157 mph or higher</li></ul>
<p>Laura&rsquo;s 150 mph winds at landfall made it a Category 4 hurricane and one of the most powerful in US history &mdash; as powerful as Hurricane Charley in 2004 and slightly less powerful than Hurricane Michael in 2018, but far more powerful than Hurricane Katrina (which clocked in at 125 mph at landfall) in 2005.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter alignnone"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Laura?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Laura</a> is now forecast to continue to intensify and have 145 mph max winds later today.  Here&#039;s a table of all landfalling continental US <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/hurricanes?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#hurricanes</a> (on record) with max winds &gt;=145 mph. Strongest winds were in Labor Day Hurricane (1935): 185 mph. <a href="https://t.co/4BE0r7ARb5">pic.twitter.com/4BE0r7ARb5</a></p>&mdash; Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) <a href="https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1298642091535302656?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 26, 2020</a></blockquote>
</div></figure>
<p>These categorizations are important in terms of assessing potential damage to life and property.&nbsp;From 1900 to 2005, US hurricanes that clocked in at category 3, 4, and 5 at landfall have been responsible for <a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NormalizedHurricane2008.pdf">85 percent of total hurricane damage</a>, despite making up around a quarter of total hurricanes. That&rsquo;s&nbsp;because relatively small changes in wind speeds can lead to exponentially more damage. For instance, hurricanes like Laura that make landfall at around 150 mph cause, on average, <a href="https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/tc_potential">256 times</a> more damage than hurricanes less than half their speed, at 75 mph, would.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21822481/GettyImages_1228226670.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="A grid of steel is all that remains of the facade of a skyscraper, broken shards of green glass clinging randomly to the metal. A man in a dark polo looks out of what was once a window." title="A grid of steel is all that remains of the facade of a skyscraper, broken shards of green glass clinging randomly to the metal. A man in a dark polo looks out of what was once a window." data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="A man looks out at Lake Charles, Louisiana, from the city’s wind-damaged Capitol One Bank Tower. | Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP/Getty Images" />
<p>But wind speed alone doesn&rsquo;t determine how deadly a hurricane will be. As <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/27/21403161/hurricane-laura-storm-surge-flooding-unsurvivable">my colleagues Brian Resnick and Eliza Barclay explain</a>, storm surge, the coastal flooding that occurs when a storm&rsquo;s winds push water onshore several feet above the normal tide, is particularly dangerous. Severe storm surge &mdash; like that expected with Laura<strong> </strong>&mdash;<strong> </strong>can trap people in their homes, wash away houses, and make rescue missions harrowing and slow.</p>

<p>So far, we don&rsquo;t know what the damage from Tropical Storm Laura will be, but we do have reference points. Hurricane Rita, which hit the same area as Laura in 2005, produced up to 15 feet of storm surge, had Category 3 winds of 115 mph, and resulted in 97 to 125 deaths and $18.5 billion in damage. By comparison, Laura made landfall with Category 4 winds of 150 mph and is predicted to produce up to 20 feet of storm surge.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A record season for hurricanes</h2>
<p>Laura is the 12th of as many as 25 named storms that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) <a href="https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/extremely-active-hurricane-season-possible-for-atlantic-basin">has predicted</a> would form this hurricane season (which lasts from June 1 to November 30); seven to 11 of those storms, including Laura, were expected to become hurricanes. If NOAA&rsquo;s predictions are correct, this will be a record-breaking season for hurricanes.</p>

<p>&ldquo;This is one of the most active seasonal forecasts that NOAA has produced in its 22-year history of hurricane outlooks. NOAA will continue to provide the best possible science and service to communities across the Nation for the remainder of hurricane season to ensure public readiness and safety,&rdquo; <a href="https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/extremely-active-hurricane-season-possible-for-atlantic-basin">said</a> Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, who oversees the agency. &ldquo;We encourage all Americans to do their part by getting prepared, remaining vigilant, and being ready to take action when necessary.&rdquo;</p>

<p>There are a few explanations for this record-breaking season, but chief among them are the above-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, particularly in the region between West Africa and the Leeward Islands, which tends to be a prime development region for hurricanes.</p>

<p>These warmer-than-average waters are, in part, the result of climate change. A <a href="https://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1920849117">new study</a> published earlier this year in the <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences</em> by a group of NOAA and University of Wisconsin Madison researchers found that from 1979 to 2017, the odds that a given tropical cyclone would become a Category 3, 4 or 5 hurricane increased about 8 percent per decade as the planet has warmed.</p>

<p>This finding builds on lots of <a href="https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2018/9/12/17850646/hurricane-florence-flooding-rain-climate-change-warmer-ocean">previous research</a> &mdash; like <a href="http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9ef2">multiple</a> <a href="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL075888/full">academic studies</a> demonstrating that Hurricane Harvey&rsquo;s record-blasting rains were likely amplified by climate change.</p>

<p>&ldquo;We&rsquo;ve just increased our confidence of our understanding of the link between hurricane intensity and climate change,&rdquo; James Kossin, the lead author of the new study, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/05/18/hurricanes-stronger-climate-change/">told the Washington Post</a>. &ldquo;We have high confidence that there is a human fingerprint on these changes.&rdquo;</p>

<p>In other words, Laura might be the most recent of the major hurricanes to reach US shores, but it certainly won&rsquo;t be the last.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How to follow Tropical Storm Laura:</h2><ul class="wp-block-list"><li>The National Hurricane Center provides updates every few hours, with projections and important warnings. Take a <a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Laura">look here</a>.</li><li>The National Hurricane Center’s <a href="https://twitter.com/nhc_atlantic?lang=en">Twitter</a> account has similar updates, as well as the latest on forecast changes and public safety concerns.</li><li>Meteorologist and journalist Eric Holthaus has compiled a <a href="https://twitter.com/EricHolthaus/lists/breaking-weather">Twitter list of weather experts</a> that’s a valuable repository of forecasts, data, and useful information on hurricanes in general.</li></ul>
<p><strong>Correction, August 26: </strong>An earlier version of this story misstated the relative strength of Hurricanes Michael and Charley.</p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[Want to fix policing? Start with a better 911 system.]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/10/21340912/police-violence-911-emergency-call-tamir-rice-cahoots" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2020/8/10/21340912/police-violence-911-emergency-call-tamir-rice-cahoots</id>
			<updated>2020-08-12T12:27:40-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-08-10T07:50:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Features" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Policy" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Tamir Rice, a 12-year-old Black child, was playing with a toy pellet gun in a Cleveland park when a police car arrived on the scene. Within moments of exiting his squad car, officer Timothy Loehmann shot and killed Rice. The surveillance video of the November 2014 shooting garnered worldwide attention, and Rice remains a symbol [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="A 911 emergency dispatch center in Centennial, Colorado, on February 5. Arapahoe County is the second county in Colorado to classify telecommunicators as first responders. | RJ Sangosti/Denver Post/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="RJ Sangosti/Denver Post/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21709717/GettyImages_1204259490.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	A 911 emergency dispatch center in Centennial, Colorado, on February 5. Arapahoe County is the second county in Colorado to classify telecommunicators as first responders. | RJ Sangosti/Denver Post/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p><a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2017/5/30/15713254/cleveland-police-tamir-rice-timothy-loehmann">Tamir Rice</a>,<strong> </strong>a 12-year-old Black child, was playing with a toy pellet gun in a Cleveland park when a police car arrived on the scene. Within moments of exiting his squad car, officer Timothy Loehmann shot and killed Rice. The surveillance video of the November 2014<strong> </strong>shooting garnered worldwide attention, and Rice remains a symbol for the <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/6/21311171/black-lives-matter-legacy">Black Lives Matter movement</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<p>As is the case with many high-profile police killings, most after-the-fact reports focused on the incident itself and the officer&rsquo;s record: Why didn&rsquo;t Loehmann <a href="https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/a39dnb/tamir-rice-report-finds-no-hard-evidence-cop-gave-warning-to-raise-hands-before-shooting">give any warning</a> before shooting? Would he have done <a href="https://www.vox.com/2014/11/26/7297265/tamir-rice-age-police">the same to a white child?</a>&nbsp;Why was the officer<strong> </strong>hired in the first place, given he had been <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2014/dec/03/officer-who-fatally-shot-tamir-rice-had-been-judged-unfit">deemed unfit for duty</a> by a different police department?</p>

<p>These are legitimate questions. But it&rsquo;s possible the most important factor in Rice&rsquo;s killing was what happened in the moments before the police officer arrived on the scene.</p>

<p>Like <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Context-Understanding-Killings-Unarmed-Civilians-ebook/dp/B01DO9NTAG">the majority</a> of police killings of unarmed civilians, this incident began with a <a href="https://www.vox.com/first-person/2018/5/30/17406092/racial-profiling-911-bbq-becky-living-while-black-babysitting-while-black">911 call</a>. The civilian who called 911 on Rice initially reported a Black male with a gun in a park, but then <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/15/us/tamir-rice-911-operator-suspended.html">clarified the initial description</a>, saying that Tamir is &ldquo;probably a juvenile&rdquo; and that the weapon is &ldquo;probably fake.&rdquo; However, <a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2017/5/30/15713254/cleveland-police-tamir-rice-timothy-loehmann">according to police records</a>,<strong> </strong>that clarifying information did not get passed on to responding officers. All the information Loehmann and his partner heard from their dispatcher was, &ldquo;We have a Code 1&rdquo; &mdash; the department&rsquo;s highest level of urgency.</p>

<p>That error may have been the difference between life and death for a child.</p>

<p>When Paul Taylor, a former police officer, use-of-force training instructor, and now a criminologist at the University of Colorado Denver, found out that the 911<strong> </strong>dispatch information about Rice had been wrong, he decided to run an experiment.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Taylor put 300 police officers representing 18 agencies in two states through an interactive firearms training simulator. All the officers were told about a &ldquo;possible trespass in progress.&rdquo; Then some were told that the &ldquo;subject appears to be holding a gun&rdquo; and others that the &ldquo;subject appears to be talking on a cellphone.&rdquo;</p>

<p>When the officers arrived at the scene, they saw<strong> </strong>a man matching the description of the suspect with his hands in his jacket pockets. For half the volunteers, the man quickly pulled a cellphone out of his pocket to film the officers; for the other half, the man pulled out a handgun and pointed it at them. The officers had to make a split-second decision to shoot or not shoot, with their virtual lives at stake.</p>

<p><a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1098611119896653">The results</a> were dramatic. Six percent of officers who had been advised that the subject appeared to be talking on a cellphone ended up shooting the man who attempted to film them with his phone. But 62 percent of the officers who were told the suspect had a gun did the same. In other words, officers who were told the man had a cellphone were 10 times less likely to shoot an unarmed suspect than those with incorrect information.&nbsp;(In the scenario where the suspect drew a gun, 100 percent of the officers shot the suspect, regardless of what dispatch told them.)</p>

<p>&ldquo;What blew me away is that these results held for all officers no matter what,&rdquo; Taylor told me. &ldquo;It didn&rsquo;t matter how much experience you had. It didn&rsquo;t matter if you were on a SWAT team. Getting the wrong information universally increased the risk of making an error.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Findings like this one do not excuse police officers of wrongdoing. Nor do they suggest that anti-Black racial bias doesn&rsquo;t play a huge role in police shootings &mdash; <a href="https://www.vox.com/2014/8/28/6051971/police-implicit-bias-michael-brown-ferguson-missouri">it</a> <a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2016/8/13/17938186/police-shootings-killings-racism-racial-disparities">most</a> <a href="https://www.thepublicdiscourse.com/2020/06/65309/">certainly</a> <a href="https://www.nber.org/papers/w26774">does</a>. What studies like this (and <a href="http://petermoskos.com/files/moskos/moskos_2007_RapidResponse.pdf">others</a>) demonstrate is that when it comes to police violence and aggression, the officer-civilian interaction itself is only part of the story.</p>

<p>Of the 50 million Americans who came into contact with the police in 2015, <a href="https://bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/cpp15.pdf">about half</a> were the result of citizen-requested police services, usually through an emergency call number. And 83 of the 153 police killings of unarmed civilians that year <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Context-Understanding-Killings-Unarmed-Civilians-ebook/dp/B01DO9NTAG">began with a 911 call</a>. Research on the 911 system is scarce and imperfect (that&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.vera.org/publications/911-call-processing-system-review-of-policing-literature">putting it lightly</a>), so we don&rsquo;t know for certain how many of these calls contained incorrect information. But the experts I spoke to mentioned data points &mdash; like the proportion of calls downgraded by officers once they arrive on the scene &mdash; and examples like the killings of Rice, <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/news/archive/2016/12/francisco-serna-police-shooting/510701/">Francisco Serna</a>, and <a href="https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/fridoon-rawshan-nehad-shot-by-sdpd-officer-held-pen-not-knife-city/1996790/">Fridoon Rawshan Nehad</a> and <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1745-9133.12508?af=R">the arrest of Henry Louis Gates Jr</a>. as evidence of the severity of the problem.</p>

<p>&ldquo;We will never know what would have happened to Tamir Rice if the officer had been given a different image of what was happening,&rdquo; says Rebecca Neusteter, the executive director of the Health Lab at the University of Chicago&rsquo;s Urban Labs. &ldquo;But I would like to believe he would have approached that situation very differently if he was aware this could just be a kid playing in the park.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21702117/518331800.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Protesters took to the streets of downtown Cleveland, Ohio, in 2016, after a local grand jury decided not to indict the officers who shot and killed 12-year-old Tamir Rice. | Michael Nigro/Pacific Press/LightRocket via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Michael Nigro/Pacific Press/LightRocket via Getty Images" />
<p>The emergency call taker who relayed the incorrect information in the Rice case was <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/15/us/tamir-rice-911-operator-suspended.html">temporarily suspended</a> by Cleveland&rsquo;s police chief for &ldquo;violating protocol.&rdquo; But for Neusteter and others who have studied the role of 911 call takers and police dispatchers within the American criminal justice system, the Rice killing isn&rsquo;t a one-off example of a bad call taker gone rogue &mdash; it is the product of systemic flaws in how call takers are trained that amplify the risk officers perceive when they enter a given situation. Addressing those flaws will be essential to the success of any police reform agenda.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Emergency call takers also decide whether police should be sent into a given situation in the first place. Thus, as communities <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing">develop alternatives to traditional police response</a> &mdash; as many cities are already doing &mdash; their role may evolve into that of a public safety quarterback who will be tasked with the all-important role of sending the correct first responders.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Yet call takers are undertrained, underpaid, and underresourced. They are treated as though their role is no different from that of <a href="https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/455963-its-time-to-give-9-1-1-professionals-the-respect-they-deserve">an administrative assistant</a>. And they are ignored in most conversations about policing and criminal justice reform. That&rsquo;s a shame given the essential role they play in our public safety system.</p>

<p>&ldquo;911 call takers are gatekeepers not only for police but the entire criminal justice system,&rdquo; says Neusteter. &ldquo;We need to start treating them that way. We can&rsquo;t solve any of our public safety problems without taking care of call takers.&rdquo;<strong>&nbsp;</strong></p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How the call-taking system can<strong> </strong>amplify the risk of a dangerous police encounter</h2>
<p>To understand an error at the center of Tamir Rice&rsquo;s killing, you first have to know how the 911 system works.</p>

<p>When you call 911 to summon police, the person you are talking to is generally neither a police officer nor a dispatcher directly in charge of sending police to a scene. Instead, you are talking to a call taker who&rsquo;s in charge of collecting the relevant information about the incident and the suspect and then classifying the incident according to a list of predefined categories like &ldquo;suspicious person,&rdquo; &ldquo;breaking and entering,&rdquo; or &ldquo;active shooter.&rdquo; That incident type, along with some descriptive information about the suspect, is forwarded to a police dispatcher, who then relays it to responding officers.&nbsp;</p>

<p>This sounds like a fairly innocuous system. But according to Jessica Gillooly, a former call taker and research fellow at the Policing Project at New York University Law School who studies the role of call taking in the criminal justice system, it has a glaring flaw. Call takers are trained and incentivized to think of minimizing potential safety risk to police officers as their highest priority. That means if a caller is uncertain or ambiguous &mdash; for instance, simultaneously speculating that the event unfolding could be either a man at a park with a gun (a potential violent threat) or a kid playing with a toy gun (a clearly innocuous act) &mdash; call takers are more likely to<strong> </strong>classify the incident as more serious to ensure officers are prepared for the worst-case scenario.</p>

<p>&ldquo;There&rsquo;s a huge training emphasis that essentially tells call takers, &lsquo;You&rsquo;re safer and better off by sending a police over-response,&rsquo;&rdquo; Gillooly tells me. &ldquo;The big fear is that you don&rsquo;t send a big enough or serious enough response and something bad happens. There&rsquo;s no mention of the idea that maybe sending an over-response could also produce a really bad outcome.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>This emphasis<strong> </strong>produces systemic police over-response. <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1745-9125.1997.tb01236.x">Scholarly</a> <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Reproducing-Order-Canadian-Studies-Criminology/dp/0802064752">research</a> <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Police-Public-Terry-Lectures/dp/0300016468">has found</a> that between 20 and 40 percent of all crime calls that 911 call takers enter are downgraded by officers once at the scene. In other words, officers routinely arrive on the scene primed for a far more dangerous, serious encounter than actually exists.</p>

<p>In some cases, this means officers end up killing unarmed civilians like Rice, Serna, and Nehad, each of whom they were led to believe had weapons. More commonly, the result is the sort of <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1745-9133.12508?af=R">humiliation, fear, and aggression</a> that can occur when officers believe they are entering a situation far more serious than it actually is.</p>

<p>&ldquo;I think about the current state of call taking and dispatching as a game of Telephone,&rdquo; says Neusteter. &ldquo;Often, the end result is very different than the original message. And that&rsquo;s a huge problem. Public safety is too important to leave to a game of Telephone.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The gatekeepers of our criminal justice system</h2>
<p>911 call takers don&rsquo;t just impact incidents between police officers and civilians; they also determine whether police are sent out in the first place.</p>

<p>Some<strong> </strong>240 million calls are made to 911 <a href="https://perma.cc/RS7Y-SZEJ">every year</a>. Tens of millions &mdash; possibly hundreds of millions &mdash;&nbsp;more are made to non-emergency and alarm lines. In each case, a<strong> </strong>call taker&rsquo;s first job is to play the role of gatekeeper: either assign the call to the appropriate first responders or try to resolve the situation on the spot if it does not require immediate assistance.&nbsp;</p>

<p>In the real world, however, this gatekeeper function tends to devolve into a just-send-the-police function. Most jurisdictions have only three types of first responders: fire, medical, and police. And typically there are narrow, predefined criteria for sending in firefighters or EMTs. If those criteria haven&rsquo;t been met and the situation can&rsquo;t be easily resolved over the phone, the call taker only has two options: send the police or send no one.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Faced with this choice, call takers will usually opt to send the police for a simple reason: They face severe punishment and liability if they don&rsquo;t and something bad happens.</p>

<p>&ldquo;There are situations where if it&rsquo;s not a clear-cut need for fire or ambulance service, sending law enforcement is the only legitimate response,&rdquo; says April Heinze, a former call taker and call center director, and current 911 operations director for the National Emergency Number Association (NENA). &ldquo;That&rsquo;s not because the call taker wants to send police &mdash; they are constrained by local protocol.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Gillooly, the former 911 call taker and researcher, says she rarely denied police services no matter how benign the situation seemed. She <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/911-dispatchers-sit-between-police-and-people-of-color-they-need-better-training/2018/05/25/124b2bd6-5acf-11e8-858f-12becb4d6067_story.html">describes</a> a call from someone who found it suspicious that an older Asian man was walking on the side of the road; another about a dispute over a pet peacock defecating on a neighbor&rsquo;s front lawn; and one from a man who felt uncomfortable at the bus station because a Black teenager&rsquo;s jeans were hanging too low.</p>

<p>&ldquo;In most of these cases, sending the police is the only option you really have,&rdquo; Gillooly tells me. &ldquo;The informal motto among most call takers is, &lsquo;When in doubt, send them out.&rsquo;&rdquo;</p>

<p>Sending police to situations like these <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training">can have devastating consequences</a>. That&rsquo;s why a central plank of the &ldquo;defund the police&rdquo; campaign is to reimagine public safety such that police are no longer <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training">the default response</a> to all of society&rsquo;s ills. Instead, activists point to a variety of <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing">potential non-police first responders</a>, from trained mediators to crisis specialists to community patrols, that would be better suited to address problems like homelessness, mental illness, and traffic accidents.</p>

<p>In the wake of recent protests against police violence, cities like <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-06-12/san-francisco-police-reforms-stop-response-noncriminal-calls">San Francisco</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/7/1/20677523/mental-health-police-cahoots-oregon-oakland-sweden">Oakland</a>, <a href="https://www.oregonlive.com/portland/2019/09/portland-aims-to-dispatch-better-first-responders-for-homelessness-calls.html">Portland</a>, <a href="https://www.denverpost.com/2019/10/11/denver-police-cahoots-mental-health/">Denver</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/05/us/defund-police-floyd-protests.html">Minneapolis</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/06/15/wake-calls-defund-police-albuquerque-creates-an-alternative-department/">Albuquerque</a>, and <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/17/us/los-angeles-officials-replace-lapd-unarmed-trnd/index.html">Los Angeles</a> are developing their own civilian first responder programs. And Sens. Ron Wyden (D-OR) and Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) <a href="https://www.finance.senate.gov/ranking-members-news/wyden-cortez-masto-propose-bill-to-reduce-police-violence-during-mental-health-crises">recently introduced</a> the CAHOOTS Act &mdash; named after the <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/7/1/20677523/mental-health-police-cahoots-oregon-oakland-sweden">much-applauded initiative</a> in Eugene, Oregon, that sends unarmed crisis specialists instead of police to address noncriminal 911 calls &mdash; that would provide federal government support for such programs.</p>

<p>But even if these alternative programs are successful politically, they will only succeed logistically if 911 call takers can clearly distinguish between incidents that require sending in police and those that don&rsquo;t.</p>

<p>&ldquo;We expect our call takers to make really important judgment calls,&rdquo; says Steve Zeedyk, a call center supervisor in Eugene who works closely with Cahoots. &ldquo;There are many jurisdictions where if someone calls and wants an officer, they get an officer. Our call takers screen at a much higher level to determine whether police really are the right response. That&rsquo;s why we&rsquo;re able to make good decisions deploying the resources we have.&rdquo; &nbsp;</p>

<p>My conversations with Zeedyk and others made clear that 911 call takers will be crucial to the success of any non-police response efforts. &ldquo;The 911 system needs to be part of the conversation as cities think about how to set up alternate public safety initiatives,&rdquo; says&nbsp;Ayesha Delany-Brumsey, director of the Behavioral Health Division at the Council of State Governments Justice Center. &ldquo;Call takers are going to make consequential decisions about what responders get called in where.&rdquo;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How to fix our 911 system</h2>
<p>A few modest changes and investments could go a long way toward addressing the 911 system&rsquo;s tendencies to default to police and amplify the risk of police over-response.&nbsp;</p>

<p>As Gillooly points out in <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1745-9133.12508?af=R">a recent paper</a> on the subject, the technology that call takers use to transfer call information could be redesigned to<strong> </strong>include fields that capture a situation&rsquo;s level of ambiguity and uncertainty, signaling quickly to the dispatcher and police that the information they&rsquo;ve been given may be wrong. Training for call takers could be more comprehensive and include a greater emphasis on asking clarifying questions &mdash; like &ldquo;are you sure that the gun is real?&rdquo; &mdash; before classifying an incident. And incentives for call takers more broadly could be changed to incorporate <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/4/21279120/police-brutality-violence-protests-overpolicing-underpolicing">the social costs</a> of sending a police over-response.</p>

<p>A more sweeping solution would be to invest in significantly upgrading the technology that 911 call takers use. Imagine how many problems with the current 911 system would be mitigated if call takers could receive pictures or videos of a given situation as it is happening and then forward them directly to the<strong> </strong>responding officer &mdash; or use them to determine that police aren&rsquo;t needed for the situation at all. That&rsquo;s part of the vision behind <a href="https://www.911.gov/issue_nextgeneration911.html">&ldquo;Next Generation 911,&rdquo;</a> an initiative spearheaded by the US Department of Transportation&rsquo;s National 911 Program to upgrade the emergency call system nationwide.</p>

<p>According to experts at NENA, the biggest obstacle to Next Gen 911 deployment is inadequate funding. Before Covid-19, about half of jurisdictions in the US were slated to have Next Gen core services by the end of 2020 and 85 percent by 2025; however, the pandemic&rsquo;s&nbsp;impacts on state and local government budgets may create a shortfall of funding and thus delay deployment.</p>

<p>A modest federal investment could change that. <a href="https://www.911.gov/pdf/Next_Generation_911_Cost_Estimate_Report_to_Congress_2018.pdf">According to the National 911 program</a>, the cost of national deployment of Next Gen 911 comes out to about $12 billion over five to 10 years, a relatively small drop in the bucket of the federal budget.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;It&rsquo;s about time to move 911 technology into the 21st century,&rdquo; says Brian Fontes, CEO of NENA. &ldquo;With so many 911 calls originating from smartphones, there is so much potential information we could gather that is essential to responding to an emergency.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Call centers could also implement <a href="http://www.tucsonfirefoundation.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/About-Criteria-Based-Dispatch.pdf">&ldquo;criteria-based dispatching,&rdquo;</a> a script-based set of questions that guide the call-taking process. This would mean that both the level of police response and whether police are sent in at all would be left up to predefined criteria instead of the subjective discretion of the call taker, which could be subject to all kinds of momentary biases. The criteria-based dispatching model is often used in medical and firefighting dispatching centers and has been <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0196064454002235">credited with curbing over-response</a>. The approach<strong> </strong>is being piloted for policing in a handful of cities including Seattle, Tucson, Houston, and Washington, DC.</p>

<p>With criteria-based dispatching, the important consideration is to draw the criteria boundaries such that police forces aren&rsquo;t the default response. For instance, in Seattle, part of the dispatch criteria makes a strict distinction between &ldquo;suspicious activities&rdquo; and &ldquo;suspicious persons&rdquo;; if the caller can&rsquo;t definitively name a specific suspect behavior that a given person is engaging in, the call taker does not dispatch police.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Some places have gone a step further. Houston 911 call-taking scripts involve mandatory questions to assess whether the given incident involves someone experiencing a mental health crisis. If a case does involve a mental health component, it is flagged for dispatchers. And for those cases, the city employs a handful of mental health clinicians to sit with dispatchers and help them determine the appropriate first response: a civilian clinician team, a co-response team of police and clinicians, or a police team.</p>

<p>The result is that of the 40,000-plus calls that were flagged by call takers as having a mental health component in 2019, only 0.5 percent ended in an arrest, according to Wendy Baimbridge, assistant chief of the Houston police&rsquo;s mental health division. That&rsquo;s partly because Houston sometimes sends non-police first responders, but it&rsquo;s also because when police officers do enter such situations, they are fully aware that what they are dealing with is probably a mental health crisis.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Call takers can&rsquo;t possibly train for everything,&rdquo; says Baimbridge. &ldquo;And they certainly don&rsquo;t have the time to do a full mental health assessment. That&rsquo;s why we need mental health clinicians on the floor to play that role.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Of course, without the availability of <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing">non-police first responders</a>, reforms like these will <a href="https://www.texastribune.org/2020/06/19/nicolas-chavez-houston-police/">only go so far</a>. For the many situations that require some kind of trained response, call takers can&rsquo;t do much except call the police unless they have alternatives available.</p>

<p>In addition to these specific reforms, the experts I spoke with called for a cultural shift in how we as a society view, compensate, and treat emergency call takers and dispatchers. Only 20 states have even minimum training requirements for call takers and dispatchers, and even fewer provide funding for that training. In <a href="https://www.ziprecruiter.com/Salaries/What-Is-the-Average-911-Dispatcher-Salary-by-State">most states</a>, call takers make less than $50,000 per year with scant benefits. And they routinely experience <a href="https://medium.com/@WhatWorksCities/reducing-911-dispatcher-burnout-through-behavioral-insights-301726b80bce#:~:text=Over%20the%20course%20of%20a,take%20over%202%2C400%20phone%20calls.&amp;text=Over%2040%20percent%20of%20911,of%20employees%20in%20other%20fields.">burnout</a>, <a href="https://intime.com/blog/health-wellness/911-dispatcher-burnout/">high stress levels</a>, and <a href="https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/talking-about-trauma/201709/trauma-exposure-linked-ptsd-in-911-dispatchers">PTSD</a> from their work.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The 911 system has been completely undervalued, underfunded, and underresourced for 50 years,&rdquo; says Neusteter. &ldquo;The technology is terrible. The training, benefits, and occupational standards are subpar. Call takers have not been set up for success institutionally.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s a shame because call takers are the first point of contact, the most common reference point, and the gatekeeper for our entire criminal justice system.<strong> </strong>As cities and communities <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-09/the-cities-taking-up-calls-to-defund-the-police">across the country</a> wrestle with how to change policing, it&rsquo;s more important than ever they invest in 911 call centers that are better equipped, better trained, and better suited to handle the range of responsibilities they will be tasked with.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Over the years, 911 has been treated as a stepchild of the public safety community,&rdquo; says Fontes. &ldquo;That needs to change.&rdquo;</p>
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									</content>
			
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[How cities can tackle violent crime without relying on police]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/21351442/patrick-sharkey-uneasy-peace-abolish-defund-the-police-violence-cities" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/21351442/patrick-sharkey-uneasy-peace-abolish-defund-the-police-violence-cities</id>
			<updated>2020-08-16T13:18:12-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-08-07T08:10:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[One of the most robust findings in criminology is that putting more police officers on the streets leads to less violent crime. Yet, as recent police killings and violence against protesters have reminded us, policing also produces staggering costs that many communities are no longer willing to bear. These seemingly incongruous views represent a tension [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<figure>

<img alt="" data-caption="An anti-violence cookout is held to celebrate the life of 11-year-old Davon McNeal, who was fatally shot by a stray bullet in Washington, DC, on July 4. | Jahi Chikwendiu/Washington Post via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Jahi Chikwendiu/Washington Post via Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21702904/1226226057.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	An anti-violence cookout is held to celebrate the life of 11-year-old Davon McNeal, who was fatally shot by a stray bullet in Washington, DC, on July 4. | Jahi Chikwendiu/Washington Post via Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>One of the <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/18/21293784/alex-vitale-end-of-policing-review">most robust findings</a> in criminology is that putting more police officers on the streets leads to less violent crime. Yet, as recent police killings and violence against protesters have reminded us, policing also produces <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/4/21279120/police-brutality-violence-protests-overpolicing-underpolicing">staggering costs</a> that many communities are <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/17/21292046/black-people-abolish-defund-dismantle-police-george-floyd-breonna-taylor-black-lives-matter-protest">no longer willing to bear</a>. These seemingly incongruous views represent a tension at the core of any efforts to reform, defund, or abolish policing.</p>

<p>Few scholars have wrestled with this tension as rigorously as Princeton University sociologist Patrick Sharkey. In his 2018 book, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Uneasy-Peace-Decline-Renewal-Violence/dp/039360960X"><em>Uneasy Peace: The Great Crime Decline, the Renewal of City Life, and the Next War on Violence</em></a><em>, </em>Sharkey makes the case that the decline in violent crime in America over the past three decades is one of the most important social transformations of our time. At the same time, he argues the US&rsquo;s chosen methods for responding to violence have become far too destructive, and offers an alternative vision for public safety that relies primarily on communities and residents, not law enforcement.</p>

<p>We are currently being forced to confront a question that has animated Sharkey&rsquo;s work for years: How can we continue to reduce violence, but do so using a model that relies far less on police and prisons? That&rsquo;s a much harder question than simply asking whether some of the jobs police currently perform can be replaced &mdash; and it demands an even more rigorous answer, especially considering the extent to which high levels of violence can <a href="https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev-criminol-032317-092316">devastate disadvantaged communities</a>.</p>

<p>I recently spoke to Sharkey about what&rsquo;s causing the uptick in gun violence in big US cities, whether there is an inevitable trade-off between reducing police presence and reducing violence, his vision for a community-driven approach to public safety (and the evidence base behind that vision), what he thinks the &ldquo;defund the police&rdquo; campaign gets right (and wrong), and more.</p>

<p>Our conversation, edited for length and clarity, follows.</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Roge Karma</h3>
<p>Can you describe the &ldquo;uneasy peace&rdquo; that we are currently living through?</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Patrick Sharkey</h3>
<p>Since the 1990s, <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/1/14/17991530/violent-crime-drop-murder-usa-statistics-why">violence has fallen by roughly half</a> across the country. In a number of cities like New York, Los Angeles, Washington, DC, Dallas, San Diego, and San Francisco, violence has fallen by 70 or 80 percent. Even places we still think of as violent &mdash; Chicago, Philadelphia, Oakland &mdash; have seen violence fall by between a third and a half.</p>

<p>These changes have <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/13/opinion/sunday/two-lessons-of-the-urban-crime-decline.html">transformed city life as we know it</a>. As violence falls, public life starts to return. Parents let their kids play outside, libraries fill up, shopping districts become more lively. <a href="https://www.sociologicalscience.com/download/volume%201/may(3)/high-stakes-in-the-classroom-high-stakes-on-the-street.pdf">Academic performance rises</a>; young people are less likely to drop out. Families invest in neighborhoods as they become safe, and businesses return.</p>

<p>There&rsquo;s <a href="https://nyuscholars.nyu.edu/en/publications/the-effect-of-violent-crime-on-economic-mobility">causal evidence</a> that children growing up in cities where violence is declining are more likely to rise up in the income distribution when they reach adulthood and move out of poverty. In short, when violence falls, cities start to return to life, and the greatest benefits are experienced by the most disadvantaged segments of the population.&nbsp;</p>

<p>But the paradox is that the methods we&rsquo;ve relied on to deal with violence &mdash; primarily aggressive policing and mass incarceration &mdash; have had <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/4/21279120/police-brutality-violence-protests-overpolicing-underpolicing">staggering costs</a>. They have left millions of Americans enmeshed in the prison system with <a href="https://theappeal.org/the-incalculable-costs-of-mass-incarceration/">consequences</a> that affect not only the people who are involved in the system but also their families and the next generation.</p>

<p>For several decades now, we&rsquo;ve asked police departments to dominate public spaces through any means necessary. The police violence that has become so visible recently is a function of that task; the controversy, the attention, the unrest, the anger toward policing is a response to a strategy to reduce violence that has been intact for several decades now.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s what I mean when I&rsquo;m talking about the peace being uneasy: Violence has fallen, but we need a new method to address it going forward.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21702058/1212733170.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="A protestor demonstrates against police brutality in New York City on May 11 following the killing of Ahmaud Arbery. | B.A. Van Sise/NurPhoto via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="B.A. Van Sise/NurPhoto via Getty Images" /><h3 class="wp-block-heading">Roge Karma</h3>
<p>That&rsquo;s a good segue into our current moment. Multiple cities are currently experiencing <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/8/3/21334149/murders-crime-shootings-2020-coronavirus-pandemic">a sharp uptick</a> in shootings and homicides &mdash; some of which is being blamed on efforts to delegitimize police authority and reduce police presence. So I&rsquo;m wondering: Is that the trade-off we face? If we try to scale back policing, is rising violence the inevitable byproduct?</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Patrick Sharkey</h3>
<p>It&rsquo;s not an inevitable trade-off.</p>

<p>To be clear, there is a pattern of violence rising in the aftermath of these kinds of high-profile protests against police brutality. This happened after <a href="https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/fcm7t/">Freddie Gray in Baltimore</a>, after <a href="https://sentencingproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Ferguson-Effect.pdf">Michael Brown in Ferguson</a>, and it&rsquo;s clearly happening now. But that doesn&rsquo;t mean that protests against police <em>cause</em> violence to rise. It also doesn&rsquo;t mean police are the only institution capable of confronting violence. It means that when we rely primarily on police to respond to all forms of violence and then police stop playing that role, neighborhoods become destabilized.</p>

<p>That happens for a few different reasons. One is that police make a conscious decision to step back from their role in being the primary institution responsible for public safety. That might happen due to <a href="https://www.vox.com/2016/5/18/11683594/ferguson-effect-crime-police">increased scrutiny on policing</a>. It might happen due to shifts in policy, like the fact that NYPD dismantled their plainclothes anti-crime units that respond to many serious forms of violent crime. It also may happen because law enforcement is <a href="https://www.vox.com/2015/1/6/7501953/nypd-mayor-arrests-union">slowing down intentionally</a> to make a statement.</p>

<p>A second piece is that residents may be <a href="https://www.vox.com/2016/9/30/13110546/police-legitimacy-crime-911">less likely</a> to work with the police, defer to the police, or cooperate with investigations. Young people may come to the conclusion that this city doesn&rsquo;t care about me &mdash; I&rsquo;m not playing by the rules anymore. People obey the law <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/1147701?seq=1">when they believe it&rsquo;s legitimate</a>; when the belief in the legitimacy of this institution is undermined, that can result in a rise of violence.</p>

<p>None of this implies people should stop protesting police brutality. It means that the methods we&rsquo;ve historically used to reduce violence are unsustainable, and we need to start thinking of a strategy for confronting violence that relies a lot less on those methods.</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Roge Karma</h3>
<p>Let&rsquo;s talk about that strategy. Can you paint me a picture of what an alternative model of public safety would look like that didn&rsquo;t rely so heavily on police?</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Patrick Sharkey</h3>
<p>There&rsquo;s a basic conclusion from the research on what creates safe neighborhoods: Police are effective at reducing violence, but they aren&rsquo;t the only ones who are effective.</p>

<p>There&rsquo;s <a href="https://science.sciencemag.org/content/277/5328/918">lots</a> <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0003122417736289">of</a> <a href="https://thehill.com/opinion/criminal-justice/507885-a-promising-alternative-to-policing-high-crime-streets">evidence</a> telling us that other core institutions in a community &mdash; institutions that are driven by residents and local organizations &mdash; can play a central role in controlling violence. But we&rsquo;ve never thought of these organizations and residents as the central actors responsible for creating safe streets, so we&rsquo;ve never given them the same commitment and the same resources that we give to law enforcement and the criminal legal system. When we talk about how to respond to violence, the default response in the US is always to focus on the police and the prison.</p>

<p>The next model should be one driven primarily by residents and local organizations as the central actors. Police still certainly have a role to play, but responding to violent crime takes up <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training">only a tiny fraction of police officers&rsquo; time</a>. So the idea here is that we can rely on residents and local organizations to take over most of the duties that [officers] currently handle and make sure neighborhoods are safe.</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Roge Karma</h3>
<p>The critique you&rsquo;ll often hear on this is that the evidence base for some of these community-based methods for reducing violent crime is not nearly as robust as the evidence base behind policing as a way to reduce violent crime. How do you respond to that?</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Patrick Sharkey</h3>
<p>I agree that <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/2/13/18193661/hire-police-officers-crime-criminal-justice-reform-booker-harris">the research</a> on the effectiveness of policing on crime is strong. But the motivation for developing a new model for how to deal with violence is the observation that while police may have been effective in controlling violence, that has come with <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/4/21279120/police-brutality-violence-protests-overpolicing-underpolicing">significant costs</a>, which aren&rsquo;t accounted for in any of those studies. It&rsquo;s come with the type of aggressive, and sometimes violent, policing that I think most of the country is <a href="https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/6/6/voters-support-reforms-have-lost-trust-in-police">no longer willing to tolerate</a>. Policing as a method to confront violence is now seen as <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/17/21292046/black-people-abolish-defund-dismantle-police-george-floyd-breonna-taylor-black-lives-matter-protest">unacceptable by a large chunk of the population</a>.</p>

<p>I would also dispute that the evidence base for the alternative approach focused on community actors and institutions is not as strong. We now have a pretty well-established base of evidence telling us that residents and local organizations are at least as effective as the police in controlling violence.</p>

<p>The programs run out of the Crime Lab at the University of Chicago, all of which are run as randomized controlled trials, are <a href="https://urbanlabs.uchicago.edu/attachments/40b65e7954b14a0e39589325c1f3761b4d097b3e/store/eba7623c1d0577a8687b8d44ab539c4a762ae546db282e220adb59a79efa/Final+First+10+Report.pdf">extraordinarily effective</a>. The <a href="https://www.youth-guidance.org/bam/">Becoming a Man</a> and <a href="https://urbanlabs.uchicago.edu/projects/choose-to-change">Choose to Change</a> programs, which rely on a combination of mentoring and cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT), reduce participants&rsquo; <a href="https://urbanlabs.uchicago.edu/attachments/dd47d0bf9f85c9543e871d03b25fa1dcc8ee779f/store/cf2bff02b6f54df79d84cd3c2b20d7bd0ec398cdd7a4de0744e6e8860d6f/Choose+to+Change+Research+Brief.pdf">involvement in violence by</a> <a href="https://academic.oup.com/qje/article-abstract/132/1/1/2724542?redirectedFrom=fulltext">about 50 percent</a>. Summer jobs programs have led to <a href="https://science.sciencemag.org/content/346/6214/1219">over 40 percent</a> decreases in violence.</p>

<p>The <a href="https://urbanlabs.uchicago.edu/projects/readi-chicago">READI program</a>, which provides adults most at risk of becoming a victim or perpetrator of gun violence with transitional employment and CBT, is currently under evaluation, but the <a href="https://urbanlabs.uchicago.edu/attachments/40b65e7954b14a0e39589325c1f3761b4d097b3e/store/eba7623c1d0577a8687b8d44ab539c4a762ae546db282e220adb59a79efa/Final+First+10+Report.pdf">early results</a> have shown extraordinary potential. <a href="https://phsonline.org/">Community-based programs</a> that redesigned randomized abandoned lots in Philadelphia to become public spaces <a href="https://injuryprevention.bmj.com/content/19/3/198">reduced violence</a> in and around those lots by around <a href="https://www.pnas.org/content/115/12/2946">30 percent</a>.</p>

<p>The <a href="https://cvg.org/">Cure Violence programs</a>, which have been cited as if they always work, do have a more mixed evidence base. I think it is important to be very transparent about that &mdash; they don&rsquo;t work every single time. Still, this can be <a href="http://filesforprogress.org/memos/violence-interruption.pdf">a very effective model</a>. Programs in<a href="https://johnjayrec.nyc/2017/10/02/cvinsobronxeastny/"> New York</a>,  <a href="https://1vp6u534z5kr2qmr0w11t7ub-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Safe-Streets-full-evaluation.pdf">Baltimore</a>, and <a href="https://cvg.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/2019_09_20_CV_Evidence_Table.pdf">elsewhere</a> have been rigorously evaluated and shown to be extremely effective at reducing violence.</p>

<p>There&rsquo;s also national data on this. I carried out <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0003122417736289">a study</a> on the role that the expansion of the nonprofit sector played in contributing to the crime drop. What we found was that in a given city with 100,000 people, every new organization formed to confront violence and build stronger neighborhoods led to about a 1 percent drop in violent crime and murder. So the expansion nonprofits focused on building stronger communities and working against violence played a big role in contributing to the crime drop.</p>

<p>The evidence base for a community response to violence is at least as strong as the evidence base for policing. That&rsquo;s why I don&rsquo;t really think it&rsquo;s about the evidence base &mdash; I think it&rsquo;s about a mindset. In America, policy discussions about violence focus so intently on the police and the prison as the default responses. We&rsquo;ve been investing in these methods for so long, it&rsquo;s all we know &mdash; it&rsquo;s hard to even imagine a different response to violence.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/21702078/547477380.jpg.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="A group of violence interrupters head into a neighborhood in Baltimore, Maryland, to greet residents and raise awareness about the city’s Safe Streets program to reduce gun violence. | Andre Chung/Washington Post via Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Andre Chung/Washington Post via Getty Images" /><h3 class="wp-block-heading">Roge Karma</h3>
<p>I want to talk about that mindset. In <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Uneasy-Peace-Decline-Renewal-Violence/dp/039360960X"><em>Uneasy Peace</em></a><em>,</em> you talk about our historic approach to issues like violence, poverty, and inequality as one of &ldquo;punishment and abandonment&rdquo; and warn that if we focus on only addressing the &ldquo;punishment&rdquo; side of things but ignore making investments in abandoned communities, then reform efforts will ultimately fail.</p>

<p>I think this framework applies to conversations around &ldquo;defunding the police.&rdquo; If the goal is to just reduce the injustices that come with policing, then slashing police budgets works great. But it strikes me that this strategy could also lead to an uptick in overall violence levels if it&rsquo;s not paired with investments in alternative mechanisms for reducing violence.</p>

<p>Can you walk us through that broader framework and how it may apply today?</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Patrick Sharkey</h3>
<p>Calls to defund or dismantle the police are really about how we deal with an institution that is seen as racist and anti-democratic; what I&rsquo;ve argued for is to shift the focus toward how we can most effectively create safe and strong communities. When we make that shift, it forces us to think about not just how to scale back police shootings but what active steps need to be taken to make sure that communities are safe and everyone is welcomed.</p>

<p>For the past 50 years, our model of responding to concentrated urban poverty has been abandonment and punishment. We&rsquo;ve ignored the challenges of urban inequality and responded by scaling up the policing and prison systems. Over time, there has been a recognition of the injustice those systems, so we&rsquo;ve moved toward a model that is trying to gradually scale them back. That means we have moved away from a focus on punishment and toward a focus on justice. But if we just focus solely on justice, then we&rsquo;re going to end up with a situation where communities don&rsquo;t have the basic investments that they need to be strong, stable, and safe.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s my motivation for a different approach: to focus not only on justice but also on the investments that are needed to create safe neighborhoods. I agree entirely that just scaling back the budgets of police departments is going to leave us with neighborhoods that are more vulnerable to a rise in violence. That&rsquo;s why I make the case for investments in a different set of institutions driven by residents and local organizations that can play a central role in creating safe streets and strong communities.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s the step we haven&rsquo;t taken. We started the conversation about scaling back the excesses of law enforcement and the criminal legal system. But we haven&rsquo;t had the conversations about the investments that are needed to make sure neighborhoods are safe and no one falls through the cracks.</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Roge Karma</h3>
<p>Let&rsquo;s have that conversation. You&rsquo;ve <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/06/12/defund-police-violent-crime/?arc404=true">called for</a> &ldquo;a demonstration project that is both more cautious and more radical than the call to defund the police.&rdquo; Can you outline that for me?&nbsp;</p>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Patrick Sharkey</h3>
<p>Instead of calling for a rapid change where we dismantle police departments and immediately shift all police responses to other entities, the idea here is to try to maintain stability in communities at a time when violence is rising, but also start to plan for what an alternative model for dealing with violence might look like.</p>

<p>There are a few steps. Begin with a community within a city where the police are not seen as a legitimate institution &mdash; where residents are looking for an alternative to law enforcement. There has to be buy-in from the community where this is implemented and it has to be driven by members of that community. Second, establish a <a href="https://purposebuiltcommunities.org/our-approach/lead-organization/">&ldquo;community quarterback&rdquo;</a>: a single coalition of organizations that are brought together and see it as their responsibility to make sure all public spaces are safe in their community.</p>

<p>Third, provide funding to that organization equal to what law enforcement would be provided in that precinct. For instance, each of Washington, DC&rsquo;s 50-plus police service areas receives, on average, about $10 million per year to fund a workforce of roughly 80 full-time employees for a population of around 12,000. That&rsquo;s the kind of commitment I&rsquo;m asking for: the same level of commitment that we give law enforcement. For far too long, we&rsquo;ve asked community groups to mobilize to respond to violence on the cheap, often without any resources or compensation.</p>

<p>Then allow this new organization to decide how it wants to hire, train, and deploy its resources to deal with all of the incidents that that <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training">police departments currently deal with</a>: mental health crises, young people dealing drugs, small-scale altercations that occur outside bars or other hot spots, drug addiction.</p>

<p>Lastly, make a long-term commitment to this new coalition; I&rsquo;m calling for a 10-year commitment. Give it a chance to fail. Give it a chance to go through scandals and mishaps and bumps along the way, and know that it&rsquo;s still going to be there in 10 years. There&rsquo;s no easy way to respond to every challenge in a community. There&rsquo;s gonna be problems along the way. So it&rsquo;s really a mayor and a funder that have to be willing to go through these challenges and stick with an organization.</p>

<p>Now, communities may decide that there are places where armed responders are still necessary, like gun violence, and could choose what kind of relationship they want with the local police department accordingly. But in those places, we could imagine a model where even for situations where police are first to respond, they would need to respond with a member of this community coalition with them. Then, for all other 99 percent of incidents, the members of this coalition would be the first to respond to incidents in public space.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s the proposal: Give an alternative coalition of residents and organizations a chance to play a central role in creating a safe community and give them the resources that we devote to law enforcement. I just have to believe that, based on the evidence we have, that coalition would be at least as effective as law enforcement, and would come without the costs of law enforcement.</p>
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			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[We train police to be warriors — and then send them out to be social workers]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2020/7/31/21334190/what-police-do-defund-abolish-police-reform-training</id>
			<updated>2020-08-05T12:21:17-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-07-31T07:30:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Features" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Richard Nixon called police forces &#8220;the real front-line soldiers in the war on crime.&#8221; Bill Clinton, in his signing ceremony for the 1994 crime bill, called them &#8220;the brave men and women who put their lives on the line for us every day.&#8221; In 2018, Donald Trump described their job as follows: &#8220;Every day, our [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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<img alt="" data-caption="A police academy graduation ceremony held in Madison Square Garden in New York City, on April 18, 2018. | Drew Angerer/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Drew Angerer/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20789716/GettyImages_948196018.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	A police academy graduation ceremony held in Madison Square Garden in New York City, on April 18, 2018. | Drew Angerer/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Richard Nixon called police forces &ldquo;the real front-line soldiers in the war on crime.&rdquo; Bill Clinton, in <a href="https://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/fl-xpm-1994-09-14-9409130486-story.html">his signing ceremony</a> for the 1994 crime bill, called them &ldquo;the brave men and women who put their lives on the line for us every day.&rdquo; In 2018, Donald Trump <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-international-association-chiefs-police/">described </a>their job as follows: &ldquo;Every day, our police officers race into darkened alleys and deserted streets, and onto the doorsteps of the most hardened criminals &hellip; the worst of humanity.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>For decades, the warrior cop has been the popular image of police in America, reinforced by TV shows, movies, media, police recruitment videos, police leaders, and public officials.</p>

<p>This image is largely misleading. Police do fight crime, to be sure &mdash; but they are mainly called upon to be social workers, conflict mediators, traffic directors, mental health counselors, detailed report writers, neighborhood patrollers, and low-level law enforcers, sometimes all in the span of a single shift. In fact, the overwhelming majority of officers spend only a small fraction of their time responding to violent crime.&nbsp;</p>

<p>However, the institution of policing in America does not reflect that reality. We prepare police officers for a<strong> </strong>job we imagine them to have rather than the role they actually perform. Police are hired disproportionately from the military, trained in military-style academies that focus largely on the deployment of force and law, and equipped with lethal weapons at all times, and they operate <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/7/7/21293259/police-racism-violence-ideology-george-floyd">within a culture</a> that takes pride in warriorship, combat, and violence.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20789883/GettyImages_1227785440.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Police in riot gear and shields block the street in Richmond, Virginia, on July 25. | Eze Amos/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Eze Amos/Getty Images" />
<p>This mismatch can have troubling<strong> </strong>&mdash;<strong> </strong>even<strong> </strong>fatal &mdash; consequences. Situations that begin with civilians <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/14/nyregion/eric-garner-police-chokehold-staten-island.html">selling loose cigarettes</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2020/5/30/21275694/george-floyd-protests-minneapolis-atlanta-new-york-brooklyn-cnn">attempting to use possibly counterfeit currency</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/13/21290334/atlanta-police-shooting-wendys-video">sleeping intoxicated in their cars</a>, <a href="https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/balko_whitepaper_2006.pdf">recreationally selling or using low-level drugs</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2017/06/16/minn-officer-acquitted-of-manslaughter-for-shooting-philando-castile-during-traffic-stop/">violating minor traffic laws</a>, or <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/01/us/tony-timpa-dallas-police-body-cam.html">calling the police themselves because they are experiencing a mental health crisis</a> end with those same civilians, disproportionately Black Americans, unnecessarily killed at the hands of a<strong> </strong>police force primed for violent encounters and ill-equipped for interventions that demand mediation, deescalation, and social work.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Cops are very equipped to be the hammer and enforce the law,&rdquo; says Arthur Rizer, a former police officer and 21-year veteran of the US Army who heads the criminal justice program at the center-right R Street Institute. &ldquo;They know how to use those tools forcefully and effectively; for everything else, they are lacking. Of course that&rsquo;s going to end badly.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>There is considerable disagreement about the best way to change policing. But as <a href="https://www.vox.com/21312191/police-reform-defunding-abolition-black-lives-matter-protests">my colleague Aaron Ross Coleman points out</a>, a cross-factional coalition is emerging, centered on the idea that America relies far too heavily on police to address problems that have nothing to do with what they are trained, hired, and equipped to handle.</p>

<p>&ldquo;The spectrum of skill sets we are currently asking police to embody is simply not realistic,&rdquo; says Christy E. Lopez, a legal scholar at Georgetown Law who investigated police misconduct as an attorney for the Obama administration&rsquo;s Justice Department. &ldquo;It&rsquo;s not realistic to ask any profession to do that much.&rdquo;</p>

<p>In recent weeks, I&rsquo;ve spoken to a dozen current and former police officers, police reformers, legal scholars, and criminologists to better understand this fatal mismatch at the heart of American policing &mdash; and what it would take to fix it.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How police officers spend their time on the job</h2>
<p>The best information on how police officers spend their time comes from &ldquo;calls for service&rdquo; data made publicly available by <a href="https://data.baltimorecity.gov/Public-Safety/Calls-For-Service-Data-Lens/t3vg-dqh8">individual</a> <a href="https://data.cincinnati-oh.gov/Safety/PDI-Police-Data-Initiative-Police-Calls-for-Servic/gexm-h6bt">police</a> <a href="https://data.nola.gov/Public-Safety-and-Preparedness/Calls-for-Service-2019/qf6q-pp4b">agencies</a>. These are often defined as calls to emergency operators, 911 calls, alarms, and<strong> </strong>police radio and non-emergency calls. Most calls for service are initiated by citizens, but the data I draw on here captures the officer&rsquo;s final categorization of the incident.</p>

<p>The data overwhelmingly finds that police officers in aggregate spend the vast majority of their time responding to non-criminal calls, traffic-related incidents, and low-level crimes &mdash; and only a tiny fraction on violent crimes.</p>

<p>My favorite visualization of this data comes from former UK police officer and Temple University criminologist Jerry Ratcliffe, who used 2015 data from Philadelphia, a city with relatively high crime rates, to construct this graphic. The area of each box represents the proportion of reported incidents within that category:&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20106559/Figure_3_2__INCT_incidents_.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="" data-portal-copyright="Jerry Ratcliffe, &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.amazon.com/Intelligence-Led-Policing-Jerry-H-Ratcliffe/dp/113885901X&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;Intelligence-Led Policing&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/a&gt;" />
<p>If you squint a bit, you can see that violent crimes like rape, homicide, and aggravated assault are<strong> </strong>tucked away in the bottom right-hand corner. Less serious crimes like petty theft, drug use, and vandalism take up slightly more space but not all that much. The vast majority of calls have nothing to do with crime. Instead, they involve disorderly crowds, domestic disputes, traffic accidents, minor disturbances, and a whole array of &ldquo;unfounded&rdquo; calls where the officer arrived on the scene only to discover nothing was happening.</p>

<p>Of course, the exact incident breakdown will vary by place, but this general picture holds for a number of police departments in major cities. In <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/19/upshot/unrest-police-time-violent-crime.html">a June article for the New York Times</a>, crime analysts Jeff Asher and Ben Horwitz dug through the call data for the 10 police agencies that had made such data available, including in places with relatively high violent crime rates like Baltimore and New Orleans. They found that incidents that met the FBI Uniform Crime Report definition of violent crime made up only around 1 percent of calls for service.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Then, for the handful of police agencies that also provided data on when a given call for service was first reported and when that incident was closed, Asher and Horwitz used the difference between those two numbers to gauge the time officers actually spent on different types of policing activities.</p>
<div class="twitter-embed"><a href="https://twitter.com/Crimealytics/status/1273968639453138945" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">View Link</a></div>
<p>Across these departments, the biggest category of time spent by police was on &ldquo;responding to noncriminal calls,&rdquo; which took up around a third or more of total on-call time. The next biggest categories were &ldquo;traffic&rdquo; (mostly car accidents) and &ldquo;other crime&rdquo; (low-level crimes like drug use, truancy, disorderly conduct, etc.). Almost 10 percent of police time was spent on &ldquo;medical&rdquo; calls,&nbsp;which involve non-crime-related physical emergencies. Meanwhile, police spent only around 4 percent of their time responding to violent crime and even less time (closer to 0.1 percent) on homicides.</p>

<p>&ldquo;When I was an officer, I got calls about dead animals, ungovernable children who refused to go to school, people who hadn&rsquo;t gotten their welfare checks, adults who hadn&rsquo;t heard from their elderly relatives, families who needed to be informed of a death, broken-down cars, you name it,&rdquo; says Seth Stoughton, a legal scholar at the University of South Carolina and former Tallahassee police officer. &ldquo;Everything that isn&rsquo;t dealt with by some other institution automatically defaults to the police to take care of.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Calls for service data do not include what police often refer to as &ldquo;unassigned&rdquo; time &mdash; the hours police officers spend between calls patrolling neighborhoods, taking a meal break, or filling out paperwork. Observational studies of patrol officers have found that <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/29455486_Managing_Police_Patrol_Time_The_Role_of_Supervisor_Directives">anywhere from 46 percent to 81 percent</a> of their time is spent on unassigned activities. That means the total percentage of time police spend responding to crime could well be<strong> </strong>far less than even the call data indicates (the main exception being members of specialized units in major departments like homicide and SWAT whose activities aren&rsquo;t captured by observational studies).</p>

<p><a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/073401680102600103?casa_token=zB02nL_50fMAAAAA:54EKF5_MZEvhqVZ-WUJb2exW9d3FthwxbTCiQWjUoEkQrY4xUgLhejKJ9pz8SZ5_iS2S6FsSyA6jxQ">Numerous</a> <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/07418829900094241?casa_token=lGf1a2Qxj5MAAAAA:5iYjHgGejFvvBw4giqohNBn4tCnM3kEaNBbFBzXqhE6QT4LkldI63K2UFr2alxB4KdMeyAzNntuBWw">academic</a> <a href="https://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=5642&amp;context=jclc">studies</a> confirm these basic patterns in the data. They find that patrol officers &mdash; even in <a href="https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/13639510510614537/full/html?skipTracking=true">suburban</a> and <a href="https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/BF02885752.pdf">rural</a> communities for which public data is often lacking &mdash; spend the overwhelming majority of their time writing reports, driving around neighborhoods, and responding to non-criminal calls.</p>

<p><strong>&ldquo;</strong>The job is 99 percent boredom and 1 percent sheer panic,&rdquo; says Matthew Bostrom, a criminologist at the University of Oxford who spent more than 30 years as a police officer, commander, and sheriff in St. Paul, Minnesota. &ldquo;Most of what you deal with is fairly routine.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>In his recent paper <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3564469#:~:text=It%20proposes%20a%20totally%20novel,safety%20from%20the%20ground%20up">&ldquo;Disaggregating the Policing Function,&rdquo;</a> Barry Friedman, the director of the Policing Project at New York University&rsquo;s School of Law, breaks down this dizzying array of tasks and responsibilities into a handful of distinct roles:</p>
<ul class="wp-block-list"><li>The traffic cop: The <a href="https://bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/cpp15.pdf">majority</a> of police-civilian interactions take place on the road. Police help stranded motorists with broken-down cars, take reports in car accidents, direct traffic around serious incidents in which other responders are needed, set and staff speed “traps,” and issue citations. And when police are off-call, they spend much of their time performing routine street patrol. </li><li>The mediator cop: <a href="https://www.policemag.com/373131/responding-to-civil-disputes">A huge number of calls</a> to the police involve relatively minor interpersonal disputes: disputes over noise levels, trespassing, misbehaving pets, or rowdiness; disputes between spouses, family members, roommates, or neighbors. In these situations, police are called to calm things down, deescalate, and act as counsel.</li><li>The social worker cop: Police work often involves populations like the <a href="https://www.citylab.com/equity/2019/09/homeless-person-complaints-when-to-call-police-311-report/597742/">homeless</a>, intoxicated people, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/as-opioid-overdoses-rise-police-officers-become-counselors-doctors-and-social-workers/2017/03/12/85a99ba6-fa9c-11e6-be05-1a3817ac21a5_story.html?noredirect=on&#038;utm_term=.c90af58eec2d">people with substance use issues</a>, or those <a href="https://www.treatmentadvocacycenter.org/storage/documents/overlooked-in-the-undercounted.pdf">with mental illness</a>. This role isn’t often captured well in the aggregate data, but police spend a <a href="https://www.oxfordbibliographies.com/view/document/obo-9780195389678/obo-9780195389678-0016.xml#obo-9780195389678-0016-bibItem-0020">huge chunk</a> <a href="https://academic.oup.com/sw/article-abstract/18/5/67/1865451?redirectedFrom=PDF">of their time</a> on these functions. </li><li>The first responder: In most jurisdictions, the only government entities that respond to problems 24 hours a day, seven days a week are police, fire, and emergency medical services. That means for the vast majority of social problems, police are often <a href="https://www.vera.org/downloads/publications/gatekeepers-police-and-mass-incarceration.pdf">the default institution</a> for people to call. This is how cops get stuck chasing runaway dogs, tracking down welfare checks, dealing with noise complaints, and a whole host of other issues that appear to have nothing to do with policing. </li><li>The crime-fighting, law enforcement cop: There is something to be said for rapid response by force- and law-trained individuals to situations involving serious criminal activity. However, <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3564469#:~:text=It%20proposes%20a%20totally%20novel,safety%20from%20the%20ground%20up">studies find</a> that this time is mostly spent interviewing witnesses, gathering evidence, advising victims, and writing reports. “Often cops are just there to pick up the pieces after the fact,” says Peter Moskos, a former Baltimore police officer and criminologist at John Jay College. “By the time you arrive, the crime is usually no longer in progress.” </li></ul>
<p>The time a given officer spends on each of these roles varies greatly. In bigger cities, police work tends to involve dealing with a lot of substance abuse, mental illness, and homelessness. In suburban areas, domestic and other interpersonal disputes take up a larger portion of police time. In rural communities, police deal with a huge number of unique, one-off tasks.</p>

<p>What remains true in each of these cases is that police officers aren&rsquo;t primarily crime fighters and law enforcers; instead, they fill a huge range of other social functions, often ones that other social services and institutions don&rsquo;t have the ability to respond to quickly or at all.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;As a society we&rsquo;ve decided to sweep these problems aside rather than to deal with them,&rdquo; Friedman tells me. &ldquo;And the police are the broom. They don&rsquo;t want to be the broom, but that&rsquo;s exactly what they are.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The job we prepare police for</h2>
<p>This all adds up to a fundamental problem with policing in America: We prepare police for a role vastly different from the one they actually play in society.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/slleta13.pdf">A 2016 national study</a> of the training of 135,000 recruits across 664 local police academies found that, on average, officers each received 168 hours of training in firearm skills, self-defense, and use of force out of 840 total hours. Another 42 hours were spent on criminal investigations, 38 on operating an emergency vehicle, 86 on legal education aimed primarily at force amendment law, and hundreds more on basic operations and self-improvement. Topics like domestic violence (13 hours), mental illness (10 hours), and mediation and conflict management (9 hours) received a fraction of trainee time. Others, like homelessness and substance abuse, were so rare they didn&rsquo;t make the data set.</p>

<p>Those averages mask an even more worrying reality. <a href="https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/slleta13.pdf">Almost half</a> of American police academies utilize what is called the &ldquo;military model&rdquo; of instruction &mdash; a high-stress, <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/police-academies-paramilitary/612859/?utm_source=twitter&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_campaign=share">physically and psychologically excruciating</a> approach traditionally used to train soldiers for battle. Another third use a hybrid approach that draws heavily on the military model.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20789889/GettyImages_1216620466.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Huntington Beach SWAT team members stand ready for protesters in Huntington Beach, California, on May 31. | Brent Stirton/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Brent Stirton/Getty Images" />
<p>In many major-city police departments where this military model is prevalent, training is even more skewed toward force and law enforcement. At Nashville&rsquo;s police academy, for instance, officers spent <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3564469#:~:text=It%20proposes%20a%20totally%20novel,safety%20from%20the%20ground%20up">two-thirds of their training time</a> on law enforcement and use of force and less than 10 percent of their time on &ldquo;social work/mediation&rdquo; issues like interpersonal communication and human relations.</p>

<p>&ldquo;The amount of firearms and use of force training in our academies is completely at odds with the problem we most often ask police to deal with,&rdquo; says Ratcliffe, the former UK police officer turned Temple criminologist. &ldquo;Police training is simply not reflective of the role of police in our society.&rdquo;</p>

<p>In the field, this trend continues. Despite the fact that American police deal with a vast array of different situations, they are equipped with the exact same tools for each one: handcuffs and a firearm. Increasingly, that tool basket also includes <a href="https://www.rstreet.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Corrected-137-1.pdf">assault rifles, camouflage, and armored vehicles</a>, even for routine tasks.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The structure of police agencies, too, reflects a commitment to force. Glance at <a href="http://www.lapdonline.org/contact_us/content_basic_view/1063">the organization chart</a> of any major police department and you&rsquo;ll see specialized departments like SWAT, bomb squad, narcotics, vice, street crimes, gang unit, criminal intelligence, and counterterrorism. What you won&rsquo;t see, with <a href="https://csgjusticecenter.org/projects/police-mental-health-collaboration-pmhc/law-enforcement-mental-health-learning-sites/">a handful of exceptions</a>, are departments focused on conflict mediation or social work.</p>

<p>The emphasis on force, law, and crime fighting is undergirded by a powerful ideological ecosystem. As my colleague Zack Beauchamp <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/7/7/21293259/police-racism-violence-ideology-george-floyd">writes</a>,&nbsp;&ldquo;The ideology [of policing] holds that the world is a profoundly dangerous place: Officers are conditioned to see themselves as constantly in danger and that the only way to guarantee survival is to dominate the citizens they&rsquo;re supposed to protect.&rdquo; That ideology is <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2830642">baked into the culture of policing</a> at all levels.</p>

<p>Crime fighting and deployment of force are also culturally valorized. Take the International Association of Chiefs of Police&rsquo;s &ldquo;Police Officer of the Year&rdquo; award,&nbsp;which &ldquo;symbolizes the highest level of achievement among police officers,&rdquo; and selects those who can stand as models for the profession &mdash; it&rsquo;s a big deal in the policing world. In the 30-year period from 1986 to 2015, <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2830642">25 recipients</a> of the award were honored for actions they took in combat conditions while under attack.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Or just look up <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sy_k7KC_d1g">any</a> <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpF_yz4waNk">police</a> <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rm9lTQ5S6xI">department</a> <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AQ-BWHB33E">recruitment</a> <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Ftkjd19j5k">video</a>, where you&rsquo;re likely to see police officers battering down doors, firing assault rifles, engaging in high-speed freeway chases, and running after suspects through alleyways &mdash; sometimes with a few brief shots of community outreach sprinkled in.</p>

<p>As for <a href="https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles1/bja/185235.pdf">in-person recruiting efforts</a>, police agencies concentrate primarily on military bases and, to a lesser degree, sports facilities and private security companies. The result is that military veterans &mdash; who are <a href="https://www.themarshallproject.org/2017/03/30/when-warriors-put-on-the-badge#:~:text=Today%20just%206%20percent%20of,University%20for%20The%20Marshall%20Project.">more likely</a> to generate excessive force complaints and be involved in unjustified police shootings than non-military cops &mdash; represent <a href="https://www.themarshallproject.org/2017/03/30/when-warriors-put-on-the-badge#:~:text=Today%20just%206%20percent%20of,University%20for%20The%20Marshall%20Project.">almost 20 percent</a> of police officers despite being just six percent of the US population. Men more generally make up <a href="https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2018/crime-in-the-u.s.-2018/topic-pages/tables/table-74">almost 90 percent</a> of all police officers; they are considerably more likely <a href="https://www.ncjrs.gov/App/publications/abstract.aspx?ID=239782">to use force</a> and <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/01/17/female-police-officers-on-the-job-experiences-diverge-from-those-of-male-officers/">aggressive tactics</a> than female officers.</p>

<p>&ldquo;What excites police is action, and that means ultimately applying violence,&rdquo; says Rizer. &ldquo;The people attracted to police work want that type of action &mdash; they are giddy about it. The people who<strong> </strong>don&rsquo;t want that type of action either never make it in the first place or are ridiculed for it if they do.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A mismatch with devastating consequences</h2>
<p>Police officers are functionally generalists responsible for dealing with a vast array of our society&rsquo;s most sensitive situations; yet we&rsquo;ve recruited, hired, trained, equipped, and deployed them to be specialists in force. And we&rsquo;ve done it all using an often <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/06/04/urban-areas-police-are-consistently-much-whiter-than-people-they-serve/?arc404=true">disproportionately white</a> police force with a <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/opinions/systemic-racism-police-evidence-criminal-justice-system/">well-documented</a> <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1745-9125.2011.00230.x">racial bias</a> <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3627809">problem</a> entering Black and brown communities that <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/17/21292046/black-people-abolish-defund-dismantle-police-george-floyd-breonna-taylor-black-lives-matter-protest">historically distrust the police</a>.</p>

<p>Would it surprise anyone if this occasionally resulted in unnecessary violence?&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;Often what these situations require is someone to calm things down, cool things off, and deescalate,&rdquo; says Tom Tyler, a legal scholar at Yale Law School and a founding director of Yale&rsquo;s Justice Collaboratory. &ldquo;But police tend to manage all the problems they face through the threat or use of coercive force. This amplifies the level of emotion and anger in a given situation and can create a spiral of conflict that ends tragically.&rdquo;</p>

<p>Take <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/13/21290334/atlanta-police-shooting-wendys-video">the case of Rayshard Brooks</a>. On June 12, Atlanta police officers were sent to respond to a<strong> </strong>complaint that Brooks was sleeping in his vehicle in a Wendy&rsquo;s drive-through. Video evidence shows the interaction starts out calm. Brooks repeatedly asks the arresting officer, Garrett Rolfe, if he can leave his car parked and walk to his sister&rsquo;s home, which he says is nearby. But Rolfe insists Brooks take a field sobriety test, which reveals<strong> </strong>that Brooks had a blood alcohol level slightly above the legal limit. Rolfe attempts to handcuff Brooks, Brooks resists, and a struggle ensues. Brooks grabs Rolfe&rsquo;s Taser, begins running away, and turns to fire it. Rolfe shoots Brooks three times.</p>

<p>Brooks died in the hospital.</p>

<p>There are numerous points at which this interaction could have gone differently. If Atlanta had delegated certain responsibilities to non-police agencies, they could have sent an unarmed civilian to drive Brooks home. If the officers on the scene had the mindset of solving a problem without the use of force, they probably<strong> </strong>wouldn&rsquo;t have escalated the<strong> </strong>situation by trying to forcefully handcuff Brooks. If the arresting officer didn&rsquo;t have a Taser, Brooks would never have taken control of his&nbsp;weapon. If that same officer weren&rsquo;t armed &mdash; or perhaps had stricter use of force requirements &mdash; he wouldn&rsquo;t have shot and killed someone holding a less lethal weapon.</p>

<p>You can do the same kind of analysis for the deaths of <a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2020/5/30/21275694/george-floyd-protests-minneapolis-atlanta-new-york-brooklyn-cnn">George Floyd</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/14/nyregion/eric-garner-police-chokehold-staten-island.html">Eric Garner</a>, <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/23/us/breonna-taylor-police-shooting-invs/index.html">Breonna Taylor</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2017/06/16/minn-officer-acquitted-of-manslaughter-for-shooting-philando-castile-during-traffic-stop/">Philando Castile</a>, <a href="https://www.ajc.com/news/crime--law/request-for-water-fatal-encounter-with-police/Kg1vBDnDsRukMThfHFk0eJ/">Euree Martin</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/01/us/tony-timpa-dallas-police-body-cam.html">Tony Timpa</a>, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/12/latinos-police-brutality-protests-george-floyd">Erik Salgado</a>, and countless others. In each situation, the mismatch is crystal clear: Officers trained primarily in the deployment of force and law, armed with lethal weapons, and told to think of themselves as warriors were the chosen first responders to situations that demand anything but. And each situation ended with someone killed at the hands of the people ostensibly tasked to protect and serve them.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20789896/GettyImages_1254442986.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="A mural honoring Breonna Taylor in Annapolis, Maryland, on July 5. Taylor was killed by members of the Louisville Police Department in March 2020. | Patrick Smith/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Patrick Smith/Getty Images" />
<p>Police killings of unarmed civilians in the United States are <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/jun/09/the-counted-police-killings-us-vs-other-countries">magnitudes higher</a> than those in peer countries. Using 2015 data, Franklin Zimring, a UC Berkeley criminologist and author of <a href="https://www.amazon.com/When-Police-Kill-Franklin-Zimring/dp/067497218X"><em>When Police Kill</em></a>, <a href="https://www.amazon.com/When-Police-Kill-Franklin-Zimring/dp/067497218X">calculates</a> that the chance of an unarmed civilian being killed by police in the US is three times higher than the chance of any civilian, armed or unarmed, being killed by police in Germany and more than 10 times higher than in the UK (and that&rsquo;s using a very conservative estimate of<strong> </strong>unarmed shootings in the US). A <a href="https://www.policeone.com/use-of-force/articles/8-key-findings-from-new-study-on-killing-of-unarmed-suspects-21ZMAYTVhBRn1VtW/">separate analysis</a> found that in almost half of police killings of unarmed civilians in the US, the person killed was revealed to be or suspected of experiencing<strong> </strong>either a mental health crisis or narcotic intoxication.</p>

<p>Even when civilians are armed, that doesn&rsquo;t necessarily mean police killings are justified. Upon extensively analyzing the 1,100 total fatal police killings in the US in 2015, Zimring <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Lives-Guns-Jonathan-Obert/dp/019084292X">concluded</a> that &ldquo;almost half the cases &#8230; were confrontations where the police were not at objective risk of a deadly attack.&rdquo;&nbsp;And, of course, it is impossible to quantify how many of those confrontations would not have escalated to the point of potential violence in the first place if not for police presence and tactics.</p>

<p>The unnecessary use of deadly force isn&rsquo;t the only, or even the most likely, consequence of this mismatch. It also leads routinely to the <a href="https://www.vera.org/publications/arrest-trends-every-three-seconds-landing/arrest-trends-every-three-seconds/overview">overcriminalization</a> of issues like <a href="https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/dudaspji0709.pdf">drug use</a>, <a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5397789/">mental illness</a>, and <a href="https://www.oregonlive.com/portland/2018/06/portland_homeless_accounted_fo.html">homelessness</a>; it causes predominantly Black and brown communities to <a href="https://www.vox.com/21292688/police-killings-data">live in constant fear</a> of their own police departments; it <a href="https://www.vox.com/21292688/police-killings-data">destroys trust </a>between police officers and the people they are supposed to protect; and it places <a href="https://populardemocracy.org/news/publications/freedom-thrive-reimagining-safety-security-our-communities">a major financial burden</a> on local government budgets (armed police officers are an expensive way to address social problems) that leads to the underfunding of key social services. All the while, it fails to solve the underlying problems that lead to police being called in the first place.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The definition of failure is that what we&rsquo;re doing isn&rsquo;t solving the problem and is actually causing harm in the process,&rdquo; says Friedman, the Policing Project director. &ldquo;That basically describes the state of policing today.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Reimagining public safety  </h2>
<p>When it comes to addressing the mismatch between the nature of our police forces and the roles we ask them to perform, there are <a href="http://www.bu.edu/bulawreview/files/2020/05/08-QUATTLEBAUM-TYLER.pdf">two broad paths</a> that stand out.</p>

<p>The first is to transform our police forces &mdash; to change how officers are recruited, hired, trained, and equipped to meet the actual demands of their role.</p>

<p>Hiring and recruiting practices can be reformed to increase the diversity of police forces in terms of gender, race, and non-military backgrounds. Training can be refocused to include a stronger emphasis on <a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/1745-9133.12337">procedural justice principles</a>, <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1745-9133.12467">conflict deescalation</a>, and <a href="http://jaapl.org/content/early/2019/09/24/JAAPL.003863-19#:~:text=Much%20research%20has%20shown%20an,who%20received%20mental%20health%20training.&amp;text=There%20is%20good%20evidence%20for,in%20the%20use%20of%20force.">crisis intervention</a>. Use of force policies can be made <a href="https://www.policingproject.org/camden">much stricter</a>. Tactics like <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/10/world/police-policies-neck-restraints-trnd/index.html">chokeholds</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/5/8/15533536/police-shooting-moving-cars-jordan-edwards">shooting at moving vehicles</a>, and <a href="http://useofforceproject.org/#review">shooting without warning</a> can be banned, as <a href="http://useofforceproject.org/#project">many departments</a> have already done. Military-grade weapons can be<strong> </strong><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/01/us/politics/police-military-gear.html">taken off the streets</a>. Legal protections like <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/3/21277104/qualified-immunity-cops-constitution-shaniz-west-supreme-court">qualified immunity</a> can be revoked.</p>

<p>On a structural level, police agencies can create an entire department focused on crisis response with specialized units focused on homeless outreach, mental illness, substance abuse, and conflict mediation (as some <a href="https://csgjusticecenter.org/projects/police-mental-health-collaboration-pmhc/law-enforcement-mental-health-learning-sites/houston-police-department/">progressive</a> <a href="https://www.cossapresources.org/Learning/PeerToPeer/Diversion/Sites/Huntington">departments</a> <a href="https://csgjusticecenter.org/projects/police-mental-health-collaboration-pmhc/law-enforcement-mental-health-learning-sites/tucson-police-department/">have</a> <a href="http://portlandmaine.gov/1150/Behavioral-Health-Response-Program">already</a> <a href="https://www.slchost.org/">done</a>). Those officers can be recruited from fields like social work and psychology, hired based on their capacity to calmly handle highly stressful situations, trained primarily in crisis response, and rewarded not for arrests or stops but for peaceably resolving issues and handing them over to the appropriate social services institution.</p>

<p>The challenges associated with this approach aren&rsquo;t difficult to imagine. Reform would have to take place on numerous levels: training, hiring, recruitment, agency structure, weaponry. You&rsquo;d have to get buy-in not only from state and local public officials and police chiefs but from rank-and-file officers. You&rsquo;d have to fight police unions for <a href="https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/21290981/police-union-contracts-minneapolis-reform">even an inch of reform</a>. And even if you fixed one or two of these areas (which could take years or decades), sending armed officers to deal with social problems will always leave open the possibility of unnecessary violence. Cities like <a href="https://www.themarshallproject.org/2020/05/28/before-george-floyd-s-death-minneapolis-police-failed-to-adopt-reforms-remove-bad-officers">Minneapolis</a>, <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/14/politics/keisha-lance-bottoms-mayors-who-matter-cnntv/index.html">Atlanta</a>, and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/25/us/carlos-ingram-lopez-death-tucson-police.html">Tucson</a> &mdash; all of which have experienced high-profile police killings recently despite reform efforts &mdash; have learned that lesson the hard way.</p>

<p>&ldquo;It&rsquo;s impossible to point to one specific problem and say, &lsquo;That&rsquo;s it &mdash; that&rsquo;s the issue,&rsquo;&rdquo; says Tracey Meares, a legal scholar and founding director of Yale University&rsquo;s Justice Collaboratory. &ldquo;This is about the system of policing itself. Our communities lack the resources to deal with their social problems. And our response has been to deploy armed first responders to address the issue way down the chain from the source.&rdquo;</p>

<p>That leads us to a second approach: to transform how we address<strong> </strong>public safety such that police play a smaller, more targeted role altogether. This would involve communities designating a certain subset of current police duties that don&rsquo;t require armed police response, delegating those responsibilities &mdash; along with requisite funding &mdash; to an institution that could better handle the issue, and designing systems for service delivery (like a 911 call diversion program) and coordination (like a silent alert system that unarmed first responders could use to quickly summon police backup).</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20789904/GettyImages_1223466307.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Anti-police brutality protesters calling for defunding the NYPD march in New York City on June 29. | Byron Smith/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Byron Smith/Getty Images" />
<p>Models for this approach have been <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing">implemented successfully in some places in the US and across the globe</a>. In the UK, certain traffic functions have been designated to unarmed, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Highways_England_traffic_officers">non-police public servants</a>. In cities across the US, &ldquo;violence interruption&rdquo; programs run by community nonprofits have been <a href="http://filesforprogress.org/memos/violence-interruption.pdf">largely successful</a> in mediating conflict and reducing violence. The much-applauded <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/7/1/20677523/mental-health-police-cahoots-oregon-oakland-sweden">Cahoots program</a> in Eugene, Oregon, sends a team of unarmed crisis specialists to address many non-criminal 911 calls without having to involve police.</p>

<p>There&rsquo;s public support for such an approach.<strong> </strong>A<strong> </strong><a href="https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/6/6/voters-support-reforms-have-lost-trust-in-police">recent poll</a>&nbsp;found that 68 percent of voters support the creation of a &ldquo;new agency of first responders&rdquo; (although just&nbsp;<a href="https://apnorc.org/projects/widespread-desire-for-policing-and-criminal-justice-reform/">a quarter of Americans</a>&nbsp;say they support &ldquo;reducing funding&rdquo; for police departments).</p>

<p>The challenge is that designing an entirely new approach to public safety, rather than merely reforming an existing one, means stepping into relatively uncharted territory.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;There is no single, definitive answer to what will work in a given place,&rdquo; Megan Quattlebaum, director of the Council of State Governments Justice Center, tells me. &ldquo;Anything we do is going to be in the space of experimentation with different models.&rdquo;</p>

<p>That means things are bound to go wrong. Some programs might not scale. Others will not receive adequate funding. Crime may temporarily increase in some places. Occasionally, a violence interrupter or mobile crisis worker will be seriously injured or killed. And when those things happen, it will take an incredible amount of political will and community solidarity to persist.&nbsp;</p>

<p>These two approaches are not mutually exclusive. There is <a href="https://www.vox.com/21312191/police-reform-defunding-abolition-black-lives-matter-protests">general agreement</a> that armed officers should still respond to violent crimes, like an active shooter, and definitively non-criminal, nonviolent activity should be delegated to alternative institutions. There are also a <a href="http://www.bu.edu/bulawreview/files/2020/05/08-QUATTLEBAUM-TYLER.pdf">handful of hybrid solutions</a> that combine the approaches &mdash; for instance, collaborative models between police and other agencies or nonprofits that co-respond to issues like <a href="https://csgjusticecenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Strengthening-Partnerships-Between-Law-Enforcement-and-Homelessness-Service-Systems.pdf">homelessness</a> or <a href="https://csgjusticecenter.org/projects/police-mental-health-collaboration-pmhc/law-enforcement-mental-health-learning-sites/arlington-police-department/">mental health</a>. Or the &ldquo;civilianization&rdquo; of police departments: hiring unarmed professionals without arrest powers to fulfill certain police responsibilities, as <a href="https://cipc-icpc.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Community_Safety_Workers._An_exploratory_Study_of_Some_Emerging_Crime_Prevention_Occupations2_ANG.pdf">many European countries have done</a>.</p>

<p>But once you get into the details, difficult trade-offs emerge. There are plenty of cases where there is legitimate ambiguity about whether a situation will escalate to violence: like when a 911 caller <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/15/us/tamir-rice-911-operator-suspended.html">isn&rsquo;t sure</a> whether what she is seeing is a man at a playground with a lethal weapon or a young teenager playing with a toy gun,<strong> </strong>or when a woman experiencing a severe mental health crisis is <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/apr/03/idaho-police-shootings-jeanetta-riley-justice-for-arfee">threatening others with a knife</a>. In cases like those, do we send unarmed first responders and risk putting them, and others, in harm&rsquo;s way? Or do we send armed police officers and risk the use of unnecessary state force against civilians?</p>

<p>&ldquo;This is a conversation that needs to be had with communities,&rdquo; says Tracie L. Keesee, a former Denver police officer and the co-founder of the Center for Policing Equity. &ldquo;Where do you want police and where do you not want them? Who would you rather have show up? What kinds of qualities would you like your police officers to have?&rdquo;</p>

<p>Reimagining the role police play in our society<strong> </strong>is far from being anti-police. <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2016/07/11/grief-and-anger-continue-after-dallas-attacks-and-police-shootings-as-debate-rages-over-policing/">Plenty of</a> <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-06-24/protests-spur-bid-for-lapd-to-move-back-from-mental-health-calls">police</a> <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/29/podcasts/the-daily/defund-police-union-rayshard-brooks.html">officers</a> recognize that our current one-size-fits-all approach to public safety is fundamentally broken. They lament the fact that we ask police to solve far too many of our social problems and<strong> </strong>don&rsquo;t give them the training or resources they need to do so &mdash; and then point the finger at them<strong> </strong>when they inevitably come up short.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The reason I think we need to rethink policing is because I care about police,&rdquo; says Rizer, the former officer and R Street researcher. &ldquo;I want to make policing prestigious again &mdash; not the prestige of power, but the prestige of respect. But in order to do that, we need to stop underfunding everything else and leaving the police holding a bag of shit.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
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					</entry>
			<entry>
			
			<author>
				<name>Roge Karma</name>
			</author>
			
			<title type="html"><![CDATA[4 ideas to replace traditional police officers]]></title>
			<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing" />
			<id>https://www.vox.com/2020/6/24/21296881/unbundle-defund-the-police-george-floyd-rayshard-brooks-violence-european-policing</id>
			<updated>2020-06-29T16:03:54-04:00</updated>
			<published>2020-06-24T07:30:00-04:00</published>
			<category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Features" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Future Perfect" /><category scheme="https://www.vox.com" term="Politics" />
							<summary type="html"><![CDATA[On the night of Friday, June 12, a police officer shot and killed Rayshard Brooks, a 27-year-old Black man, outside an Atlanta Wendy&#8217;s drive-through. Atlanta police officers were called to the scene after receiving a complaint that Brooks was sleeping in his vehicle, which was blocking the drive-through and forcing other cars to drive around [&#8230;]]]></summary>
			
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											<![CDATA[

						
<figure>

<img alt="" data-caption="Demonstrators march on I-35 while participating in a protest against police brutality and the death of George Floyd in St. Paul, Minnesota, on May 31. | Scott Olson/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Scott Olson/Getty Images" data-has-syndication-rights="1" src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20049334/GettyImages_1238638391.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" />
	<figcaption>
	Demonstrators march on I-35 while participating in a protest against police brutality and the death of George Floyd in St. Paul, Minnesota, on May 31. | Scott Olson/Getty Images	</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>On the night of Friday, June 12, a police officer <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/13/21290334/atlanta-police-shooting-wendys-video">shot and killed Rayshard Brooks</a>, a 27-year-old Black man, outside an Atlanta Wendy&rsquo;s drive-through. Atlanta police officers were called to the scene after receiving a complaint that Brooks was sleeping in his vehicle, which was blocking the drive-through and forcing other cars to drive around it.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Video evidence shows the interaction starts out calm. Brooks repeatedly asks to leave his car parked and walk to his sister&rsquo;s home, which he says is nearby. But the officer insists he take a field sobriety test, revealing that Brooks had a blood alcohol level slightly above the legal limit. The officer attempts to handcuff Brooks, Brooks resists, and a physical struggle ensues. Brooks grabs the officer&rsquo;s Taser, begins running away, and turns to fire it. Seconds later he is lying on the ground motionless with three bullets inside him.</p>

<p>This was not the first time a Black man was killed in a police interaction that began with falling asleep in a parked car. It wasn&rsquo;t even the first time in recent weeks. At 5:30 am on Memorial Day &mdash; the same day of George Floyd&rsquo;s killing &mdash; Dion Johnson was sleeping in his car on the side of a north Phoenix highway when he was approached by an Arizona state trooper who planned to arrest Johnson for &ldquo;<a href="https://patch.com/arizona/phoenix/5-things-know-dion-johnson-laid-rest-phoenix-today">suspicion of driving impaired</a>.&rdquo; According to the officer&rsquo;s account, Johnson resisted arrest and reached for the officer&rsquo;s gun. The officer shot and killed Johnson in self-defense.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20049338/GettyImages_1220230734.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Protesters take part in the March On Georgia, organized by the NAACP, in Atlanta, Georgia, on June 15. The march comes in response to the police killing of Rayshard Brooks outside an Atlanta Wendy’s restaurant on June 12. | Dustin Chambers/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Dustin Chambers/Getty Images" />
<p>Both cases raise the same basic question: Why were weapons-carrying agents of the state the chosen response to men sleeping in their cars? The same can be asked about <a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2020/5/30/21275694/george-floyd-protests-minneapolis-atlanta-new-york-brooklyn-cnn">a dispute over a (possibly) counterfeit $20 bill</a>. <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/5/13/21257457/breonna-taylor-louisville-shooting-ahmaud-arbery-justiceforbre">A mistaken drug bust</a>. <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2017/06/16/minn-officer-acquitted-of-manslaughter-for-shooting-philando-castile-during-traffic-stop/">A traffic citation</a>. <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/14/nyregion/eric-garner-police-chokehold-staten-island.html">A man selling untaxed cigarettes</a>. None of these infractions began with violence; yet, each of them ended in a Black man or woman killed at the hands of armed police.&nbsp;And stories abound of <a href="https://www.latimes.com/nation/nationnow/la-na-nn-zachary-hammond-police-shooting-20150804-htmlstory.html">white</a>, <a href="https://inthesetimes.com/features/native_american_police_killings_native_lives_matter.html">Native American</a>, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/12/latinos-police-brutality-protests-george-floyd">Latino</a>, and <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/hmong-family-whose-son-was-shot-white-officer-speaking-out-n1222281">Asian American</a> civilians being killed by police in similar situations.</p>

<p>This dynamic reflects the structure of policing in the US. Here, the same officers who write accident reports and respond to noise complaints also have the capacity to shoot and kill. That means a single police officer has a monopoly over the entire force continuum, from casually talking to aggressively handcuffing to shooting and killing. A situation can escalate from calm conversation to the use of deadly force in a matter of seconds, entirely at their discretion. If whoever had responded to the call had not been carrying tasers and firearms, Brooks would be alive today.</p>

<p>Many European countries view the use of lethal force as a narrow specialization and structure their police forces accordingly. &ldquo;If this happened in the UK, the first person to approach Brooks would have been a community support officer,&rdquo; says Colin Rogers, a former UK police inspector turned criminologist at the University of South Wales. &ldquo;They certainly wouldn&rsquo;t have been armed.&rdquo; And even if that interaction went poorly, the officer&rsquo;s backup would have been an officer armed with only a baton and handcuffs, not a gun.&nbsp;</p>

<p>In 2015, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/jun/09/the-counted-police-killings-us-vs-other-countries">a Guardian investigation</a> found that British police shot dead fewer people (55) in 24 <em>years</em> in England and Wales than American police killed in the first 24 <em>days</em> of 2015 in the US. That disparity can only partly be explained by differences in armed encounters: American police still shot and killed 161 unarmed people <a href="https://mappingpoliceviolence.org/nationaltrends">in 2015 alone</a>. That&rsquo;s partly because of <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/overlooked-role-guns-police-reform-debate/613258/">uniquely high levels of gun ownership</a> in America, which leaves police officers in a constant state of hypervigilance.</p>

<p>It&rsquo;s also because in the UK, the state officials who hold a vast majority of public safety responsibilities &mdash; from patrolling the streets to responding to nonviolent crimes &mdash; do not carry firearms. Only <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/why-london-won-t-arm-all-police-despite-severe-terror-n737551">about 10 percent</a> of British police carry guns, and they mostly operate on teams of highly trained specialists whose full-time responsibility is to answer calls of the highest possible threat level, like an active shooter or terrorist attack.</p>

<p>What if we decided to do the same? What if we decided to make traditional policing &mdash; defined by the capacity to deploy deadly force &mdash; a narrow specialization, as many calling to defund the police advocate? What would that world look like? What would police no longer do and who would take their place?&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;It is easy for me to imagine a world in which Rayshard Brooks gets driven home that night instead of shot to death,&rdquo; says Georgetown Law professor Christy E. Lopez. &ldquo;The question I have is whether we have the will and commitment to create a public safety system that makes that world a reality.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>Over the past few weeks, I&rsquo;ve spoken with more than a dozen sociologists, criminologists, policing experts, nonprofit leaders, and legal scholars to better understand the range of alternatives that exist to our current one-size-fits-all model of police response &mdash; and how we could design those alternatives to meet unique challenges like the <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/overlooked-role-guns-police-reform-debate/613258/">overwhelming presence of firearms</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/6/6/21280643/police-brutality-violence-protests-racism-khalil-muhammad">intertwined histories of racism and policing</a>, and <a href="http://www.oecdbetterlifeindex.org/topics/safety/">relatively high rates of violent crime</a> in the US. Here are four ideas they offered.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">1) Create specialized traffic patrol officers</h2>
<p>The vast majority of police-civilian interactions happen on the road. According to <a href="https://bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/cpp15.pdf">a 2015 Department of Justice report</a>, of the 50 million Americans who came into contact with the police that year, 25 million were pulled over in a car they were driving or were a passenger in (Black Americans were the most likely to be pulled over). Another 8 million were involved in a car accident. And many of the 9 million who called the police to report non-crimes were reporting traffic accidents.&nbsp;</p>

<p>There is <a href="https://repository.law.umich.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2484&amp;context=mlr">no justifiable reason</a> why armed police officers should be in charge of road safety. Police officers are not hired for a particular talent in highway navigation, accident report taking, or citation writing. And deploying armed officers to perform such routine tasks introduces the risk of unnecessary lethal force into many millions of encounters every year. The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shooting_of_Philando_Castile">police killing of Philando Castile</a> in 2016 was one instance (there are <a href="https://www.latimes.com/nation/nationnow/la-na-nn-zachary-hammond-police-shooting-20150804-htmlstory.html">plenty</a> <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shooting_of_Samuel_DuBose">of</a> <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shooting_of_Walter_Scott">others</a>) of a routine traffic stop going horribly wrong &mdash; and it simply wouldn&rsquo;t have happened if the officer hadn&rsquo;t been carrying a gun. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_Sandra_Bland#:~:text=Sandra%20Bland%20was%20a%2028,death%20was%20ruled%20a%20suicide.">Sandra Bland&rsquo;s arrest</a> and subsequent suicide following a failure to signal a lane change was another.&nbsp;</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20049354/AP_202430811690.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Jeanette Williams places a bouquet of roses at a memorial for Sandra Bland near Prairie View A&amp;M University, on July 21, 2015. | Pat Sullivan/AP" data-portal-copyright="Pat Sullivan/AP" />
<p>It isn&rsquo;t difficult to imagine handing over most traffic patrol duties to specialized employees &mdash; we already do the same for plenty of other public safety roles, like restaurant and food inspection. <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/highways-england">Highways England</a> in the UK employs unarmed traffic officers who drive around in distinct vehicles, and many other of the country&rsquo;s traffic duties are left up to &ldquo;community support officers&rdquo; who can give out citations but are both unarmed and lack arrest power.</p>

<p>Some US cities are even beginning to take steps in this direction, largely because armed police officers are a uniquely expensive way to handle traffic patrol.&nbsp;In 2017, the city of New Orleans endorsed NOPD <a href="https://www.nola.com/news/traffic/article_8df201da-d3b4-5e64-b8fb-a373e7de8c87.html">hiring third-party report-takers for accidents</a> in which there is no injury and no concern about a driver under the influence.&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">2) Deploy community mediators to handle minor disputes </h2>
<p><a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3564469#:~:text=It%20proposes%20a%20totally%20novel,safety%20from%20the%20ground%20up">A huge number</a> of calls to the police involve relatively minor interpersonal disputes: disputes over noise levels, trespassing, misbehaving pets, or rowdiness; disputes between spouses, family members, roommates, or neighbors.</p>

<p>Without a mediator present, it is possible that what starts out as a minor dispute can escalate to violence. But there is no particular reason the job of mediation has to be assigned to armed police officers; if anything, traditional police tend to <a href="https://www.vox.com/identities/2020/5/27/21271667/george-floyd-death-police-kneed-in-the-neck">unnecessarily escalate</a> these situations, resulting in arrests or worse.&nbsp;</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s why a number of countries such as the UK, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, and South Africa have created a distinct class of what can be broadly called &ldquo;<a href="https://cipc-icpc.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Community_Safety_Workers._An_exploratory_Study_of_Some_Emerging_Crime_Prevention_Occupations2_ANG.pdf">community safety professionals</a>.&rdquo;&nbsp;They are unarmed, lack most formal policing powers, and perform responsibilities like youth outreach, conflict mediation, community patrol, and addressing low-level crime and disorder. <a href="https://cipc-icpc.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Community_Safety_Workers._An_exploratory_Study_of_Some_Emerging_Crime_Prevention_Occupations2_ANG.pdf">Preliminary results</a> of their impact on crime and community well-being have been promising.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The idea was for community support officers [the UK&rsquo;s version of this role] to act as a bridge between communities and police officers,&rdquo; says Rogers. &ldquo;Because we are unarmed, we police with and through communities, not at them.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>A similar approach has been pioneered by many &ldquo;street outreach&rdquo; programs in the US like <a href="https://cvg.org/">Cure Violence</a> and <a href="https://www.advancepeace.org/">Advance Peace</a>, which employ &ldquo;violence interrupters&rdquo; and &ldquo;peacemakers&rdquo; from within local communities to mediate conflicts before they escalate to the level of violence. Scholarly evaluations of these efforts have shown that non-police mediation <a href="https://www.advancepeace.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Corburn-and-F-Lopez-Advance-Peace-Sacramento-2-Year-Evaluation-03-2020.pdf">can be</a> <a href="https://johnjayrec.nyc/2017/10/02/cvinsobronxeastny/">quite </a><a href="https://www.advancepeace.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Corburn-and-F-Lopez-Advance-Peace-Sacramento-2-Year-Evaluation-03-2020.pdf">successful</a> when executed properly.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20049368/GettyImages_1096257948.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Anti-gun violence activists celebrate the opening of a new office and community center in the Fort Greene neighborhood of Brooklyn on January 18, 2019. | Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis/Getty Images" />
<p>&ldquo;If someone is upset or thinking about shooting, the violence interrupters are almost always able to cool that person down and stop them from acting,&rdquo; says Cure Violence founder Gary Slutkin. &ldquo;The goal is to contain things before they get to the police. If nothing has happened yet, it&rsquo;s none of the police&rsquo;s business.&rdquo;</p>

<p>I asked A.T. Mitchell, a former &ldquo;violence interrupter&rdquo; who now runs Cure Violence&rsquo;s ManUp! program in New York, what he thought of the dispute between George Floyd and the store clerk who claimed he was using a counterfeit $20 bill.</p>

<p>&ldquo;What that situation needed was someone to resolve a conflict,&rdquo; he told me. &ldquo;Did [Floyd] owe an apology? Did he even know what was happening? We don&rsquo;t know. But I&rsquo;ll tell you something: If we got that call, we would&rsquo;ve been able to step in between, and that brother would still be here today.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>One could imagine cities hiring cadres of &ldquo;community mediators&rdquo; as employees of the local public health department who are trained in conflict resolution, applied psychology, and relationship management. Like their European counterparts, these mediators would be completely unarmed, lack formal policing powers, and wear uniforms distinct from traditional officers. They could spend their quiet hours building relationships with local community members and maintaining a presence in schools, neighborhoods, and highly trafficked public spaces.</p>

<p>Cities could even develop <a href="https://craftmediabucket.s3.amazonaws.com/uploads/AV-homelessness-syracuse.pdf">a special 211 or 311</a> number for concerned neighbors, spouses, or citizens to call when they are witnessing heated exchanges, and could redirect relevant 911 calls to the community mediation unit. If any of these exchanges begin to escalate toward violence, the community mediators could have special silent alert systems (similar to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medical_alarm">the ones</a> senior citizens use for medical assistance) to call in armed police for backup.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Imagine a world where first responders are really good at getting situations calmed down so that people can go on with their lives and nobody ends up being arrested &mdash; or worse,&rdquo; says Barry Friedman, the director of the Policing Project at New York University. &ldquo;In that world, we don&rsquo;t need nearly as many police walking around with guns.&rdquo;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">3) Create a mobile crisis response unit</h2>
<p>Oftentimes, a police officer&rsquo;s role bleeds over from mediation into something that resembles <a href="https://www.oxfordbibliographies.com/view/document/obo-9780195389678/obo-9780195389678-0016.xml#obo-9780195389678-0016-bibItem-0020">social work</a>, usually involving populations like those who are homeless, intoxicated, substance abusers, or suffering from mental illness.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The results can be disastrous. About <a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5397789/">half of prison inmates</a> were diagnosed with a mental illness. Around <a href="https://www.ajpmonline.org/article/S0749-3797(16)30384-1/fulltext">a quarter of fatal encounters</a> with law enforcement involve someone with a mental health condition (and those numbers are possibly <a href="https://www.treatmentadvocacycenter.org/storage/documents/overlooked-in-the-undercounted.pdf">severe undercounts</a>). A massively <a href="https://www.citylab.com/equity/2019/09/homeless-person-complaints-when-to-call-police-311-report/597742/">disproportionate</a> <a href="https://citrusheightssentinel.com/2016/07/20/police-30-calls-chpd-homeless-related/">number of police calls</a> and arrests in cities across the country involve homeless populations. In Portland, Oregon, the city&rsquo;s homeless population made up <a href="https://www.oregonlive.com/portland/2018/06/portland_homeless_accounted_fo.html">52 percent</a> of the city&rsquo;s arrests in 2017 even though they comprise less than 3 percent of Portland&rsquo;s population.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;You wouldn&rsquo;t try to build a house with just a jackhammer,&rdquo; says Zachary Norris, director of the Ella Baker Center for Human Rights and author of <a href="http://zachnorris.com/we-keep-us-safe/"><em>We Keep Us Safe</em></a>. &ldquo;But that&rsquo;s what we&rsquo;re doing when we task police officers with dealing with public health issues like substance abuse, homelessness, and mental illness.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<figure class="wp-block-pullquote alignleft"><blockquote><p>“You wouldn’t try to build a house with just a jackhammer. But that’s what we’re doing when we task police officers with dealing with public health issues.” </p></blockquote></figure>
<p>One of the most promising alternatives to a police-centric model of social work is a program called <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/7/1/20677523/mental-health-police-cahoots-oregon-oakland-sweden">Cahoots</a>, a collaboration between local police and a community service called the White Bird Clinic that operates in Eugene and Springfield, Oregon. In these cities, police officers aren&rsquo;t dispatched to handle every single 911 call. Instead, about 20 percent of calls &mdash; often those involving <a href="https://801975b9-a44a-41cd-9055-22057cdd1cb7.filesusr.com/ugd/154589_363bbe58f4a847fb8c74a456f49b3f5a.pdf">the homeless, addicted, intoxicated, or mentally ill</a> &mdash; are routed to a separate team of specialists extensively trained in mental health counseling, social work, and crisis deescalation.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Cahoots responders don&rsquo;t brandish weapons of any kind. They dress in black sweatshirts, listen to their police radios via earbuds, and purposefully speak in calm tones with inviting body language. Their role is closer to that of an EMT for social issues than a traditional police officer: They assess the situation, assist the individual as best they can, and then direct that individual to a higher level of care or service if needed. If the situation escalates, they can also call police in for backup, but that&rsquo;s rare. In 2019, Cahoots received around 24,000 calls and had to call in police backup less than 1 percent of the time.</p>

<p>&ldquo;In 30 years, we&rsquo;ve never had a serious injury or a death that our team was responsible for,&rdquo;&nbsp;Ebony Morgan, a Cahoots crisis worker, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/06/10/874339977/cahoots-how-social-workers-and-police-share-responsibilities-in-eugene-oregon">told NPR</a>. &ldquo;I think that&rsquo;s important.&rdquo;</p>

<p>To top it off, Cahoots saves the Eugene and Springfield police departments <a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/06/10/874339977/cahoots-how-social-workers-and-police-share-responsibilities-in-eugene-oregon">around $15 million a year</a>, according to clinic coordinator Ben Brubaker, by taking care of incidents that would otherwise have to be handled by law enforcement or emergency rooms, both of which are far more costly solutions.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The Cahoots model can easily be scaled to other locations. And lawmakers in cities across the country, including <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-06-12/san-francisco-police-reforms-stop-response-noncriminal-calls">San Francisco</a>, <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/7/1/20677523/mental-health-police-cahoots-oregon-oakland-sweden">Oakland</a>, and <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/05/us/defund-police-floyd-protests.html">Minneapolis</a>, are considering doing just that.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Cities could also think about building on and improving that model. The existing program&rsquo;s biggest limit is the fact that its jurisdiction is only in decidedly &ldquo;non-criminal&rdquo; calls. That means ordinary police officers may very well be sent to deal with situations that Cahoots crisis workers are far better trained to handle.</p>

<p>There are two possible remedies here. One is the decriminalization of issues like addiction and homelessness. &ldquo;Right now, police response to homelessness is driven by city laws criminalizing it,&rdquo; says Maria Foscarinis, executive director of the National Law Center on Homelessness &amp; Poverty. &ldquo;Typically, calls about homeless people are about issues like sleeping or begging that should not be addressed by law enforcement.&rdquo; Changing <a href="https://nlihc.org/resource/criminalization-homelessness-increases-us-cities">laws that criminalize such behavior</a> can broaden the range of activities that a mobile crisis response unit like Cahoots is able to address.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Another idea is to deploy hybrid response units consisting of both police officers and mobile crisis responders to situations that would normally fall outside of the Cahoots purview. For instance, police might be called to the scene to break up a violent fight. But it is easy to imagine a Cahoots team entering the situation first and attempting to defuse it while police officers wait around the block, out of sight, to be called in only if deemed necessary.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;I&rsquo;m really excited about imagining an entirely different model of first responders,&rdquo; says Friedman. &ldquo;What that means is training people in a very different way, dispatching them in a different way, and giving them a different reward system than we&rsquo;ve given cops.&rdquo;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">4) Experiment with community self-policing</h2>
<p>Those first three ideas involve solutions that local government officials could incorporate fairly easily into their existing policing models. But what if we changed the model completely? What if, instead of policing at communities, we gave them the resources to police themselves?</p>

<p>A little over 20 years ago, the Australian government did just that.</p>

<p>The history of the indigenous community in Australia is <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282866234_Models_of_Best_Practice_Aboriginal_Community_Patrols_in_Western_Australia">thick with repression, brutality, and violence</a> at the hands of the state. Descriptions of Indigenous-police relationships read as though they could be pulled <a href="https://www.vox.com/2016/8/26/12631962/ghettoside-jill-leovy-black-crime">straight from the contemporary African American experience in the United States</a> (not to mention the US native communities). As Harry Blagg, a criminologist at Charles Darwin University in Australia, <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282866234_Models_of_Best_Practice_Aboriginal_Community_Patrols_in_Western_Australia">writes</a>:&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>Historically, policing was an instrument for controlling, limiting, denying or supervising Indigenous egress into the white domain. According to criminologists, this has left a legacy of <em>over-policing</em> of Indigenous people in the public realm &ndash; where they may constitute a threat to public order &ndash; and <em>under-policing</em> (underservicing might be a better term) of Indigenous people within their own communities.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>This began to change in the 1990s when <a href="http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/other/IndigLRes/rciadic/">a government commission</a> found that Indigenous people were highly overrepresented in prisons and jails as a result of systemic bias. The authors concluded that the only way to end this injustice was to entirely reimagine the way Australians interact with the criminal justice system.</p>

<p>One recommendation they made was for the government to fund local forms of community self-policing, like the <a href="https://julalikari.org.au/project/night-patrol/">Julalikari Night Patrol</a> in northern Australia. The idea behind the night patrols was simple: to enhance public safety by establishing a buffer between Indigenous people and police forces.&nbsp;This is how Princeton sociologist Patrick Sharkey described his visit to the <a href="https://www.nyoongarpatrol.com.au/">Nyoongar patrol</a> in Perth, Australia, in his 2018 book <a href="https://www.smile.amazon.com/Uneasy-Peace-Decline-Renewal-Violence/dp/039360960X"><em>Uneasy Peace: The Great Crime Decline, the Renewal of City Life, and the Next War on Violence</em></a><em>:</em></p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote has-text-align-none is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
<p>I joined a team led by Annie and Rachel, two extraordinary women who were remarkable to watch in action. I looked on as they tried to calm a shirtless man who was drunk and belligerent in front of a crowded bar. I saw them talk to a man who looked unwell, lying on a bench in the middle of a city plaza, and stay with him as the emergency medical technician asked him questions and eventually took him to get treatment. &hellip;&nbsp;</p>

<p>The challenges that emerge over the course of a shift change on a nightly basis, but the overarching goal of the patrol teams is to maintain a presence in the public spaces where young people hang out, to search for Aboriginal people who look as if they could use some help, and to give anyone who is causing trouble the chance to cool off or to go home before the police get involved. At times the patrol team&rsquo;s intervention comes with a stern warning, but usually it comes with a warm smile.&nbsp;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>When reading that description, it&rsquo;s hard not to think about how differently things would have gone for Rayshard Brooks or Dion Johnson if members of this local night patrol had been on duty. Maybe they drive Brooks to his sister&rsquo;s house to spend the night. Maybe they take Johnson to a local shelter to sober up with a warm breakfast. The police are never called.</p>
<img src="https://platform.vox.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/chorus/uploads/chorus_asset/file/20049575/GettyImages_1208075606.jpg?quality=90&#038;strip=all&#038;crop=0,0,100,100" alt="" title="" data-has-syndication-rights="1" data-caption="Members of “Cure the Streets,” a group of outreach workers and violence interrupters, head to a market to interact with local youths in northeast Washington, DC, on March 20. | Michael S. Williamson/The Washington Post/Getty Images" data-portal-copyright="Michael S. Williamson/The Washington Post/Getty Images" />
<p>Today, hundreds of these night patrols have been established in Indigenous communities across Australia, many of them government-funded. The patrols lack formal policing powers, but their legitimacy comes from the fact that they are established by community councils, endorsed by elders, utilize local knowledge, and work within the boundaries of Indigenous law and culture.</p>

<p>By many indicators, the patrols have been extremely successful. &ldquo;Relationships between night patrols and police [are] generally excellent these days,&rdquo; Blagg says. &ldquo;The police can&rsquo;t manage without them.&rdquo; Police don&rsquo;t have a full-time presence in most communities with night patrols. They will step in to calm things down or make an arrest, but typically only when contacted by the local patrol. <a href="https://cipc-icpc.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/Community_Safety_Workers._An_exploratory_Study_of_Some_Emerging_Crime_Prevention_Occupations2_ANG.pdf">One study</a> found that patrols in three areas were able to reduce arrests by around 30 percent.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;That was one of the most inspiring nights of my life,&rdquo; Sharkey told me of his visit to the Nyoongar patrol. &ldquo;It gave me a vision of what public safety can look like if it is driven by people acting out of genuine concern for their communities.&rdquo;</p>

<p>A community-based approach to public safety has also been pioneered in some of America&rsquo;s most violent neighborhoods by many of the &ldquo;street outreach&rdquo; programs that I mentioned above, the largest and most rigorously evaluated of which is <a href="https://cvg.org/">Cure Violence Global</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Like the Indigenous Australian night patrollers, Cure Violence&rsquo;s &ldquo;violence interrupters&rdquo; are locals with strong community ties, many of whom have done prison time themselves. Their job is to build relationships throughout the community such that they are aware of ongoing disputes, interpersonal&nbsp;tensions, and potential fights before they escalate to the level of either civilian violence or police intervention.&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;We have a level of trust with the community that the police will never have,&rdquo; says Mitchell. &ldquo;That&rsquo;s because we only hire those who are indigenous to the neighborhood. Information gets around to us long before it ever gets to the police.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>

<p>The role of violence interrupters goes beyond just on-the-spot mediation. They provide mentorship and economic opportunities to individuals who are considered &ldquo;at risk&rdquo; of committing violence. In the aftermath of violent shootings, they mobilize the family and friends of victims and respected community leaders to prevent retaliation. And in quiet times, they work to spread social norms of nonviolence.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Cure Violence programs have been implemented in 25 US cities, often in neighborhoods that are experiencing high levels of gun violence. And <a href="https://johnjayrec.nyc/2017/10/02/cvinsobronxeastny/">multiple</a> <a href="https://1vp6u534z5kr2qmr0w11t7ub-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Skogan-2009-Eval.pdf">independent</a> <a href="https://1vp6u534z5kr2qmr0w11t7ub-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Safe-Streets-full-evaluation.pdf">analyses</a> of programs in places like New York, Chicago, and Baltimore have shown that the model has the potential to bring about major reductions in violent crime and gun violence at a fraction of what it would cost police forces.</p>

<p>One option, then, is for local lawmakers to simply scale up the Cure Violence model from one or two neighborhoods to an entire borough or city. Mayor Bill de Blasio <a href="https://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/news/2020/06/10/mayor-update-nypd-policing-and-school-safety">recently announced</a> he would be investing an extra $10 million to expand the program to the 20 New York City precincts with the most gun violence.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p>&ldquo;The time is more than right for a large investment in Cure Violence,&rdquo; says Caterina Roman, a sociologist at Temple University who has <a href="https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev-publhealth-031914-122509">conducted</a> <a href="https://johnjayrec.nyc/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/cvplan.pdf">research</a> on the organization&rsquo;s approach. She points out that while the organization has never been tested at the scale that is now demanded, it is also one of the few models that has been shown to successfully make highly violent communities a lot less violent without using the tools of arrest, force, and incarceration.</p>

<p>Another option is for local lawmakers in the US to experiment with community approaches to policing. Sharkey believes city officials should bring together local civic organizations, community leaders, and residents to form a new community entity tasked with planning a new model for public safety in a predefined number of neighborhoods.</p>

<p>The group would receive funding equivalent to whatever the police department in that jurisdiction would receive. They would be allowed to use the funds however they choose. They would draw up plans for their community&rsquo;s relationship to the local police department, which will likely serve in some sort of backup capacity in case things escalate. Then, they would be given a minimum of 10 years to run the experiment, with rigorous monitoring and evaluation along the way.</p>

<p>&ldquo;Communities themselves should be the ones deciding on these issues,&rdquo; says Tracie L. Keesee, a former police officer and the co-founder of the Center for Policing Equity.&nbsp;&ldquo;Who do you think should provide services? Who should be in charge of public safety? These questions should be put to the community.&rdquo;&nbsp;</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">These ideas might fail — but the current system is already failing</h2>
<p>There&rsquo;s no guarantee that any of these suggestions will succeed across the board. When it comes to policing alternatives, even the best existing models haven&rsquo;t been attempted at scale, and there&rsquo;s no telling how different communities will respond to them. To implement any idea on this list would mean venturing into relatively uncharted territory.</p>

<p>That means there will be failures. Things will go wrong. Systems will break down. Programs will fall apart. Violence may temporarily increase in some places. Occasionally, a violence interrupter or mobile crisis worker will be seriously injured or killed.</p>

<p>But our current system already represents a kind of profound failure. We live in a country that has built the largest system of human incarceration on earth, where agents of the state kill unarmed members of the communities they are supposed to protect and <a href="https://www.vox.com/21292688/police-killings-data">terrorize</a> those who are still alive. Where peaceful protesters are <a href="https://www.vox.com/2020/5/31/21275994/police-violence-peaceful-protesters-images">beaten</a> in the streets.</p>

<p>The question, then, isn&rsquo;t whether we are willing to live with failure; communities across the country already live with failure every single day. That failure, at least in part, stems from the fact that police officers in the United States are tasked with responsibilities &mdash; from traffic patrol to mediation to crisis response &mdash; that amplify the risk of unnecessary violence.</p>

<p>There are plenty of models out there of how we could transfer these responsibilities to non-police personnel and, in doing so, make the use of lethal force far rarer. The question is: Are we willing to give them a try?</p>
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