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Master’s degrees are as common now as bachelor’s degrees were in the ‘60s

Fresno State University graduate Shayla Smith is congratulated for receiving her master’s degree during commencement ceremonies for the Department of Social Work Education. Social work is an increasingly popular master’s degree.
Fresno State University graduate Shayla Smith is congratulated for receiving her master’s degree during commencement ceremonies for the Department of Social Work Education. Social work is an increasingly popular master’s degree.
Fresno State University graduate Shayla Smith is congratulated for receiving her master’s degree during commencement ceremonies for the Department of Social Work Education. Social work is an increasingly popular master’s degree.
John Walker/Fresno Bee/MCT via Getty Images
Libby Nelson
Libby Nelson was Vox’s editorial director, politics and policy, leading coverage of how government action and inaction shape American life. Libby has more than a decade of policy journalism experience, including at Inside Higher Ed and Politico. She joined Vox in 2014.

A recent survey found that the majority of today’s freshman class expects to get a master’s degree. That makes sense: the master’s degree is the fastest-growing college credential in the US.

More than 16 million people in the US — about 8 percent of the population — now have a master’s, a 43 percent increase since 2002.

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_12.35.56_pm

And as master’s degrees have grown, so has the debt that comes with them. The typical total debt for a borrower with an undergraduate and graduate degree is now more than $57,000, up from $40,200 in 2004. (This includes medical and law degrees.)

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_2.39.27_pm

But the growth hasn’t been spread around evenly. The story of the past four decades isn’t just about how master’s degrees became as common now as bachelor’s degrees were in the 1960s. It’s about how the US has redefined which fields need or reward postgraduate study.

In 1970, the 15 most popular master’s degrees — which made up 94 percent of all master’s degrees given that year — split up their market share like this:

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_2.42.36_pm

Education was dominant, and many of the other master’s degrees were in traditional academic fields. Over the next four decades, they’d lose ground to professional degrees. And slowly but surely, MBAs would take over the world.

By the time the class of 1981 donned their master’s hoods, the degrees that would dominate for the next 30 years had established themselves at the top of the heap.

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_1.22.00_pm

Two categories of professionally oriented degrees, health professions (public health, nursing, and similar fields) and public administration and social services (public policy and social work) were gaining. And computer science has made its first appearance.

The top 15 degrees don’t change much in the 1980s and 1990s, even as the number of master’s degrees continued to grow. By the class of 2002, things look like this:

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_1.35.30_pm Computer science has jumped up, while theology and history are losing ground. Education, once far more popular than business, is now on more or less the same level.

The 2000s see the real rise of professional master’s degrees. In 1971, about 64 percent of master’s recipients were getting either a degree in business or a degree that lined up with a specific job (engineer, nurse, librarian, policy wonk). By 2012, about 80 percent were — and business reigned supreme, passing education in 2010:

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_2.02.07_pm

But this doesn’t tell the whole story. The top 15 master’s degrees represent 91 percent of all master’s given out, but they don’t (yet) show some of the fields that have grown the fastest in the 21st century:

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_2.10.07_pm

What are they getting for their money? Almost regardless of undergraduate major, a graduate degree boosts earning power even further, according to the Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.

Screen_shot_2014-05-20_at_3.15.42_pm

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