Skip to main content

The context you need, when you need it

When news breaks, you need to understand what actually matters — and what to do about it. At Vox, our mission to help you make sense of the world has never been more vital. But we can’t do it on our own.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join now

3 charts that show the Republican establishment is getting torched

Break down the Fox Business debate by the data and you get this story: The Republican establishment is getting torched.

The Thursday night debate was supposed to be a moment for one of the establishment picks — namely Marco Rubio — to punch through. The establishment cluster of Rubio, Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, and John Kasich needed a clear pick to go toe to toe with the Donald Trump/Ted Cruz showdown that’s dominating Iowa and New Hampshire. Instead, Trump and Cruz out-talked the whole field. They soaked up the airtime handily.

Republican candidate total speaking times

Dig deeper, and the picture for the establishment gets worse. Christie, a candidate probably too moderate to win the nomination, led the establishment pack. His strategy: deny saying he ever endorsed Sonia Sotomayor for the US Supreme Court and create a fantasy version of post–Common Core policy in New Jersey. That’s not good news for the establishment.

Splice the numbers another way, and the picture gets worse.

Republican candidate speaking times

Trump and Cruz didn’t just speak the most — they spoke the most consistently, dominating the entire event. The only establishment presence who came close to keeping up, again, is Christie. As for Rubio, in the middle of the debate he’s MIA.

Then there were the attacks. Instead of trying to knock out Trump or Cruz, the bulk of the night’s attacks were focused on Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama:

If the establishment wants to win the nomination, they’ve got a lot more talking to do.

See More:

More in Politics

The Logoff
Trump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictionsTrump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictions
The Logoff

How the Trump administration is still trying to rewrite January 6 history.

By Cameron Peters
Politics
Donald Trump messed with the wrong popeDonald Trump messed with the wrong pope
Politics

Trump fought with Pope Francis before. He’s finding Pope Leo XIV to be a tougher foil.

By Christian Paz
Podcasts
A cautionary tale about tax cutsA cautionary tale about tax cuts
Podcast
Podcasts

California cut property taxes in the 1970s. It didn’t go so well.

By Miles Bryan and Noel King
Podcasts
Obama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwupsObama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwups
Podcast
Podcasts

Wendy Sherman helped Obama reach a deal with Iran. Here’s what she thinks Trump is doing wrong.

By Kelli Wessinger and Noel King
Politics
The Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything elseThe Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything else
Politics

McNutt v. DOJ could allow the justices to seize tremendous power over the US economy.

By Ian Millhiser
The Logoff
The new Hormuz blockade, briefly explainedThe new Hormuz blockade, briefly explained
The Logoff

Trump tries Iran’s playbook.

By Cameron Peters