Skip to main content

The context you need, when you need it

When news breaks, you need to understand what actually matters — and what to do about it. At Vox, our mission to help you make sense of the world has never been more vital. But we can’t do it on our own.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join now

Electoral College map 2016: make your election result predictions

The Electoral College is one of the more bizarre quirks of the US presidential race. Instead of relying on the popular vote, a presidential candidate needs the majority of the Electoral College — 270 out of 538 electoral votes — to win the White House on Election Day. (And, of course, if all the candidates fail to receive at least 270 votes, then the race is sent to the House.)

Each state and Washington, DC, is allocated a share of electoral votes based on the US Census. A state’s entire share of electoral votes goes to whoever wins the most votes — except in Maine and Nebraska, where instead votes are split up based on each state’s number of congressional districts and popular vote winner.

If you’re ready to predict how the Electoral College will split in the 2016 election, you can click on each state below to toggle among Democrat, Republican, and third parties.

A few tips:

  • You can split Nebraska and Maine’s electoral votes, but be warned that it’s only ever happened once — in Nebraska in 2008.
  • Polls suggest there’s a chance independent Evan McMullin might take Utah, but it’s extremely unlikely that any other state will have a majority third-party vote.
  • The Vox Politics team thinks some states will definitely go Republican or Democrat but that there are 13 swing states left that are too difficult to predict right now. The map is prefilled with our suggestions above, but you can alternatively fill it out with 2012 results or clear out the entire map and start fresh.
  • Want to share your map? Once you’ve made your selection, use the tweet button below the map to share a link to your own version on Twitter.

More in Politics

The Logoff
Trump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictionsTrump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictions
The Logoff

How the Trump administration is still trying to rewrite January 6 history.

By Cameron Peters
Politics
Donald Trump messed with the wrong popeDonald Trump messed with the wrong pope
Politics

Trump fought with Pope Francis before. He’s finding Pope Leo XIV to be a tougher foil.

By Christian Paz
Podcasts
A cautionary tale about tax cutsA cautionary tale about tax cuts
Podcast
Podcasts

California cut property taxes in the 1970s. It didn’t go so well.

By Miles Bryan and Noel King
Podcasts
Obama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwupsObama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwups
Podcast
Podcasts

Wendy Sherman helped Obama reach a deal with Iran. Here’s what she thinks Trump is doing wrong.

By Kelli Wessinger and Noel King
Politics
The Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything elseThe Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything else
Politics

McNutt v. DOJ could allow the justices to seize tremendous power over the US economy.

By Ian Millhiser
The Logoff
The new Hormuz blockade, briefly explainedThe new Hormuz blockade, briefly explained
The Logoff

Trump tries Iran’s playbook.

By Cameron Peters