Skip to main content

The context you need, when you need it

When news breaks, you need to understand what actually matters — and what to do about it. At Vox, our mission to help you make sense of the world has never been more vital. But we can’t do it on our own.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join now

Mary Meeker’s 2015 Internet Trends (Slides)

In the 20 years since the Netscape IPO, 39 percent of the world’s population came online, up from .06 percent.

Asa Mathat for Re/code

Two decades after 1995, the year of the Netscape IPO, the Internet population has exploded in size, it’s much more mobile, and it’s increasingly driven by user-created content and flexible content delivery that’s controlled by users. But growth is slowing in all but a few key areas.

While some of these points seem obvious, Mary Meeker’s charts, graphs and data helps quantify the landscape.

The tech industry makes a yearly tradition of turning to the fast-talking and data-synthesizing Meeker, a former Wall Street analyst turned late-stage venture capitalist at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers who publishes an influential annual assessment of the Internet economy. As has been her custom in recent years, Meeker introduced her Internet Trends report at the Code Conference in Rancho Palos Verdes on Wednesday.

Here’s how Meeker sets the stage: Two-thirds of a generation into the Internet, there were 2.8 billion users as of 2014, up from 35 million in 1995.

In 20 years, that’s 39 percent of the world’s population, up from .06 percent.

Mary Meeker Page 4

Meanwhile, there are 5.2 billion mobile phone users, up from 80 million in 1995.

That’s 73 percent of the population versus 1 percent.

Mary Meeker, page 5

In 2015, the market capitalization of the top 15 Internet companies is a combined $2.42 trillion, up from $16.8 billion in 1995.

Mary Meeker, page 6

So if you zoom out, the growth is massively substantial. But if you zoom in, the year-to-year growth rates are becoming more selective: 8 percent Internet user growth in 2014 (versus 10 percent in 2013); 23 percent smartphone subscription growth in 2014 (versus 27 percent in 2013); 21 percent consumer Internet traffic growth (versus 24 percent in 2013). Facebook and Twitter’s average revenue per user and monthly active users are both seeing stagnant year-over-year growth rates.

Continuing barriers to accelerating growth include things like phases in adoption cycles and dependence on developing markets with low spending power and infrastructure, Meeker said.

But Meeker pointed out a few accelerating bright spots — video, for instance. Video accounted for 64 percent of consumer Internet traffic in 2014 (versus 62 percent in 2013) and 55 percent of mobile traffic (versus 52 percent in 2013). Facebook now gets four billion video views per day, up four times in six months; while Twitch has 100 million monthly active users for its live streaming, up 122 percent this year.

And mobile video is an ever-growing portion of video viewing, and it’s emerging as a different, vertical video medium, because of the way people hold their phones.

Mary Meeker, page 24

What’s the next growth spurt after video? “Buy buttons” would be Meeker’s bet. That is, mobile commerce that allows people to purchase from wherever they happen to spend their time — Twitter, Facebook, Google. Mobile usage evolved rapidly, she said, from text to images to videos. Buy buttons are likely to appear just as seamlessly.

For good measure, Meeker also dove into topics like on-demand economy jobs, drone imagery and the China and India Internet markets.

Should you wish to review some 200 pages of charts and analysis, here’s the full slide deck:

In 2014, Meeker’s take was that she saw strong mobile user growth, she was optimistic about online advertising, and she thought bubble fears were overblown.

This article originally appeared on Recode.net.

More in Technology

Technology
The case for AI realismThe case for AI realism
Technology

AI isn’t going to be the end of the world — no matter what this documentary sometimes argues.

By Shayna Korol
Politics
OpenAI’s oddly socialist, wildly hypocritical new economic agendaOpenAI’s oddly socialist, wildly hypocritical new economic agenda
Politics

The AI company released a set of highly progressive policy ideas. There’s just one small problem.

By Eric Levitz
Future Perfect
Human bodies aren’t ready to travel to Mars. Space medicine can help.Human bodies aren’t ready to travel to Mars. Space medicine can help.
Future Perfect

Protecting astronauts in space — and maybe even Mars — will help transform health on Earth.

By Shayna Korol
Podcasts
The importance of space toilets, explainedThe importance of space toilets, explained
Podcast
Podcasts

Houston, we have a plumbing problem.

By Peter Balonon-Rosen and Sean Rameswaram
Technology
What happened when they installed ChatGPT on a nuclear supercomputerWhat happened when they installed ChatGPT on a nuclear supercomputer
Technology

How they’re using AI at the lab that created the atom bomb.

By Joshua Keating
Future Perfect
Humanity’s return to the moon is a deeply religious missionHumanity’s return to the moon is a deeply religious mission
Future Perfect

Space barons like Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk don’t seem religious. But their quest to colonize outer space is.

By Sigal Samuel