Skip to main content

The context you need, when you need it

When news breaks, you need to understand what actually matters — and what to do about it. At Vox, our mission to help you make sense of the world has never been more vital. But we can’t do it on our own.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join now

We just got some really great news about the economy

Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

The US economy created new jobs at an unexpectedly strong pace in December. There was a net increase of 292,000 jobs in the month, according to figures released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists were expecting the economy to add about 200,000, in line with the average pace during 2015.

Even better, BLS says that last month’s jobs report had undercounted the number of jobs created in October and November by a total of 50,000. That means the economy was creating jobs at an unexpectedly strong pace throughout the last quarter of 2015. The economy created 2.7 million jobs in all of 2015, a strong result but a bit weaker than the 3.1 million jobs created in 2014.

Monthly job creation

These results confirm that the economy has finally entered the kind of robust economic growth that seemed so elusive for the first few years after the 2008 financial crisis. The unemployment rate stayed at 5 percent, where it has been for the past couple of months:

Yet there are also signs in the report that the economy still has some room to grow. One is the labor force participation rate:

The fraction of the population that is employed has been declining since the last recession began in 2007. That’s largely due to long-term demographic forces — people are living longer, staying in school longer, and so forth — but we should still expect a strong economic boom to pull some people back into the labor force. That hasn’t happened yet.

The other sign that the economy is strong but could still be stronger is earnings. The average worker’s hourly earnings rose by 2.5 percent — just slightly faster than the (currently quite low) rate of inflation. In a really strong economic boom — the kind we enjoyed in the 1990s, for example — we should be seeing workers’ wages growing much faster than the inflation rate, producing real increases in people’s standard of living.

It’s a safe bet that President Obama will tout the economy’s strong 2015 performance in his State of the Union speech next week. And if the strong results continue over the next year, it will give a boost to Hillary Clinton, who can be expected to run on Obama’s economic record.

More in Politics

The Logoff
Trump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictionsTrump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictions
The Logoff

How the Trump administration is still trying to rewrite January 6 history.

By Cameron Peters
Politics
Donald Trump messed with the wrong popeDonald Trump messed with the wrong pope
Politics

Trump fought with Pope Francis before. He’s finding Pope Leo XIV to be a tougher foil.

By Christian Paz
Podcasts
A cautionary tale about tax cutsA cautionary tale about tax cuts
Podcast
Podcasts

California cut property taxes in the 1970s. It didn’t go so well.

By Miles Bryan and Noel King
Podcasts
Obama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwupsObama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwups
Podcast
Podcasts

Wendy Sherman helped Obama reach a deal with Iran. Here’s what she thinks Trump is doing wrong.

By Kelli Wessinger and Noel King
Politics
The Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything elseThe Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything else
Politics

McNutt v. DOJ could allow the justices to seize tremendous power over the US economy.

By Ian Millhiser
The Logoff
The new Hormuz blockade, briefly explainedThe new Hormuz blockade, briefly explained
The Logoff

Trump tries Iran’s playbook.

By Cameron Peters