Skip to main content

The context you need, when you need it

When news breaks, you need to understand what actually matters — and what to do about it. At Vox, our mission to help you make sense of the world has never been more vital. But we can’t do it on our own.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join now

eMarketer cut Snap’s 2017 revenue estimate by almost 4 percent

The research firm shaved $34 million off its January estimate.

Asa Mathat for Recode

Research firm eMarketer dropped its 2017 revenue estimates for Snap based on the company’s recently filed IPO paperwork.

EMarketer projects that Snap will bring in $770 million in advertising revenue in the U.S., or 1.3 percent of all projected U.S. mobile ad revenue for the year. That’s down from the $804 million eMarketer projected for Snap back in January.

That change brings eMarketer’s total revenue projection for Snap to just over $900 million for the year, down from $935 million six weeks ago. That’s a difference of a bit more than 3.6 percent.

The reason for the change? Snap had “higher-than-estimated revenue sharing with partners,” eMarketer wrote in a study published Tuesday.

Snap paid its publishing partners $58 million last year, and often splits revenue with them in exchange for content that they create specifically for Snapchat. (The company is looking for alternatives to these revenue-sharing deals, though.)

Take these numbers with a grain of salt, of course. Snap has been public for less than two weeks, and eMarketer’s projections are just that — projections.

Others, like Goodwater Capital, project that Snap will bring in $1.1 billion in 2017. Investors and company insiders have told Recode in the past that Snap projects to be a $1 billion business this year.

So the estimates can range.

But many believe that Snap’s stock is already overvalued — it has a market cap of more than $24 billion, more than double Twitter’s, which did six times Snap’s revenue last year. So investors are watching Snap closely, and estimates from well-known research firms don’t go unnoticed.


This article originally appeared on Recode.net.

More in Technology

Technology
The case for AI realismThe case for AI realism
Technology

AI isn’t going to be the end of the world — no matter what this documentary sometimes argues.

By Shayna Korol
Politics
OpenAI’s oddly socialist, wildly hypocritical new economic agendaOpenAI’s oddly socialist, wildly hypocritical new economic agenda
Politics

The AI company released a set of highly progressive policy ideas. There’s just one small problem.

By Eric Levitz
Future Perfect
Human bodies aren’t ready to travel to Mars. Space medicine can help.Human bodies aren’t ready to travel to Mars. Space medicine can help.
Future Perfect

Protecting astronauts in space — and maybe even Mars — will help transform health on Earth.

By Shayna Korol
Podcasts
The importance of space toilets, explainedThe importance of space toilets, explained
Podcast
Podcasts

Houston, we have a plumbing problem.

By Peter Balonon-Rosen and Sean Rameswaram
Technology
What happened when they installed ChatGPT on a nuclear supercomputerWhat happened when they installed ChatGPT on a nuclear supercomputer
Technology

How they’re using AI at the lab that created the atom bomb.

By Joshua Keating
Future Perfect
Humanity’s return to the moon is a deeply religious missionHumanity’s return to the moon is a deeply religious mission
Future Perfect

Space barons like Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk don’t seem religious. But their quest to colonize outer space is.

By Sigal Samuel