Skip to main content

The context you need, when you need it

When news breaks, you need to understand what actually matters — and what to do about it. At Vox, our mission to help you make sense of the world has never been more vital. But we can’t do it on our own.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join now

Trump really doesn’t want Republicans to lose another special election

He tweeted about the Ohio race after stumping there this past weekend.

Donald Trump Holds Rally, Campaigns For Troy Balderson, In Ohio
Donald Trump Holds Rally, Campaigns For Troy Balderson, In Ohio
Republican congressional candidate Troy Balderson speaks at a rally with President Donald Trump on August 4, 2018, in Lewis Center, Ohio.
Scott Olson/Getty Images
Li Zhou
Li Zhou is a former politics reporter at Vox, where she covers Congress and elections. Previously, she was a tech policy reporter at Politico and an editorial fellow at the Atlantic.

Tuesday’s special election in Ohio’s 12th District could be a pivotal win for Democrats — and President Trump is trying to ensure that doesn’t happen.

In addition to stumping for Republican candidate Troy Balderson at a rally last week, Trump endorsed him on Twitter on Tuesday morning.

“Ohio, vote today for Troy Balderson for Congress,” Trump wrote in the tweet, which also sought to tie Balderson’s opponent, Danny O’Connor, to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, who’s become an increasingly polarizing figure on the left.

Trump went on to retweet another post from his son Eric Trump that offered additional backing of Balderson’s candidacy.

This special election — which many see as reminiscent of the race featuring Conor Lamb’s surprise win in Pennsylvania earlier this year — could serve as another key bellwether of a “blue wave” ahead of the midterms this fall. Lamb pulled off a seismic upset in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District earlier this spring, taking a district that Trump captured by more than 20 percentage points in 2016.

Republicans are desperate to make sure there is no such repeat on Tuesday. Ohio’s 12th voted for the president by more than 11 points in 2016, and it’s rated as a toss-up by Cook Political Report.

As Cook House editor David Wasserman writes, the district is less Republican than Pennsylvania’s 18th in myriad ways and is widely considered “Kasich Country” despite its 2016 support for Trump. What’s more, recent polls put the two candidates within striking distance of each other, suggesting that O’Connor has a real shot of flipping the district.

Trump, along with Vice President Mike Pence, have thrown their weight wholeheartedly behind Balderson in an effort to secure what would be an important symbolic victory for Republicans before the November elections. A bevy of conservative groups have also sunk millions into blanketing the district with advertising leading up to the race.

Their collective efforts are about much more than Balderson’s candidacy. They’re focused not only on winning this seat but also sending an important message about the dominance of the GOP before voters head to the polls in November.

More in Politics

The Logoff
Trump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictionsTrump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictions
The Logoff

How the Trump administration is still trying to rewrite January 6 history.

By Cameron Peters
Politics
Donald Trump messed with the wrong popeDonald Trump messed with the wrong pope
Politics

Trump fought with Pope Francis before. He’s finding Pope Leo XIV to be a tougher foil.

By Christian Paz
Podcasts
A cautionary tale about tax cutsA cautionary tale about tax cuts
Podcast
Podcasts

California cut property taxes in the 1970s. It didn’t go so well.

By Miles Bryan and Noel King
Podcasts
Obama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwupsObama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwups
Podcast
Podcasts

Wendy Sherman helped Obama reach a deal with Iran. Here’s what she thinks Trump is doing wrong.

By Kelli Wessinger and Noel King
Politics
The Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything elseThe Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything else
Politics

McNutt v. DOJ could allow the justices to seize tremendous power over the US economy.

By Ian Millhiser
The Logoff
The new Hormuz blockade, briefly explainedThe new Hormuz blockade, briefly explained
The Logoff

Trump tries Iran’s playbook.

By Cameron Peters