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Andrew Gelman

Latest articles by Andrew Gelman

The Big Idea
Be skeptical when polls show the presidential race swinging wildlyBe skeptical when polls show the presidential race swinging wildly
The Big Idea

Actual voter opinion doesn’t change often during a campaign. But the willingness to respond to polls does.

By Andrew Gelman
Politics
Why you should be skeptical of wacky new studies about what sways electionsWhy you should be skeptical of wacky new studies about what sways elections
Politics

Are elections determined by Google search rankings? By football outcomes? Don’t be so sure.

By Andrew Gelman

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