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Mischiefs of Faction

This post is part of Mischiefs of Faction, an independent political science blog featuring reflections on the party system.

Mischiefs of Faction
Why Republican turnout has been greater than Democrats’ this yearWhy Republican turnout has been greater than Democrats’ this year
Mischiefs of Faction

Republicans are seeing higher than usual primary turnout this year, but not for the reasons you think.

By Lonna Atkeson
Mischiefs of Faction
Why some conservatives want to stop Donald Trump at all costsWhy some conservatives want to stop Donald Trump at all costs
Mischiefs of Faction

Saving their party might be worth letting Hillary Clinton win the presidency.

By Hans Noel
Mischiefs of Faction
What should political scientists be doing right now?What should political scientists be doing right now?
Mischiefs of Faction

Should a scientist be trying to study a crisis or prevent it?

By Seth Masket
Mischiefs of Faction
The clockwork rise of Donald Trump and reorganization of American partiesThe clockwork rise of Donald Trump and reorganization of American parties
Mischiefs of Faction

The rise of Donald Trump as a premier political figure is consistent with a predictable shift in American parties away from a liberal-conservative divide and toward a cosmopolitan-populist divide.

By Jennifer Victor
Mischiefs of Faction
Donald Trump attracts poor voters with multiple Republican social identitiesDonald Trump attracts poor voters with multiple Republican social identities
Mischiefs of Faction

Republicans are most likely to support Trump if they are poor and hold three major Republican-related social identities.

By Lilliana Mason and Nick Davis
Mischiefs of Faction
Is Hillary Clinton’s time as first lady fair game?Is Hillary Clinton’s time as first lady fair game?
Mischiefs of Faction

Being first lady is a big part of Clinton’s résumé. How should we evaluate it?

By Seth Masket and Julia Azari
Mischiefs of Faction
How Donald Trump’s rise complicates the Supreme Court nomination battleHow Donald Trump’s rise complicates the Supreme Court nomination battle
Mischiefs of Faction

The prospect of Donald Trump being the Republican nominee may significantly change the game.

By Jonathan Kastellec and Charles Cameron
Mischiefs of Faction
Mitt Romney suggests a path to a brokered conventionMitt Romney suggests a path to a brokered convention
Mischiefs of Faction

The key to Romney’s speech is that he wants Republicans to do whatever it takes to deny Trump delegates.

By Hans Noel
Mischiefs of Faction
President Obama is trolling Chuck Grassley, and it’s Mitch McConnell’s faultPresident Obama is trolling Chuck Grassley, and it’s Mitch McConnell’s fault
Mischiefs of Faction

Obama can troll Grassley because Grassley’s all in.

By John Patty and Tom Clark
Mischiefs of Faction
Republicans don’t respect their own nomination processRepublicans don’t respect their own nomination process
Mischiefs of Faction

The party seems a little surprised that it’s not deciding .

By Julia Azari
Mischiefs of Faction
Are Donald Trump and Chris Christie an odd pair?Are Donald Trump and Chris Christie an odd pair?
Mischiefs of Faction

Do Trump and Christie fall along the same ideological wavelength?

By Julia Azari
Mischiefs of Faction
Why Obama should pick a conservative Supreme Court nomineeWhy Obama should pick a conservative Supreme Court nominee
Mischiefs of Faction
By John Patty and Tom Clark
Mischiefs of Faction
Why Obama should select Scalia’s replacement from within the federal judiciaryWhy Obama should select Scalia’s replacement from within the federal judiciary
Mischiefs of Faction
Catch-22: Mitch McConnell’s Supreme Court strategyCatch-22: Mitch McConnell’s Supreme Court strategy
Mischiefs of Faction

We consider why McConnell so quickly tried to preempt a Supreme Court nominee in the first place.

By John Patty and Tom Clark
Mischiefs of Faction
Is the GOP deciding? The evidence post–South Carolina.Is the GOP deciding? The evidence post–South Carolina.
Mischiefs of Faction

Party elites haven’t dominated the process this year, but they’re not following voters.

By Seth Masket
Mischiefs of Faction
Why progressives might not want President Obama to name the next justiceWhy progressives might not want President Obama to name the next justice
Mischiefs of Faction

Scalia was conservative on most, but not all, issues.

By Tom Clark
Mischiefs of Faction
Just how liberal (or conservative) is the Supreme Court?Just how liberal (or conservative) is the Supreme Court?
Mischiefs of Faction

Political scientists have several ways to measure Supreme Court ideology. They don’t all give the same answer.

By Michael Bailey
Mischiefs of Faction
Letting go of the Bloomberg fantasyLetting go of the Bloomberg fantasy
Mischiefs of Faction

The success of outsiders like Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump means very little for the former New York mayor.

By Julia Azari and Jennifer Victor
Mischiefs of Faction
What kind of candidate should Barack Obama nominate?What kind of candidate should Barack Obama nominate?
Mischiefs of Faction

It’s a delicate situation.

By Matthew Hitt
Mischiefs of Faction
How constrained is President Obama regarding Supreme Court justice nominees?How constrained is President Obama regarding Supreme Court justice nominees?
Mischiefs of Faction

Barring scandal, moderate Supreme Court nominees usually survive a hostile Senate.

By Matthew Hitt
Mischiefs of Faction
Game theory shows how Justice Scalia improved liberal legal thinkingGame theory shows how Justice Scalia improved liberal legal thinking
Mischiefs of Faction

We know that Antonin Scalia shaped conservative legal thought. But he also made liberal legal arguments better on the courts where he served.

By Deborah Beim
Mischiefs of Faction
This is why Justice Scalia’s passing is so monumentalThis is why Justice Scalia’s passing is so monumental
Mischiefs of Faction

85 percent of landmark cases were decided 5-4 during Scalia’s tenure.

By Gina Reinhardt
Mischiefs of Faction
The Supreme Court vacancy makes the next year in politics even wilderThe Supreme Court vacancy makes the next year in politics even wilder
Mischiefs of Faction

There are lots of strange possibilities to consider now that the Court has a 4-4 partisan deadlock.

By Jonathan M. Ladd
Mischiefs of Faction
Game theory and worms: how to win a primary electionGame theory and worms: how to win a primary election
Mischiefs of Faction

Pro tip to primary candidates: Don’t win too early.

By John Patty
Mischiefs of Faction
Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina: when 5th place is more important than 1stChris Christie and Carly Fiorina: when 5th place is more important than 1st
Mischiefs of Faction

Fiorina’s voters should have voted for Christie.

By John Patty
Mischiefs of Faction
Why Hillary Clinton is still in good shape after New HampshireWhy Hillary Clinton is still in good shape after New Hampshire
Mischiefs of Faction

Clinton has lost some ground since 2008. Will this hurt?

By Seth Masket
Mischiefs of Faction
Live-blogging the New Hampshire primaryLive-blogging the New Hampshire primary
Mischiefs of Faction

The Mischiefs of Faction are live-blogging the Granite State.

By Jennifer Victor, Richard Skinner and 6 more
Mischiefs of Faction
Reminder: Congress is a part-time legislatureReminder: Congress is a part-time legislature
Mischiefs of Faction

Members of Congress spend their time raising money so they can return and do it again.

By Gregory Koger
Mischiefs of Faction
Who’s afraid of the big, bad gaffe?Who’s afraid of the big, bad gaffe?
Mischiefs of Faction

Did Rubio’s debate glitch matter?

By Julia Azari
Mischiefs of Faction
Women Also Know Stuff: a crowdsourced list of women political scientistsWomen Also Know Stuff: a crowdsourced list of women political scientists
Mischiefs of Faction

A list to help combat gender inequality in political science.

By Gregory Koger, Jennifer Victor and 6 more
Mischiefs of Faction
What to look for in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primaryWhat to look for in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary
Mischiefs of Faction

If Sanders wins and Rubio surges, do the Democrats wind up with the more interesting race to watch?

By Jennifer Victor
Mischiefs of Faction
When the Iowa caucus goes to churchWhen the Iowa caucus goes to church
Mischiefs of Faction

Why some county parties are more likely to hold their caucus in a church than others.

By Paul Djupe and Andrew Lewis
Mischiefs of Faction
Is “party establishment” a useful concept?Is “party establishment” a useful concept?
Mischiefs of Faction

We’ve heard a lot in this election cycle about the idea of party “establishments” and “establishment candidates.” But what exactly does that mean?

By Julia Azari
Mischiefs of Faction
If Trump and Sanders win in Iowa and New Hampshire, will they be the nominees?If Trump and Sanders win in Iowa and New Hampshire, will they be the nominees?
Mischiefs of Faction

Two non-establishment, populist candidates are poised to win the nation’s first contests in the 2016 presidential campaign. Does this mean they go all the way? How does such evidence help political scientists update theories of party action?

By Jennifer Victor
Mischiefs of Faction
One party has decided. The other hasn’t.One party has decided. The other hasn’t.
Mischiefs of Faction

Democrats are providing a great test for The Party Decides. Republicans really aren’t.

By Seth Masket
Mischiefs of Faction
What if the party decided not to decide?What if the party decided not to decide?
Mischiefs of Faction

What if the establishment has been dead the whole time?

By Julia Azari
Mischiefs of Faction
Our nation’s campaign sheriff is handcuffedOur nation’s campaign sheriff is handcuffed
Mischiefs of Faction

The Federal Election Commission is crippled by partisan deadlock and ideological infighting, allowing political players to make a mockery of the law.

By Richard Skinner
Mischiefs of Faction
Maybe faux conservatives are still conservativesMaybe faux conservatives are still conservatives
Mischiefs of Faction

Donald Trump and Sarah Palin aren’t philosophical conservatives; they’re identity conservatives.

By Hans Noel
Mischiefs of Faction
Hillary Clinton faces the same challenge that George H.W. Bush faced in 1988Hillary Clinton faces the same challenge that George H.W. Bush faced in 1988
Mischiefs of Faction

She must convince primary voters that she has evolved with her party.

By Jonathan M. Ladd
Mischiefs of Faction
Good luck distinguishing the extremists from the moderatesGood luck distinguishing the extremists from the moderates
Mischiefs of Faction

Determining the more acceptable presidential candidates got a lot harder this year.

By Seth Masket