Skip to main content

The context you need, when you need it

When news breaks, you need to understand what actually matters — and what to do about it. At Vox, our mission to help you make sense of the world has never been more vital. But we can’t do it on our own.

We rely on readers like you to fund our journalism. Will you support our work and become a Vox Member today?

Join now

Democrat Conor Lamb pulls ahead, but the Pennsylvania special election is too close to call

The DCCC is already celebrating.

Democrat Conor Lamb looks likely to have won an incredibly close special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, beating out Republican candidate Rick Saccone in a deeply conservative district that the nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates R+11.

As of midnight Tuesday, official outlets deemed the race too close to call. Though a trickle of absentee election ballots were still to be counted late Tuesday night, some election watchers predicted Lamb would win, albeit by an extremely close margin.

Around midnight, Lamb had 49.9 percent of the vote, compared to Saccone’s 49.5 percent, meaning the two candidates were separated by just 847 votes.

But before the race was officially called, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee was already celebrating.

“I want to congratulate Conor Lamb and his team of grassroots supporters on an incredible victory,” said DCCC Chair Rep. Ben Ray Luján (NM) in an email sent out around 11:30 pm.

In a scorching statement, Luján blasted his Republican opponents for dumping millions into a race that they were predicted to lose.

“These results should terrify Republicans,” he said. “Despite their home field advantage and the millions of dollars outside groups poured into this race, Republicans found that their attacks against Conor, including their unpopular tax scam, were not believable. There are more than one hundred districts more favorable for Democrats than this one and we look forward to competing hard in every single one.”

Even with the race too close to call, the result doesn’t look good for Republicans, who have held on to PA-18 with an iron grip since 2003.

The newly open seat was held by former Rep. Tim Murphy since 2003, who was so secure in his seat that he often failed to attract a Democratic challenger. Murphy suddenly resigned in October amid revelations that he had pressured a woman with whom he was having an extramarital affair to have an abortion. But even after he stepped down, national Democrats didn’t think they could compete in the special election, one Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee operative told Vox.

The district went for Donald Trump by nearly 20 points in the 2016 presidential election. Conventional wisdom suggested that Saccone — a candidate who once declared himself “Trump before Trump was Trump” — would do well in a district that turned out in droves for Trump. But in recent weeks, Republicans were in full panic mode, dumping more than $9 million into the race.

Lamb’s performance shows they were right to be worried.

More in Politics

The Logoff
Trump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictionsTrump’s DOJ wants to undo January 6 convictions
The Logoff

How the Trump administration is still trying to rewrite January 6 history.

By Cameron Peters
Politics
Donald Trump messed with the wrong popeDonald Trump messed with the wrong pope
Politics

Trump fought with Pope Francis before. He’s finding Pope Leo XIV to be a tougher foil.

By Christian Paz
Podcasts
A cautionary tale about tax cutsA cautionary tale about tax cuts
Podcast
Podcasts

California cut property taxes in the 1970s. It didn’t go so well.

By Miles Bryan and Noel King
Podcasts
Obama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwupsObama’s top Iran negotiator on Trump’s screwups
Podcast
Podcasts

Wendy Sherman helped Obama reach a deal with Iran. Here’s what she thinks Trump is doing wrong.

By Kelli Wessinger and Noel King
Politics
The Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything elseThe Supreme Court could legalize moonshine, and ruin everything else
Politics

McNutt v. DOJ could allow the justices to seize tremendous power over the US economy.

By Ian Millhiser
The Logoff
The new Hormuz blockade, briefly explainedThe new Hormuz blockade, briefly explained
The Logoff

Trump tries Iran’s playbook.

By Cameron Peters