New Hampshire primary 2020

There’s no way around it: New Hampshire was a tough loss for Sen. Elizabeth Warren. The state is often referred to as her backyard, and she once notably led the polls there. Her fourth-place finish on Tuesday wasn’t just behind the other top candidates; it was far behind them. Plus, the recent loss followed a solid but not stellar finish in Iowa.

That said, it’s worth noting that New Hampshire marks just the start of the primary — and far from the end for her campaign. Because of her strong organizing and expansive presence in Nevada, Warren is poised for a decent showing in the state and could well be among a handful of leading candidates in delegate-rich California on Super Tuesday.

It appears Iowa’s days as the first-in-the-nation caucus may be numbered — particularly now that several high-profile Democrats, including Democratic National Committee Chair Tom Perez and former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, have publicly criticized the current process for choosing a presidential nominee.

Perez — who has signaled support for reevaluating the caucus system in recent days — explicitly called for reform in an interview with CNN Wednesday morning. In particular, he expressed concern over the lack of racial diversity in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Whether a voter cares more about specific issues or beating President Donald Trump in November seems to have a significant impact on who they’ll vote for in the Democratic primary — and, specifically, whether a voter supports Sen. Bernie Sanders above all the other options.

That’s based on exit polls from the New Hampshire race, where 63 percent of voters prioritized beating Trump. Among that group, about 28 percent voted for former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, 21 percent voted for Sanders, and 20 percent for Sen. Amy Klobuchar.

Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Amy Klobuchar had surprisingly strong second- and third-place finishes in New Hampshire’s primary election on Tuesday. But if they hope to beat current frontrunner Sen. Bernie Sanders, they’re going to have to make a lot of headway in the next couple states that hold primary contests.

Nevada will be the next state to vote — technically, caucus — in the Democratic primary on Saturday, February 22. RealClearPolitics’ average of the polls in Nevada has former Vice President Joe Biden at first with 21 percent of the vote, Sanders at second with 17.5 percent, and Buttigieg and Klobuchar lagging far behind at 7 and 3 percent respectively.

One of the key measures of voter enthusiasm in a primary is turnout numbers — and New Hampshire’s voters showed up on Tuesday.

That’s some good news for Democrats hoping to win back the White House this fall. Low turnout in the Iowa caucuses last week produced some handwringing among political observers who wondered whether Democrats had the organization and ambition to defeat Trump. Those fears should be allayed by New Hampshire voters.

Sen. Bernie Sanders came out victorious in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, beating out former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sens. Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren, and former Vice President Joe Biden for the top spot.

Some experts, pollsters, and observers argue he underperformed and should have done better, because somehow, you can still lose by winning? The rationale makes some sense, but if you want to understand why Sanders supporters complain about bias against him, this pushback is part of it.

Sen. Bernie Sanders’s win in New Hampshire on Tuesday night was fueled by young voters.

Sanders won more of New Hampshire’s young Democratic primary voters than the rest of the field combined, according to exit polls conducted by Edison Media Research for national media.

Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Amy Klobuchar had big nights in New Hampshire’s Democratic primary election on Tuesday, with stronger-than-expected finishes — even if they both ultimately lost to Sen. Bernie Sanders.

One big reason for that: last Friday’s debate.

With New Hampshire’s primary voting now complete, the next contest for the Democratic presidential contenders will be the Nevada caucuses on Saturday, February 22, at noon Pacific time.

But will these caucuses turn out to be a disaster like Iowa’s did?

New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary Tuesday night gave us what we were denied by the Iowa caucuses last week: a clear sense of which campaigns are in good shape — and which ones are in trouble.

The 2020 Iowa caucuses were incredibly anticlimactic. There were no official results on the night of the caucuses amid copious technical glitches, and Pete Buttigieg declared himself the victor with exactly zero percent of caucus sites reporting. Ultimately, the popular vote and delegate counts split, with Bernie Sanders taking the former and Buttigieg the latter (pending a Sanders-requested recanvass), as if the affair had been scripted to infuriate Sanders’s most fervent and conspiratorial supporters.

Sen. Bernie Sanders’s win in New Hampshire following his quasi-win in Iowa dashes the Democratic Party establishment’s big hope of the past four years — that he’d just fade away.

Alarm, clearly visible in a range of mainstream Democratic circles over the past several weeks, is now going to kick into overdrive.

Sen. Bernie Sanders has won the New Hampshire primary, according to projections from Decision Desk HQ.

Votes are still being counted, but it looks like Sanders and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg will come out of the night with equal numbers of delegates. Preliminary estimates from Decision Desk HQ show that Sanders and Buttigieg will both get 9 delegates; Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar is estimated to get 6.

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire — Bernie Sanders finished what he started in New Hampshire four years ago.

Though the final vote might have been closer than he liked, Sanders is the projected winner of the New Hampshire primary, according to Decision Desk HQ. Importantly, it looks like he and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg are tied in the delegate count. Decision Desk HQ’s preliminary estimates show that Sanders and Buttigieg will both get 9 delegates; Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar is estimated to get 6.

Let’s give New Hampshire the tiniest bit of credit. Unlike the Iowa Democratic Party, New Hampshire appears capable of counting votes in a fair and expeditious manner, and the rules more or less make sense. No one involved in the New Hampshire primary ever needs to utter the words “state delegate equivalent.”

But there is one way in which New Hampshire very closely resembles Iowa, which brings us to this chart:

Update 2/11, 8:14 pm: The Republican primary has been called for Donald Trump.

The New Hampshire Republican primary is a weird one.

As President Donald Trump puts his impeachment trial behind him and begins his transition into election mode, a new poll found most voters believe he will win even if they don’t want him to have a second term.

The latest Monmouth University 2020 election poll, released Tuesday, indicates that about two-thirds of voters believe Trump will be reelected, with 27 percent saying the president will definitely win and 39 percent saying he probably will. Only 22 percent said he would probably lose to the Democratic nominee, while just 9 percent think Trump will definitely lose this fall. The national telephone poll, which surveyed 872 registered voters, has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.

CONCORD, New Hampshire — The New Hampshire primary on Tuesday could provide the Democratic race for president with some much-needed clarity after the Iowa caucuses devolved into chaos last week.

It’s likely no such chaos will happen in New Hampshire, which has a traditional secret-ballot primary and whose voters use paper ballots.

DURHAM, New Hampshire — Staffers and surrogates from rival campaigns across the state aren’t happy about it, but they agree: The New Hampshire primary is Sen. Bernie Sanders’s race to lose.

Again and again in interviews in the final weeks of campaigning here, political insiders stumping for Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and former Vice President Joe Biden told me they were prepared for a Sanders victory. Well before voting even starts, some fretted about how their candidate had campaigned here.

A handful of New Hampshire primary voters were truly first in the nation: Three rural New Hampshire towns — Dixville Notch, Millsfield, and Hart’s Location — opened their polls at 12:01 am on Tuesday, February 11, and reported their informal results within the hour.

These New Hampshire residents were the very first to cast their day-of ballots in the 2020 Democratic primary, and their midnight voting honors a tradition that’s been around for years. New Hampshire has long prized its position as the first primary in the country, timing that allows it to claim that it is “first in the nation,” even though its election is now preceded by the Iowa caucuses. The midnight votes take this custom one step further, enabling these towns to claim they are first in the state.

President Donald Trump’s first rally following an acquittal in his impeachment trial began with a remarkably dishonest moment and wound down with him encouraging his supporters to tarnish the result of Tuesday’s Democratic primary in New Hampshire. In between, he spread a baseless conspiracy theory about massive election fraud costing him the state in 2016.

The event, which took place in Manchester, New Hampshire, is likely to only add to concerns that instead of being chastened by impeachment, Trump is heading into the 2020 election cycle feeling less constrained than ever — and more than willing to mess with the Democratic primary process in hopes of having the easier possible path to a second term.

The latest polls heading into the New Hampshire primary show Sen. Bernie Sanders with a distinct advantage, albeit one somewhat threatened by former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar is also surging.

Pollsters have been busy in New Hampshire, and have released more than 20 polling updates in recent days. The latest five come from Suffolk University/the Boston Globe/WBZ-TV, Emerson College/7 News, the University of New Hampshire/CNN, CBS/YouGov, and Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald/NBC.

Here are Vox’s live results in the New Hampshire primary race.

The 2020 Democratic presidential race heads to New Hampshire on Tuesday for the state’s first-in-the-nation primary, where voters will decide among the 11 remaining Democratic candidates (minus former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg, who’s not on the ballot in New Hampshire).

SOMERSWORTH, New Hampshire — After chaos in Iowa, the next primary has become the crucial early decider in the 2020 Democratic race.

Despite Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg both declaring victory after the extended, messy caucuses, the Associated Press was unable to declare a winner there. Now, all eyes are on New Hampshire.

Democratic presidential candidates are delivering their final pitches to voters in New Hampshire ahead of Tuesday’s primary, and those considered to be in the race’s top tier are making pointed attacks a key part of those last minute messages.

The candidates largely avoided personal attacks, but the strategy nevertheless is a marked turn in a primary race that has — not always successfully — attempted to remain civil, and a reminder that the race’s stakes are growing ever-higher as as state primaries unfold.

Tensions between former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Vice President Joe Biden, both of whom are working to cultivate a base of moderate Democratic voters, are heating up.

On Saturday, Biden released a biting ad that is openly dismissive of Buttigieg’s record as a small city mayor, unfavorably comparing Buttigieg’s efforts to improve South Bend’s infrastructure with Biden’s accomplishments in the Senate and White House. The ad also highlighted controversies Buttigieg has faced with South Bend’s black community.