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The Big Idea

Outside contributors’ opinions and analysis of the most important issues in politics, science, and culture.

The Big Idea
Why couldn’t the Civil War have been worked out?  Some smart people take the question seriously.Why couldn’t the Civil War have been worked out?  Some smart people take the question seriously.
The Big Idea

In his awkward way, Trump stumbled into a subject that’s alive again in history departments.

By William Black
The Big Idea
Attention, liberals: Comey deserved to be fired, and the Constitution is just fineAttention, liberals: Comey deserved to be fired, and the Constitution is just fine
The Big Idea

The hyperventilation in Washington is unjustified.

By Richard A. Epstein
The Big Idea
A Nixon biographer explains how Trump comparesA Nixon biographer explains how Trump compares
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Trump’s backlash politics, attacks on the press, and thin skin seem awfully familiar. And the scandals?

By John A. Farrell
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A look at the past work of the Deputy AG who called for Comey’s firingA look at the past work of the Deputy AG who called for Comey’s firing
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Jeff Sessions’s No. 2 was more moderate than his boss on a range of issues — and an effective crime-fighter.

By Thiru Vignarajah
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How the states can make President Trump’s taxes publicHow the states can make President Trump’s taxes public
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They’re working hard at it — on two fronts.

By Daniel Hemel
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Defeating Marine Le Pen won’t be enough to save FranceDefeating Marine Le Pen won’t be enough to save France
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If Macron stumbles in office — and he faces steep challenges — the door could be wide open for the far right.

By Sheri Berman
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The GOP never intended to protect preexisting conditionsThe GOP never intended to protect preexisting conditions
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The health care bill that passed is a return to a purer, crueler GOP vision.

By James Surowiecki
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Don’t lose sight of how strange and dangerous the Trump administration’s anti-Islam worldview isDon’t lose sight of how strange and dangerous the Trump administration’s anti-Islam worldview is
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Searching in vain for evidence of an “existential threat” to the Judeo-Christian West.

By Will Wilkinson
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Canada fought the war on science. Here’s how scientists won.Canada fought the war on science. Here’s how scientists won.
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Lessons from the resistance up north.

By Chris Turner
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Obama had a chance to really fight climate change. He blew it.Obama had a chance to really fight climate change. He blew it.
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Political caution and inexplicable foot-dragging led to weak (or reversible) policies.

By David Bookbinder
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5 great presidential starts — and 5 historically bad ones5 great presidential starts — and 5 historically bad ones
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By Nicole Hemmer
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Rich charities keep getting richer. That means your money isn’t doing as much good as it could.Rich charities keep getting richer. That means your money isn’t doing as much good as it could.
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Even in the resistance-to-Trump era, philanthropy is a zero-sum game.

By Marc Gunther
The Big Idea
Federal funding for basic research led to the gene-editing revolution. Don’t cut it.Federal funding for basic research led to the gene-editing revolution. Don’t cut it.
The Big Idea

Patients in red states and blue states alike benefit from work funded by the National Institutes of Health

By Jennifer Doudna and Alex Marson
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Trump’s Syria strike clearly broke international law — and no one seems to careTrump’s Syria strike clearly broke international law — and no one seems to care
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Positive international reaction suggests the UN Charter has become irrelevant.

By Julian Ku
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7 reasons why today’s left should be optimistic7 reasons why today’s left should be optimistic
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Depressed by Trump? Look at the reduction in global poverty, at technological progress, and at the “stickiness” of left-leaning policies.

By Ruy Teixeira
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After the Syria strikes, right-wing non-interventionists are back in the wildernessAfter the Syria strikes, right-wing non-interventionists are back in the wilderness
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The long, sad history of the America First ideology

By Nicole Hemmer
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Latin America’s floods have been rough. Bad housing policy helped make them deadly.Latin America’s floods have been rough. Bad housing policy helped make them deadly.
The Big Idea

Governments incentivize people to squat in unsafe shelters.

By Alisha C. Holland
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The potential legal train wreck ahead for Fox News and Bill O’ReillyThe potential legal train wreck ahead for Fox News and Bill O’Reilly
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The practice of making serial payments to accusers is a risky one.

By Joanna L. Grossman
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A fresh solution to the “vetting” problem: make refugees accountable for one anotherA fresh solution to the “vetting” problem: make refugees accountable for one another
The Big Idea

The system would involve “circles of trust”

By Tom Ginsburg and Alberto Simpser
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4 ways states can prevent the Affordable Care Act from “exploding”4 ways states can prevent the Affordable Care Act from “exploding”
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Washington may be happy to watch the insurance exchanges wither. But the states have power.

By Tom Baker and Daniel Hemel
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How Judge Gorsuch’s views on “natural law” could shape his opinions on the Supreme CourtHow Judge Gorsuch’s views on “natural law” could shape his opinions on the Supreme Court
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Despite his praise for Antonin Scalia, Gorsuch’s philosophy is a long way from Scalia’s originalism

By J. Paul Kelleher
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The progressive case against filibustering Neil GorsuchThe progressive case against filibustering Neil Gorsuch
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Democrats should keep the weapon in their quiver. Later, it could make a difference.

By Daniel Hemel and David Herzig
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Now Republicans want to undo the regulations that helped consumers and stabilized bankingNow Republicans want to undo the regulations that helped consumers and stabilized banking
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As with health care, outreach to Democrats is unlikely.

By Mike Konczal
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How Republicans’ obsession with tax cuts for the rich drove their health care plan over a cliffHow Republicans’ obsession with tax cuts for the rich drove their health care plan over a cliff
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The real story wasn’t Republican disunity. It was the unpopularity of their overriding goal.

By Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson
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“Scientific racism” is on the rise on the right. But it’s been lurking there for years.“Scientific racism” is on the rise on the right. But it’s been lurking there for years.
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When a Republican Congress member tweeted, “We can’t restore our civilization with somebody else’s babies,” he was tapping into old themes.

By Nicole Hemmer
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America’s plan for stopping cyberattacks is dangerously weakAmerica’s plan for stopping cyberattacks is dangerously weak
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The US must send clear signals about when it will retaliate — and then follow through

By Greg Allen
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The GOP health care plan could force Americans with disabilities back into institutionsThe GOP health care plan could force Americans with disabilities back into institutions
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Cuts to Medicaid threaten programs that move people into communities — where they thrive.

By Ari Ne'eman
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By failing to account for regional cost differences, the GOP health care plan hurts red statesBy failing to account for regional cost differences, the GOP health care plan hurts red states
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Neil Gorsuch’s “natural law” philosophy is a long way from Justice Scalia’s originalismNeil Gorsuch’s “natural law” philosophy is a long way from Justice Scalia’s originalism
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In the version Gorsuch embraces, judges identify the moral principles the law embodies. They aren’t neutral umpires.

By J. Paul Kelleher
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America needs to decide: is health care something we owe our citizens?America needs to decide: is health care something we owe our citizens?
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“If you can’t afford health care, should the state let you die?” And other questions we’re avoiding.

By Abbe Gluck
The Big Idea
What really happened during the first travel ban? A close look at the data.What really happened during the first travel ban? A close look at the data.
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Many exemptions to the ban were granted — but not for Syrians.

By Lyman Stone
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President Trump said a major report found immigration hurt the economy. 2 authors respond.President Trump said a major report found immigration hurt the economy. 2 authors respond.
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A National Academy of Sciences report did not say what the President claims.

By Francine D. Blau and Gretchen Donehower
The Big Idea
Bill Gates wants to give the poor chickens. What they need is cash.Bill Gates wants to give the poor chickens. What they need is cash.
The Big Idea

The evidence suggests cash offers a better return and more flexibility. It’s time for a definitive study.

By Christopher Blattman
The Big Idea
Shifting health care reform onto the states makes sense, but the Republican plan botches the jobShifting health care reform onto the states makes sense, but the Republican plan botches the job
The Big Idea

The AHCA shows that Republican talk of letting states experiment is empty rhetoric.

By Nicholas Bagley
The Big Idea
Eternally frustrated by “liberal” universities, conservatives now want to tear them downEternally frustrated by “liberal” universities, conservatives now want to tear them down
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The evolution of conservative attacks on universities — from criticism to defunding.

By Nicole Hemmer
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Analysis: GOP plan to cost Obamacare enrollees $1,542 more a yearAnalysis: GOP plan to cost Obamacare enrollees $1,542 more a year
The Big Idea

The plan hits low-income and older enrollees the hardest.

By David Cutler, John Bertko, Topher Spiro, and Emily Gee
The Big Idea
Republicans are tweaking their ACA replacement proposals. The new plans will still hurt enrollees.Republicans are tweaking their ACA replacement proposals. The new plans will still hurt enrollees.
The Big Idea

The tax credit levels are still not sufficient to avoid significant cost increases for most enrollees.

By David Cutler, John Bertko, Topher Spiro, and Emily Gee
The Big Idea
Judicial originalism as mythJudicial originalism as myth
The Big Idea

All conservative judges claim to be “originalists.” None of them really are.

By Eric J. Segall
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Study: ACA enrollees’ costs would spike under Republican plansStudy: ACA enrollees’ costs would spike under Republican plans
The Big Idea

It’s the first attempt to capture the full effects of Republican health care policies — including out-of-pocket costs.

By David Cutler, John Bertko, and Topher Spiro
The Big Idea
Empathy for Trump voters? No, thanks.Empathy for Trump voters? No, thanks.
The Big Idea

Understanding? Yes.

By Paul Bloom