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The Big Idea

Outside contributors’ opinions and analysis of the most important issues in politics, science, and culture.

The Big Idea
How to lose a constitutional democracyHow to lose a constitutional democracy
The Big Idea

If a president and his party want autocracy, the Constitution won’t prevent it.

By Aziz Huq and Tom Ginsburg
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Trump says American allies should spend more on defense. Here’s why he’s wrong.Trump says American allies should spend more on defense. Here’s why he’s wrong.
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Doing “burden sharing” wrong.

By Abraham Newman and Daniel Nexon
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Corporations like Exxon are using spurious free speech claims to fend off regulationCorporations like Exxon are using spurious free speech claims to fend off regulation
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By Jeff Clements and John Coates
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“This is not who we are,” critics say about the refugee ban. But what if it is?“This is not who we are,” critics say about the refugee ban. But what if it is?
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Fighting over immigration is central to the American story.

By Nicole Hemmer
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The refugees from the seven “banned” nations are more diverse than you thinkThe refugees from the seven “banned” nations are more diverse than you think
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I don’t think conservatives’ fears are unfounded. But these facts may change some minds.

By Lyman Stone
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A constitutional expert explains the issues at stake in Trump’s travel banA constitutional expert explains the issues at stake in Trump’s travel ban
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The US lags far behind its peers on “inclusive” economic growthThe US lags far behind its peers on “inclusive” economic growth
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Our data shows that inequality isn’t an inevitable byproduct of globalization and technological change.

By Max Roser and Stefan Thewissen
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What psychology teaches us about opposing an unpopular presidentWhat psychology teaches us about opposing an unpopular president
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Trump’s best hope is to convince opponents he’s more popular than he actually is.

By Robb Willer
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President Obama flouted legal norms to implement Obamacare. Now Trump may go further.President Obama flouted legal norms to implement Obamacare. Now Trump may go further.
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Did President Obama hand the ACA’s enemies a weapon by over-relying on executive power?

By Nicholas Bagley
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We’re the lawyers suing President Trump: his business dealings violate the ConstitutionWe’re the lawyers suing President Trump: his business dealings violate the Constitution
Play
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He receives “emoluments” from foreign officials.

By Erwin Chemerinsky, Zephyr Teachout, and Laurence Tribe
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Trump, Breitbart, and the rejection of multicultural democracyTrump, Breitbart, and the rejection of multicultural democracy
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The hostility to immigrants and Islam in the executive orders comes straight out of Stephen Bannon’s Breitbart.

By Daniel Kreiss
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President Trump’s “American carnage” speech fit into a long American traditionPresident Trump’s “American carnage” speech fit into a long American tradition
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It was a failed version of a Puritanical jeremiad

By Kevin Mattson
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The dangerous consequences of accepting even one “alternative fact”The dangerous consequences of accepting even one “alternative fact”
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Beliefs do not exist in isolation.

By Alan Jay Levinovitz
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Paying doctors bonuses for better health outcomes makes sense in theory. But it doesn’t work.Paying doctors bonuses for better health outcomes makes sense in theory. But it doesn’t work.
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It can even lead doctors to shun treating the sickest patients.

By Stephen B. Soumerai and Ross Koppel
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What President Trump doesn’t understand about job creation (and destruction)What President Trump doesn’t understand about job creation (and destruction)
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Donald Trump is poised to put “dealmaking” at the center of the presidential economic policy making tool kit.

By Nick Bunker
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NAFTA and other trade deals have not gutted American manufacturing — periodNAFTA and other trade deals have not gutted American manufacturing — period
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The political truthiness has been flying thick and fast on this subject for decades.

By J. Bradford DeLong
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Don’t overlook the feminist triumph of Clinton’s runDon’t overlook the feminist triumph of Clinton’s run
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She confronted some of the same stereotypes leveled against the early suffragists — and still won the popular vote

By Christina Wolbrecht
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Trump wasn’t elected as a culture warrior. He may govern as one.Trump wasn’t elected as a culture warrior. He may govern as one.
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Among other moves, Republicans may use religious-freedom laws to curtail LGBTQ rights

By Nelson Tebbe, Micah Schwartzman, and Richard Schragger
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We’re about to see states’ rights used defensively against TrumpWe’re about to see states’ rights used defensively against Trump
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A user’s guide to progressive federalism.

By Heather Gerken
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Republican nativism helped turn California blue. Trump could do the same for the whole country.Republican nativism helped turn California blue. Trump could do the same for the whole country.
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Obama hoped to be a transformational president. He failed.Obama hoped to be a transformational president. He failed.
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He got a lot done, but still left us living in Ronald Reagan’s America.

By Jack Balkin
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Is Betsy DeVos against enforcing disability rights laws — or does she not understand them?Is Betsy DeVos against enforcing disability rights laws — or does she not understand them?
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Lessons for navigating the Trump economy — drawn from the developing worldLessons for navigating the Trump economy — drawn from the developing world
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In many emerging and developing countries, the rule of law is weak, political influence and corporate power are intermingled, and fortunes can flip on the whim of a political leader.

By Geoffrey Gertz
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Dangers I didn’t see coming: “tyranny of the minority” and an irrelevant pressDangers I didn’t see coming: “tyranny of the minority” and an irrelevant press
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A scholar of the Holocaust finds threats to American democracy coming from unexpected directions.

By Christopher R. Browning
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Liberals and libertarians should unite to block Trump’s extremismLiberals and libertarians should unite to block Trump’s extremism
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What’s more, a “liberaltarian” economic agenda can serve as an alternative to snake-oil populism.

By Brink Lindsey
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Tax cuts undermine Trump’s pledge that his Obamacare replacement will be “great”Tax cuts undermine Trump’s pledge that his Obamacare replacement will be “great”
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Contrary to what you’ve heard, Facebook can help puncture our political “bubbles”Contrary to what you’ve heard, Facebook can help puncture our political “bubbles”
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We’re more likely to engage with “second-tier” friends online than in real life.

By Julia Kamin
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Private prisons are poised for a comeback under Trump. Here’s how to reform them.Private prisons are poised for a comeback under Trump. Here’s how to reform them.
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Obama’s chief economist talks about his biggest triumphs and biggest regretsObama’s chief economist talks about his biggest triumphs and biggest regrets
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An exit interview with Jason Furman, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers.

By Jared Bernstein
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4 pieces of evidence showing FBI Director James Comey cost Clinton the election4 pieces of evidence showing FBI Director James Comey cost Clinton the election
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And yes, it still matters.

By Sean McElwee, Matt McDermott, and Will Jordan
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Cognitive science suggests Trump makes us more accepting of the morally outrageousCognitive science suggests Trump makes us more accepting of the morally outrageous
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The “normalization” of Trump creates problems, but it’s not clear what we can do to avoid it.

By Joshua Knobe
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Life in authoritarian states is mostly boring and tolerableLife in authoritarian states is mostly boring and tolerable
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Americans have an overly dramatic view what the end of democracy looks like.

By Thomas Pepinsky
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A guide to rebuilding the Democratic Party, from the ground upA guide to rebuilding the Democratic Party, from the ground up
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Organizationally, the US right is light-years ahead of the left. A leading political scientist explains what Democrats should do to change that.

By Theda Skocpol
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The “madman theory” of nuclear war has existed for decades. Now, Trump is playing the madman.The “madman theory” of nuclear war has existed for decades. Now, Trump is playing the madman.
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Is he crazy, or crazy like a fox?

By Nicole Hemmer
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Donald Trump isn’t a fascistDonald Trump isn’t a fascist
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A leading expert on 1930s-era politics explains that Trump is a right-wing populist, not a fascist — and the distinction matters.

By Sheri Berman
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The free-speech problem on campus is real. It will ultimately hurt dissidents.The free-speech problem on campus is real. It will ultimately hurt dissidents.
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A literary organization shows that a rock-ribbed defense of the First Amendment can co-exist with empathy for marginalized groups.

By Anthony L. Fisher